Southern Copper (SCCO)


Market Price (9/19/2026): $194.62 | Market Cap: $161.4 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Copper

Southern Copper (SCCO)


Market Price (9/19/2026): $194.62
Market Cap: $161.4 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Copper

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.4%

Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 57%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, CFO LTM is 6.7 Bil, FCF LTM is 5.1 Bil

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Electrification of Everything, Battery Technology & Metals, and Sustainable Resource Management. Show more.

Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 24x

Key risks
SCCO key risks include [1] political and regulatory instability in Peru and Mexico, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.4%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 57%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, CFO LTM is 6.7 Bil, FCF LTM is 5.1 Bil
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Electrification of Everything, Battery Technology & Metals, and Sustainable Resource Management. Show more.
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 24x
5 Key risks
SCCO key risks include [1] political and regulatory instability in Peru and Mexico, Show more.

SCCO in ETFs

Weight = SCCO's share of each fund

IWB0.03%
VYM0.07%
ILF2.4%
IYM1.8%
FNDA0.29%
SPEM0.16%
EEM0.14%
IEMG0.13%
+8 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 9/14/2026

Southern Copper (SCCO) stock has gained about 5% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Financial Performance Offset by Copper Production Declines.

Southern Copper reported robust financial results for its fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026), posting record quarterly sales of $4.29 billion, a 40.6% year-over-year increase. Net income surged by 72% year-over-year to $1.67 billion, and earnings per share (EPS) of $2.01 exceeded analyst consensus estimates. The company also achieved a significant 93% decrease in operating cash cost per pound of copper, net of by-product credits, to $0.05 in fiscal Q2 2026. However, these strong financial metrics were partially counteracted by a 3.5% year-over-year decline in copper production, reaching 230,662 tons, primarily due to lower ore grades in Peru. Despite this, management did increase its full-year 2026 copper production guidance to 917,000 tons, indicating a mixed operational picture.

2. Volatile Copper Prices Driven by Tariff Uncertainty and Supply/Demand Dynamics.

Copper prices experienced significant volatility within the period, reaching record highs in early September 2026, with benchmark three-month futures on the London Metal Exchange surpassing $14,530 per ton and COMEX copper reaching $6.55 per pound. This upward pressure was fueled by forecasts of a global refined copper deficit for 2026, driven by robust demand from energy transition initiatives, electric vehicles, and AI infrastructure, coupled with underperforming global mine production which fell 1.1% in the first half of 2026. However, these gains were quickly tempered by a sharp reversal, with copper futures falling over 4% on September 10, 2026, following reports that the White House was reconsidering potential Section 232 tariffs on refined copper, introducing policy-related uncertainty into the market.

Show more
Updated on 9/14/2026

Southern Copper (SCCO) stock has gained about 5% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Financial Performance Offset by Copper Production Declines.

Southern Copper reported robust financial results for its fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026), posting record quarterly sales of $4.29 billion, a 40.6% year-over-year increase. Net income surged by 72% year-over-year to $1.67 billion, and earnings per share (EPS) of $2.01 exceeded analyst consensus estimates. The company also achieved a significant 93% decrease in operating cash cost per pound of copper, net of by-product credits, to $0.05 in fiscal Q2 2026. However, these strong financial metrics were partially counteracted by a 3.5% year-over-year decline in copper production, reaching 230,662 tons, primarily due to lower ore grades in Peru. Despite this, management did increase its full-year 2026 copper production guidance to 917,000 tons, indicating a mixed operational picture.

2. Volatile Copper Prices Driven by Tariff Uncertainty and Supply/Demand Dynamics.

Copper prices experienced significant volatility within the period, reaching record highs in early September 2026, with benchmark three-month futures on the London Metal Exchange surpassing $14,530 per ton and COMEX copper reaching $6.55 per pound. This upward pressure was fueled by forecasts of a global refined copper deficit for 2026, driven by robust demand from energy transition initiatives, electric vehicles, and AI infrastructure, coupled with underperforming global mine production which fell 1.1% in the first half of 2026. However, these gains were quickly tempered by a sharp reversal, with copper futures falling over 4% on September 10, 2026, following reports that the White House was reconsidering potential Section 232 tariffs on refined copper, introducing policy-related uncertainty into the market.

