Keysight Technologies (KEYS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $206.7 | Market Cap: $35.6 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Electronic Equipment & Instruments
Keysight Technologies (KEYS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $206.7Market Cap: $35.6 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Electronic Equipment & Instruments
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Artificial Intelligence, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Artificial Intelligence, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
KEYS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Keysight Technologies (KEYS) saw a significant increase in its stock price, with a reported 25.3% return over the past six months as of December 3, 2025, within the approximate timeframe of your request. This strong performance can be attributed to several key factors.
**1. Strong Q4 2025 Financial Results and Exceeded Expectations**
Keysight Technologies reported impressive fourth-quarter 2025 results, surpassing Wall Street's expectations for both adjusted earnings per share (EPS) and revenue. The company posted an adjusted EPS of $1.91, exceeding the anticipated $1.83, and its revenue climbed 10% year-over-year to $1.42 billion, also beating the forecasted $1.38 billion to $1.39 billion. This strong performance highlighted the company's robust growth and strategic execution.
**2. Optimistic Guidance for Q1 Fiscal Year 2026**
Following its strong Q4 performance, Keysight provided an upbeat outlook for the upcoming fiscal first quarter of 2026. The company's guidance for revenue and earnings per share exceeded consensus estimates, boosting investor confidence in its future prospects. Specifically, Keysight set its Q1 FY2026 guidance at $1.95-$2.01 EPS and anticipated Q4 CY2025 (Q1 FY2026) revenue guidance at $1.54 billion at the midpoint, which was above analyst estimates.
**3. New Share Repurchase Program**
On November 24, 2025, Keysight's Board of Directors authorized a new $1.5 billion share repurchase program. This program allows the company to repurchase up to 4.9% of its outstanding stock, which signals management's confidence in the company's valuation and commitment to returning value to shareholders, contributing to positive market sentiment.
**4. Robust Demand in Key Growth Markets**
The company experienced strong demand across its core markets, particularly driven by investments in Artificial Intelligence (AI) data center infrastructure, next-generation communications technologies like 6G, and semiconductor testing. Keysight's Communications Solutions Group (CSG) reported an 11% increase in revenue, fueled by these areas, alongside growth in non-terrestrial network applications and defense modernization. Overall orders grew 14% year-over-year in Q4 2025.
**5. Positive Analyst Reactions and Price Target Increases**
Following the strong earnings report and optimistic outlook, numerous financial analysts from prominent firms such as UBS, Jefferies, Citi, Wells Fargo, Baird, and Goldman Sachs raised their price targets for Keysight. This widespread positive sentiment from analysts further bolstered investor confidence and contributed to the stock's upward trajectory.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| KEYS Return | 29% | 56% | -17% | -7% | 1% | 25% | 96% |
| Peers Return | 35% | 14% | -36% | 18% | -11% | 29% | 33% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| KEYS Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 47% | 43% | 25% | 47% | 38% | 54% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| KEYS Max Drawdown | -24% | -1% | -37% | -30% | -25% | -21% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -30% | -5% | -42% | -8% | -26% | -25% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TER, FTV, VIAV, TXG, USBC. See KEYS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | KEYS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -42.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -25.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 63 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -23.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 33 days | 120 days |
Compare to TER, FTV, VIAV, TXG, USBC
In The Past
Keysight Technologies's stock fell -42.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -42.6% loss requires a 74.3% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to KEYS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| 08312023 | KEYS | Keysight Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.8% | 15.6% | -10.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| 08312023 | KEYS | Keysight Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.8% | 15.6% | -10.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Keysight Technologies
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Financials
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Returns
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Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 8292025 | 10-Q 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6032025 | 10-Q 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3062025 | 10-Q 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12172024 | 10-K 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 8292024 | 10-Q 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 5312024 | 10-Q 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3052024 | 10-Q 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12152023 | 10-K 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 8302023 | 10-Q 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 5312023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3032023 | 10-Q 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12152022 | 10-K 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 8302022 | 10-Q 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6012022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3012022 | 10-Q 1/31/2022 |
| 10312021 | 12172021 | 10-K 10/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |