Tearsheet

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage (NGVC)


Market Price (7/15/2026): $32.15 | Market Cap: $740.6 MilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage (NGVC)


Market Price (7/15/2026): $32.15
Market Cap: $740.6 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.5%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Nutritional Supplements, Organic & Natural Products, Show more.

Key risks
NGVC key risks include [1] a heavy reliance on its single primary distributor, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.5%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Nutritional Supplements, Organic & Natural Products, Show more.
3 Key risks
NGVC key risks include [1] a heavy reliance on its single primary distributor, Show more.

NGVC in ETFs

Weight = NGVC's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
ITOT0.00%
IWM0.01%
AVUV0.06%
IWN0.02%
DFAS0.02%
VTWO0.01%
IWO0.01%
+4 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 7/6/2026

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage (NGVC) stock has gained about 25% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Beat.

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage (NGVC) reported its fiscal Q2 2026 results on May 6 or 7, 2026, exceeding analysts' expectations. The company posted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.58, surpassing the analyst consensus estimate of $0.55 by 5.45%. Net income increased 2.5% to $13.4 million, and diluted earnings per share rose 3.6% to $0.58 compared to the prior year's quarter. Although revenue of $337.4 million missed forecasts by 3.64%, the gross margin expanded by 10 basis points to 30.4%, reflecting effective cost management.

2. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Upgraded Price Targets.

Following the strong earnings, analysts maintained or upgraded their outlook for NGVC. As of early July 2026, analysts held a "Strong Buy" or "Moderate Buy" consensus rating for the stock. The median price target from two Wall Street analysts was $45.00, implying a 41.2% upside from the stock's price of $31.87 on July 2, 2026. Additionally, the average price target from three analysts was $47.00, with individual targets ranging from $40.00 to $54.00, suggesting a 44.08% potential upside from the closing price of $32.62 on July 2, 2026. Alliance Global Partners initiated coverage with a "buy" rating and a $40 price target.

Show more
Updated on 7/6/2026

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage (NGVC) stock has gained about 25% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Beat.

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage (NGVC) reported its fiscal Q2 2026 results on May 6 or 7, 2026, exceeding analysts' expectations. The company posted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.58, surpassing the analyst consensus estimate of $0.55 by 5.45%. Net income increased 2.5% to $13.4 million, and diluted earnings per share rose 3.6% to $0.58 compared to the prior year's quarter. Although revenue of $337.4 million missed forecasts by 3.64%, the gross margin expanded by 10 basis points to 30.4%, reflecting effective cost management.

2. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Upgraded Price Targets.

Following the strong earnings, analysts maintained or upgraded their outlook for NGVC. As of early July 2026, analysts held a "Strong Buy" or "Moderate Buy" consensus rating for the stock. The median price target from two Wall Street analysts was $45.00, implying a 41.2% upside from the stock's price of $31.87 on July 2, 2026. Additionally, the average price target from three analysts was $47.00, with individual targets ranging from $40.00 to $54.00, suggesting a 44.08% potential upside from the closing price of $32.62 on July 2, 2026. Alliance Global Partners initiated coverage with a "buy" rating and a $40 price target.

