Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF)


Market Price (7/28/2026): $12.23 | Market Cap: $7.0 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Steel

Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF)


Market Price (7/28/2026): $12.23
Market Cap: $7.0 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Steel

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Hydrogen Economy, Circular Economy & Recycling, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Green Hydrogen Production, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -53%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -89%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -797 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4.2%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 109%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.2%

Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.3%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.5%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17%

Key risks
CLF key risks include [1] a substantial reliance on the automotive industry, Show more.

0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Hydrogen Economy, Circular Economy & Recycling, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Green Hydrogen Production, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -53%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -89%
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -797 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4.2%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 109%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.2%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.3%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.5%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17%
8 Key risks
CLF key risks include [1] a substantial reliance on the automotive industry, Show more.

CLF in ETFs

Weight = CLF's share of each fund

VTI0.01%
ITOT0.01%
IWB0.01%
IJH0.17%
VB0.06%
IYM0.55%
MDYV0.36%
IJJ0.36%
+15 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Updated on 7/24/2026

Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF) stock has gained about 45% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Q2 Fiscal 2026 Performance and Optimistic Outlook. Cleveland-Cliffs reported significantly improved results for fiscal Q2 2026 (ending June 30, 2026), with adjusted EBITDA tripling to $286 million, a $191 million increase from fiscal Q1 2026. The company also returned to positive free cash flow of $73 million after two years of cash burn. Management provided an exceptionally strong outlook for fiscal Q3 2026, guiding adjusted EBITDA to approximately $575 million, which more than doubles the Q2 level. Furthermore, Cleveland-Cliffs projected an ambitious $3.3 billion in adjusted EBITDA for fiscal 2027, fueling substantial investor optimism.

2. Favorable Steel Pricing and Robust Domestic Demand. The company benefited from a strengthening domestic steel market and improved pricing trends. Average selling prices increased by $76 per ton to $1,124 per ton in fiscal Q2 2026, marking the highest quarterly average since fiscal Q2 2022. This rise was driven by solid demand across key sectors like automotive and distributors. The broader steel industry outlook projected a 3.4% recovery in apparent steel consumption for fiscal 2026, while U.S. Section 232 tariffs continued to reduce flat-rolled steel imports by 57% from 2024 levels, further supporting domestic pricing.

Show more
Updated on 7/24/2026

Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF) stock has gained about 45% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Q2 Fiscal 2026 Performance and Optimistic Outlook. Cleveland-Cliffs reported significantly improved results for fiscal Q2 2026 (ending June 30, 2026), with adjusted EBITDA tripling to $286 million, a $191 million increase from fiscal Q1 2026. The company also returned to positive free cash flow of $73 million after two years of cash burn. Management provided an exceptionally strong outlook for fiscal Q3 2026, guiding adjusted EBITDA to approximately $575 million, which more than doubles the Q2 level. Furthermore, Cleveland-Cliffs projected an ambitious $3.3 billion in adjusted EBITDA for fiscal 2027, fueling substantial investor optimism.

2. Favorable Steel Pricing and Robust Domestic Demand. The company benefited from a strengthening domestic steel market and improved pricing trends. Average selling prices increased by $76 per ton to $1,124 per ton in fiscal Q2 2026, marking the highest quarterly average since fiscal Q2 2022. This rise was driven by solid demand across key sectors like automotive and distributors. The broader steel industry outlook projected a 3.4% recovery in apparent steel consumption for fiscal 2026, while U.S. Section 232 tariffs continued to reduce flat-rolled steel imports by 57% from 2024 levels, further supporting domestic pricing.

3. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Upgraded Price Targets. Analyst firms demonstrated increased confidence in Cleveland-Cliffs' financial trajectory. On July 24, 2026, GLJ Research upgraded the stock to a "Buy" rating and raised its price target to $15.60 from $15.01, implying a 33.6% upside. This upgrade was based on expectations of higher prices, reduced costs, and enhanced production volumes. Additionally, on July 13, 2026, Cleveland-Cliffs was upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), reflecting a significant 37.4% increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal year 2026 earnings per share over the preceding three months.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 45.0% change in CLF stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/27/2026 was primarily driven by a 46.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120267272026Change
Stock Price ($)8.4512.2545.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)18,61019,1953.1%
P/S Multiple0.20.446.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)547571-4.2%
Cumulative Contribution45.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 7/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CLF45.0% 
Market (SPY)13.6%37.1%
Sector (XLB)2.8%49.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -7.8% change in CLF stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/27/2026 was primarily driven by a -13.3% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)123120257272026Change
Stock Price ($)13.2812.25-7.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)18,62219,1953.1%
P/S Multiple0.40.43.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)495571-13.3%
Cumulative Contribution-7.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 7/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CLF-7.8% 
Market (SPY)8.7%37.9%
Sector (XLB)13.8%46.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 61.2% change in CLF stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/27/2026 was primarily driven by a 80.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020257272026Change
Stock Price ($)7.6012.2561.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)18,61519,1953.1%
P/S Multiple0.20.480.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)495571-13.3%
Cumulative Contribution61.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 7/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CLF61.2% 
Market (SPY)20.6%39.9%
Sector (XLB)18.7%46.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -26.9% change in CLF stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/27/2026 was primarily driven by a -14.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)63020237272026Change
Stock Price ($)16.7612.25-26.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)22,32919,195-14.0%
P/S Multiple0.40.4-5.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)515571-9.8%
Cumulative Contribution-26.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2023 to 7/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CLF-26.9% 
Market (SPY)72.6%44.4%
Sector (XLB)30.9%49.8%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
CLF Return50%-26%27%-54%41%-10%-18%
Peers Return77%35%25%-9%36%36%402%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%8%97%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CLF Win Rate58%42%58%33%83%57% 
Peers Win Rate62%50%50%58%65%61% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%43% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CLF Max Drawdown-28%-64%-39%-60%-51%-48% 
Peers Max Drawdown-21%-31%-26%-28%-24%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: NUE, STLD, RS, CMC. See CLF Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/27/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventCLFS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-50.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven103.3%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven108 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-18.5%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven22.7%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven432 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-21.0%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.6%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven74 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-31.0%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven44.9%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven201 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-39.8%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven66.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven128 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-59.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven147.6%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven198 days140 days

Compare to NUE, STLD, RS, CMC

In The Past

Cleveland-Cliffs's stock fell -50.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 103.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

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EventCLFS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-50.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven103.3%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven108 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-21.0%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.6%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven74 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-31.0%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven44.9%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven201 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-39.8%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven66.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven128 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-59.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven147.6%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven198 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-39.9%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven66.3%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven709 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-66.4%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven197.6%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven91 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-91.5%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven1079.3%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven1794 days15 days
2013 Taper Tantrum
  % Loss-22.3%-0.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.8%0.2%
  Time to Breakeven28 days1 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-38.9%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven63.7%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven150 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-76.7%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven328.8%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven312 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-29.2%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven41.2%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven36 days47 days

Compare to NUE, STLD, RS, CMC

In The Past

Cleveland-Cliffs's stock fell -50.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 103.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF)

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) is a leading North American flat-rolled steel producer, operating as a vertically integrated company. Originating in 1847 and headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio, CLF not only manufactures steel but also owns and operates five iron ore mines in Minnesota and Michigan, providing a significant portion of its raw material needs. This integration allows the company to control its supply chain from raw materials to finished steel products.

The company offers a comprehensive range of carbon and specialty steel products. Its primary offerings include various flat-rolled carbon steel products such as hot-rolled, cold-rolled, electrogalvanized, hot-dip galvanized, and advanced high-strength steels. CLF also produces stainless steel, steel plates, and electrical steel products like grain-oriented and non-oriented electrical steel. Beyond flat-rolled products, its portfolio extends to tubular components, tinplate products, and hot-briquetted iron (HBI), along with raw materials and tooling services.

Cleveland-Cliffs serves a broad spectrum of industrial customers and markets. A significant portion of its products goes to the automotive industry for vehicle manufacturing. The company also supplies crucial materials to the infrastructure and manufacturing sectors, supporting construction and various industrial applications. Furthermore, CLF's customer base includes distributors and converters who process and resell steel, as well as other steel producers who utilize CLF's raw materials and HBI.