3. Consistent Shareholder Returns Amidst Long-Term Project Development.

Southern Copper's commitment to shareholder returns provided a degree of stability for the stock. On July 16, 2026, the company declared a quarterly cash dividend of $1.10 per share and a stock dividend of 0.012 shares per share, payable on August 27, 2026. The total estimated dividend payment, including the equivalent value of the stock dividend, amounted to $3.23 per share. Concurrently, the company continued to advance its major growth projects, with the Tia Maria project in Peru reaching 42% completion by June 30, 2026, and operations anticipated to begin in the second half of 2027, adding an expected 120,000 tonnes of copper annually. This combination of immediate shareholder value and future growth prospects contributed to the stock maintaining a largely stable level as various market forces balanced each other out.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 2.9% change in SCCO stock from 5/31/2026 to 9/18/2026 was primarily driven by a 8.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)53120269182026Change
Stock Price ($)190.25195.702.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)14,55015,7888.5%
Net Income Margin (%)34.1%35.9%5.1%
P/E Multiple31.828.7-9.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)8308290.1%
Cumulative Contribution2.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2026 to 9/18/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SCCO2.9% 
Market (SPY)0.9%60.1%
Sector (XLB)-2.3%57.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -9.4% change in SCCO stock from 2/28/2026 to 9/18/2026 was primarily driven by a -32.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820269182026Change
Stock Price ($)215.97195.70-9.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)13,42015,78817.6%
Net Income Margin (%)32.3%35.9%11.0%
P/E Multiple42.528.7-32.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)8548293.0%
Cumulative Contribution-9.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 9/18/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SCCO-9.4% 
Market (SPY)11.6%67.3%
Sector (XLB)-6.0%67.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 108.2% change in SCCO stock from 8/31/2025 to 9/18/2026 was primarily driven by a 32.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)83120259182026Change
Stock Price ($)93.99195.70108.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)11,88815,78832.8%
Net Income Margin (%)30.4%35.9%18.1%
P/E Multiple21.628.732.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)8298290.0%
Cumulative Contribution108.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 9/18/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SCCO108.2% 
Market (SPY)19.4%56.8%
Sector (XLB)9.9%57.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 165.9% change in SCCO stock from 8/31/2023 to 9/18/2026 was primarily driven by a 56.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)83120239182026Change
Stock Price ($)73.61195.70165.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)10,07215,78856.7%
Net Income Margin (%)27.6%35.9%29.8%
P/E Multiple21.828.731.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)826829-0.4%
Cumulative Contribution165.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2023 to 9/18/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SCCO165.9% 
Market (SPY)75.6%51.4%
Sector (XLB)27.3%59.8%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
SCCO Return-1%4%50%9%62%39%283%
Peers Return69%6%3%-7%64%36%282%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%103%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SCCO Win Rate58%50%58%33%67%56% 
Peers Win Rate54%56%54%46%67%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%44% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SCCO Max Drawdown-30%-43%-20%-29%-25%-30% 
Peers Max Drawdown-28%-48%-33%-35%-30%-31% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FCX, TECK, NEM, GOLD. See SCCO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/18/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventSCCOS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-21.5%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.4%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven58 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-16.6%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven19.9%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven50 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-15.8%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.7%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven50 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-10.7%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven11.9%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven20 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-26.4%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven35.9%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven46 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-38.7%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven63.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven72 days140 days

Compare to FCX, TECK, NEM, GOLD

In The Past

Southern Copper's stock fell -21.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 27.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventSCCOS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-21.5%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.4%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven58 days79 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-26.4%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven35.9%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven46 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-38.7%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven63.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven72 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-32.6%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven48.3%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven343 days105 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-31.0%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven44.9%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven296 days15 days
2013 Taper Tantrum
  % Loss-23.8%-0.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.3%0.2%
  Time to Breakeven210 days1 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-32.1%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven47.3%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven106 days123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-72.6%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven265.1%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven322 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-23.7%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.0%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven33 days47 days

Compare to FCX, TECK, NEM, GOLD

In The Past

Southern Copper's stock fell -21.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 27.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Southern Copper (SCCO)

Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO) is a leading integrated metals company primarily engaged in the exploration, mining, smelting, and refining of copper and other minerals. Operating across Peru, Mexico, Argentina, Ecuador, and Chile, the company manages a comprehensive value chain from extracting raw ore to producing finished metal products. Its operations include significant open-pit and underground mines, complemented by extensive processing facilities such as concentrators, smelters, and refineries.