3. Continued Operational Strength and Strategic Growth Initiatives.

The company demonstrated ongoing operational effectiveness, highlighted by strong customer engagement and strategic expansion. The nPower Rewards program, a key loyalty initiative, now accounts for 84% of total sales, indicating robust customer retention and engagement. Furthermore, penetration of the Natural Grocers private label brand increased by 120 basis points to 9.8%, contributing to loyalty and promotional efficiency. In line with its growth strategy, Natural Grocers opened new stores, including locations in Lake Geneva, Wisconsin, on June 10, 2026, and McMinnville, Oregon, on July 1, 2026.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 24.8% change in NGVC stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 24.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120267142026Change
Stock Price ($)25.7132.0924.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,3361,3380.1%
Net Income Margin (%)3.6%3.6%0.6%
P/E Multiple12.415.324.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2323-0.1%
Cumulative Contribution24.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 7/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NGVC24.8% 
Market (SPY)15.6%-31.6%
Sector (XLP)1.8%47.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 29.5% change in NGVC stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 25.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120257142026Change
Stock Price ($)24.7832.0929.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,3311,3380.5%
Net Income Margin (%)3.5%3.6%3.2%
P/E Multiple12.215.325.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2323-0.4%
Cumulative Contribution29.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 7/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NGVC29.5% 
Market (SPY)10.6%-20.4%
Sector (XLP)8.0%42.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The -16.6% change in NGVC stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -28.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020257142026Change
Stock Price ($)38.5032.09-16.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,2981,3383.1%
Net Income Margin (%)3.2%3.6%13.3%
P/E Multiple21.415.3-28.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2323-0.4%
Cumulative Contribution-16.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 7/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NGVC-16.6% 
Market (SPY)22.7%1.6%
Sector (XLP)5.2%34.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 193.7% change in NGVC stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 142.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)63020237142026Change
Stock Price ($)10.9332.09193.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,1041,33821.2%
Net Income Margin (%)1.5%3.6%142.7%
P/E Multiple15.215.31.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2323-1.3%
Cumulative Contribution193.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2023 to 7/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NGVC193.7% 
Market (SPY)75.6%15.3%
Sector (XLP)21.2%17.5%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
NGVC Return6%-34%92%153%-36%32%186%
Peers Return50%11%8%42%-3%15%185%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%10%100%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NGVC Win Rate58%50%83%50%42%71% 
Peers Win Rate63%50%55%55%52%77% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%57% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NGVC Max Drawdown-44%-61%-16%-19%-58%-13% 
Peers Max Drawdown-18%-25%-19%-20%-27%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SFM, KR, WMK, IMKTA, VLGEA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/14/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventNGVCS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-27.6%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.2%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven50 days79 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-27.1%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven37.2%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven318 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-28.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven40.0%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven12 days140 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-25.3%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.9%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven329 days6 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-31.3%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven45.6%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven2249 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-13.3%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven15.4%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven27 days15 days

Compare to SFM, KR, WMK, IMKTA, VLGEA

In The Past

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's stock fell -27.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 38.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventNGVCS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-27.6%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.2%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven50 days79 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-27.1%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven37.2%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven318 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-28.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven40.0%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven12 days140 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-25.3%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.9%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven329 days6 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-31.3%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven45.6%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven2249 days62 days

Compare to SFM, KR, WMK, IMKTA, VLGEA

In The Past

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage's stock fell -27.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 38.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage (NGVC)

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC) is a specialty retailer operating natural and organic grocery stores across the United States. The company focuses on offering a broad selection of products that emphasize natural ingredients and organic certification, catering to health-conscious consumers. As of early 2022, NGVC operates 162 stores across 20 states under its "Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage" brand.

The company's main products encompass a wide range of natural and organic grocery items, including fresh produce, bulk foods, meats, seafood, dairy products, and various private label goods such as pasta, frozen vegetables, and beverages. Beyond groceries, Natural Grocers also stocks private label dietary supplements, natural body care products, pet food, and household cleaning supplies. A distinguishing service offered by NGVC is its science-based nutrition education programs, aimed at helping customers make informed health and nutrition choices.

NGVC primarily serves consumers who prioritize natural and organic products, seeking high-quality food, supplements, and related lifestyle goods. The company differentiates itself through its specialized product assortment and commitment to health and wellness, attracting a customer base that values wholesome ingredients, sustainable practices, and nutritional education.

AI Analysis | Feedback

A cross between Whole Foods Market and The Vitamin Shoppe.