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  • The Alcoa for steel
  • The Intel of heavy industry materials
  • The Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) of the metals industry

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  • Flat-Rolled Steel Products: Cleveland-Cliffs produces a wide range of carbon steel products such as hot-rolled, cold-rolled, and various galvanized steels, along with stainless steel, plates, and electrical steel products.
  • Tubular Components: The company offers carbon steel, stainless steel, and electric resistance welded tubing.
  • Tinplate Products: They provide electrolytic tin coated and chrome coated sheet, and other tin mill products.
  • Intermediate Steel Forms: This category includes ingots, rolled blooms, and cast blooms, which are semi-finished steel products.
  • Hot-Briquetted Iron (HBI): Cleveland-Cliffs produces hot-briquetted iron, a premium metallic feedstock for steelmaking.
  • Iron Ore: The company owns and operates iron ore mines, providing a key raw material for steel production.
  • Tooling and Sampling: They also offer specialized tooling and sampling services as part of their operations.

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Lourenco Goncalves
Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer

Lourenco Goncalves has served as Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer of Cleveland-Cliffs since August 2014. He spearheaded a significant strategic initiative that transformed Cleveland-Cliffs into a prominent player in the U.S. steel industry. Mr. Goncalves successfully led four major company acquisitions, including AK Steel in March 2020, ArcelorMittal USA in December 2020, Ferrous Processing and Trading Company in November 2021, and Stelco Holdings Inc. in November 2024. Prior to his tenure at Cleveland-Cliffs, he served for over 10 years as Chairman of the Board, President, and Chief Executive Officer of Metals USA Holdings Corp. Before that, he was President and Chief Executive Officer of California Steel Industries, Inc. for five years. Earlier in his career, Mr. Goncalves was employed by Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional (CSN), a major steel and mining company in Brazil, and was a board member of Ascometal SAS from October 2011 to April 2014.

Celso L. Goncalves
Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer

Celso L. Goncalves is the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Cleveland-Cliffs Inc., where he oversees Finance, Accounting, Tax, Treasury, Investor Relations, and Business Development. He joined Cleveland-Cliffs in September 2016 as Assistant Treasurer and progressed through various financial roles, including Senior Vice President of Finance & Treasurer, before assuming his current position in September 2021. Before joining Cleveland-Cliffs, Mr. Goncalves worked in the Industrials Investment Banking group at Deutsche Bank in New York, where he executed capital markets and strategic advisory transactions for corporate and private equity clients globally. He also served in the Leveraged Finance group at Jefferies in New York, structuring and executing High Yield and Leveraged Loan transactions, and was a founding member of Jefferies' Latin America Investment Banking group.

Clifford T. Smith
Executive Vice President, Chief Operating Officer

Clifford T. Smith holds the position of Executive Vice President, Chief Operating Officer at Cleveland-Cliffs. He is responsible for the executive leadership of the Steelmaking business' operations and commercial sales, and he also oversees the company's Research and Innovation Center and technology group. Mr. Smith played a crucial role in the company's acquisitions of AK Steel and ArcelorMittal USA in 2020.

James D. Graham
Executive Vice President, Chief Legal and Administrative Officer & Secretary

James D. Graham serves as Executive Vice President, Chief Legal and Administrative Officer & Secretary for Cleveland-Cliffs. His executive responsibilities encompass Legal, Risk Management, Compliance, Government Relations, Human Resources & Labor Relations, Benefits, Corporate Communications, and Strategic Partnerships.

Paul Finan
Executive Vice President, Strategic Development

Paul Finan is the Executive Vice President, Strategic Development of Cleveland-Cliffs. In this role, he is responsible for the company's strategic planning, budgeting, forecasting, corporate financial analysis, and investor relations functions. Mr. Finan began his career with Cleveland-Cliffs in 2010 within the Financial Development Program, and his previous roles include Senior Vice President of Finance from 2021 to 2025 and head of investor relations from 2014 to 2021.

