Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI)
Market Price (4/9/2026): $136.2 | Market Cap: $9.6 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment
Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI)
Market Price (4/9/2026): $136.2Market Cap: $9.6 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 83% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Telecom Infrastructure, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -50 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -11% Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 21x Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 312%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 861% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -38%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -78% Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 429% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.3% High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 136% Key risksAAOI key risks include [1] significant financial instability driven by consecutive net losses and a material weakness in internal controls, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 83% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Telecom Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -50 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -11% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 21x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 312%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 861% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -38%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -78% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 429% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.3% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 136% |
| Key risksAAOI key risks include [1] significant financial instability driven by consecutive net losses and a material weakness in internal controls, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Exceptional Q4 2025 Financial Performance and Strong Q1 2026 Outlook.
Applied Optoelectronics reported robust fourth-quarter 2025 results on February 26, 2026, with revenue reaching $134.3 million, surpassing analyst estimates of $132.28 million. The company also significantly outperformed earnings expectations, posting a non-GAAP net loss of $0.01 per share, considerably better than the forecasted loss of $0.11 to $0.13 per share. Furthermore, AAOI provided an optimistic outlook for the first quarter of 2026, guiding revenue to a range of $150 million to $165 million, exceeding analyst consensus of approximately $145 million. This strong financial beat and positive forward guidance led to a substantial surge in the stock price, including a 56.9% increase on February 27, 2026.
2. Soaring Demand for High-Speed Optical Transceivers Driven by AI Data Centers.
A core reason for the stock's significant gain is the escalating demand for high-speed optical transceivers, particularly from hyperscale data centers fueling the artificial intelligence (AI) boom. Applied Optoelectronics has capitalized on this trend by securing substantial orders, including a record-breaking $200 million order for next-generation 1.6T transceivers and over $124 million in 800G orders from a single hyperscale customer. The company anticipates its full-year 2026 revenue to exceed $1 billion, more than double its fiscal 2025 revenue of $455.72 million, largely driven by the ramp-up of its 1.6T products. The industry-wide shift towards photonics for AI infrastructure, as highlighted by major players like NVIDIA and Broadcom, further amplifies this demand.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 290.7% change in AAOI stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 302.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 34.86 | 136.20 | 290.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 422 | 456 | 8.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 5.2 | 21.1 | 302.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 63 | 70 | -10.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 290.7% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AAOI | 282.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 25.7% |
| Sector (XLK) | -1.3% | 31.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 425.3% change in AAOI stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 426.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 25.93 | 136.20 | 425.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 368 | 456 | 23.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 4.0 | 21.1 | 426.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 57 | 70 | -19.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 425.3% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AAOI | 414.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 39.5% |
| Sector (XLK) | 1.0% | 42.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 787.3% change in AAOI stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 642.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 15.35 | 136.20 | 787.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 249 | 456 | 82.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.8 | 21.1 | 642.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 46 | 70 | -34.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 787.3% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AAOI | 768.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 49.7% |
| Sector (XLK) | 38.2% | 53.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 6062.9% change in AAOI stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 7357.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.21 | 136.20 | 6062.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 223 | 456 | 104.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.3 | 21.1 | 7357.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 28 | 70 | -59.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 6062.9% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AAOI | 5931.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 40.2% |
| Sector (XLK) | 91.9% | 41.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AAOI Return | -40% | -63% | 922% | 91% | -5% | 281% | 1459% |
| Peers Return | 38% | -41% | 36% | 92% | 127% | 69% | 718% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -1% | 81% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AAOI Win Rate | 33% | 42% | 67% | 58% | 50% | 100% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 38% | 57% | 72% | 67% | 75% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AAOI Max Drawdown | -40% | -71% | -13% | -64% | -73% | -5% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -17% | -50% | -16% | -9% | -43% | -10% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: LITE, COHR, CIEN, AVGO, MRVL. See AAOI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/9/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AAOI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -88.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 755.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 395 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -64.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 183.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 138 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -91.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1071.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2,379 days | 120 days |
Compare to LITE, COHR, CIEN, AVGO, MRVL
In The Past
Applied Optoelectronics's stock fell -88.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/16/2021. A -88.3% loss requires a 755.3% gain to breakeven.
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About Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI)
AI Analysis | Feedback
A Broadcom for the specialized fiber optic components that power data centers and telecom networks.
An Intel for the high-speed optical hardware that transmits data across internet infrastructure.
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```html- Optical Modules: Components used in fiber-optic communication systems to convert electrical signals into optical signals or vice versa.
- Lasers: Devices that produce light used for transmitting data through fiber optic cables.
- Subassemblies: Partially assembled units that combine multiple components into a single functional block for fiber optic applications.
