Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM)
Market Price (12/26/2025): $79.6 | Market Cap: $7.8 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Food Retail
Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM)
Market Price (12/26/2025): $79.6Market Cap: $7.8 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Food Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.6%, FCF Yield is 5.9% | Key risksSFM key risks include [1] defending its differentiated niche against encroaching conventional supermarkets, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% | |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -53% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 45% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.6%, FCF Yield is 5.9% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -53% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 45% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Show more. |
| Key risksSFM key risks include [1] defending its differentiated niche against encroaching conventional supermarkets, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
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I am unable to provide the requested information. The specified time period from August 31, 2025, to December 26, 2025, pertains to future market events for which data is not yet available. Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -28.4% change in SFM stock from 9/25/2025 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a -32.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 9252025 | 12252025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 111.36 | 79.68 | -28.45% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 8399.00 | 8653.70 | 3.03% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.77% | 5.93% | 2.76% |
| P/E Multiple | 22.47 | 15.16 | -32.55% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 97.86 | 97.67 | 0.19% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -28.45% |
Market Drivers
9/25/2025 to 12/25/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SFM | -28.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.9% | 22.6% |
| Sector (XLP) | 0.5% | 16.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -50.3% change in SFM stock from 6/26/2025 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a -57.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 6262025 | 12252025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 160.44 | 79.68 | -50.34% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 8071.92 | 8653.70 | 7.21% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.53% | 5.93% | 7.26% |
| P/E Multiple | 35.40 | 15.16 | -57.19% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 98.54 | 97.67 | 0.88% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -50.34% |
Market Drivers
6/26/2025 to 12/25/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SFM | -50.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 13.1% | 17.5% |
| Sector (XLP) | -1.9% | 21.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -39.4% change in SFM stock from 12/25/2024 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a -59.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12252024 | 12252025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 131.43 | 79.68 | -39.37% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 7421.61 | 8653.70 | 16.60% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.73% | 5.93% | 25.44% |
| P/E Multiple | 37.49 | 15.16 | -59.57% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 100.15 | 97.67 | 2.47% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -39.41% |
Market Drivers
12/25/2024 to 12/25/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SFM | -39.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.8% | 31.5% |
| Sector (XLP) | 0.2% | 21.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 136.4% change in SFM stock from 12/26/2022 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a 48.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| 12262022 | 12252025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 33.71 | 79.68 | 136.37% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6320.47 | 8653.70 | 36.92% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.99% | 5.93% | 48.65% |
| P/E Multiple | 14.33 | 15.16 | 5.78% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 107.23 | 97.67 | 8.91% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 134.49% |
Market Drivers
12/26/2023 to 12/25/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SFM | 66.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.3% | 29.1% |
| Sector (XLP) | 14.4% | 20.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SFM Return | 4% | 48% | 9% | 49% | 164% | -39% | 304% |
| Peers Return | � | 28% | -2% | 16% | 29% | -15% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 115% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SFM Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 50% | 58% | 92% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 63% | 52% | 62% | 43% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SFM Max Drawdown | -31% | -3% | -23% | -7% | -1% | -39% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | -16% | -16% | -11% | -18% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: KR, ACI, NGVC, GO, WMK. See SFM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/24/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SFM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -33.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 288 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -32.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 144 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -41.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 71.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 881 days | 120 days |
Compare to AMZN, KR, UNFI, IMKTA, NGVC
In The Past
Sprouts Farmers Market's stock fell -33.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/8/2022. A -33.9% loss requires a 51.2% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM):
- A more affordable Whole Foods Market.
- Whole Foods, but with a stronger emphasis on fresh produce and bulk items.
- Trader Joe's, but with a broader selection of fresh and natural products.
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```html- Fresh Produce: A wide selection of organic and conventional fruits, vegetables, and herbs.
- Meat & Seafood: Responsibly sourced, fresh cuts of meat, poultry, and a variety of seafood.
- Deli & Prepared Foods: Convenient, ready-to-eat meals, salads, sandwiches, and premium deli items.