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Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) faces several key risks inherent to the steel industry and its operational model.

Key Risks to Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF)

  1. Economic Downturns and Cyclical Demand: The demand for steel is highly cyclical and closely tied to the overall health of the economy, particularly in key end-markets such as automotive, infrastructure, and manufacturing. A slowdown in these sectors, or a broader economic recession, directly translates to decreased demand for Cleveland-Cliffs' products, leading to lower sales, reduced capacity utilization, and negatively impacting profitability and cash flow. For instance, weak demand from the automotive sector negatively affected CLF's performance in 2025.
  2. Volatility in Steel and Raw Material Prices: Cleveland-Cliffs operates in an industry characterized by significant fluctuations in the prices of steel, as well as key raw materials like iron ore. These price volatilities, influenced by global economic activity, supply-demand dynamics, and geopolitical developments, can severely impact the company's revenue, profit margins, and financial stability. Historically, steel prices have experienced substantial swings, with surges and collapses affecting profitability.
  3. Impact of Trade Policies and Import Competition: The steel industry is significantly influenced by international trade policies, including tariffs, quotas, and trade agreements. Changes in these policies can lead to increased import competition, especially from countries with overcapacity like China, which can depress domestic steel prices and reduce market share for North American producers like Cleveland-Cliffs. Trade tensions and the influx of lower-priced imports can create an uneven playing field and hinder the profitability of domestic steelmakers.

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Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. operates in several significant North American markets for its main products and services. Here's an overview of the estimated addressable market sizes:

  • Flat-Rolled Steel Products: The U.S. flat steel market, which holds a commanding 90.0% share in North America, was valued at approximately $50 billion in 2024. Based on this, the estimated addressable market for flat-rolled steel products in North America is approximately $55.55 billion in 2024. This market is projected to grow at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 6.0% from 2025 to 2035.
  • Tubular Components: The North America steel pipes & tubes market generated a revenue of USD 30,788.3 million in 2022 and is expected to reach US$ 36,333.9 million by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 2.1% from 2023 to 2030. More specifically, the North America Welded Steel Tubes Market was valued at US$ 40,096.5 million in 2024 and is expected to reach US$ 59,364.1 million by 2031, registering a CAGR of 6.2% from 2025 to 2031.
  • Tinplate Products: The tinplate market in the U.S. is projected to grow significantly, reaching an estimated value of USD 5,771.4 million by 2032.
  • Iron Ore: The North America Iron Ore Mining Market size was USD 76,619.30 million in 2024 and is expected to expand at a CAGR of 7.2% from 2024 to 2031.

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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF) over the Next 2-3 Years

  • Recovery and Growth in Automotive Demand: Cleveland-Cliffs, as a primary supplier of automotive-grade steel in the U.S., is expected to benefit significantly from a rebound in the North American automotive sector. The company has secured multi-year fixed-price contracts with major automotive original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), and management anticipates improved automotive shipments and higher utilization rates for its steel products in 2026 and beyond.
  • Increased Steel Pricing (Average Selling Prices - ASPs): Management forecasts a reversal in realized steel prices, projecting an improvement of approximately $60 per ton in average selling prices in 2026 compared to 2025. This positive outlook for pricing is attributed to stabilizing market conditions, tightening import conditions, and generally higher spot steel prices.
  • Termination of a Low-Margin Slab Supply Contract: The termination of an index-based slab contract with ArcelorMittal is considered a "game changer" for Cleveland-Cliffs' profitability. This move is expected to generate an estimated $500 million in incremental EBITDA annually, driven by approximately $700 million in revenue benefit at current hot-rolled coil (HRC) spreads, even after accounting for increased conversion costs.
  • Growing Demand for Electrical Steels: Cleveland-Cliffs is the sole North American producer of Grain-Oriented Electrical Steel (GOES) and Non-Oriented Electrical Steel (NOES), crucial for transformers and electric vehicle motors. Demand for these specialized steels is at record levels, propelled by the expansion and modernization of the U.S. electrical grid, the proliferation of data centers, and government initiatives like the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA) and Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). The company's investment in a new electrical transformer production plant, slated for early 2026, is expected to further boost demand for its GOES.
  • Manufacturing Onshoring and Trade Protection: The prevailing "Fortress America" trend, characterized by reshoring initiatives and existing Section 232 tariffs on imported steel, is expected to drive increased domestic steel demand. Cleveland-Cliffs is well-positioned to capitalize on this trend due to its status as an American-owned and operated steel company, potentially benefiting from government-linked infrastructure projects and strategic partnerships designed to attract foreign investment.