- Transmitters and Transceivers: Devices that convert electrical signals into optical signals for transmission (transmitters) or both transmit and receive optical signals (transceivers) over fiber optic networks.
- Turn-key Equipment: Complete, ready-to-use systems or solutions for fiber-optic networking.
- Headend Equipment: Centralized equipment used in cable television systems to receive and process television signals for distribution.
- Node Equipment: Devices in a fiber optic network that convert optical signals to electrical signals for distribution to subscribers.
- Distribution Equipment: Gear used to send signals from headends or nodes to end-users in a fiber-optic or cable television network.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) sells its products primarily to other companies, specifically to internet data center operators, cable television and telecom equipment manufacturers, and internet service providers.
Based on the company's public financial filings, AAOI does not explicitly name its major customers. However, it discloses the categories of customers that account for a significant portion of its revenue.
For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2023, two major customers, identified by category, accounted for 14% and 10% of total revenue respectively:
- A cable television equipment manufacturer
- A data center operator
For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2022, three major customers, identified by category, accounted for 29%, 17%, and 11% of total revenue respectively:
- A data center operator
- A cable television equipment manufacturer
- An internet service provider
As the specific names of these customer companies are not publicly disclosed by AAOI in its financial reports, their corresponding public symbols cannot be provided.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Chih Hsiang (Thompson) Lin, Ph.D., Founder, President, Chief Executive Officer, and Chairman of the Board
Dr. Lin founded Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. in February 1997 and has served as President and CEO since its inception. He has an extensive background in business management, having led AOI from a start-up to a publicly traded company. He also served as a research associate professor and senior research scientist at the University of Houston. Dr. Lin received a B.S. in Nuclear Engineering from National Tsing Hua University in Taiwan and M.S. and Ph.D. degrees in Electrical and Computer Engineering from the University of Missouri—Columbia.
Stefan J. Murry, Ph.D., Chief Financial Officer and Chief Strategy Officer
Dr. Murry has served as Chief Financial Officer of Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. since August 2014, and as Chief Strategy Officer since December 2012. He participated in the founding of Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. in 1997, along with Thompson Lin, to commercialize semiconductor technology. Prior to his CFO role, he served as Vice President of Sales and Marketing from June 2004 to December 2012, Director of Sales and Marketing from January 2000 to June 2004, and Senior Engineer of Device Packaging from February 1997 to January 2000. Dr. Murry also previously served as Research Associate and Mission Control Specialist with the Space Vacuum Epitaxy Center in Houston, Texas. He has been issued multiple patents in the optoelectronics industry. Dr. Murry received BS and MS degrees in Physics and a Ph.D. in Electrical Engineering from the University of Houston.
David C. Kuo, Senior Vice President, Chief Legal Officer, Chief Compliance Officer and Corporate Secretary
Mr. Kuo has served as Senior Vice President and Chief Legal Officer since June 2023, and as General Counsel and Chief Compliance Officer since August 2013, and Corporate Secretary since November 2012. His previous roles at AOI include Assistant General Counsel from May 2009 until August 2013, and Asia Legal Manager from January 2011 until August 2013. Mr. Kuo holds a JD from South Texas College of Law and a BBA degree in Real Estate from Baylor University.
Hung-Lun (Fred) Chang, Ph.D., Senior Vice President, Optical Component Business Unit and General Manager, North America
Dr. Chang has served as North America General Manager and Senior Vice President of Optical Component Business Unit since October 2012. His prior positions at AOI include Vice President of the Optical Module Division from March 2005 until October 2012, Director of Manufacturing from June 2002 to March 2004, and Deputy Packaging Manager from April 2001 to May 2002. Before joining AOI, he served as Deputy Manager of the Optical Active Component Group at Hon-Hai Precision Industry Co., Ltd. and as a researcher and project manager of the Optoelectronic Module Technology group at Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd. Dr. Chang received a BS degree in Electrophysics and a Ph.D. in Electro-Optical Engineering from National Chiao Tung University in Taiwan.
Shu-Hua (Joshua) Yeh, Senior Vice President, Network Equipment Module Business and General Manager, Asia
Mr. Yeh has served as Asia General Manager since February 2015 and as Senior Vice President of the Network Equipment Module Business Unit since November 2012. He previously served as General Manager of the Video Equipment Division of Global Technology Inc., an AOI subsidiary, since its acquisition in March 2006, and as its President and Chief Executive Officer from April 2002 until the acquisition. From May 1995 to April 2002, Mr. Yeh was a Vice President of Sales and Marketing of Twoway CATV Technology Inc.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Key Risks to Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI)
- Customer Concentration: Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) is significantly dependent on a limited number of key customers, such as Digicomm and Microsoft, for a substantial portion of its revenue. This reliance exposes the company to considerable risk, as the loss or a significant reduction in orders from these major clients could materially impact its revenue stability and financial performance.