- Dairy & Alternatives: A range of conventional and plant-based dairy products, eggs, and specialty cheeses.
- Bakery: Freshly baked artisan breads, pastries, and custom cakes made daily.
- Pantry & Packaged Goods: A diverse assortment of organic, natural, and conventional shelf-stable groceries and beverages.
- Vitamins & Supplements: Health and wellness products, including vitamins, dietary supplements, and natural body care items.
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Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM) is a specialty grocery retailer that sells primarily to **individual consumers** rather than other companies. Therefore, its major customers are categories of individuals.
Here are three categories of customers that Sprouts Farmers Market serves:
- Health-conscious and Wellness-focused Shoppers: This is a core demographic for Sprouts. These customers are actively seeking natural, organic, non-GMO, and specialty dietary products (such as gluten-free, vegan, keto, or paleo options) to support a healthy lifestyle. They prioritize quality ingredients and products that align with their specific health and wellness goals.
- Value-oriented Shoppers for Natural Foods: While Sprouts offers premium products, it also attracts customers who want to purchase high-quality natural and organic foods but are also looking for good deals and competitive pricing. These shoppers frequently take advantage of Sprouts' weekly ads, promotional sales, and bulk section offerings to get value for their money on healthy groceries.
- Experiential and Discovery Shoppers: This category includes individuals who enjoy the "farmers market" atmosphere and the curated selection Sprouts offers. They are often looking to discover new and unique food products, appreciate fresh, seasonal produce, and seek out specialty items not always found in conventional supermarkets. The shopping experience itself is part of their appeal.
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- United Natural Foods, Inc. (UNFI)
- KeHE Distributors, LLC
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Jack Sinclair, Chief Executive Officer
Jack Sinclair joined Sprouts Farmers Market in June 2019, bringing over 35 years of experience in retail and grocery. Prior to Sprouts, he served as Chief Executive Officer of 99 Cents Only Stores LLC from 2018 to 2019, and as their Chief Merchandising Officer from 2015 to 2018. From 2007 to 2015, Sinclair was the Executive Vice President of the U.S. Grocery Division of Walmart Inc., where he oversaw all aspects of Walmart's U.S. grocery business across more than 4,000 stores, driving substantial growth through a focus on local assortment and fresh foods. He also spent 14 years at Safeway PLC in London, where he was responsible for operations, merchandising, and marketing for over 450 supermarket and convenience store locations throughout the United Kingdom. His background does not explicitly mention founding or selling companies, nor a pattern of managing companies primarily backed by private equity firms, though he led 99 Cents Only Stores, a discount retailer, and Sprouts had past involvement with Apollo Global Management.
Curtis Valentine, Chief Financial Officer
Curtis Valentine was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Sprouts Farmers Market, effective January 1, 2024. He possesses over 15 years of financial and retail experience, having served in Sprouts' financial organization for more than eight years. His roles at Sprouts included Senior Vice President of Finance (March 2023-December 2023), Vice President of Financial Planning and Analysis (December 2016-March 2023), and Senior Director of Financial Planning and Analysis (May 2015-December 2016). Before joining Sprouts, Valentine held financial management positions across various business units for seven years at PetSmart, Inc. The provided information does not indicate that he founded or sold companies, or that he has a pattern of managing companies backed by private equity firms.
Nick Konat, President and Chief Operating Officer
Nick Konat has served as President and Chief Operating Officer of Sprouts Farmers Market since March 2022. In this role, he oversees the company's store operations, merchandising, marketing, innovation, and supply chain efforts. Konat brings nearly 25 years of retail and brand leadership experience to Sprouts, having previously served as Chief Merchandising Officer at Petco. Earlier in his career, he spent nearly a decade at Target, holding significant merchandising and leadership roles, culminating as Director of Food Operations, Merchandise Planning. He also gained foundational experience in strategy and e-commerce during six years with Accenture.