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Share Repurchases

  • Cleveland-Cliffs' annual share buybacks totaled $733 million in 2024.
  • In 2023, the company executed $152 million in annual share repurchases.
  • A new $1.5 billion share repurchase program was authorized in April 2024.

Share Issuance

  • In October 2025, Cleveland-Cliffs commenced an underwritten public offering of 75,000,000 common shares, with an option for the underwriter to purchase up to an additional 11,250,000 common shares.
  • The offering of 75 million common shares was priced at approximately $12.85 per share, aiming to generate gross proceeds of $964 million to repay borrowings and for general corporate purposes.
  • Cleveland-Cliffs' shares outstanding increased by 5.77% year-over-year for the quarter ending September 30, 2025, reaching 495 million.

Inbound Investments

  • In March 2024, Cleveland-Cliffs announced that two of its projects were selected for award negotiations for up to $575 million in total funding from the U.S. Department of Energy, aimed at accelerating industrial decarbonization technologies.
  • POSCO, Korea's largest steel manufacturer, was identified as Cleveland-Cliffs' strategic partner under a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) executed on September 17, 2025, with formal agreements anticipated by late 2025 or early 2026 and transaction completion expected in 2026.

Outbound Investments

  • Cleveland-Cliffs completed the acquisition of Stelco Holdings Inc. for C$3.27 billion (approximately $2.5 billion) in November 2024, enhancing its steel production capabilities and diversifying its markets in North America.
  • In October 2025, the company announced its aggressive foray into rare earth mineral production, based on indicators at existing mining sites in Michigan and Minnesota.
  • In 2021, Cleveland-Cliffs acquired a scrap metals business, which serves to diversify its feedstock, particularly for electric arc furnaces.

Capital Expenditures

  • Cleveland-Cliffs reported capital expenditures of $943 million in 2022, $646 million in 2023, and $695 million in 2024.
  • The company expects capital expenditures to be approximately $700 million for full-year 2025 and 2026.
  • Capital expenditures are projected to increase to approximately $900 million in 2027 for the Burns Harbor reline, before returning to around $700 million in 2028.

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Financials

CLFNUESTLDRSCMCMedian
NameClevelan.Nucor Steel Dy.Reliance Commerci. 
Mkt Price12.25247.86250.27404.3568.04247.86
Mkt Cap7.056.736.220.97.520.9
Rev LTM19,19534,16019,01214,8368,38719,012
Op Inc LTM-7973,4581,8811,0977041,097
FCF LTM-857532665612394532
FCF 3Y Avg-3081,689614837493614
CFO LTM-2513,7561,445918840918
CFO 3Y Avg3224,6682,0761,2339231,233

Growth & Margins

CLFNUESTLDRSCMCMedian
NameClevelan.Nucor Steel Dy.Reliance Commerci. 
Rev Chg LTM4.0%12.3%10.4%8.5%8.4%8.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-4.2%-4.2%-3.6%-3.1%-2.6%-3.6%
Rev Chg Q5.9%21.3%19.1%15.5%21.5%19.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.5%5.1%4.6%3.8%4.7%4.6%
Op Inc Chg LTM50.1%62.7%18.2%6.0%38.9%38.9%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-117.0%-12.5%-21.7%-19.8%-12.9%-19.8%
Op Mgn LTM-4.2%10.1%9.9%7.4%8.4%8.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-3.4%11.4%12.4%8.7%8.7%8.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.8%1.9%1.1%0.4%0.9%1.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-1.3%11.0%7.6%6.2%10.0%7.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg1.3%14.1%11.3%8.6%11.3%11.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-4.5%1.6%3.5%4.1%4.7%3.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-1.9%5.0%3.3%5.9%6.0%5.0%