A regional chain similar to Whole Foods Market, but with a deeper emphasis on science-based nutrition education.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Natural and Organic Groceries: A wide range of food products including organic produce, bulk foods, private label items, meat, seafood, dairy, prepared foods, baked goods, beverages, beer, wine, and hard cider.
  • Dietary Supplements: A variety of vitamins, minerals, herbs, and other health-supporting supplements, including private label options.
  • Body Care Products: Natural and organic cosmetics, skin care, hair care, fragrance, and personal care items.
  • Pet Care and Food Products: Supplies and food specifically for pets.
  • Household and General Merchandise: Common household goods such as cleaning supplies, paper products, soaps, and diapers.
  • Nutrition Education Programs: Science-based educational services designed to help customers make informed health and nutrition choices.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage (NGVC) primarily sells to individuals through its retail store operations. The company's major customers can be categorized as follows:

  1. Health- and Wellness-Focused Consumers: This category includes individuals who prioritize their health and well-being, actively seeking out organic, natural, and minimally processed foods, as well as high-quality dietary supplements. They often engage with the company's science-based nutrition education programs to make informed health and nutrition choices.
  2. Individuals with Specific Dietary Needs or Preferences: Customers in this segment require products that cater to specialized diets, such as vegetarian, vegan, gluten-free, dairy-free, or other specific dietary restrictions or preferences. Natural Grocers provides a wide range of suitable options, including plant-based alternatives and allergen-friendly products.
  3. Conscious Consumers Seeking Quality and Ethical Products: This category encompasses customers who are discerning about the sourcing, quality, and ethical standards of their purchases. They are drawn to Natural Grocers' commitment to organic certification, natural ingredients in body care products, and overall transparency in product offerings, reflecting a preference for sustainable and responsibly produced goods.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Kemper Isely - Chairman and Co-President

Kemper Isely has served as a director and Co-President of Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage since 1998, also holding the position of Chairman. He began his career with the company in 1977, gaining extensive experience across various departments including Store Manager, Warehouse Manager, Director of Marketing, Director of Purchasing, Director of Operations, and Director of Finance. Along with his siblings, he acquired the company from his father. His background does not indicate a pattern of managing companies backed by private equity firms or founding/selling other companies outside of his involvement with Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage.

Zephyr Isely - Co-President and Director

Zephyr Isely has been a director and Co-President of Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage since 1998. He joined the company in 1969 and has held numerous roles, including Store Manager, Director of Receiving, Warehouse Manager, Director of Operations, Director of Purchasing, Director of Accounting, Manager of Payroll and Compensation, and Director of Information Systems. He is the son of the company's founders and, along with his siblings, purchased the company from his father. There is no information suggesting a pattern of managing companies backed by private equity firms or founding/selling other companies beyond Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage.

Richard Hallé - Chief Financial Officer

Richard Hallé was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, effective January 1, 2025. Prior to this role, he served on Natural Grocers' board of directors and audit committee since 2012. His previous experience includes serving as a Managing Director of Alvarez & Marsal's Private Equity Performance Improvement Group from March 2023 to October 2024. He was also the CFO of Vivial Inc. from 2011 to 2021, and the CFO and Secretary of DTN Holding Company, Inc. from 2003 to 2008. Earlier in his career, he was a Managing Director at FTI Consulting, Inc. from 2002 to 2003, where he developed business and finance strategies.

Heather Isely - Executive Vice President, Corporate Secretary, and Director

Heather Isely has served as a director, Executive Vice President, and Corporate Secretary of Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage since 1998. She joined the company in 1989 and has experience in various capacities such as Produce Coordinator, Store Manager, Manager of Quality Control, Director of Nutrition Education, Manager of Operations, Manager of Compensation, Manager of Training, and Director of Human Resources.

