Tearsheet

Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM)


Market Price (5/4/2026): $81.1 | Market Cap: $7.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Food Retail

Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM)


Market Price (5/4/2026): $81.1
Market Cap: $7.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Food Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.6%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -21%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%

Key risks
SFM key risks include [1] defending its differentiated niche against encroaching conventional supermarkets, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.6%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -21%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
5 Key risks
SFM key risks include [1] defending its differentiated niche against encroaching conventional supermarkets, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM) stock has gained about 15% since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Performance.

Sprouts Farmers Market reported robust results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 28, 2025, on February 19, 2026. Net sales for Q4 2025 increased by 8% to $2.1 billion, and diluted earnings per share (EPS) rose 16% to $0.92 compared to the same period in 2024. For the full year 2025, net sales grew 14% to $8.8 billion, with diluted EPS increasing 42% to $5.31. These strong results, which included 1.6% comparable store sales growth in Q4 and 7.3% for the full year 2025, provided a positive momentum for the stock at the beginning of the period.

2. Exceeding First Quarter 2026 Earnings Expectations and Raised Full-Year Guidance.

The company reported its First Quarter 2026 results on April 29, 2026, beating analyst consensus for both EPS and revenue. Sprouts posted diluted EPS of $1.71, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.67, on net sales of $2.33 billion, which met analyst expectations. Despite a 1.7% decline in comparable store sales, the company updated its full-year 2026 EPS guidance slightly upward to a range of $5.32 to $5.48, from the previous outlook of $5.28 to $5.44, indicating confidence in future profitability.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 14.5% change in SFM stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 12.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120265032026Change
Stock Price ($)70.9181.1914.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8,6548,8992.8%
Net Income Margin (%)5.9%5.7%-3.9%
P/E Multiple13.515.212.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)98953.0%
Cumulative Contribution14.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 5/3/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SFM14.5% 
Market (SPY)3.6%-31.7%
Sector (XLP)1.4%13.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 2.8% change in SFM stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 3.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)103120255032026Change
Stock Price ($)78.9681.192.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8,6548,8992.8%
Net Income Margin (%)5.9%5.7%-3.9%
P/E Multiple15.015.21.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)98953.0%
Cumulative Contribution2.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 5/3/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SFM2.8% 
Market (SPY)5.5%-11.1%
Sector (XLP)11.9%16.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The -52.5% change in SFM stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/3/2026 was primarily driven by a -59.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020255032026Change
Stock Price ($)171.0081.19-52.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8,0728,89910.2%
Net Income Margin (%)5.5%5.7%3.1%
P/E Multiple37.715.2-59.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)99953.9%
Cumulative Contribution-52.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2025 to 5/3/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SFM-52.5% 
Market (SPY)30.4%1.9%
Sector (XLP)5.7%21.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 134.2% change in SFM stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 39.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)43020235032026Change
Stock Price ($)34.6681.19134.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,4048,89939.0%
Net Income Margin (%)4.1%5.7%39.8%
P/E Multiple14.015.28.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1069511.5%
Cumulative Contribution134.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2023 to 5/3/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SFM134.2% 
Market (SPY)78.7%22.1%
Sector (XLP)17.9%21.5%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
SFM Return48%9%49%164%-37%3%307%
Peers Return28%-2%16%29%-16%3%62%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%5%92%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SFM Win Rate50%50%58%92%42%75% 
Peers Win Rate63%52%62%43%50%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SFM Max Drawdown-3%-23%-7%-1%-39%-18% 
Peers Max Drawdown-16%-16%-11%-18%-20%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: KR, ACI, NGVC, GO, WMK. See SFM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/1/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventSFMS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-24.6%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.6%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven84 days79 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-22.8%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven29.5%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven78 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-16.0%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven19.1%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven4 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-16.1%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven19.2%23.7%
  Time to Breakeven575 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-12.6%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven14.4%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven9 days6 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-36.7%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven57.9%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven2383 days15 days