- Financial Challenges and Profitability Concerns: AAOI has experienced financial headwinds, including negative earnings and declining revenue growth in recent years, accompanied by negative operating and net margins. The company is in a heavy investment cycle, leading to an accumulated deficit and ongoing operational losses. While some indicators of financial strength exist, concerns have been raised regarding financial transparency and earnings quality.
- High Operating Expenses, Tariffs, and Intense Competition: Applied Optoelectronics faces the challenge of elevated operating expenses, which are projected to remain high as the company continues to invest in its business. Additionally, the impact of tariffs on costs and operations presents a key risk, with uncertainty surrounding the recovery of these payments. The company also operates in a highly competitive optical networking market, contending with other industry players, which can affect its market share and pricing power.
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Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) operates in several key addressable markets related to its fiber-optic networking products and equipment for data centers, cable television, and telecommunications.
Optical Modules, Lasers, Subassemblies, Transmitters, and Transceivers
These products primarily serve the optical transceiver and optical module markets, which are critical for high-speed data communication in data centers and telecom networks.
- The global optical transceiver market was valued at approximately USD 13.4 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 48.1 billion by 2035, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 13.5%. Another estimate places the global market at USD 15.5 billion in 2025, reaching USD 48.4 billion by 2034 with a CAGR of 13.5%.
- The U.S. optical transceiver market is projected to be valued at USD 6.0 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow to USD 17.5 billion by 2034, at a CAGR of 12.7%.
- More broadly, the global optical modules market was valued at approximately USD 8.5 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to grow to an estimated USD 19.4 billion by 2032, reflecting a CAGR of 9.8%.
- For high-speed applications, the global market size for 1.6T optical modules is anticipated to surpass USD 15 billion by 2030, with a projected CAGR as high as 35% to over 50% from 2025 to 2030.
Data Center Interconnect (DCI) Solutions
AAOI's optical transceivers, particularly higher-speed models (400G, 800G, and 1.6T), are vital components in Data Center Interconnect (DCI) infrastructure, enabling high-speed connectivity between data centers and supporting AI workloads.
- The global data center interconnect market was estimated at USD 10.12 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 20.37 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 13.1% from 2025 to 2030. Other reports indicate the global DCI market is projected to reach USD 14.6 billion in 2025 and grow to USD 79.4 billion by 2034, at a CAGR of 20.7%. Another estimate projects the market to increase from USD 16.31 billion in 2025 to approximately USD 64.96 billion by 2035, expanding at a CAGR of 14.82% from 2026 to 2035.
- North America held the largest market share in the DCI market in 2024, accounting for over 38%. The U.S. DCI market is projected to be valued at USD 4.7 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 23.0 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 19.4%.
Headend, Node, and Distribution Equipment (Cable Television and Broadband Access)
Applied Optoelectronics also provides equipment for cable television (CATV) and broadband fiber access networks, including headend, node, and distribution equipment.
- The global market for cable distributed access equipment (which includes virtual CCAP, Remote PHY Devices, Remote MACPHY Devices, and Remote OLTs) is expected to peak at USD 1.3 billion in 2028.
- For broader context, the global coaxial cable and tools & equipment market was valued at USD 14.52 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 23.28 billion by 2034, at a CAGR of 5.31%.
- North America's coaxial cable and tools & equipment industry was valued at USD 3.76 billion in 2025, with the U.S. market estimated to reach USD 3.64 billion by 2026.
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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI)
Over the next 2-3 years, Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) anticipates revenue growth driven by several key factors:
- Strong Demand for High-Speed Data Center Transceivers (400G, 800G, and 1.6T): The accelerating demand from hyperscale data center operators, largely fueled by artificial intelligence (AI) investments, is a primary driver. Applied Optoelectronics expects significant ramp-up and contributions from its 800G and 1.6T products, with 800G transceivers projected to become the largest individual data center revenue line starting in Q2 2026, and 1.6T contributing later in 2026. Additionally, sales of 400G products have shown substantial year-over-year growth and are expected to continue contributing to the data center segment.
- Expansion of Manufacturing Capacity: Applied Optoelectronics is undertaking significant capital investments, particularly in its U.S. manufacturing facilities in Texas, to address demand that currently exceeds its production capabilities. Plans include tripling laser manufacturing in Texas by mid-2027 and scaling a new 210,000-square-foot facility in Sugar Land by mid-to-late 2026, which is crucial for meeting the increasing customer demand for high-speed optical modules.