Elizabeth Isely - Executive Vice President and Director

Elizabeth Isely has been a director and Executive Vice President of Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage since 1998. She joined the company in 1977 and has held roles including Store Manager, Regional Manager, Director of Operations, Manager of Training, and Director of New Store Openings.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage (NGVC) faces several key risks to its business operations and financial performance:

  1. Intense Competition from Mainstream Retailers: The growing availability of natural and organic products in conventional supermarkets, discount stores, and warehouse clubs poses a significant threat to Natural Grocers. As organic products become mainstream, specialty grocers like NGVC face increased competitive pressure on sales and operating margins from larger retailers that can offer similar products, often at more competitive prices. This shift in the competitive landscape has contributed to the struggles and even bankruptcies of other natural and organic grocery chains.
  2. Slowing Sales Growth and Macroeconomic Headwinds: Natural Grocers is vulnerable to a slowdown in comparable store sales growth and reduced customer traffic. Economic conditions, including inflation and a tightening of consumer spending, can negatively impact demand for the company's products, affecting its profitability and growth trajectory.
  3. Supply Chain Disruptions and Product Safety/Quality Concerns: The company is exposed to risks related to disruptions in its supply chain, which can arise from factors such as adverse weather, natural disasters, or cybersecurity incidents affecting its distributors. Furthermore, maintaining consumer confidence in the safety and quality of its natural and organic products is paramount. Any issues related to food safety, the proper use of natural fertilizers and pesticides, or potential contamination could lead to a loss of customer trust, reputational damage, and significant financial repercussions.
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AI Analysis | Feedback

The increasing market penetration and sophistication of online grocery delivery and pickup services, particularly from large, diversified retailers (such as Amazon Fresh/Whole Foods, Walmart, and other major supermarket chains expanding their natural and organic selections), and potentially specialized online-only organic grocers. These platforms offer growing convenience, competitive pricing, and expanding product ranges for natural and organic groceries and dietary supplements, directly challenging the traditional brick-and-mortar model and curated in-store experience that Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage provides. The ongoing shift in consumer behavior towards online shopping for even perishable and specialty food items represents a significant, evolving threat to physical retail footprints.

AI Analysis | Feedback

For Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage (NGVC), the addressable markets for their main products and services in the U.S. are as follows:

  • Natural and Organic Groceries: The U.S. organic food market sales totaled $65.4 billion in 2024.
  • Dietary Supplements: The U.S. dietary supplement market reached $69.3 billion in 2024.
  • Body Care Products (Organic Personal Care Products): The U.S. organic personal care products market size was estimated to be between USD 6.31 billion and USD 7.58 billion in 2024.
  • Pet Care and Food Products (Organic and Natural Pet Food): The United States organic and natural pet food market size reached USD 8.1 billion in 2024.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage (NGVC) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several strategic initiatives:
  • New store expansion and relocations are a key component of the company's growth strategy. Natural Grocers plans to open 6 to 8 new stores in fiscal year 2026 and aims for 4-5% annual new store unit growth in fiscal year 2026 and beyond. Relocating existing stores is also a strategic element, as it typically leads to accelerated sales growth from a higher base.
  • Growth in daily average comparable store sales is expected to contribute significantly. For fiscal year 2026, the company projects comparable store sales growth between 1.5% and 4%. This growth is driven by increases in daily average comparable transaction counts and transaction sizes.
  • The increasing penetration and sales of Natural Grocers' private label products are identified as an important internal driver. Private label offerings generally provide higher margins, and their continued growth supports overall profitability and sales. The {N}power rewards program and private label products collectively demonstrated significant sales growth in the first quarter of fiscal year 2026.
  • Enhanced customer engagement through the {N}power rewards program is expected to fuel sales. Natural Grocers has observed stronger sales growth from members of its {N}power Rewards program.
  • The company's alignment with consumer trends and the introduction of new products are also anticipated to drive growth. Sales growth has been broad-based across various product categories, with strong performance in dairy, meat, and produce, and positive dietary supplement sales. Natural Grocers believes its continued growth will benefit from its close alignment with current consumer preferences and the impact of new product introductions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage had $8.1 million remaining in its $10.0 million share repurchase program as of December 31, 2025.
  • As of September 30, 2024, $8.1 million remained in the share repurchase program.

