Tearsheet

Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI)


Market Price (12/24/2025): $40.97 | Market Cap: $2.6 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Communications Equipment

Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI)


Market Price (12/24/2025): $40.97
Market Cap: $2.6 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Communications Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 101%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -45 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -11%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Telecom Infrastructure, Show more.
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -40%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -72%
2   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 55%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -10%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 125%
5   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 20%
6   Key risks
AAOI key risks include [1] significant financial instability driven by consecutive net losses and a material weakness in internal controls, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 101%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Telecom Infrastructure, Show more.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -45 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -11%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -40%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -72%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 55%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -10%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 125%
8 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 20%
9 Key risks
AAOI key risks include [1] significant financial instability driven by consecutive net losses and a material weakness in internal controls, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AAOI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

1. Increased demand for 800G and 400G transceivers driven by AI data centers. Applied Optoelectronics has seen significant positive sentiment due to a surge in demand for its advanced 800G and 400G transceivers, which are crucial for AI data center infrastructure. This increased demand is anticipated to boost future revenue and reflects the company's strong positioning in the high-growth data center market.

2. New product developments for AI infrastructure. The company announced the development of a new 400-milliwatt narrow-linewidth pump laser specifically designed for AI data centers, enhancing performance in silicon photonics and co-packaged optics applications, with production projected in 2026. This innovation indicates a strategic alignment with emerging technological trends and future growth opportunities.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 53.5% change in AAOI stock from 9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 49.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
924202512242025Change
Stock Price ($)26.6940.9753.50%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)368.23421.7114.52%
P/S Multiple4.116.1549.52%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)56.7763.33-11.55%
Cumulative Contribution51.46%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
AAOI53.6% 
Market (SPY)4.4%61.6%
Sector (XLK)5.1%62.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 56.2% change in AAOI stock from 6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 44.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
625202512242025Change
Stock Price ($)26.2340.9756.20%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)308.55421.7136.67%
P/S Multiple4.256.1544.63%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)50.0463.33-26.55%
Cumulative Contribution45.18%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
AAOI56.3% 
Market (SPY)14.0%55.2%
Sector (XLK)17.5%59.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 2.9% change in AAOI stock from 12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 101.2% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
1224202412242025Change
Stock Price ($)39.8240.972.89%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)209.55421.71101.25%
P/S Multiple8.046.15-23.48%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)42.3163.33-49.67%
Cumulative Contribution-22.50%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
AAOI3.0% 
Market (SPY)15.8%61.6%
Sector (XLK)22.2%68.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 2001.0% change in AAOI stock from 12/25/2022 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 2344.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
1225202212242025Change
Stock Price ($)1.9540.972001.03%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)215.64421.7195.56%
P/S Multiple0.256.152343.96%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)27.8463.33-127.48%
Cumulative Contribution-1413.44%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/25/2023 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
AAOI96.2% 
Market (SPY)48.9%51.4%
Sector (XLK)54.1%53.4%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AAOI Return-28%-40%-63%922%91%10%242%
Peers Return59%38%-41%36%92%136%698%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%115%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AAOI Win Rate33%33%42%67%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate60%65%38%57%72%67% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AAOI Max Drawdown-54%-40%-71%-13%-64%-73% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-17%-50%-16%-9%-43% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LITE, COHR, CIEN, AVGO, MRVL. See AAOI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/24/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAAOIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-88.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven755.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven395 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-64.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven183.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven138 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-91.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1071.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to INTC, IPGP, KOPN, LPTH, CSCO

In The Past

Applied Optoelectronics's stock fell -88.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/16/2021. A -88.3% loss requires a 755.3% gain to breakeven.

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About Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI)

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells various fiber-optic networking products worldwide. It offers optical modules, lasers, subassemblies, transmitters and transceivers, and turn-key equipment, as well as headend, node, and distribution equipment. The company sells its products to internet data center operators, cable television and telecom equipment manufacturers, and internet service providers through its direct and indirect sales channels. Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Sugar Land, Texas.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are two analogies to describe Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) succinctly:

  • Broadcom for fiber optic network components. (AAOI specializes in the optical components that power internet and data center networks, much like Broadcom supplies a wide range of semiconductor and networking components.)
  • Intel for fiber optic data center components. (While Intel makes the "brains" of computers, AAOI makes the critical optical components—like lasers and transceivers—that enable high-speed data transmission within data centers and fiber networks.)

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Data Center Transceivers: Optical transceivers that enable high-speed data transmission within large-scale data centers.
  • Cable Television (CATV) Products: Fiber optic transmitters, receivers, and other components for delivering broadband services over hybrid fiber-coaxial networks.
  • Industrial Lasers and Components: High-performance lasers and optical components used in diverse applications such as industrial manufacturing, medical equipment, and telecom infrastructure.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) primarily sells its products to other companies, operating on a Business-to-Business (B2B) model. Their optical components and transceivers are largely consumed by major players in the internet data center and cloud services market.

Based on their recent SEC filings, including their 2023 10-K, AAOI's major customers include:

  • Microsoft Corporation (Symbol: MSFT)
  • Amazon.com, Inc. (Symbol: AMZN)
  • Meta Platforms, Inc. (Symbol: META)

These companies utilize AAOI's products for their vast data center infrastructure, enabling cloud computing, online services, and social media platforms.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Chih-Hsiang (Thompson) Lin, Chief Executive Officer; Chairman; President

Dr. Lin founded Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. in February 1997 and has served as its President and Chief Executive Officer since its inception. He has also served as Chairman of the Board since January 2014. Prior to founding AOI, Dr. Lin served as a research associate professor and senior research scientist at the University of Houston. He holds a B.S. in Nuclear Engineering from National Tsing Hua University and an M.S. and Ph.D. in Electrical and Computer Engineering from the University of Missouri—Columbia.

Stefan J. Murry, Chief Financial Officer; Chief Strategy Officer

Dr. Murry has served as Chief Financial Officer of Applied Optoelectronics since August 2014. He also holds the title of Chief Strategy Officer since December 2012. His extensive tenure at AOI includes roles as Vice President of Sales and Marketing from June 2004 to December 2012, Director of Sales and Marketing from January 2000 to June 2004, and Senior Engineer of Device Packaging from February 1997 to January 2000. Before joining AOI, Dr. Murry was a Research Associate and Mission Control Specialist with the Space Vacuum Epitaxy Center in Houston, Texas. He earned B.S. and M.S. degrees in Physics and a Ph.D. in Electrical Engineering from the University of Houston.

Hung-Lun (Fred) Chang, Senior Vice President and North America General Manager

Dr. Chang has served as Senior Vice President and North America General Manager of the Optical Component Business Unit since October 2012. His previous positions at Applied Optoelectronics include Vice President of the Optical Module Division, Director of Manufacturing, and Deputy Packaging Manager. Before joining AOI, he held roles as Deputy Manager of the Optical Active Component Group at Hon-Hai Precision Industry Co., Ltd. and as a researcher and project manager at Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd. Dr. Chang holds a B.S. in Electrophysics and a Ph.D. in Electro-Optical Engineering from National Chiao Tung University in Taiwan.

David C. Kuo, Senior Vice President; Chief Legal and Compliance Officer; Secretary

Mr. Kuo has served as Senior Vice President and Chief Legal Officer since June 2023, General Counsel and Chief Compliance Officer since August 2013, and Corporate Secretary since November 2012. Earlier in his career at AOI, he served as Assistant General Counsel and Asia Legal Manager. Mr. Kuo received a J.D. from South Texas College of Law and a BBA degree in Real Estate from Baylor University.

Todd McCrum, Senior Vice President and General Manager of Broadband Access Business Unit

Mr. McCrum has served as Senior Vice President and General Manager of Broadband Access since June 2023.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Applied Optoelectronics' (AAOI) business are primarily centered around its financial stability, intense market competition, and significant customer concentration.

