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Salesforce (CRM)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $258.22 | Market Cap: $244.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

Salesforce (CRM)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $258.22
Market Cap: $244.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, CFO LTM is 14 Bil, FCF LTM is 13 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -42%
Key risks
CRM key risks include [1] intense competition from rival AI offerings hampering product demand and [2] significant cybersecurity threats targeting its vast repository of sensitive customer data.
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.3%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, Artificial Intelligence, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Digital Advertising. Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, CFO LTM is 14 Bil, FCF LTM is 13 Bil
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.3%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, Artificial Intelligence, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Digital Advertising. Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -42%
5 Key risks
CRM key risks include [1] intense competition from rival AI offerings hampering product demand and [2] significant cybersecurity threats targeting its vast repository of sensitive customer data.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CRM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining Salesforce's (CRM) stock movement by 0.8% from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:

1. Strong Q2 Fiscal 2026 Earnings and Raised Guidance (Reported September 3, 2025). Salesforce reported robust Q2 FY26 results, with revenue increasing 10% year-over-year to $10.24 billion. The company saw significant growth in its Agentforce and Data Cloud (Data 360) Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR), which surged by 120% year-over-year. Furthermore, Salesforce raised the lower end of its full-year fiscal 2026 revenue guidance, signaling continued positive momentum.

2. Focus on AI Innovation at Dreamforce 2025 (October 15, 2025). At its annual Dreamforce conference, Salesforce unveiled Agentforce 360, its pioneering AI platform, and extensively highlighted its vision for an "Agentic Enterprise." This strategic focus emphasized how artificial intelligence (AI) agents and human collaboration would drive customer success, showcasing major product reveals and partnerships, including those with OpenAI and Stripe, to enhance AI solutions.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CRM Return37%14%-48%98%28%-23%58%
Peers Return73%37%-34%70%24%-13%185%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CRM Win Rate58%58%33%50%67%42% 
Peers Win Rate70%60%30%67%58%37% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CRM Max Drawdown-24%-8%-50%0%-17%-32% 
Peers Max Drawdown-20%-11%-45%-5%-13%-30% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MSFT, ORCL, ADBE, NOW, HUBS. See CRM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCRMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-58.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven141.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven441 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-35.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven55.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven112 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven84 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-70.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven238.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven405 days1,480 days

Compare to MSFT, ORCL, IBM, INTU, ADBE


In The Past

Salesforce's stock fell -58.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/8/2021. A -58.6% loss requires a 141.6% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Salesforce (CRM)

Better Bets than Salesforce (CRM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CRM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Salesforce

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CRMMSFTORCLADBENOWHUBSMedian
NameSalesfor.MicrosoftOracle Adobe ServiceN.HubSpot  
Mkt Price257.72476.12178.46354.66156.48387.58306.19
Mkt Cap244.33,539.0805.5150.032.520.4197.2
Rev LTM40,317293,81261,01723,18112,6672,98831,749
Op Inc LTM8,880135,93719,4908,4021,755-478,641
FCF LTM12,89578,017-13,1819,5993,9055306,752
FCF 3Y Avg11,19471,3022,1557,9253,2093885,567
CFO LTM13,502147,03922,2969,7924,84170711,647
CFO 3Y Avg11,882121,38419,8748,1854,01151810,033

Growth & Margins

CRMMSFTORCLADBENOWHUBSMedian
NameSalesfor.MicrosoftOracle Adobe ServiceN.HubSpot  
Rev Chg LTM8.4%15.6%11.1%10.7%21.1%19.2%13.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.0%13.2%9.8%10.5%22.3%22.4%11.8%
Rev Chg Q8.6%18.4%14.2%10.7%21.8%20.9%16.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.1%4.3%3.4%2.6%5.1%4.9%3.8%
Op Mgn LTM22.0%46.3%31.9%36.2%13.9%-1.6%27.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg19.2%44.6%30.8%35.4%11.2%-3.0%25.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.8%0.6%0.3%-0.1%0.6%0.8%0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM33.5%50.0%36.5%42.2%38.2%23.7%37.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg31.8%47.2%35.5%39.0%37.9%20.1%36.7%
FCF/Rev LTM32.0%26.6%-21.6%41.4%30.8%17.7%28.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg30.0%28.0%5.1%37.7%30.3%15.1%29.0%