Capital Expenditures

  • For fiscal year 2026, the company plans to direct $50 million to $55 million towards capital expenditures to support growth initiatives, including opening six to eight new stores and relocating or remodeling two to three existing stores.
  • In fiscal year 2025, Natural Grocers invested $31.0 million in net capital expenditures, primarily for new and relocated/remodeled stores, opening two new stores and relocating/remodeling three stores.
  • The company's capital expenditures were $31.16 million in the last 12 months ending December 31, 2025. [cite: 5 in previous search]

Better Bets vs. Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage (NGVC)

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NGVCSFMKRWMKIMKTAVLGEAMedian
NameNatural .Sprouts .Kroger Weis Mar.Ingles M.Village . 
Mkt Price32.0975.3558.7477.9489.9543.5367.05
Mkt Cap0.77.137.11.91.70.41.8
Rev LTM1,3388,899147,6425,0135,3952,3965,204
Op Inc LTM656801,89012617769151
FCF LTM173623,4562315156104
FCF 3Y Avg273752,70641834162
CFO LTM626527,311233257100245
CFO 3Y Avg686276,63120623796222

Growth & Margins

NGVCSFMKRWMKIMKTAVLGEAMedian
NameNatural .Sprouts .Kroger Weis Mar.Ingles M.Village . 
Rev Chg LTM3.1%10.2%0.4%4.2%-0.3%4.2%3.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.6%11.1%-0.1%1.8%-2.2%3.8%2.8%
Rev Chg Q0.5%4.1%1.2%4.6%-1.8%1.6%1.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.1%1.1%0.3%1.1%-0.4%0.4%0.3%
Op Inc Chg LTM13.1%14.3%-50.9%4.6%99.1%-6.3%8.9%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg37.6%22.5%-17.2%-4.9%1.7%3.1%2.4%
Op Mgn LTM4.9%7.6%1.3%2.5%3.3%2.9%3.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg4.3%7.0%2.0%2.6%3.0%3.0%3.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%-0.2%0.2%0.3%0.2%-0.2%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM4.7%7.3%5.0%4.6%4.8%4.2%4.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg5.3%7.8%4.5%4.2%4.3%4.2%4.4%
FCF/Rev LTM1.3%4.1%2.3%0.4%2.8%2.4%2.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg2.1%4.7%1.8%0.9%1.5%1.8%1.8%

Valuation

NGVCSFMKRWMKIMKTAVLGEAMedian
NameNatural .Sprouts .Kroger Weis Mar.Ingles M.Village . 
Mkt Cap0.77.137.11.91.70.41.8
P/S0.60.80.30.40.30.20.4
P/Op Inc11.410.519.615.39.76.510.9
P/EBIT11.610.520.215.310.85.611.2
P/E15.314.136.519.116.48.215.9
P/CFO11.811.05.18.36.74.57.5
Total Yield6.5%7.1%5.1%7.0%6.8%15.1%6.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%2.4%1.8%0.7%3.0%1.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.4%4.1%7.2%2.4%5.3%10.9%4.8%
D/E0.40.30.70.10.30.70.4
Net D/E0.40.30.5-0.00.10.40.3

Returns

NGVCSFMKRWMKIMKTAVLGEAMedian
NameNatural .Sprouts .Kroger Weis Mar.Ingles M.Village . 
1M Rtn1.6%-12.7%-9.2%-5.7%-2.1%5.3%-3.9%
3M Rtn21.7%0.2%-12.1%12.8%-0.5%6.3%3.2%
6M Rtn30.4%-7.0%-3.5%18.0%29.0%26.0%22.0%
12M Rtn-18.7%-54.2%-17.0%4.8%34.9%20.6%-6.1%
3Y Rtn191.5%100.2%35.1%30.0%11.9%107.4%67.7%
1M Excs Rtn0.3%-16.5%-10.4%-7.6%-5.2%3.8%-6.4%
3M Excs Rtn13.3%-10.5%-22.7%0.5%-12.0%-8.3%-9.4%
6M Excs Rtn21.3%-10.7%-8.6%12.4%21.6%20.6%16.5%
12M Excs Rtn-36.8%-73.3%-35.5%-14.1%15.7%2.2%-24.8%
3Y Excs Rtn118.9%32.0%-38.5%-42.7%-60.9%38.3%-3.2%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Grocery952878796759732
Dietary supplements253244236227220
Body care, pet care and other126119109103104
Total1,3311,2421,1411,0901,056