  1. Financial Performance and Profitability Challenges: Applied Optoelectronics has faced a concerning trend of consecutive net losses, leading to a substantial accumulated deficit. For instance, in 2024, the company reported a net loss of $186.7 million and an accumulated deficit of $451.9 million, raising questions about its long-term financial sustainability. This financial weakness can impede AAOI's ability to invest in crucial research and development or expand its market presence without potentially diluting shareholder value or increasing debt. Additionally, the company has disclosed a material weakness in internal controls over financial reporting, which poses a risk of material misstatements in financial statements and can undermine investor confidence.
  2. Intense Market Competition and Rapid Technological Change: AAOI operates in a highly competitive optical networking market, contending with larger and more resourced rivals such as Intel Corporation, Lumentum Holdings, Inc., Broadcom, and Cisco. These competitors can leverage their scale and capital to acquire new technologies or develop products that may displace AAOI's offerings. The industry is also characterized by rapid technological evolution; for example, some competitors are already shipping 1.6T transceivers, while AAOI is focused on qualifying its 800G products. This intense competitive landscape necessitates continuous innovation and substantial investment in research and development, which can strain AAOI's financial resources and require a delicate balance between innovation and cost management.
  3. Customer Concentration and Dependence on Key Customers: A significant portion of Applied Optoelectronics' revenue is derived from a small number of key customers, particularly in the internet data center market, including major clients like Microsoft and Oracle in 2024. This reliance creates a vulnerability where the loss of, or a substantial reduction in orders from, any of these key customers could severely impact AAOI's revenue and overall operations. Furthermore, there is a risk that major hyperscale and cloud customers might increasingly pursue in-house optical component production, which could erode AAOI's pricing power and narrow its addressable market.

AI Analysis | Feedback

One clear emerging threat for Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) is the increasing adoption and development of Co-Packaged Optics (CPO) technology within hyperscale data centers. CPO integrates optical and electrical components directly into the same package as the switch ASIC, potentially replacing or significantly reducing the need for traditional pluggable optical transceivers, which constitute a significant portion of AAOI's current revenue. While AAOI is also developing CPO solutions, a rapid industry transition could disrupt demand for its existing product lines, posing a substantial challenge if the company cannot pivot quickly enough or if competitors gain a technological lead in this evolving market segment.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) addresses several key markets with its fiber-optic networking products, primarily serving the internet data center, cable television (CATV), fiber-to-the-home (FTTH), and telecommunications sectors.

The addressable markets for Applied Optoelectronics' main products and services are sized as follows:

  • Internet Data Center Market (Optical Transceivers/Pluggable Optics):
    • The global pluggable optics for data center market was valued at approximately US$ 5.23 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach US$ 12.35 billion by 2031.
    • The global optical transceiver market in data centers was valued at USD 13.6 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 25.0 billion by 2029.
  • Cable Television (CATV) System Market:
    • The global CATV system market size was around USD 57.31 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 111.70 billion by 2034. Another estimate places the global market at US$ 50.5 billion in 2024, growing to US$ 64.2 billion by 2031. North America holds a significant share of this market.
  • Fiber-to-the-Home (FTTH) Market:
    • The global Fiber to the Home (FTTH) market is projected to grow from USD 27,575 million in 2024 to USD 126,509 million by 2034. Other sources estimate the global market at USD 62.64 billion in 2024, or USD 51.30 billion in 2023, expected to reach USD 142.24 billion by 2032. North America holds approximately 35% of the FTTH market share, with Asia Pacific also holding a major share.
  • Broadband Access Services Market (for Internet Service Providers):
    • The global broadband internet access services market was valued at USD 418.65 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 883.32 billion by 2032. Another report values the global market at USD 497.47 billion in 2024, projected to grow to USD 1062.73 billion by 2033. North America holds the largest share of the global broadband market.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) is poised for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key initiatives and market trends across its core businesses. These drivers include:

  1. Increasing Demand for High-Speed Data Center Transceivers (400G, 800G, and 1.6T)
    The company anticipates significant revenue growth from the expanding demand for high-speed optical transceivers in internet data centers. Applied Optoelectronics has reported strong sequential growth in its data center business, fueled by new orders for its 400G products and initial orders for 800G products from new hyperscale customers. The company is also making significant progress in its 800G product line, including major hyperscaler qualification, with production capacity expected to reach 100,000 units per month by year-end, increasing to over 200,000 by mid-2026. Additionally, there is notable interest and accelerated research and development spending for 1.6 terabit transceivers.
  2. Growth in the CATV Market Driven by DOCSIS 4.0 Upgrades and New Products
    Applied Optoelectronics expects continued robust performance in its Cable Television (CATV) business. This growth is largely driven by Multiple System Operator (MSO) customers transitioning from DOCSIS 3.1 to DOCSIS 4.0 architectures. The company's 1.8 GHz amplifiers and the newly introduced Quantum18 product series, designed to facilitate 1.8GHz upgrades and support DOCSIS 3.1 and DOCSIS 4.0 Remote PHY Devices, are key contributors. New Quantum18 products are expected to be available for shipping in early 2025. Furthermore, the introduction of new software solutions, such as the QuantumLink HFC Remote Management solution with AI intelligence modules, is expected to contribute to achieving over $300 million in CATV revenue in the coming year.
  3. Expansion to New Hyperscale Customers and Strengthening Strategic Partnerships
    AAOI has been actively expanding its customer base within the data center segment. The company has begun receiving initial orders for 400G products from a new large hyperscale customer, bringing its reach to three out of the five largest hyperscale data center customers in the U.S. Strategic partnerships with major hyperscaler clients, including a notable $4 billion, 10-year contract with Amazon for data center equipment, are also seen as fundamental drivers for revenue acceleration in high-growth sectors.
  4. Increased Production Capacity and U.S.-based Manufacturing
    To meet anticipated demand, Applied Optoelectronics is expanding its manufacturing facilities, including a 210,000 sq. ft. facility in Sugar Land, Texas. This expansion aims to significantly increase production capacity for high-speed transceivers. The company anticipates achieving a production capacity of 100,000 units of 800G transceivers per month by year-end (2025), with approximately 35% of this production occurring in the U.S. This focus on U.S.-based manufacturing is a strategic advantage, aligning with a growing preference among hyperscalers for diversified and secure supply chains outside of Asia.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) Capital Allocation Decisions (Last 3-5 Years):