The company's main product is copper, which it processes into various forms including copper concentrates, blister copper, anode copper, and high-purity copper cathodes. Beyond its core copper business, Southern Copper diversifies its output with other valuable minerals. These include molybdenum concentrate, sulfuric acid, refined silver, and gold. The company also produces zinc and lead from its underground mining operations and extracts coal and coke from a dedicated coal mine, further broadening its commodity portfolio.

Southern Copper serves a global market as a key supplier of industrial and precious metals. Its primary customers are typically industries that depend on raw materials such as copper for manufacturing, including the construction, electronics, and automotive sectors. Additionally, its production of silver and gold caters to the precious metals market. With vast exploration concessions across its operating regions, Southern Copper is positioned to continue supplying these critical materials to various global industries.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Southern Copper (SCCO) is:

  • Like the Freeport-McMoRan of Latin American copper and other metals.
  • Like the ExxonMobil of industrial metal mining and refining.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Copper: Southern Copper mines, concentrates, smelts, and refines copper into various forms, including concentrates, blister, anode, and cathodes.
  • Molybdenum Concentrate: This is produced as a valuable co-product from its copper mining operations.
  • Sulfuric Acid: Generated as a byproduct, primarily from the smelting processes of copper concentrates.
  • Silver: The company produces refined silver as a co-product from its diverse mining activities.
  • Gold: Refined gold is another precious metal produced as a co-product alongside its primary minerals.
  • Zinc: Southern Copper mines and processes zinc, primarily from its underground operations.
  • Lead: Mined and processed alongside zinc, lead is another key mineral produced by the company.
  • Coal and Coke: These are produced from the company's coal mine operations.

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Southern Copper Corporation (symbol: SCCO) Management Team:

Germán Larrea Mota-Velasco, Chairman of the Board

Mr. Larrea Mota-Velasco is the CEO of Grupo México, Mexico's largest mining corporation. He has served as Chairman of the Board of Southern Copper Corporation since December 1999 and was also CEO from December 1999 to October 2004. He has led Grupo México as CEO since 1994 and has been a member of its Board of Directors since 1981. Additionally, he serves as Chairman of the Board and CEO of Grupo Ferroviario Mexicano (Ferromex) since 1997. Mr. Larrea Mota-Velasco founded Grupo Impresa, a printing and publishing company, in 1978, where he was President and CEO until its sale in 1989. He has also been involved with Empresarios Industriales de México and Fondo Inmobiliario de México since 1992.

Oscar Gonzalez Rocha, President, Chief Executive Officer and Director

Mr. Gonzalez Rocha has held the position of President of Southern Copper Corporation since December 1999 and President and Chief Executive Officer since October 21, 2004. He has been a Director of the company since November 1999. With over 40 years of experience in the mining sector, Mr. Gonzalez Rocha is a civil engineer. He also serves as CEO and Director of ASARCO LLC, an integrated U.S. copper producer and affiliate of Southern Copper, since August 2010, and as President and CEO of Americas Mining Corporation since November 1, 2014. Prior to his current roles, he was General Director of Mexicana de Cobre, S.A. de C.V. from 1986 to 1999 and of Buenavista del Cobre S.A. de C.V. from 1990 to 1999.

Raúl Jacob Ruisánchez, Vice President, Finance, Treasurer and Chief Financial Officer

Mr. Jacob Ruisánchez has been the Vice President of Finance and Chief Financial Officer of Southern Copper Corporation since April 18, 2013, and was appointed Treasurer on April 28, 2016. He possesses over 32 years of experience in the mining industry and has contributed to the financing of projects and M&A activities for Southern Copper totaling over US$8 billion. In 2021, Institutional Investor recognized him as the best Chief Financial Officer in the Latin American mining industry. He holds a degree in Economics from Universidad del Pacífico, a Master's in Economics from the University of Texas at Austin, and additional degrees in Applied International Management and Alta Gerencia. From February 2021 to January 2023, he served as President of the Sociedad Nacional de Minería, Petróleo y Energía.

Patricio Ovejas Simon, Executive Vice President

Mr. Ovejas Simon holds a Bachelor’s degree in Engineering from Universidad Anahuac in Mexico City, Mexico.

Juan Fernando Nuñez Chávez, Vice President, Exploration

Mr. Nuñez Chávez is a Geological Engineer with over 40 years of experience in the mining industry, primarily focusing on the exploration of metallic mineral deposits as a geologist.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Southern Copper's business are primarily its sensitivity to metal price volatility, particularly copper, followed by economic, political, and regulatory uncertainties in its operating regions, and significant operational challenges including declining ore grades and substantial capital expenditure programs.