Compare to KR, ACI, NGVC, GO, WMK

In The Past

Sprouts Farmers Market's stock fell -24.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 32.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

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EventSFMS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-24.6%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.6%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven84 days79 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-22.8%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven29.5%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven78 days427 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-36.7%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven57.9%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven2383 days15 days
2013 Taper Tantrum
  % Loss-20.3%-0.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.5%0.2%
  Time to Breakeven3408 days1 days

Compare to KR, ACI, NGVC, GO, WMK

In The Past

Sprouts Farmers Market's stock fell -24.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 32.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM)

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. offers fresh, natural, and organic food products in the United States. The company offers perishable product categories, including fresh produce, meat, seafood, deli, bakery, floral and dairy, and dairy alternatives; and non-perishable product categories, such as grocery, vitamins and supplements, bulk items, frozen foods, beer and wine, and natural health and body care. As of January 2, 2022, it operated 374 stores in 23 states. Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.

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A more value-oriented Whole Foods.

Like Whole Foods, but with a stronger "farmers market" emphasis on fresh produce.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Fresh Produce: A variety of fruits, vegetables, and other raw plant-based foods, often organic.
  • Meat & Seafood: Fresh and prepared animal protein products, including various cuts of meat and fish.
  • Deli & Bakery Items: Prepared foods, artisanal baked goods, and specialty deli items.
  • Dairy & Dairy Alternatives: A selection of traditional dairy products like milk and cheese, alongside plant-based alternatives.
  • Floral: Fresh cut flowers and potted plants for home decoration and gifting.
  • Grocery Items: A wide range of packaged, natural, and organic pantry staples and household goods.
  • Vitamins & Supplements: Dietary aids, health supplements, and natural remedies.
  • Bulk Items: Foods and other products available in larger quantities, often self-dispensed from bins.
  • Frozen Foods: Various pre-packaged and prepared food items kept frozen for extended shelf life.
  • Beer & Wine: A selection of alcoholic beverages.
  • Natural Health & Body Care: Personal care products, cosmetics, and wellness items made with natural ingredients.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM) sells primarily to **individuals** rather than other companies. Based on its focus on fresh, natural, and organic food products, its major customer categories include:

  • Health-Conscious Individuals: Customers who prioritize their well-being by actively seeking out organic, natural, and minimally processed foods, as well as products free from artificial ingredients and harmful chemicals.
  • Environmentally and Ethically Minded Shoppers: Consumers who value sustainable practices, locally sourced products, and brands that align with ethical production and environmental responsibility.
  • Individuals with Specific Dietary Preferences or Restrictions: Customers following specialized diets such as vegan, vegetarian, gluten-free, dairy-free, or other lifestyle-based eating plans, who rely on Sprouts for a diverse selection of suitable and specialized products.

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Jack L. Sinclair, Chief Executive Officer

Jack L. Sinclair joined Sprouts Farmers Market as CEO in June 2019, bringing over 35 years of experience in retail and grocery. Prior to Sprouts, he served as CEO of 99 Cents Only Stores LLC from 2018 to 2019, and as its Chief Merchandising Officer from 2015 to 2018. From 2007 to 2015, Mr. Sinclair was the Executive Vice President of the U.S. Grocery Division of Walmart Inc., where he was responsible for all aspects of Walmart's U.S. grocery business across more than 4,000 stores. He also spent 14 years at Safeway PLC in London, overseeing operations, merchandising, and marketing for over 450 supermarket and convenience store locations throughout the United Kingdom.

Curtis Valentine, Chief Financial Officer

Curtis Valentine was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Sprouts Farmers Market, effective January 1, 2024. He previously held the role of Senior Vice President of Finance at Sprouts since March 2023, and Vice President of Financial Planning and Analysis from December 2016 to March 2023. Before joining Sprouts, Mr. Valentine held financial management roles across multiple business units at PetSmart, Inc. for seven years, from April 2008 to April 2015.