Share Issuance

  • Applied Optoelectronics completed a public offering of common stock that generated $342.6 million in cash inflows as of Q3 2025.
  • Over the past two years (from August 2025), the company raised over $400 million in net proceeds from open market sales and secondary offerings, resulting in outstanding common shares almost doubling.
  • On July 30, 2025, the company retired remaining 2026 convertible notes by issuing 239,404 shares.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures were approximately -$154.55 million in the last 12 months.
  • Year-to-date (as of September 30, 2025), cash flow used in investing activities was $125.7 million, indicating significant capital expenditure intensity.
  • The company is actively investing in building capacity for high-speed transceiver production in both the U.S. and Taiwan. Applied Optoelectronics also announced an investment of $150 million over the next five years for expansion in Sugar Land, Texas, expecting to create 500 jobs.

Better Bets than Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to AAOI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.7%11.7%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.2%10.2%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.2%16.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.7%11.7%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Applied Optoelectronics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AAOILITECOHRCIENAVGOMRVLMedian
NameApplied .Lumentum Coherent Ciena Broadcom Marvell . 
Mkt Price40.97396.00191.77240.25350.2586.40216.01
Mkt Cap2.627.829.934.01,657.773.932.0
Rev LTM4221,8426,0434,77063,8877,7935,406
Op Inc LTM-45-10460831126,0751,147459
FCF LTM-302-887466526,9141,577370
FCF 3Y Avg-128-6119736821,3201,280283
CFO LTM-16914552780627,5371,891666
CFO 3Y Avg-7512359349621,8611,593545

Growth & Margins

AAOILITECOHRCIENAVGOMRVLMedian
NameApplied .Lumentum Coherent Ciena Broadcom Marvell . 
Rev Chg LTM101.2%33.6%20.8%18.8%23.9%45.0%28.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg32.8%3.4%16.5%10.4%25.2%12.3%14.4%
Rev Chg Q82.1%58.4%17.3%20.3%28.2%36.8%32.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM14.5%12.0%4.0%5.0%6.6%7.7%7.2%
Op Mgn LTM-10.6%-5.7%10.1%6.5%40.8%14.7%8.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-22.7%-14.5%5.1%6.7%38.6%-1.2%1.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.0%6.0%0.8%0.9%1.8%8.7%1.9%
CFO/Rev LTM-40.2%7.9%8.7%16.9%43.1%24.3%12.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-22.3%7.5%11.4%11.2%44.1%25.8%11.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-71.7%-4.8%1.2%13.9%42.1%20.2%7.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-36.9%-3.8%3.9%8.3%43.0%20.7%6.1%

Valuation

AAOILITECOHRCIENAVGOMRVLMedian
NameApplied .Lumentum Coherent Ciena Broadcom Marvell . 
Mkt Cap2.627.829.934.01,657.773.932.0
P/S6.215.15.07.125.99.58.3
P/EBIT-17.1-426.356.8137.163.924.140.4
P/E-16.6247.5119.9275.871.729.995.8
P/CFO-15.3192.556.942.260.239.149.5
Total Yield-6.0%0.4%0.8%0.4%1.4%3.6%0.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.3%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-11.3%-1.0%3.1%2.8%3.1%2.1%2.4%
D/E0.10.10.10.00.00.10.1
Net D/E0.00.10.10.00.00.00.0