Key Risks to Southern Copper (SCCO)

  1. Dependence on Volatile Metal Prices: Southern Copper's financial performance is highly sensitive to the fluctuating prices of copper and other metals. Copper alone accounts for approximately 75.9% of the company's recent revenue, making it particularly vulnerable to market downturns. Extended and significant declines in metal prices, especially copper, could materially adversely impact its results of operations, financial condition, and asset value.
  2. Economic, Political, and Regulatory Risks in Operating Countries: Southern Copper operates extensively in Peru, Mexico, Argentina, Ecuador, and Chile. These operations expose the company to economic and political uncertainties, including currency fluctuations, inflation, and changes in regulatory frameworks. Factors such as new environmental regulations, taxation policies, or social and community conflicts can disrupt operations and negatively affect profitability and mining concessions.
  3. Operational Challenges, Including Declining Ore Grades and Capital Expenditure Execution Risk: The company faces inherent operational risks common to the mining industry, such as industrial accidents and geological conditions. More specifically, Southern Copper is projected to experience a decline in copper production from 2025 to 2027 due to deteriorating ore grades at some of its Peruvian mines, which can negatively impact future earnings and operational efficiency. Furthermore, Southern Copper has a massive, multi-year capital expenditure program, exceeding $15 billion through 2033, which introduces significant execution risk. Successfully funding and completing these large-scale investments while navigating commodity price volatility is a critical near-term risk.

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Southern Copper Corporation engages in mining, exploring, smelting, and refining copper and other minerals. The addressable markets for its main products are global, and their estimated sizes are as follows:

  • Copper: The global copper market size was estimated at USD 241.88 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 339.95 billion by 2030. Another estimate places the global copper market at USD 291.12 billion in 2025, anticipated to reach USD 442.04 billion by 2034.
  • Molybdenum: The global molybdenum market size was valued at USD 4.96 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 7.91 billion by 2034. In terms of volume, the market size was 6,000.8 Tons in 2025.
  • Zinc: The global zinc market size was valued at USD 27.2 billion in 2024 and is poised to grow to USD 52.14 billion by 2033.
  • Lead: The global lead market size was valued at USD 23.55 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 39.26 billion by 2034. Another source indicates the global lead market was valued at USD 29.9 billion in 2025.
  • Silver: The global silver market size was valued at USD 87.12 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 202.07 billion by 2033.
  • Gold: The global gold market was valued at USD 291.68 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 400 billion by the end of 2030. In terms of volume, the global gold market size stood at 4,890.0 Tons in 2025.
  • Sulfuric Acid: The global sulfuric acid market size is estimated to reach between USD 25 billion and USD 27 billion in 2025.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO) is poised for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by a confluence of favorable market dynamics and strategic operational expansions.

Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth:

  1. Surging Global Copper Demand and Favorable Prices: The demand for copper is projected to increase significantly due to its critical role in renewable energy technologies, electric vehicles, artificial intelligence data centers, and global infrastructure development. This structural deficit in the copper market is expected to support bullish copper price outlooks, directly boosting Southern Copper's revenue. Analysts anticipate a 17% annualized growth in revenue by the end of 2026 for Southern Copper, ranking favorably against an industry forecast of 9.3% annually.
  2. Commissioning and Ramp-up of Key Copper Projects: Southern Copper has significant capital investments planned for new projects designed to expand its copper production capacity. The Tia Maria project in Arequipa, Peru, is expected to commence operations in 2027, adding an annual capacity of 120,000 tons of SX-EW copper cathodes. Additionally, the El Pilar project in Mexico is anticipated to start in 2028 or 2029, contributing approximately 36,000 tons of copper cathodes annually. These projects are crucial for increasing the company's copper sales volumes in the coming years.
  3. Increased Production and Sales of By-products (Zinc, Silver, Molybdenum): Beyond copper, Southern Copper expects substantial growth in the production and sales of its by-products. The Buenavista zinc concentrator is operating at full capacity, contributing to a projected 34% increase in zinc production for 2025. Furthermore, silver output is expected to rise by 10%, and molybdenum production by 4% in 2025, with strong performance in these areas already noted in recent financial reports. Higher sales volumes and improved prices for these minerals will continue to enhance the company's overall revenue.

