Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.0%, Dist 3Y High is -1.0%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 42x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 76x
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Advanced Recycling Technologies, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -2.3%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -33%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.3%
0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Advanced Recycling Technologies, Show more.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.0%, Dist 3Y High is -1.0%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -2.3%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -33%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 42x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 76x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.3%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CMC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points highlighting the reasons for Commercial Metals (CMC) stock movement by 13.4% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025:

1. Strong Fiscal Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Outperformance: Commercial Metals reported robust financial results for its fiscal fourth quarter ended August 31, 2025, announced on October 16, 2025. The company's adjusted earnings per diluted share of $1.37 surpassed analyst consensus estimates, and its reported revenue of $2.11 billion also exceeded expectations. This positive earnings beat, coupled with expanding North American steel product metal margins and the Emerging Businesses Group achieving its best-ever quarterly results, likely contributed to investor confidence.

2. Strategic Expansion through Acquisitions: CMC made significant moves to expand its business through acquisitions during this period. The company successfully completed the acquisition of Concrete Pipe & Precast, LLC (CP&P) for $675 million on December 1, 2025. This acquisition, along with the anticipated closing of the Foley Products Company acquisition by the end of calendar year 2025, is expected to establish CMC as a major player in the precast concrete platform across the Mid-Atlantic and Southeastern United States, broadening its commercial portfolio and creating additional value.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CMC Return-5%80%35%5%0%33%223%
Peers Return-6%62%34%39%21%44%392%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CMC Win Rate58%50%50%42%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate53%58%50%53%58%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CMC Max Drawdown-48%-4%-9%-16%-4%-20% 
Peers Max Drawdown-52%-5%-13%-5%-13%-10% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NUE, STLD, CRS, RS, CMC. See CMC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCMCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-30.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven44.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven150 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-50.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven101.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven208 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-48.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven95.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven635 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-83.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven522.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4851 days1480 days

Compare to NUE, STLD, CRS, RS, CMC


In The Past

Commercial Metals's stock fell -30.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/1/2023. A -30.8% loss requires a 44.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Commercial Metals (CMC)

Better Bets than Commercial Metals (CMC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CMC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.0%1.0%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
29.7%29.7%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.9%9.9%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.2%5.2%-2.5%
CMC_3312020_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield03312020CMCCommercial MetalsDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
28.6%101.1%-8.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.0%1.0%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
29.7%29.7%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.9%9.9%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.2%5.2%-2.5%
CMC_3312020_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield03312020CMCCommercial MetalsDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
28.6%101.1%-8.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Commercial Metals

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CMCNUESTLDCRSRSMedian
NameCommerci.Nucor Steel Dy.Carpente.Reliance  
Mkt Price65.23162.54168.11314.74288.09168.11
Mkt Cap7.337.524.715.815.115.8
Rev LTM7,79830,80617,6352,89313,92213,922
Op Inc LTM5202,1431,519561982982
FCF LTM312-385311269662311
FCF 3Y Avg5423,1151,0181621,0731,018
CFO LTM7153,1301,5244391,0291,029
CFO 3Y Avg9865,8422,5622821,4881,488

Growth & Margins

CMCNUESTLDCRSRSMedian
NameCommerci.Nucor Steel Dy.Carpente.Reliance  
Rev Chg LTM-1.6%-5.8%-1.5%2.4%-0.9%-1.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-4.3%-10.4%-8.0%14.6%-7.0%-7.0%
Rev Chg Q5.9%4.7%11.2%2.2%6.8%5.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.5%1.2%2.8%0.6%1.7%1.5%
Op Mgn LTM6.7%7.0%8.6%19.4%7.1%7.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.5%13.9%13.7%13.6%9.6%13.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.7%-0.0%0.5%1.1%-0.2%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM9.2%10.2%8.6%15.2%7.4%9.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.9%17.0%13.8%9.9%10.3%11.9%
FCF/Rev LTM4.0%-1.2%1.8%9.3%4.8%4.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg6.5%8.7%5.4%5.7%7.4%6.5%

Valuation

CMCNUESTLDCRSRSMedian
NameCommerci.Nucor Steel Dy.Carpente.Reliance  
Mkt Cap7.337.524.715.815.115.8
P/S0.81.01.24.31.11.1
P/EBIT41.813.713.821.513.413.8
P/E75.523.118.229.720.223.1
P/CFO8.99.513.428.014.313.4
Total Yield2.6%6.1%6.9%3.7%6.7%6.1%
Dividend Yield1.3%1.7%1.4%0.3%1.7%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg8.9%7.7%5.6%1.7%7.0%7.0%
D/E0.20.20.20.10.10.2
Net D/E0.00.10.10.00.10.1

Returns

CMCNUESTLDCRSRSMedian
NameCommerci.Nucor Steel Dy.Carpente.Reliance  
1M Rtn15.4%12.6%10.9%2.7%4.9%10.9%
3M Rtn12.4%12.6%28.9%31.1%-1.9%12.6%
6M Rtn34.2%38.0%28.2%27.6%-5.4%28.2%
12M Rtn6.4%10.8%20.8%62.5%-5.7%10.8%
3Y Rtn38.0%12.5%64.7%679.6%44.6%44.6%
1M Excs Rtn14.1%11.4%9.6%1.4%3.7%9.6%
3M Excs Rtn4.7%5.0%19.5%21.5%-9.0%5.0%
6M Excs Rtn18.7%22.6%12.8%12.2%-20.8%12.8%
12M Excs Rtn-8.9%-7.6%4.5%48.8%-21.8%-7.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-32.9%-57.7%-2.0%633.8%-29.0%-29.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
North America Steel Group4,2204,167   
Corporate and Other1,060671   
Emerging Businesses Group861874   
Europe Steel Group678927   
Total6,8186,639   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,324,754
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120251.8%
Average Daily Volume896,511
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.82
Basic Shares Quantity111,663,674
Short % of Basic Shares3.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
83120251016202510-K 8/31/2025
5312025624202510-Q 5/31/2025
2282025325202510-Q 2/28/2025
11302024106202510-Q 11/30/2024
83120241017202410-K 8/31/2024
5312024625202410-Q 5/31/2024
2292024326202410-Q 2/29/2024
11302023108202410-Q 11/30/2023
83120231012202310-K 8/31/2023
5312023622202310-Q 5/31/2023
2282023323202310-Q 2/28/2023
11302022109202310-Q 11/30/2022
83120221013202210-K 8/31/2022
5312022622202210-Q 5/31/2022
2282022323202210-Q 2/28/2022
11302021110202210-Q 11/30/2021