Valuation

CLFNUESTLDRSCMCMedian
NameClevelan.Nucor Steel Dy.Reliance Commerci. 
Mkt Cap7.056.736.220.97.520.9
P/S0.41.71.91.40.91.4
P/Op Inc-8.816.419.319.010.716.4
P/EBIT-11.716.019.917.011.016.0
P/E-8.024.326.425.914.924.3
P/CFO-27.915.125.122.79.015.1
Total Yield-12.5%5.0%4.6%5.1%7.8%5.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.9%0.8%1.2%1.1%0.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-12.0%4.4%2.6%4.9%7.9%4.4%
D/E1.10.10.10.10.40.1
Net D/E1.10.10.10.10.40.1

Returns

CLFNUESTLDRSCMCMedian
NameClevelan.Nucor Steel Dy.Reliance Commerci. 
1M Rtn23.1%3.6%2.2%4.8%-1.4%3.6%
3M Rtn15.5%15.6%11.5%12.4%-1.8%12.4%
6M Rtn-12.6%40.3%45.2%24.8%-10.0%24.8%
12M Rtn7.1%72.2%93.6%34.2%29.1%34.2%
3Y Rtn-28.4%53.2%151.4%46.2%25.9%46.2%
1M Excs Rtn13.1%-0.9%-0.8%-1.1%-8.6%-0.9%
3M Excs Rtn22.0%12.5%7.1%11.9%-4.8%11.9%
6M Excs Rtn-26.0%30.1%31.6%16.3%-18.9%16.3%
12M Excs Rtn-4.2%61.1%83.2%19.9%16.1%19.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-89.2%-7.6%92.0%-15.3%-36.2%-15.3%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Steelmaking18,06318,62021,41322,46219,901
Other Businesses657656665606543
Eliminations-110-91-82-79 
Total18,61019,18521,99622,98920,444


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20152014201320001998
U.S. Iron Ore227710902  
Asia Pacific Iron Ore9122367  
Other operating expense-85-9,897-478  
Eastern Canadian Iron Ore -245-103  
North American Coal -136-14  
Other  -2  
Ferrous metallics   -16 
Iron Ore   4677
Ferrous Metallics    -6
Total151-9,4456713071


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Steelmaking19,41620,32716,88017,91818,326
Other Businesses596620657837306
Eliminations0000 
Intersegment eliminations    343
Total20,01220,94717,53718,75518,975


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$12.25 
Market Cap ($ Bil)7.0 
First Trading Date11/05/1987 
Distance from 52W High-24.3% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$11.21$11.50
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA9.3%6.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility72.0%68.7%
Downside Capture250.91283.30
Upside Capture282.56240.74
Correlation (SPY)32.6%41.1%
CLF Betas & Captures as of 6/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.962.712.532.232.451.84
Up Beta-0.08-0.320.190.820.931.40
Down Beta1.082.622.602.422.791.87
Up Capture68%334%387%259%634%840%
Bmk +ve Days11244067140429
Stock +ve Days7213665141372
Down Capture380%360%391%230%181%112%
Bmk -ve Days10172358112321
Stock -ve Days14202758107373