Valuation

CRMMSFTORCLADBENOWHUBSMedian
NameSalesfor.MicrosoftOracle Adobe ServiceN.HubSpot  
Mkt Cap244.33,539.0805.5150.032.520.4197.2
P/S6.113.113.27.115.18.210.7
P/EBIT27.529.6-18.886.61,085.629.6
P/E33.836.752.223.5110.4-6,954.435.3
P/CFO18.126.236.116.739.534.730.5
Total Yield3.4%3.4%2.6%4.3%0.9%-0.0%3.0%
Dividend Yield0.5%0.6%0.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.9%2.3%-4.0%2.0%1.5%2.3%
D/E0.00.0-0.00.00.00.0
Net D/E-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0

Returns

CRMMSFTORCLADBENOWHUBSMedian
NameSalesfor.MicrosoftOracle Adobe ServiceN.HubSpot  
1M Rtn8.7%-6.2%-18.8%9.1%-81.3%5.0%-0.6%
3M Rtn6.4%-6.5%-40.7%-2.0%-83.5%-23.6%-15.0%
6M Rtn-0.5%-0.5%-15.0%-6.2%-84.1%-28.8%-10.6%
12M Rtn-26.1%5.5%6.2%-22.1%-86.0%-47.7%-24.1%
3Y Rtn103.0%99.2%132.7%4.8%-60.3%31.2%65.2%
1M Excs Rtn8.0%-6.9%-19.6%8.4%-82.0%4.3%-1.3%
3M Excs Rtn4.2%-7.5%-41.1%-4.8%-84.8%-25.8%-16.7%
6M Excs Rtn-12.9%-12.9%-27.4%-18.6%-96.4%-41.2%-23.0%
12M Excs Rtn-37.9%-3.8%-7.1%-34.9%-97.1%-57.4%-36.4%
3Y Excs Rtn27.2%24.6%59.4%-63.6%-129.5%-37.9%-6.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Service8,2457,3696,4745,3774,466
Sales7,5806,8315,9895,1914,598
Platform and Other6,6115,9674,5093,3244,473
Integration and Analytics5,1894,3383,7832,951 
Marketing and Commerce4,9124,5163,9023,1332,506
Professional services and other2,3202,3311,8351,2761,055
Total34,85731,35226,49221,25217,098


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity16,514,004
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-6.8%
Average Daily Volume7,670,159
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.15
Basic Shares Quantity948,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
12/3/20253.7%10.7% 
9/3/2025-4.9%-5.2%-6.7%
5/28/2025-3.3%-4.7%-0.8%
2/26/2025-4.0%-5.0%-9.6%
12/3/202411.0%5.2%0.6%
8/28/2024-0.7%-4.9%7.0%
5/29/2024-19.7%-12.9%-5.3%
2/28/20243.0%1.3%0.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111011
# Negative131413
Median Positive5.4%6.7%7.0%
Median Negative-4.7%-6.4%-8.7%
Max Positive26.0%30.2%17.5%
Max Negative-19.7%-18.6%-18.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251204202510-Q 10/31/2025
7312025904202510-Q 7/31/2025
4302025529202510-Q 4/30/2025
1312025305202510-K 1/31/2025
103120241204202410-Q 10/31/2024
7312024829202410-Q 7/31/2024
4302024530202410-Q 4/30/2024
1312024306202410-K 1/31/2024
103120231130202310-Q 10/31/2023
7312023831202310-Q 7/31/2023
4302023601202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023308202310-K 1/31/2023
103120221201202210-Q 10/31/2022
7312022825202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022601202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022311202210-K 1/31/2022