Nicholas Konat, President and Chief Operating Officer

Nicholas Konat serves as the President and Chief Operating Officer for Sprouts Farmers Market.

James H. Bahrenburg, Chief Technology Officer

James H. Bahrenburg holds the position of Chief Technology Officer at Sprouts Farmers Market.

David M. McGlinchey, Chief Development Officer

David M. McGlinchey is the Chief Development Officer for Sprouts Farmers Market.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM):

  1. Intense Competition and Changing Consumer Preferences: Sprouts Farmers Market operates in a highly competitive retail food industry where conventional supermarkets and other specialty retailers are aggressively expanding their natural and organic offerings. This intensified competition can lead to pricing pressures, reduced profit margins, and a loss of market share for SFM. The company must continuously differentiate itself through product innovation and customer experience to maintain its competitive edge.
  2. Softening Consumer Backdrop and Economic Conditions: Sprouts Farmers Market is susceptible to broader macroeconomic shifts, including inflation, recessionary cycles, and increased interest rates, which can impact consumer spending habits. Recent reports indicate a "softening consumer backdrop" leading to moderated comparable store sales growth, declining traffic, and shrinking basket sizes, directly affecting the company's sales and profitability.
  3. Supply Chain Disruptions and Operational Challenges: The company faces risks related to supply chain disruptions, particularly concerning the availability of fresh produce and quality organic products, which are central to its brand identity. Other operational challenges include maintaining appropriate inventory levels, potential inventory losses, labor shortages, and increased wage costs, all of which could adversely affect profitability and operating results.

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The rise of advanced localized agriculture, particularly urban vertical farms, poses an emerging threat. These farms can produce ultra-fresh, hyper-local, and often more sustainable produce year-round. As this technology scales and becomes more cost-effective, it enables new direct-to-consumer (D2C) distribution models, or partnerships that bypass traditional grocery supply chains. This directly threatens Sprouts Farmers Market's core value proposition of fresh, natural, and organic produce by offering consumers a potentially fresher, more local, and sustainable alternative delivered directly, thereby reducing the need for traditional grocery store visits for a significant portion of their shopping needs.

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Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM) operates within several significant addressable markets in the United States, focusing on natural, organic, and healthy food products, along with related wellness items.

Addressable Markets for Sprouts Farmers Market (U.S. Region)

  • U.S. Organic Food Market: This broad category, highly relevant to Sprouts Farmers Market's offerings, was valued at approximately $95.43 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to nearly $191.26 billion by 2035.
  • U.S. Health & Wellness Food Market: Encompassing a wider range of healthy and natural food products, this market was valued at $249.49 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $517.95 billion by 2032.
  • U.S. Fresh Fruits & Vegetables Market: A core component of Sprouts Farmers Market's perishable offerings, the U.S. fresh fruits and vegetables market was valued at $96.26 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to reach $127.61 billion by 2030.
  • U.S. Vitamins and Supplements Market: Directly addressing Sprouts' "vitamins and supplements" category, this market was valued at approximately $49.9 billion as per a 2024 report.
  • U.S. Specialty Food Stores Market: This market describes the retail segment in which Sprouts Farmers Market operates. The market size for Specialty Food Stores in the U.S. was $32.4 billion in 2024.

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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM)

Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several strategic initiatives:

  1. Aggressive New Store Expansion: Sprouts Farmers Market is pursuing an aggressive store expansion strategy, with plans to open at least 35 new stores in 2025 and over 40 new stores in 2026. This expansion targets an approximate 10% annual unit growth. The company is focusing on a smaller, more efficient prototype format (21,000–25,000 square feet) which is cheaper to build and operate, allowing it to enter a broader range of markets and achieve stronger sales per square foot. Geographic focus areas for expansion include Florida, California, Texas, and laying the foundation for future growth in the Midwest and Northeast.
  2. Continued Product Innovation and Differentiation: The company is focused on expanding its unique product assortment, emphasizing its Sprouts Brand private-label portfolio and attribute-driven products such as organic, plant-based, gluten-free, and non-GMO options. The Sprouts Brand accounted for over 25% of revenue in 2025, and organic offerings exceeded 30% of total sales, with over 50% of fresh produce sales being organic. Sprouts launched over 7,000 new products in 2025 to maintain its differentiated offering for health-conscious consumers.
  3. Enhanced Customer Engagement and Loyalty Program: Sprouts Farmers Market is investing in customer engagement and personalization, particularly through its loyalty program, which launched recently. This program aims to gather deeper customer insights and is expected to drive comparable sales and improve customer retention and spend.
  4. Growth in E-commerce Sales: E-commerce continues to be a significant growth channel for Sprouts. In the fourth quarter of 2025, e-commerce sales grew 15% and represented approximately 15.5% of total sales, indicating continued strong performance and contribution to overall revenue.
  5. Expansion of Self-Distribution Network: Sprouts is investing in its supply chain, specifically by expanding its self-distribution network. This includes building new distribution centers (e.g., in Colorado, Florida, and Southern California) and transitioning to self-distribution for meat and seafood, serving roughly 70% of its stores. This strategy aims to improve efficiency, ensure the freshness of products, and support the accelerated store growth, thereby indirectly fueling revenue growth through better product availability and quality.

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Share Repurchases

  • Sprouts Farmers Market authorized a new $1 billion share repurchase program on August 13, 2025, which replaced a previous authorization that had approximately $143 million remaining.
  • The company repurchased $472 million of common stock in 2025.
  • Sprouts executed annual share repurchases of $228.472 million in 2024 and $199.98 million in 2023.

Share Issuance

  • Shares outstanding have generally declined over the past three years, from 0.103 billion in 2023 to 0.101 billion in 2024, and 0.099 billion in 2025, indicating a net reduction through repurchases rather than significant issuance.

Capital Expenditures

  • Sprouts invested $224 million in capital expenditures in 2025.
  • The company anticipates capital expenditures (net of landlord reimbursements) of $280 million to $310 million for 2026.
  • The primary focus of these capital expenditures is on new store openings, remodels, and investments in supply chain capabilities, including distribution centers, to support unit growth.

Better Bets vs. Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to SFM.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ELF_4102026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04102026ELFe.l.f. BeautyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.8%-1.8%-6.2%
IPAR_4022026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04022026IPARInterparfumsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.7%0.7%-0.3%
COKE_4022026_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%04022026COKECoca-Cola ConsolidatedQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
5.5%5.5%-5.2%
MZTI_3272026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03272026MZTIMarzettiDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.0%-5.0%-8.6%
TAP_3272026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03272026TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.5%-1.5%-2.3%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SFMKRACINGVCGOWMKMedian
NameSprouts .Kroger Albertso.Natural .Grocery .Weis Mar. 
Mkt Price81.1967.7716.6229.578.3570.9548.67
Mkt Cap7.742.88.50.70.81.84.7
Rev LTM8,899147,64283,1721,3364,6894,9586,928
Op Inc LTM6801,8907156487114397
FCF LTM3623,4565274223202
FCF 3Y Avg3752,70663529641208
CFO LTM6527,3112,36774222207437
CFO 3Y Avg6276,6312,56965213199420

Growth & Margins

SFMKRACINGVCGOWMKMedian
NameSprouts .Kroger Albertso.Natural .Grocery .Weis Mar. 
Rev Chg LTM10.2%0.4%3.5%5.2%7.3%3.5%4.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.1%-0.1%2.3%6.9%9.4%1.7%4.6%
Rev Chg Q4.1%1.2%7.7%1.6%10.7%5.1%4.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.1%0.3%1.8%0.4%2.6%1.3%1.2%
Op Inc Chg LTM14.3%-50.9%-56.4%25.7%-7.7%-10.1%-8.9%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg22.5%-17.2%-27.0%35.4%-0.1%-10.1%-5.1%
Op Mgn LTM7.6%1.3%0.9%4.8%1.9%2.3%2.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg7.0%2.0%1.9%4.0%2.4%2.6%2.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.2%0.2%-1.0%0.1%-0.0%-0.0%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM7.3%5.0%2.8%5.5%4.7%4.2%4.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.8%4.5%3.2%5.1%5.0%4.1%4.7%
FCF/Rev LTM4.1%2.3%0.6%3.2%0.0%0.1%1.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.7%1.8%0.8%2.3%0.2%0.9%1.3%