Alisa Gmelich, Senior Vice President, Chief Marketing Officer
Alisa Gmelich is the Senior Vice President and Chief Marketing Officer at Sprouts Farmers Market. She previously held the position of Chief Brand Officer at Auntie Anne's. With over 15 years of experience in the restaurant industry, Gmelich served as Vice President of Marketing at IHOP, where she was responsible for customer growth strategy, national programs, and menu innovation. Before IHOP, she led a marketing team as Director of U.S. Sales, Field Marketing for Burger King Corporation.
Brandon Lombardi, Chief Legal Officer & Chief Sustainability Officer
Brandon Lombardi serves as the Chief Legal Officer and Chief Sustainability Officer for Sprouts Farmers Market.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM) primarily revolve around the highly competitive grocery landscape, the sensitivity of consumer spending to macroeconomic conditions, and potential vulnerabilities within its supply chain and operational execution.
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Intense Competition and Shifting Consumer Preferences: Sprouts Farmers Market operates in an increasingly competitive natural and organic food market. Conventional supermarkets are expanding their offerings in this segment, creating pressure on Sprouts' pricing, margins, and market share. A failure to compete successfully or a shift in consumer preferences away from Sprouts' specialized offerings could adversely affect its revenues, profitability, demand for products, and brand reputation. Maintaining a differentiated status in this crowded market is crucial to its success.
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Macroeconomic Conditions and Impact on Consumer Spending: General economic conditions significantly influence consumer spending, which directly impacts Sprouts' business. Factors such as inflation, recessionary cycles, and increased interest rates can reduce consumer discretionary spending. Recent reports indicate "signs of a softening consumer" and a deceleration in comparable store sales growth, which led to lowered guidance for 2025 and subsequent investor lawsuits alleging misleading statements about the company's resilience to the macroeconomic environment. This sensitivity to economic fluctuations poses a material risk to the company's financial performance and stock price.
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Supply Chain Disruptions and Operational Execution: Sprouts' business relies heavily on the availability of fresh produce and high-quality natural and organic products, making it vulnerable to supply chain disruptions. Such disruptions could negatively affect profitability and operating results. Furthermore, the company faces operational risks, including the challenge of successfully opening new stores, managing growth, and maintaining consistent operational standards across its locations. There have been reports citing operational mismanagement, recurring cleanliness issues, and employee dissatisfaction, which can erode customer trust and brand reputation. The ongoing transition to a self-distribution model for its meat and seafood supply chain also presents short-term risks, including potential product supply disruptions and unexpected transition-related expenses.
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The accelerated expansion and maturation of online grocery delivery and pickup services, particularly from large national chains and e-commerce giants like Amazon, coupled with the aggressive strategy of value-oriented grocers (e.g., Aldi, Lidl) to significantly broaden their natural and organic product offerings, poses a substantial threat by intensifying competition in Sprouts' core market and altering traditional shopping patterns.
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Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM) operates primarily in the natural and organic food sector, offering a wide selection of fresh produce, bulk foods, vitamins and supplements, packaged groceries, meat, poultry, seafood, deli items, baked goods, dairy products, frozen foods, natural body care, and household items. The company focuses on lifestyle-friendly ingredients such as organic, plant-based, and gluten-free options. Sprouts Farmers Market currently operates in 24 states across the U.S..
The addressable markets for Sprouts Farmers Market's main products and services are primarily within the United States:
- Target Market Opportunity (U.S.): Sprouts Farmers Market estimates its specific target market opportunity, focusing on "health enthusiasts" and "selective shoppers," to be approximately $290 billion within the broader $1.6 trillion "food-at-home" market.
- U.S. Organic Food Market: The U.S. organic food market was valued at an estimated $89.0 billion in 2024. This market is projected to grow to approximately $178.38 billion by 2034, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.2% from 2025 to 2034. Other estimates for the U.S. organic food market size in 2024 include $65.4 billion and $65.55 billion, with a projection to reach $159.04 billion by 2033 (CAGR of 10.35% from 2025-2033).
- U.S. Specialty Food Market: Total U.S. sales of specialty foods and beverages across all retail and food services were projected to reach $207 billion in 2023. These sales are expected to increase to $221.5 billion in 2024, with a projected CAGR of 5.4% from 2023 to 2027. More specifically, the market size of the Specialty Food Stores industry in the United States is estimated at $32.3 billion in 2025.