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Share Repurchases

Southern Copper Corporation did not make any share repurchases over the last 3-5 years, with share buybacks for SCCO stock reported as $0.00.

Share Issuance

Southern Copper Corporation declared a stock dividend of 0.0085 shares of common stock per share of common stock, payable on February 27, 2026. Additionally, a stock dividend of 0.0101 shares per share was declared on July 24, 2025, payable on September 4, 2025.

Capital Expenditures

Southern Copper Corporation's capital expenditures have shown an upward trend, reaching $1,325.3 million in 2025, an increase from $892.3 million in 2021. Capital investments were $1,027.3 million in 2024 and $1,008.6 million in 2023. For 2025, the Board of Directors approved a capital investment program of $1,598.0 million. The company's capital investment program for this decade exceeds $20.5 billion, focusing on projects in Peru and Mexico, with a significant portion, around $10.3 billion, earmarked for Peru over the next decade. Key capital expenditure focuses include modernization of assets (50% of funds invested in Mexico in 2025) and water and tailings management (43% in Mexico in 2025). Major projects include the Tía María project in Peru, with an estimated budget of $1.8 billion and expected annual production of 120,000 tons of copper cathodes from 2028, which was 24% complete by year-end 2025. Other significant Peruvian projects are Los Chancas, with an estimated capital investment of $2.6 billion, and Michiquillay, estimated at $2.5 billion. In Mexico, the new tailings deposit in Buenavista received $252.0 million in 2025, and the El Pilar project has a budget of $310 million, expected to produce 36,000 tons of copper cathodes annually starting in 2028.

Better Bets vs. Southern Copper (SCCO)

Peer Outperformance in Copper

SCCO has outperformed 50% of its 6 Copper peers over 5Y. Copper ranks 1st of 15 industries in Materials by median 5Y return. That makes it one of the strongest corners of the sector.
Share of Copper constituents that SCCO has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
57%
of 7 industry peers · 86.5% return
3Y
71%
of 7 industry peers · 173.2% return
5Y
50%
of 6 industry peers · 312.4% return
No Copper peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten SCCO by more than 20pp over 5Y.
Median price return by industry across the Materials sector, ranked by 5Y. Copper is SCCO's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Copper ← 7 76.9%87.7%312.4% COPR 973% · HBM 378% · TGB 362%
Silver 6 115.8%335.0%164.2% AYA 307% · HL 246% · SVM 195%
Gold 34 29.2%208.1%157.7% IAG 773% · KGC 459% · CNL 440%
Steel 13 12.1%36.7%155.1% HCC 317% · STLD 309% · NWPX 306%
Aluminum 3 45.0%120.6%60.8% CENX 199% · KALU 61% · AA -4%
Construction Materials 7 -23.5%17.7%47.5% USLM 363% · CRH 81% · MLM 48%
Diversified Metals & Mining 23 -17.7%-3.7%24.6% ATLX 207043% · USAR 51477% · TII 722%
Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers 11 -9.0%3.2%2.2% KRT 214% · MYE 83% · GEF 57%
Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials 7 5.8%7.5%-9.2% PKG 91% · CCK 9% · SON -2%
Specialty Chemicals 41 4.6%-0.9%-12.0% ODC 473% · NEU 205% · CMT 97%
Commodity Chemicals 12 9.1%-12.5%-26.6% HWKN 277% · KOP 60% · MEOH 54%
Diversified Chemicals 4 -7.4%-29.4%-29.2% CBT 73% · ASH -15% · CC -43%
Precious Metals & Minerals 8 36.5%172.6%-33.4% ASM 642% · PPTA 382% · MTA 40%
Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals 10 -13.1%-9.7%-36.3% CF 189% · CTVA 103% · NTR 46%
Paper Products 3 -22.2%-50.9%-96.1% CLW -38% · ITP -96% · MERC -96%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

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Peer Comparisons

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Financials

SCCOFCXTECKNEMGOLDMedian
NameSouthern.Freeport.Teck Res.Newmont Gold.com  
Mkt Price195.7071.5465.52123.4145.4671.54
Mkt Cap162.3102.932.1131.4-117.2
Rev LTM15,78825,86813,99125,767-20,777
Op Inc LTM8,9836,1903,70414,230-7,586
FCF LTM5,1001,7621,9259,733-3,513
FCF 3Y Avg3,5711,6502745,235-2,610
CFO LTM6,7375,9004,64812,628-6,318
CFO 3Y Avg4,8166,2902,9588,342-5,553