Valuation

SFMKRACINGVCGOWMKMedian
NameSprouts .Kroger Albertso.Natural .Grocery .Weis Mar. 
Mkt Cap7.742.88.50.70.81.84.7
P/S0.90.30.10.50.20.40.3
P/Op Inc11.322.611.910.69.415.411.6
P/EBIT11.323.311.210.7-3.815.411.3
P/E15.242.139.014.2-3.618.717.0
P/CFO11.85.83.69.23.78.57.2
Total Yield6.6%4.4%6.4%7.0%-27.4%7.3%6.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.1%3.8%0.0%0.0%2.0%1.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.1%6.1%5.7%5.3%-0.6%2.3%4.7%
D/E0.30.61.80.52.20.10.5
Net D/E0.20.51.80.42.1-0.00.5

Returns

SFMKRACINGVCGOWMKMedian
NameSprouts .Kroger Albertso.Natural .Grocery .Weis Mar. 
1M Rtn4.7%-6.3%-3.8%13.1%15.7%1.0%2.8%
3M Rtn14.5%8.4%0.8%8.8%-12.4%0.2%4.6%
6M Rtn2.8%7.6%-4.3%-6.8%-38.6%13.1%-0.7%
12M Rtn-53.3%-4.0%-21.6%-40.6%-49.3%-17.8%-31.1%
3Y Rtn123.5%50.0%-12.9%227.3%-71.5%-5.5%22.2%
1M Excs Rtn-2.9%-13.9%-11.3%4.0%11.2%-5.9%-4.4%
3M Excs Rtn10.3%4.2%-3.4%4.6%-16.6%-4.0%0.4%
6M Excs Rtn-27.3%-1.2%-12.2%-27.5%-46.7%6.4%-19.7%
12M Excs Rtn-82.3%-34.1%-51.6%-69.9%-80.1%-45.8%-60.7%
3Y Excs Rtn59.9%-26.9%-91.9%125.4%-149.7%-88.1%-57.5%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Perishables4,4253,9163,7183,5183,701
Non-Perishables3,2952,9212,6872,5822,768
Total7,7196,8376,4046,1006,469


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$81.19 
Market Cap ($ Bil)7.7 
First Trading Date08/01/2013 
Distance from 52W High-54.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$76.43$97.40
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA6.2%-16.6%
 3M1YR
Volatility47.6%45.6%
Downside Capture-0.980.34
Upside Capture-72.68-45.35
Correlation (SPY)-25.0%1.1%
SFM Betas & Captures as of 4/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.76-1.01-0.800.040.060.54
Up Beta-0.17-0.24-0.07-0.64-0.180.53
Down Beta1.09-2.04-1.640.470.290.76
Up Capture-48%-81%-59%-21%-24%24%
Bmk +ve Days15223166141428
Stock +ve Days9193161112405
Down Capture22%-121%-115%75%84%61%
Bmk -ve Days4183056108321
Stock -ve Days13243364138342