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Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key strategies:
- New Store Expansion and Market Penetration: Sprouts Farmers Market plans significant expansion, with targets of opening 35 new locations in 2024 and 37 new stores in 2025, all utilizing a new smaller-store format. The company has a five-year plan aiming for a 10% annual increase in its store network and has a long-term goal of reaching up to 1,400 locations nationwide. This expansion includes entering new geographies, particularly in the Midwest and Northeast metropolitan areas such as Chicago, Boston, and New York. New stores are consistently demonstrating strong financial performance, reinforcing the effectiveness of this growth model.
- Growth in Private Label Offerings: The company is heavily focused on expanding its private brand portfolio. Sales of Sprouts' store brand products increased by 14% in the third quarter of 2025, now contributing over 20% to total revenue. In the second quarter of 2025, private label products accounted for 24% of total sales. The Sprouts brand is strategically positioned as "better for you, high-quality, and attribute-friendly," differentiating it from traditional grocers' private labels. Sprouts continues to add 300 to 400 new private label items annually, demonstrating a commitment to innovation and differentiation within its own brands.
- Enhanced Customer Loyalty and Engagement: Sprouts Farmers Market is prioritizing customer acquisition and retention through the rollout of a new loyalty program. This program began testing in the summer of 2024 and is expected to fully launch in 2025, with management anticipating it will drive comparable store sales growth starting in 2026. The loyalty program aims to boost customer retention and repeat purchases by offering personalized incentives and rewards, with early results showing increased customer frequency and higher sales per shopper. The company's growth strategy is centered on its target customers, identified as "health enthusiasts and innovation seekers."
- E-commerce and Omnichannel Expansion: Investments in digital platforms and strategic partnerships are driving e-commerce growth. Sprouts reported a 17% surge in e-commerce sales in the fourth quarter of 2023, representing 12.4% of total sales, and a 21% year-over-year growth in e-commerce sales in the third quarter of 2025, contributing 15.5% to total sales. Partnerships with major delivery services like Uber Eats, DoorDash, and Instacart are expanding its digital reach and accelerating online sales. These initiatives are aimed at providing a seamless shopping experience and catering to the increasing demand for online ordering and delivery.
- Product Innovation and Differentiated Assortment: Beyond private labels, Sprouts continues to innovate its product offerings to meet evolving consumer preferences for healthy and natural foods. The company is committed to fresh, natural, and organic products, consistently refreshing its lineup with items that align with current health and wellness trends, such as plant-based proteins, gluten-free snacks, and keto-friendly foods. This dynamic approach, which includes leveraging in-store innovation centers and sampling programs, helps attract new customers and maintains engagement with existing ones.
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Share Repurchases
- Sprouts Farmers Market executed share repurchases of approximately $200 million in fiscal year 2022 and $203.5 million in fiscal year 2023.
- In fiscal year 2024, the company repurchased approximately 2.7 million shares for $240.6 million.
- On August 13, 2025, a new $1 billion share repurchase program was authorized, replacing the prior authorization which had approximately $143 million remaining.
Share Issuance
- The number of shares outstanding has generally declined over the past several years, from 0.109 billion in 2022 to 0.101 billion in 2024, reflecting the impact of share repurchases.
- Share issuances primarily occurred under stock plans, with a relatively small dollar amount, such as $1.223 million in the period ending June 29, 2025.
Outbound Investments
- In 2023, Sprouts Farmers Market's investing activities included the acquisition of Ronald Cohn, Inc.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures were $122 million in 2021, $102.4 million in 2022, $238.3 million in 2023, and $230.4 million in 2024.
- For fiscal year 2025, expected capital expenditures are projected to be between $230 million and $250 million, net of landlord reimbursements.
