Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.3%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -10%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%, CFO LTM is 3.1 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -52%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -58%
Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.2%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, Sustainable Resource Management, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Advanced Recycling Technologies, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%, CFO LTM is 3.1 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, Sustainable Resource Management, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Advanced Recycling Technologies, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.3%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -52%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -58%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -10%
7 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.2%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NUE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Nucor reported stronger-than-expected financial results for the third quarter of 2025 on October 27, 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) of $2.63 significantly beating analyst forecasts of $2.22 to $2.30, and revenue of $8.52 billion exceeding expectations. After this announcement, Nucor's stock saw a notable surge in after-hours trading.

2. The company announced an increase in its quarterly cash dividend on December 1, 2025, raising it to $0.56 per share from the previous $0.55. This dividend increase contributed to the stock reaching a new 52-week high.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NUE Return-2%118%17%34%-32%41%223%
Peers Return7%51%17%34%23%47%356%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NUE Win Rate50%67%50%50%50%60% 
Peers Win Rate50%57%52%55%53%68% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NUE Max Drawdown-50%-8%-18%-1%-33%-11% 
Peers Max Drawdown-56%-9%-23%-9%-24%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: STLD, CLF, NWPX, NUE, CRS. See NUE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNUES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-41.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven69.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven129 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-49.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven98.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven246 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-33.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven50.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven568 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-68.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven221.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4543 days1480 days

Compare to STLD, CLF, NWPX, NUE, CRS


In The Past

Nucor's stock fell -41.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/21/2022. A -41.1% loss requires a 69.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Nucor (NUE)

Better Bets than Nucor (NUE)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NUE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.0%1.0%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
29.7%29.7%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.9%9.9%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.2%5.2%-2.5%
NUE_11302022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11302022NUENucorQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-11.3%14.9%-12.3%
NUE_4302022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%04302022NUENucorQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-12.6%-2.7%-32.9%
NUE_6302021_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%06302021NUENucorQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
20.2%10.6%-6.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.0%1.0%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
29.7%29.7%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.9%9.9%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.2%5.2%-2.5%
NUE_11302022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11302022NUENucorQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-11.3%14.9%-12.3%
NUE_4302022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%04302022NUENucorQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-12.6%-2.7%-32.9%
NUE_6302021_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%06302021NUENucorQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
20.2%10.6%-6.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Nucor

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NUESTLDCLFNWPXCRSMedian
NameNucor Steel Dy.Clevelan.NWPX Inf.Carpente. 
Mkt Price162.54168.1112.7560.09314.74162.54
Mkt Cap37.524.76.30.615.815.8
Rev LTM30,80617,63518,6225202,89317,635
Op Inc LTM2,1431,519-1,53948561561
FCF LTM-385311-1,5474826948
FCF 3Y Avg3,1151,01814122162162
CFO LTM3,1301,524-92167439439
CFO 3Y Avg5,8422,56280444282804

Growth & Margins

NUESTLDCLFNWPXCRSMedian
NameNucor Steel Dy.Clevelan.NWPX Inf.Carpente. 
Rev Chg LTM-5.8%-1.5%-6.8%7.6%2.4%-1.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.4%-8.0%-7.2%4.8%14.6%-7.2%
Rev Chg Q4.7%11.2%3.6%16.0%2.2%4.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.2%2.8%0.9%4.2%0.6%1.2%
Op Mgn LTM7.0%8.6%-8.3%9.3%19.4%8.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg13.9%13.7%-1.9%9.0%13.6%13.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.0%0.5%0.3%0.3%1.1%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM10.2%8.6%-4.9%13.0%15.2%10.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg17.0%13.8%3.6%9.0%9.9%9.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-1.2%1.8%-8.3%9.3%9.3%1.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.7%5.4%0.3%4.4%5.7%5.4%

Valuation

NUESTLDCLFNWPXCRSMedian
NameNucor Steel Dy.Clevelan.NWPX Inf.Carpente. 
Mkt Cap37.524.76.30.615.815.8
P/S1.01.20.31.04.31.0
P/EBIT13.713.8-3.910.621.513.7
P/E23.118.2-3.614.029.718.2
P/CFO9.513.4-6.67.628.09.5
Total Yield6.1%6.9%-27.7%7.2%3.7%6.1%
Dividend Yield1.7%1.4%0.0%0.0%0.3%0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.7%5.6%0.5%4.9%1.7%4.9%
D/E0.20.21.30.30.10.2
Net D/E0.10.11.30.30.00.1

Returns

NUESTLDCLFNWPXCRSMedian
NameNucor Steel Dy.Clevelan.NWPX Inf.Carpente. 
1M Rtn12.6%10.9%19.4%-5.6%2.7%10.9%
3M Rtn12.6%28.9%21.2%15.1%31.1%21.2%
6M Rtn38.0%28.2%79.6%52.7%27.6%38.0%
12M Rtn10.8%20.8%2.5%6.8%62.5%10.8%
3Y Rtn12.5%64.7%-19.2%64.2%679.6%64.2%
1M Excs Rtn11.4%9.6%18.1%-6.9%1.4%9.6%
3M Excs Rtn5.0%19.5%6.1%9.4%21.5%9.4%
6M Excs Rtn22.6%12.8%64.1%37.3%12.2%22.6%
12M Excs Rtn-7.6%4.5%-14.0%-7.2%48.8%-7.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-57.7%-2.0%-89.0%-10.4%633.8%-10.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Steel mills24,90530,04930,44312,10913,934
Raw materials14,22615,97718,3731,4071,665
Steel products13,21515,60710,0886,6236,990
Elimination of intercompany sales-17,632-20,121   
Corporate/eliminations  -22,420  
Total34,71441,51236,48420,14022,589


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Steel mills15,40714,15713,2359,7089,283
Steel products10,91512,0877,8454,4614,611
Corporate/eliminations5,4712,8528722,6321,134
Raw materials3,5473,3833,8713,3243,316
Total35,34032,47925,82320,12518,345


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,131,305
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-3.6%
Average Daily Volume1,383,493
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.99
Basic Shares Quantity230,600,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025813202510-Q 7/5/2025
3312025514202510-Q 4/5/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023510202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022810202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022511202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211110202110-Q 10/2/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Hollatz John JExecutive Vice President11142025Sell149.865,000749,30014,768,761Form
1Behr Allen CExecutive Vice President11032025Sell151.289,0421,367,90211,143,689Form