Growth & Margins

SCCOFCXTECKNEMGOLDMedian
NameSouthern.Freeport.Teck Res.Newmont Gold.com  
Rev Chg LTM32.8%0.2%40.5%25.2%-29.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg16.8%5.9%9.0%32.1%-12.9%
Rev Chg Q40.6%-7.3%78.2%15.1%-27.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM8.5%-2.1%12.7%3.2%-5.9%
Op Inc Chg LTM52.8%-10.5%227.8%77.0%-64.9%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg28.1%5.0%6,353.7%148.9%-88.5%
Op Mgn LTM56.9%23.9%26.5%55.2%-40.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg50.5%26.2%12.6%36.1%-31.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.3%-1.2%5.6%1.2%-1.7%
CFO/Rev LTM42.7%22.8%33.2%49.0%-37.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg37.0%24.7%29.2%38.8%-33.1%
FCF/Rev LTM32.3%6.8%13.8%37.8%-23.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg27.3%6.5%0.7%22.7%-14.6%

Valuation

SCCOFCXTECKNEMGOLDMedian
NameSouthern.Freeport.Teck Res.Newmont Gold.com  
Mkt Cap162.3102.932.1131.4-117.2
P/S10.34.02.35.1-4.5
P/Op Inc18.116.68.79.2-12.9
P/EBIT17.714.57.09.7-12.1
P/E28.734.912.915.3-22.0
P/CFO24.117.46.910.4-13.9
Total Yield5.4%3.7%8.5%7.4%-6.4%
Dividend Yield1.9%0.8%0.8%0.8%-0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.4%2.3%0.4%6.5%-2.8%
D/E0.10.10.30.0-0.1
Net D/E0.00.10.1-0.0-0.0

Returns

SCCOFCXTECKNEMGOLDMedian
NameSouthern.Freeport.Teck Res.Newmont Gold.com  
1M Rtn0.5%3.5%-0.5%-1.1%2.4%0.5%
3M Rtn2.0%4.4%1.9%19.2%10.4%4.4%
6M Rtn29.5%38.0%44.8%29.4%10.9%29.5%
12M Rtn86.5%60.9%67.2%59.0%74.6%67.2%
3Y Rtn173.2%91.1%59.0%224.5%57.0%91.1%
1M Excs Rtn1.3%4.3%0.2%-0.4%3.2%1.3%
3M Excs Rtn-0.0%2.4%-0.1%17.2%8.4%2.4%
6M Excs Rtn8.0%18.2%22.9%9.2%-9.2%9.2%
12M Excs Rtn71.3%44.5%50.4%42.4%62.7%50.4%
3Y Excs Rtn102.4%15.4%-10.9%161.8%-25.7%15.4%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Mexican Open-pit7,6236,3175,5625,7736,109
Peruvian Operations5,2484,6053,8543,9084,371
Mexican Industrial Minera Mexico, S.A. de C.V. and subsidiaries (IMMSA) Unit808704631666600
Corporate, other and eliminations-258-192-152-300-146
Total13,42011,4339,89610,04810,934


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Mexican Open-pit4,2753,3842,7752,9553,698
Peruvian Operations2,6012,0921,4731,4682,333
Mexican Industrial Minera Mexico, S.A. de C.V. and subsidiaries (IMMSA) Unit162129-46189
Corporate, other and eliminations-37-51-52-47-55
Total7,0025,5554,1924,4366,065


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Mexican Open-pit9,5618,6058,6968,8368,560
Peruvian Operations5,6645,2784,6364,8714,933
Corporate, other and eliminations4,7753,6262,2282,4703,807
Mexican Industrial Minera Mexico, S.A. de C.V. and subsidiaries (IMMSA) Unit1,3811,2041,1661,101998
Total21,38118,71416,72517,27718,298


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$195.70 
Market Cap ($ Bil)162.3 
First Trading Date12/29/2006 
Distance from 52W High-10.9% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$192.69$180.11
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA1.6%8.7%
 3M1YR
Volatility50.7%52.8%
Downside Capture245.94231.34
Upside Capture232.37265.52
Correlation (SPY)49.6%57.2%
SCCO Betas & Captures as of 8/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.762.492.672.792.361.45
Up Beta1.432.531.882.592.321.31
Down Beta-2.752.713.422.852.061.35
Up Capture317%341%341%366%688%593%
Bmk +ve Days10213268138427
Stock +ve Days12223261142396
Down Capture133%159%218%229%160%109%
Bmk -ve Days11213259113324
Stock -ve Days9203266109355