Returns

AAOILITECOHRCIENAVGOMRVLMedian
NameApplied .Lumentum Coherent Ciena Broadcom Marvell . 
1M Rtn82.3%32.3%26.3%23.4%-7.2%3.1%24.9%
3M Rtn53.5%159.2%80.0%73.6%3.4%8.0%63.5%
6M Rtn56.2%331.5%124.0%202.5%32.8%14.0%90.1%
12M Rtn2.9%369.5%92.2%173.2%47.5%-25.3%69.8%
3Y Rtn2,001.0%683.2%479.5%387.0%563.1%135.1%521.3%
1M Excs Rtn79.0%28.9%22.9%20.0%-10.5%-0.3%21.5%
3M Excs Rtn50.6%143.9%75.0%70.2%-0.5%-1.8%60.4%
6M Excs Rtn34.7%305.2%100.5%181.9%17.2%-4.7%67.6%
12M Excs Rtn-8.5%348.6%79.4%158.1%43.6%-39.4%61.5%
3Y Excs Rtn1,742.0%597.9%388.5%313.1%484.9%46.2%436.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Data Center1417797173144
Cable television (CATV)60118943837
Telecommunications (Telecom)142516218
Other33321
Fiber-to-the-home (FTTH)00100
Total218223212235191


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$41.00 
Market Cap ($ Bil)2.6 
First Trading Date09/26/2013 
Distance from 52W High0.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$29.35$23.39
DMA Trendupindeterminate
Distance from DMA39.7%75.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility123.2%125.0%
Downside Capture603.31473.79
Upside Capture701.70418.78
Correlation (SPY)62.0%61.7%
AAOI Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta3.945.475.274.783.793.29
Up Beta1.612.712.323.133.392.87
Down Beta8.765.465.786.963.383.18
Up Capture113%823%821%923%2834%204543%
Bmk +ve Days12253873141426
Stock +ve Days9202960112359
Down Capture467%471%437%306%169%112%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days10213365136387

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of AAOI With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 AAOISector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return26.6%26.7%19.2%71.9%8.9%6.0%-10.4%
Annualized Volatility125.7%27.6%19.5%19.3%15.3%17.1%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio0.760.840.782.690.360.18-0.12
Correlation With Other Assets 67.9%61.7%5.5%25.4%27.2%30.9%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of AAOI With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 AAOISector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return37.6%19.0%14.9%18.7%11.7%4.8%32.6%
Annualized Volatility109.2%24.7%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.7%
Sharpe Ratio0.780.690.700.970.510.170.59
Correlation With Other Assets 38.2%36.2%10.3%10.3%23.4%17.4%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of AAOI With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 AAOISector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return9.3%22.3%14.7%14.9%6.9%5.2%69.2%
Annualized Volatility92.8%24.2%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.520.840.700.830.310.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 35.6%33.2%6.0%12.6%20.5%12.8%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12,707,289
Short Interest: % Change Since 11302025-11.7%
Average Daily Volume5,182,634
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.45
Basic Shares Quantity63,329,000
Short % of Basic Shares20.1%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/2025-1.8%-28.1%4.4%
8/7/2025-3.3%-5.9%5.8%
5/8/2025-0.6%27.8%14.3%
2/26/2025-4.6%-28.2%-29.4%
11/7/202455.1%57.3%102.0%
8/6/2024-5.8%10.0%67.9%
5/9/2024-3.0%6.5%-3.5%
2/22/2024-30.5%-21.5%-27.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive4711
# Negative201713
Median Positive30.0%27.8%20.2%
Median Negative-6.9%-11.5%-20.7%
Max Positive67.1%119.1%111.5%
Max Negative-32.2%-30.3%-36.8%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Murry Stefan J.Chief Financial Officer8152025Sell22.3712,000268,4406,676,930Form
1Lin Chih-Hsiang (Thompson)President and CEO8152025Buy21.625,750124,31535,914,387Form
2Lin Che-Wei8152025Buy21.644,60999,7395,485,870Form
3Kuo David C*** See Remarks8152025Sell22.342,00044,6803,292,268Form
4Yeh William H8142025Buy22.7510,000227,5005,592,382Form