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$32.09 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.7 
First Trading Date07/25/2012 
Distance from 52W High-20.4% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$30.16$29.02
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA6.4%10.6%
 3M1YR
Volatility37.7%39.0%
Downside Capture-178.9923.19
Upside Capture-36.14-6.43
Correlation (SPY)-30.6%0.9%
NGVC Betas & Captures as of 6/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-1.45-1.39-0.88-0.520.060.50
Up Beta-0.84-1.73-0.91-0.95-0.380.16
Down Beta-1.64-0.70-0.98-0.630.110.62
Up Capture-119%-91%-16%-3%2%56%
Bmk +ve Days11244067140429
Stock +ve Days11203360121371
Down Capture-195%-241%-192%-81%45%76%
Bmk -ve Days10172358112321
Stock -ve Days9202963127372

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NGVC
NGVC-16.3%39.0%-0.37-
Sector ETF (XLP)5.4%13.5%0.1433.8%
Equity (SPY)21.7%12.6%1.280.9%
Gold (GLD)20.5%27.9%0.65-12.1%
Commodities (DBC)27.3%18.9%1.14-12.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.0%13.9%0.6418.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-47.0%42.7%-1.375.3%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NGVC
NGVC28.8%48.2%0.68-
Sector ETF (XLP)6.3%13.5%0.2524.1%
Equity (SPY)13.1%17.1%0.5921.4%
Gold (GLD)17.2%18.4%0.764.0%
Commodities (DBC)8.6%19.5%0.335.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.7%18.9%0.0424.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)12.8%53.4%0.428.5%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NGVC
NGVC13.3%55.6%0.44-
Sector ETF (XLP)7.0%14.8%0.3423.7%
Equity (SPY)15.4%17.9%0.7320.1%
Gold (GLD)11.2%16.1%0.573.6%
Commodities (DBC)6.3%18.0%0.278.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%20.7%0.2119.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)57.3%66.2%0.976.7%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date6302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity0.6 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 61520260.8%
Average Daily Volume0.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.2 days
Basic Shares Quantity23.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.8%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/10/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/7/2026-4.9%4.0%9.0%
2/5/2026-2.2%-4.3%-5.7%
11/20/2025-5.0%-8.8%-15.1%
8/7/20256.7%4.8%3.6%
5/8/202530.2%12.6%-3.5%
2/6/2025-1.3%-0.8%-29.0%
11/21/202425.8%29.8%7.4%
8/8/20243.8%0.6%10.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131514
# Negative11910
Median Positive10.4%7.2%9.8%
Median Negative-4.9%-8.8%-15.7%
Max Positive30.2%49.9%39.7%
Max Negative-18.8%-25.0%-32.6%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/7/2026-4.9%4.0%9.0%
2/5/2026-2.2%-4.3%-5.7%
11/20/2025-5.0%-8.8%-15.1%
8/7/20256.7%4.8%3.6%
5/8/202530.2%12.6%-3.5%
2/6/2025-1.3%-0.8%-29.0%
11/21/202425.8%29.8%7.4%
8/8/20243.8%0.6%10.6%
5/9/20249.5%18.2%17.7%
2/8/202415.8%2.7%19.8%
11/16/202322.4%41.6%39.7%
8/3/20236.5%7.2%2.5%
5/4/202315.2%8.4%6.1%
2/2/2023-1.3%2.3%8.3%
11/17/2022-13.5%-12.6%-21.8%
8/4/2022-4.4%-8.9%-16.2%
5/5/2022-6.8%-0.8%-6.2%
2/3/20228.8%23.8%33.0%
11/18/202110.4%7.0%11.7%
8/5/20214.7%4.6%6.4%
5/6/2021-18.8%-25.0%-27.5%
2/4/2021-2.6%-4.6%-3.2%
11/19/202016.0%49.9%23.8%
8/6/2020-7.2%-15.9%-32.6%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131514
# Negative11910
Median Positive10.4%7.2%9.8%
Median Negative-4.9%-8.8%-15.7%
Max Positive30.2%49.9%39.7%
Max Negative-18.8%-25.0%-32.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/05/202610-Q
09/30/202512/11/202510-K
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/06/202510-Q
09/30/202412/12/202410-K
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/09/202410-Q
12/31/202302/08/202410-Q
09/30/202312/07/202310-K
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202202/02/202310-Q
09/30/202212/08/202210-K
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/05/202610-Q
09/30/202512/11/202510-K
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/06/202510-Q
09/30/202412/12/202410-K
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/09/202410-Q
12/31/202302/08/202410-Q
09/30/202312/07/202310-K
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202202/02/202310-Q
09/30/202212/08/202210-K
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q
03/31/202205/05/202210-Q
12/31/202102/03/202210-Q
09/30/202112/09/202110-K
06/30/202108/05/202110-Q
03/31/202105/06/202110-Q
12/31/202002/04/202110-Q
09/30/202012/10/202010-K
06/30/202008/06/202010-Q
03/31/202005/07/202010-Q
12/31/201902/06/202010-Q
09/30/201912/05/201910-K
06/30/201908/01/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/12/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Number of new stores6780 AffirmedGuidance: 7 for 2026
2026 Number of relocations/remodels22.530 AffirmedGuidance: 2.5 for 2026
2026 Daily average comparable store sales growth1.5%2.0%2.5% -0.8%LoweredGuidance: 2.75% for 2026
2026 Diluted earnings per share2.072.112.151.7% RaisedGuidance: 2.08 for 2026
2026 Capital expenditures45.00 Mil47.50 Mil50.00 Mil-9.5% LoweredGuidance: 52.50 Mil for 2026

Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 2/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Number of new stores6780 AffirmedGuidance: 7 for 2026
2026 Number of relocations/remodels22.530 AffirmedGuidance: 2.5 for 2026
2026 Daily average comparable store sales growth1.5%2.75%4.0% 0AffirmedGuidance: 2.75% for 2026
2026 Diluted earnings per share22.082.150 AffirmedGuidance: 2.08 for 2026
2026 Capital expenditures50.00 Mil52.50 Mil55.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 52.50 Mil for 2026

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 11/20/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Number of new stores6780 AffirmedGuidance: 7 for 2026
2026 Number of relocations/remodels22.53-16.7% Lower NewActual: 3 for 2025
2026 Daily average comparable store sales growth1.5%2.75%4.0% -4.8%Lower NewActual: 7.5% for 2025
2026 Diluted earnings per share22.082.157.8% Higher NewActual: 1.93 for 2025
2026 Capital expenditures50.00 Mil52.50 Mil55.00 Mil66.7% Higher NewActual: 31.50 Mil for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 6/3/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Isely, Charity DirectSell602202629.043,00087,120310,641Form
2Isely, Lark DirectSell827202541.0050020,500171,462Form
3Isely, Lark DirectSell821202540.002,00080,000187,280Form
4Isely, Lark DirectSell613202544.262,00088,520295,745Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Isely, Charity DirectSell602202629.043,00087,120310,641Form
2Isely, Lark DirectSell827202541.0050020,500171,462Form
3Isely, Lark DirectSell821202540.002,00080,000187,280Form
4Isely, Lark DirectSell613202544.262,00088,520295,745Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 7/14/2026