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with SFM
SFM-53.9%45.4%-1.56-
Sector ETF (XLP)5.7%12.6%0.1721.2%
Equity (SPY)30.6%12.5%1.882.4%
Gold (GLD)39.5%27.2%1.20-6.6%
Commodities (DBC)51.5%17.9%2.203.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.1%13.5%0.6715.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-17.1%42.2%-0.332.9%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with SFM
SFM25.4%39.0%0.69-
Sector ETF (XLP)6.9%13.2%0.3030.3%
Equity (SPY)12.8%17.1%0.5925.7%
Gold (GLD)20.5%17.9%0.941.8%
Commodities (DBC)14.3%19.1%0.614.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.5%18.8%0.0924.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)7.7%56.2%0.356.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with SFM
SFM11.0%37.7%0.40-
Sector ETF (XLP)7.8%14.7%0.4031.2%
Equity (SPY)14.9%17.9%0.7125.1%
Gold (GLD)13.6%15.9%0.712.7%
Commodities (DBC)9.7%17.7%0.465.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.7%20.7%0.2420.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.7%66.9%1.076.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date4152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10.6 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 33120263.3%
Average Daily Volume1.5 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.9 days
Basic Shares Quantity94.8 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares11.2%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/19/2026-0.5%11.6%20.6%
10/29/2025-26.1%-23.7%-17.9%
7/30/2025-4.1%-4.6%-10.5%
2/20/2025-15.6%-15.9%-16.1%
10/30/20248.1%18.5%30.0%
7/29/202413.3%12.2%21.2%
2/22/202410.9%16.1%18.3%
10/31/2023-3.1%-6.1%-4.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101215
# Negative1085
Median Positive9.5%12.7%16.8%
Median Negative-2.8%-5.4%-10.5%
Max Positive13.5%18.5%36.3%
Max Negative-26.1%-23.7%-17.9%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202604/29/202610-Q
12/31/202502/19/202610-K
09/30/202510/29/202510-Q
06/30/202507/30/202510-Q
03/31/202504/30/202510-Q
12/31/202402/20/202510-K
09/30/202410/30/202410-Q
06/30/202407/29/202410-Q
03/31/202405/01/202410-Q
12/31/202302/22/202410-K
09/30/202310/31/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202305/01/202310-Q
12/31/202203/02/202310-K
09/30/202211/08/202210-Q
06/30/202208/03/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/29/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 Comparable store sales-0.02-0.010  Lower New
Q2 2026 Diluted earnings per share1.321.341.36  Higher New
2026 Net sales growth4.5%5.5%6.5%0.0%0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 5.5% for 2026
2026 Comparable store sales-0.0100.010.0%0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 0 for 2026
2026 EBIT675.00 Mil685.00 Mil695.00 Mil0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 685.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Diluted earnings per share5.325.45.480.7% RaisedGuidance: 5.36 for 2026
2026 Unit growth 4000.0% 0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 4000.0% for 2026
2026 Capital expenditures280.00 Mil295.00 Mil310.00 Mil0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 295.00 Mil for 2026

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/19/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Comparable store sales growth-3.0%-2.0%-1.0%  Lower New
Q1 2026 Diluted earnings per share1.661.681.7  Higher New
2026 Net sales growth4.5%5.5%6.5%-42.1%-4.0%LoweredGuidance: 9.5% for 2025
2026 Comparable store sales growth-1.0%0.0%1.0%  Lower New
2026 EBIT675.00 Mil685.00 Mil695.00 Mil  Higher New
2026 Diluted earnings per share5.285.365.4444.5% RaisedGuidance: 3.71 for 2025
2026 Unit growth 4000.0%   Higher New
2026 Capital expenditures280.00 Mil295.00 Mil310.00 Mil-13.2% LoweredGuidance: 340.00 Mil for 2025

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Lombardi, Brandon FChief Legal OfficerDirectSell501202682.0440633,307557,935Form
2Zalatoris, TimmiChief Human Resources OfficerDirectSell323202678.5242633,4501,024,293Form
3Zalatoris, TimmiChief Human Resources OfficerDirectSell323202683.9731126,1151,131,180Form
4Sinclair, JackChief Executive OfficerDirectSell323202683.973,201268,79322,670,626Form
5Lombardi, Brandon FChief Legal OfficerDirectSell323202683.9729724,940605,183Form