Tearsheet

Lifeway Foods (LWAY)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $24.17 | Market Cap: $367.5 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Lifeway Foods (LWAY)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $24.17
Market Cap: $367.5 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 43x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 35x
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Functional Foods & Beverages, and Organic & Natural Products.
 
0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Functional Foods & Beverages, and Organic & Natural Products.
2 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 43x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 35x

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LWAY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for the -21% stock movement of Lifeway Foods (LWAY) from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025:

1. Termination of Danone's Acquisition Pursuit: On September 17, 2025, Danone terminated its previously ongoing pursuit to acquire Lifeway Foods. The cessation of potential acquisition talks can often lead to a significant decline in a company's stock price, as the speculative premium associated with a buyout is removed.

2. Q3 2025 Earnings Miss on EPS: Despite reporting record net sales of $57.1 million for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, Lifeway Foods announced an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.23, which missed analysts' consensus estimates of $0.28. Although sales were strong, missing profitability expectations can negatively impact investor sentiment.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LWAY Return172%-15%21%142%85%-3%1110%
Peers Return3%10%10%-15%2%-20%-13%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LWAY Win Rate50%33%58%50%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate32%35%48%30%45%38% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LWAY Max Drawdown-25%-16%-1%-4%-22%-19% 
Peers Max Drawdown-10%-4%-5%-25%-12%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: K, GIS, FLO, WEST, MEHA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLWAYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-45.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven84.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven428 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven37 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-84.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven534.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1380 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-69.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven230.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2262 days1480 days

Compare to K, GIS, FLO, WEST, MEHA


In The Past

Lifeway Foods's stock fell -45.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/21/2022. A -45.8% loss requires a 84.6% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Lifeway Foods (LWAY)

Better Bets than Lifeway Foods (LWAY)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LWAY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.8%3.8%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.1%-2.1%-2.1%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.2%7.2%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.4%1.4%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.8%3.8%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.1%-2.1%-2.1%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.2%7.2%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.4%1.4%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Lifeway Foods

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LWAYKGISFLOWESTMEHAMedian
NameLifeway .KellanovaGeneral .Flowers .Westrock.Function. 
Mkt Price24.0883.1545.9810.684.140.3917.38
Mkt Cap0.428.924.92.30.4-2.3
Rev LTM19312,64319,1565,1351,07873,107
Op Inc LTM121,8553,141320-34-0166
FCF LTM16502,096325-1510163
FCF 3Y Avg78952,300257-192-257
CFO LTM91,3052,691451-530230
CFO 3Y Avg131,5123,003384-43-384

Growth & Margins

LWAYKGISFLOWESTMEHAMedian
NameLifeway .KellanovaGeneral .Flowers .Westrock.Function. 
Rev Chg LTM9.2%-1.4%-3.3%0.3%28.9%-0.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg14.7%1.5%0.1%3.0%10.0%-3.0%
Rev Chg Q9.7%0.3%-6.8%3.0%60.7%8.2%5.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.5%0.1%-1.7%0.7%14.2%2.0%1.3%
Op Mgn LTM6.4%14.7%16.4%6.2%-3.2%-3.5%6.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg7.9%12.1%16.9%5.7%-2.1%-7.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%-0.4%-0.5%-0.5%0.8%8.7%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM4.5%10.3%14.0%8.8%-4.9%0.0%6.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.4%12.2%15.2%7.5%-4.6%-7.5%
FCF/Rev LTM0.7%5.1%10.9%6.3%-14.0%0.0%2.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.1%7.2%11.7%5.0%-21.1%-5.0%

Valuation

LWAYKGISFLOWESTMEHAMedian
NameLifeway .KellanovaGeneral .Flowers .Westrock.Function. 
Mkt Cap0.428.924.92.30.4-2.3
P/S1.92.31.50.50.4-1.5
P/EBIT23.415.18.78.5-11.2-8.7
P/E35.321.39.614.2-5.0-14.2
P/CFO43.421.810.46.1-8.8-10.4
Total Yield2.8%7.5%15.2%14.6%-19.9%-7.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.8%4.7%7.5%0.0%-2.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.6%3.6%6.6%7.0%-32.4%-4.6%
D/E0.00.20.50.81.3-0.5
Net D/E-0.10.20.50.81.2-0.5

Returns

LWAYKGISFLOWESTMEHAMedian
NameLifeway .KellanovaGeneral .Flowers .Westrock.Function. 
1M Rtn-0.4%0.6%-0.9%-9.1%-1.4%--0.9%
3M Rtn-22.1%5.3%-6.2%-24.0%-23.6%--22.1%
6M Rtn-2.0%2.7%-13.6%-32.5%-37.7%--13.6%
12M Rtn-3.8%6.2%-26.4%-49.1%-46.3%--26.4%
3Y Rtn254.1%33.0%-40.5%-58.9%-70.2%--40.5%
1M Excs Rtn-1.6%-0.6%-2.1%-10.4%-2.7%--2.1%
3M Excs Rtn-28.4%-1.0%-13.7%-32.0%-27.1%--27.1%
6M Excs Rtn-17.4%-12.8%-29.1%-47.9%-53.2%--29.1%
12M Excs Rtn-13.3%-7.4%-41.6%-63.3%-63.3%--41.6%
3Y Excs Rtn190.5%-37.4%-111.3%-131.0%-139.4%--111.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Drinkable Kefir other than ProBugs128110968172
Cheese1413131311
Cream and other77434
Drinkable Yogurt662  
ProBugs Kefir33333
Other dairy22222
Frozen Kefir    2
Total16014211910294


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity216,020
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120254.0%
Average Daily Volume113,989
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.90
Basic Shares Quantity15,206,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024314202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024813202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024514202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023320202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022327202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022926202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022826202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021721202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211115202110-Q 9/30/2021

Industry Resources

Packaged Foods & Meats Resources
USDA Data