- The primary focus of these expenditures is on investments in new stores, remodels, maintenance, and upgraded equipment to support initiatives such as the Sprouts branded products program, aiming for approximately 10% annual unit growth.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to SFM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.5% | -6.5% | -7.4% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -8.1% | -8.1% | -9.2% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.2% | 13.2% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.2% | 5.2% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.3% | -5.3% | -6.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Sprouts Farmers Market
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 44.56 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.7 |
| Rev LTM | 6,774 |
| Op Inc LTM | 399 |
| FCF LTM | 241 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 200 |
| CFO LTM | 455 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 394 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 2.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 2.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 4.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 1.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.7 |
| P/S | 0.3 |
| P/EBIT | 12.6 |
| P/E | 14.1 |
| P/CFO | 7.3 |
| Total Yield | 7.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.1% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -4.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -17.8% |
| 6M Rtn | -18.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -21.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 17.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -4.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -22.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -30.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -37.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -60.5% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $79.68 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 7.8 | |
| First Trading Date | 08/01/2013 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -55.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $87.40 | $134.19 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -8.8% | -40.6% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 61.9% | 45.8% |
| Downside Capture | 212.31 | 119.57 |
| Upside Capture | 8.63 | 52.20 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 22.6% | 31.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.59 | 1.47 | 1.45 | 0.85 | 0.76 | 0.70 |
| Up Beta | -1.92 | 0.00 | 0.63 | 0.38 | 0.58 | 0.60 |
| Down Beta | 0.76 | 1.86 | 1.56 | 1.04 | 0.83 | 0.85 |
| Up Capture | 185% | 63% | -2% | -20% | 38% | 55% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 26 | 39 | 74 | 142 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 21 | 24 | 51 | 121 | 408 |
| Down Capture | 81% | 248% | 275% | 200% | 115% | 84% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 20 | 38 | 73 | 126 | 337 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of SFM With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SFM | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -40.8% | 0.7% | 19.2% | 71.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | -10.1% |
| Annualized Volatility | 45.5% | 13.9% | 19.5% | 19.3% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.00 | -0.19 | 0.78 | 2.69 | 0.36 | 0.18 | -0.12 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 21.0% | 31.2% | 2.1% | 8.5% | 26.2% | 11.9% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLP, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of SFM With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SFM | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 31.9% | 5.8% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 11.7% | 4.8% | 32.7% |
| Annualized Volatility | 38.5% | 13.0% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.7% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.83 | 0.24 | 0.70 | 0.97 | 0.51 | 0.17 | 0.60 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 31.1% | 26.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 24.1% | 5.1% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLP, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of SFM With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SFM | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 11.9% | 7.1% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 69.3% |
| Annualized Volatility | 37.4% | 14.7% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.42 | 0.36 | 0.70 | 0.83 | 0.31 | 0.22 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 31.9% | 26.8% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 21.3% | 7.5% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLP, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/29/2025 | -26.1% | -23.7% | -17.9% |
| 7/30/2025 | -4.1% | -4.6% | -10.5% |
| 2/20/2025 | -15.6% | -15.9% | -16.1% |
| 10/30/2024 | 8.1% | 18.5% | 30.0% |
| 7/29/2024 | 13.3% | 12.2% | 21.2% |
| 2/22/2024 | 10.9% | 16.1% | 18.3% |
| 10/31/2023 | -3.1% | -6.1% | -4.0% |
| 8/1/2023 | -2.3% | -2.5% | 5.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 12 | 15 |
| # Negative | 9 | 8 | 5 |
| Median Positive | 10.9% | 12.7% | 12.0% |
| Median Negative | -3.1% | -5.4% | -10.5% |
| Max Positive | 13.5% | 18.5% | 36.3% |
| Max Negative | -26.1% | -23.7% | -17.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10292025 | 10-Q 9/28/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 10-Q 6/29/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/30/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2202025 | 10-K 12/29/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/29/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7292024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10312023 | 10-Q 10/1/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8012023 | 10-Q 7/2/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5012023 | 10-Q 4/2/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3022023 | 10-K 1/1/2023 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 10-Q 10/2/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 7/3/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 4/3/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 1/2/2022 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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