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with SCCO
SCCO87.7%52.7%1.37-
Sector ETF (XLB)11.7%17.9%0.4657.9%
Equity (SPY)16.9%12.9%0.9457.1%
Gold (GLD)19.1%29.3%0.6061.6%
Commodities (DBC)46.9%20.6%1.762.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.9%13.6%0.1011.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-34.5%43.9%-0.8432.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with SCCO
SCCO31.3%40.8%0.78-
Sector ETF (XLB)5.5%19.1%0.1861.3%
Equity (SPY)12.9%17.2%0.5748.5%
Gold (GLD)19.1%18.8%0.8344.8%
Commodities (DBC)11.3%19.5%0.4530.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.1%18.8%-0.0531.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)11.2%52.5%0.3923.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with SCCO
SCCO27.1%38.1%0.75-
Sector ETF (XLB)9.6%20.7%0.4164.6%
Equity (SPY)15.1%18.0%0.7254.1%
Gold (GLD)12.1%16.4%0.6132.7%
Commodities (DBC)8.3%18.1%0.3735.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.4%20.7%0.1836.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)61.7%66.1%1.0219.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date8312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10.6 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 8152026-5.7%
Average Daily Volume1.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.7 days
Basic Shares Quantity829.1 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares1.3%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/24/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/22/2026-6.8%-10.2%2.2%
4/29/20261.9%9.2%14.2%
1/28/20264.9%-1.1%10.7%
10/29/2025-1.1%-4.1%-4.3%
7/29/2025-6.3%-2.2%0.4%
4/25/2025-1.6%-6.3%-2.9%
2/12/20252.4%4.7%0.3%
10/22/20241.9%2.2%-7.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131114
# Negative111310
Median Positive1.9%3.4%6.6%
Median Negative-1.3%-2.7%-4.3%
Max Positive4.9%14.0%27.1%
Max Negative-6.8%-10.2%-9.8%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/22/2026-6.8%-10.2%2.2%
4/29/20261.9%9.2%14.2%
1/28/20264.9%-1.1%10.7%
10/29/2025-1.1%-4.1%-4.3%
7/29/2025-6.3%-2.2%0.4%
4/25/2025-1.6%-6.3%-2.9%
2/12/20252.4%4.7%0.3%
10/22/20241.9%2.2%-7.1%
7/19/20240.6%1.1%1.6%
4/26/20244.6%1.1%6.2%
2/2/2024-2.5%-1.9%-1.1%
10/25/20231.5%3.4%8.1%
7/28/20231.5%-0.2%-6.2%
4/27/20231.8%-0.7%-9.8%
2/3/2023-1.1%-2.7%-2.8%
10/28/2022-0.3%14.0%27.1%
7/27/2022-0.9%-3.8%6.4%
5/3/20223.5%-8.0%5.0%
2/2/2022-1.3%5.9%21.4%
10/27/20210.8%-3.6%-4.3%
7/27/20210.3%0.7%-2.6%
4/28/2021-1.4%-0.7%-4.4%
1/27/20212.6%0.7%6.7%
10/27/2020-1.0%3.8%16.5%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131114
# Negative111310
Median Positive1.9%3.4%6.6%
Median Negative-1.3%-2.7%-4.3%
Max Positive4.9%14.0%27.1%
Max Negative-6.8%-10.2%-9.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/31/202610-Q
03/31/202604/30/202610-Q
12/31/202502/27/202610-K
09/30/202510/31/202510-Q
06/30/202507/31/202510-Q
03/31/202504/30/202510-Q
12/31/202403/03/202510-K
09/30/202410/31/202410-Q
06/30/202408/02/202410-Q
03/31/202404/30/202410-Q
12/31/202302/29/202410-K
09/30/202311/01/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202305/02/202310-Q
12/31/202202/28/202310-K
09/30/202210/31/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/31/202610-Q
03/31/202604/30/202610-Q
12/31/202502/27/202610-K
09/30/202510/31/202510-Q
06/30/202507/31/202510-Q
03/31/202504/30/202510-Q
12/31/202403/03/202510-K
09/30/202410/31/202410-Q
06/30/202408/02/202410-Q
03/31/202404/30/202410-Q
12/31/202302/29/202410-K
09/30/202311/01/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202305/02/202310-Q
12/31/202202/28/202310-K
09/30/202210/31/202210-Q
06/30/202207/27/202210-Q
03/31/202205/05/202210-Q
12/31/202103/07/202210-K
09/30/202111/01/202110-Q
06/30/202107/27/202110-Q
03/31/202104/30/202110-Q
12/31/202002/26/202110-K
09/30/202010/28/202010-Q
06/30/202007/31/202010-Q
03/31/202005/04/202010-Q
12/31/201902/28/202010-K
09/30/201910/28/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 8/12/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 7/22/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2027 Tia Maria Copper ProductionReported 0.12 Mil    
2027 Tia Maria Cash CostReported 1.16    
2032 Michiquillay Copper ProductionReported 0.23 Mil    
2029 El Pilar Copper ProductionReported 36,000    
2031 Los Chancas Copper ProductionReported 0.13 Mil    
2031 Los Chancas Molybdenum ProductionReported 7,500    


Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/29/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Production TargetReported 1.60 Mil    
2026 Capital Investment ProgramReported 20.50 Bil    
2026 Peruvian Projects InvestmentReported 10.30 Bil    
2026 Mexican Projects InvestmentReported 10.20 Bil    

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 1/28/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2033 Copper ProductionReported 1.60 Mil    

Insider Activity

Updated 9/10/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Palomino, Bonilla Luis MiguelDirectSell9102026210.0010021,000315,630Form
2Palomino, Bonilla Luis MiguelDirectSell9082026200.0010020,000320,600Form
3Palomino, Bonilla Luis MiguelDirectSell9012026217.5040087,000283,402Form
4Palomino, Bonilla Luis MiguelDirectSell8052026199.1520039,830339,152Form
5Palomino, Bonilla Luis MiguelDirectSell8052026195.0010019,500371,085Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Palomino, Bonilla Luis MiguelDirectSell9102026210.0010021,000315,630Form
2Palomino, Bonilla Luis MiguelDirectSell9082026200.0010020,000320,600Form
3Palomino, Bonilla Luis MiguelDirectSell9012026217.5040087,000283,402Form
4Palomino, Bonilla Luis MiguelDirectSell8052026199.1520039,830339,152Form
5Palomino, Bonilla Luis MiguelDirectSell8052026195.0010019,500371,085Form
6Palomino, Bonilla Luis MiguelDirectSell7242026179.0010017,900286,937Form
7Palomino, Bonilla Luis MiguelDirectSell6052026181.004724308,243Form
8Palomino, Bonilla Luis MiguelDirectSell6022026200.0010020,000341,400Form
9Palomino, Bonilla Luis MiguelDirectSell5222026177.8220035,565321,330Form
10Palomino, Bonilla Luis MiguelDirectSell5182026178.2010017,820357,647Form
11Palomino, Bonilla Luis MiguelDirectSell3182026174.6019333,698298,042Form
12Palomino, Bonilla Luis MiguelDirectSell3182026190.0071,330361,000Form
13Castillo, Sanchez Mejorada EnriqueDirectSell3022026217.394,587997,168130,434Form
14Contreras, Lerdo DE Tejada LeonardoDirectSell2032026211.349,2481,954,426126,801Form
15Palomino, Bonilla Luis MiguelDirectSell12032025139.0040055,600175,835Form
16Palomino, Bonilla Luis MiguelDirectSell11122025140.0014820,720233,100Form
17Palomino, Bonilla Luis MiguelDirectSell11072025137.5010013,750249,288Form
18Palomino, Bonilla Luis MiguelDirectSell11052025135.0010013,500258,255Form
19Palomino, Bonilla Luis MiguelDirectSell11042025131.9010013,190265,515Form
20Palomino, Bonilla Luis MiguelDirectSell11032025139.3520027,870238,707Form
21Palomino, Bonilla Luis MiguelDirectSell9122025105.4420021,088201,707Form
22Palomino, Bonilla Luis MiguelDirectSell9042025101.0021421,614213,413Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Sep 19, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
General Pension Society PZU Joint Stock Co$65.2 Mil10.0%15Hold13F
Randolph Co Inc$37.0 Mil3.5%43ADD +6.1%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Randolph Co Inc$37.0 Mil3.5%43ADD +6.1%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Aragon Global Management, LP$5.2 Mil1.6%32Exited13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
General Pension Society PZU Joint Stock Co$65.2 Mil10.0%15Hold13F
Randolph Co Inc$37.0 Mil3.5%43ADD +6.1%13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 9/18/2026