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CLF
CLF12.3%68.6%0.45-
Sector ETF (XLB)14.3%17.7%0.6044.9%
Equity (SPY)17.6%12.7%1.0041.1%
Gold (GLD)20.8%28.1%0.6628.6%
Commodities (DBC)29.6%19.5%1.211.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.9%14.1%0.6920.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-46.0%43.0%-1.3125.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CLF
CLF-8.1%59.6%0.09-
Sector ETF (XLB)7.3%19.0%0.2755.9%
Equity (SPY)13.2%17.1%0.5946.9%
Gold (GLD)17.2%18.4%0.7518.6%
Commodities (DBC)9.7%19.5%0.3818.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.3%18.9%0.0731.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)15.8%53.5%0.4722.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CLF
CLF6.2%62.1%0.36-
Sector ETF (XLB)9.9%20.6%0.4254.8%
Equity (SPY)14.9%17.9%0.7147.3%
Gold (GLD)11.4%16.1%0.5811.4%
Commodities (DBC)6.9%18.0%0.3025.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.2%20.7%0.2134.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)58.0%66.2%0.9815.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity83.6 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 63020262.1%
Average Daily Volume18.6 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.5 days
Basic Shares Quantity571.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares14.6%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 7/28/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/23/202616.0%  
4/20/2026-2.1%-1.8%7.2%
2/9/2026-16.4%-29.5%-35.2%
10/20/202521.5%-1.4%-17.6%
7/21/202512.4%20.7%11.6%
5/7/2025-15.8%-11.2%-10.5%
2/24/2025-3.2%-9.5%-15.7%
11/4/2024-11.4%-4.5%-5.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive11912
# Negative141512
Median Positive6.6%7.6%8.4%
Median Negative-8.4%-7.2%-13.9%
Max Positive21.5%20.7%19.9%
Max Negative-16.4%-29.5%-35.2%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/23/202616.0%  
4/20/2026-2.1%-1.8%7.2%
2/9/2026-16.4%-29.5%-35.2%
10/20/202521.5%-1.4%-17.6%
7/21/202512.4%20.7%11.6%
5/7/2025-15.8%-11.2%-10.5%
2/24/2025-3.2%-9.5%-15.7%
11/4/2024-11.4%-4.5%-5.1%
7/22/20244.4%0.3%-18.5%
4/22/2024-11.0%-13.4%-16.0%
1/29/20246.6%5.3%7.5%
10/23/20238.9%12.6%17.5%
7/24/20236.5%6.9%-9.0%
4/24/2023-5.8%-6.2%-8.9%
2/13/20231.5%-1.3%-12.2%
10/25/2022-7.9%-16.4%0.4%
7/22/2022-8.9%-1.1%3.8%
4/22/2022-2.1%-7.2%-26.3%
2/11/2022-9.7%-8.4%19.9%
10/22/202112.7%15.5%3.7%
7/22/2021-0.5%11.2%9.4%
4/22/20210.2%7.6%8.0%
2/25/2021-14.7%-15.2%-10.2%
10/23/20204.8%0.4%11.6%
7/30/2020-2.4%-2.4%8.8%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive11912
# Negative141512
Median Positive6.6%7.6%8.4%
Median Negative-8.4%-7.2%-13.9%
Max Positive21.5%20.7%19.9%
Max Negative-16.4%-29.5%-35.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/23/202610-Q
03/31/202604/21/202610-Q
12/31/202502/09/202610-K
09/30/202510/22/202510-Q
06/30/202507/23/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/25/202510-K
09/30/202411/05/202410-Q
06/30/202407/24/202410-Q
03/31/202404/25/202410-Q
12/31/202302/08/202410-K
09/30/202310/25/202310-Q
06/30/202307/26/202310-Q
03/31/202304/26/202310-Q
12/31/202202/14/202310-K
09/30/202210/26/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/23/202610-Q
03/31/202604/21/202610-Q
12/31/202502/09/202610-K
09/30/202510/22/202510-Q
06/30/202507/23/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/25/202510-K
09/30/202411/05/202410-Q
06/30/202407/24/202410-Q
03/31/202404/25/202410-Q
12/31/202302/08/202410-K
09/30/202310/25/202310-Q
06/30/202307/26/202310-Q
03/31/202304/26/202310-Q
12/31/202202/14/202310-K
09/30/202210/26/202210-Q
06/30/202207/26/202210-Q
03/31/202204/26/202210-Q
12/31/202102/11/202210-K
09/30/202110/26/202110-Q
06/30/202107/28/202110-Q
03/31/202104/28/202110-Q
12/31/202002/26/202110-K
09/30/202010/23/202010-Q
06/30/202007/30/202010-Q
03/31/202005/11/202010-Q
12/31/201902/20/202010-K
09/30/201910/23/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/27/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 7/23/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q3 2026 Adjusted EBITDA 575.00 Mil    
2026 Steel shipment volumes16.50 Mil16.75 Mil17.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 16.75 Mil for 2026
2026 Capital expenditures 700.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 700.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Selling, general and administrative expenses 575.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 575.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Depreciation, depletion and amortization 1.10 Bil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.10 Bil for 2026
2026 Cash Pension and OPEB payments and contributions 125.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 125.00 Mil for 2026

Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/20/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Steel shipment volumes16.50 Mil16.75 Mil17.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 16.75 Mil for 2026
2026 Capital expenditures 700.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 700.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Selling, general and administrative expenses 575.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 575.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Depreciation, depletion and amortization 1.10 Bil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.10 Bil for 2026
2026 Cash Pension and OPEB payments and contributions 125.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 125.00 Mil for 2026

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/9/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Steel shipment volumes16.50 Mil16.75 Mil17.00 Mil   
2026 Steel unit cost reductions 10 -80.0% Lower NewActual: 50 for 2025
2026 Capital Expenditures 700.00 Mil 33.3% Higher NewActual: 525.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Selling, general and administrative expenses 575.00 Mil 4.5% Higher NewActual: 550.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Depreciation, depletion and amortization 1.10 Bil -8.3% Lower NewActual: 1.20 Bil for 2025
2026 Cash Pension and OPEB payments and contributions 125.00 Mil -16.7% Lower NewActual: 150.00 Mil for 2025

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/20/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 Capital Expenditures 525.00 Mil -12.5% LoweredGuidance: 600.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Selling, general and administrative expenses 550.00 Mil -4.3% LoweredGuidance: 575.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Steel unit cost reductions 50 0 AffirmedGuidance: 50 for 2025
2025 Depreciation, depletion and amortization 1.20 Bil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.20 Bil for 2025
2025 Cash Pension and OPEB payments and contributions 150.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 150.00 Mil for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 7/2/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Goncalves, Celso L JREVP, CFODirectSell605202613.41214,3082,874,6422,475,367Form
2Smith, Clifford TEVP & Chief Operating OfficerDirectSell218202610.46200,0002,092,0805,863,358Form
3Camara, Edilson DirectBuy213202610.1319,700199,626425,426Form
4Goncalves, LourencoChairman, President & CEO2025 grantor retained annuity trustSell211202612.423,000,000  Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Goncalves, Celso L JREVP, CFODirectSell605202613.41214,3082,874,6422,475,367Form
2Smith, Clifford TEVP & Chief Operating OfficerDirectSell218202610.46200,0002,092,0805,863,358Form
3Camara, Edilson DirectBuy213202610.1319,700199,626425,426Form
4Goncalves, LourencoChairman, President & CEO2025 grantor retained annuity trustSell211202612.423,000,000  Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Jul 28, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Turiya Advisors Asia Ltd$64.7 Mil13.0%5ADD +5.6%13F
Fairfax Financial Holdings LTD/ Can$125.7 Mil6.5%29Hold13F
Maple Rock Capital Partners Inc.$175.3 Mil5.7%44ADD +67.9%13F
Kinetic Partners Management, LP$44.3 Mil2.5%49New13F
Slate Path Capital LP$162.6 Mil2.4%44TRIM -14.2%13F
Masters Capital Management LLC$10.1 Mil1.5%44ADD +20.0%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Kinetic Partners Management, LP$44.3 Mil2.5%49New13F
Maple Rock Capital Partners Inc.$175.3 Mil5.7%44ADD +67.9%13F
Masters Capital Management LLC$10.1 Mil1.5%44ADD +20.0%13F
Turiya Advisors Asia Ltd$64.7 Mil13.0%5ADD +5.6%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Slate Path Capital LP$162.6 Mil2.4%44TRIM -14.2%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Maple Rock Capital Partners Inc.$175.3 Mil5.7%44ADD +67.9%13F
Slate Path Capital LP$162.6 Mil2.4%44TRIM -14.2%13F
Fairfax Financial Holdings LTD/ Can$125.7 Mil6.5%29Hold13F
Turiya Advisors Asia Ltd$64.7 Mil13.0%5ADD +5.6%13F
Kinetic Partners Management, LP$44.3 Mil2.5%49New13F
Masters Capital Management LLC$10.1 Mil1.5%44ADD +20.0%13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 7/27/2026