- Robust Cable Television (CATV) Business: The company's CATV segment continues to exhibit strong performance, driven by significant demand from its largest CATV customer and momentum with new Multi-Service Operator (MSO) customers. This sustained demand, often linked to DOCSIS upgrades, is expected to maintain its contribution to overall revenue.
- Successful Customer Qualifications and Volume Shipments for Next-Generation Products: Ongoing strong customer engagement and the successful qualification of next-generation 800G and 1.6T products with major hyperscale customers are direct precursors to increased volume shipments and future revenue. The completion of firmware interoperability for 800G modules, targeted for mid-March 2026, is expected to directly lead to a significant ramp in shipments.
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Share Issuance
- In March 2026, Applied Optoelectronics expanded its "at-the-market" (ATM) equity offering program, increasing the total capacity from $250 million to $500 million in common stock. As of that date, approximately $250 million had already been sold.
- In February 2026, the company initially established an equity distribution agreement to sell up to $250 million in common stock through at-the-market offerings.
- During the second fiscal quarter of 2025, Applied Optoelectronics raised $98 million, net of fees, through its ATM program, with proceeds allocated for production and research and development investments.
Inbound Investments
- In February 2026, 1492 Capital Management acquired a new position in Applied Optoelectronics, purchasing 215,987 shares valued at $7.53 million.
- In August 2025, the city of Sugar Land, Texas, provided Applied Optoelectronics with a $2 million incentive to support the onshoring of manufacturing operations.
- In March 2025, Applied Optoelectronics entered into a transaction agreement with Amazon.com Inc., which included the issuance of a warrant to Amazon to purchase up to 7.945 million shares. The vesting of these shares is contingent upon Amazon or its affiliates making discretionary purchases totaling up to $4 billion from the company.
Capital Expenditures
- For the full year 2025, Applied Optoelectronics made a total of $209 million in capital investments, exceeding initial projections of $120 million to $150 million, primarily driven by increased customer demand.
- The company plans to make significant capital investments in 2026 to increase data center product production, including tripling its laser manufacturing in Texas and expanding its manufacturing facility in Taiwan, aiming for a combined production capacity of over 500,000 units of 800G and 1.6T transceivers per month by year-end.
- In the second fiscal quarter of 2025, capital investments totaled $38.8 million, primarily focused on expanding manufacturing capacity for 400G and 800G transceiver products.
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Research & Analysis
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Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 319.89 |
| Mkt Cap | 66.5 |
| Rev LTM | 5,709 |
| Op Inc LTM | 541 |
| FCF LTM | 356 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 323 |
| CFO LTM | 664 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 600 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 34.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 12.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 31.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 7.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 3.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 66.5 |
| P/S | 17.3 |
| P/EBIT | 72.9 |
| P/E | 114.9 |
| P/CFO | 66.9 |
| Total Yield | 0.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.7% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 21.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 90.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 165.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 519.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 778.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 20.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 69.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 184.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 576.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 674.8% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $133.30 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 9.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 09/26/2013 | |
| Distance from 52W High | 0.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $79.11 | $41.25 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 68.5% | 223.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 179.4% | 133.1% |
| Downside Capture | -1.56 | 1.50 |
| Upside Capture | 581.20 | 485.55 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 24.8% | 45.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 6.25 | 5.16 | 3.66 | 4.81 | 3.58 | 3.58 |
| Up Beta | -3.57 | 5.47 | 3.85 | 3.91 | 3.00 | 3.14 |
| Down Beta | 13.58 | 12.85 | 6.80 | 6.32 | 4.29 | 3.55 |
| Up Capture | 962% | 1048% | 883% | 2290% | 4304% | 669473% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 35 | 67 | 126 | 368 |
| Down Capture | 197% | -90% | -34% | 205% | 167% | 113% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 28 | 59 | 126 | 381 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AAOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAOI | 1,098.8% | 135.7% | 2.43 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 55.8% | 25.4% | 1.70 | 50.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 29.1% | 17.4% | 1.36 | 46.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 61.3% | 27.8% | 1.72 | 6.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 26.9% | 16.7% | 1.41 | 17.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 17.7% | 15.4% | 0.86 | 17.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -10.9% | 43.9% | -0.14 | 26.2% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AAOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAOI | 72.2% | 116.1% | 0.99 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 16.8% | 24.7% | 0.61 | 37.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.4% | 17.0% | 0.52 | 35.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.2% | 17.8% | 1.02 | 10.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.5% | 18.8% | 0.50 | 10.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.7% | 18.8% | 0.10 | 22.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 3.6% | 56.5% | 0.29 | 17.4% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AAOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAOI | 24.5% | 97.0% | 0.67 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 21.7% | 24.3% | 0.82 | 34.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.9% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 31.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.1% | 15.9% | 0.74 | 7.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.5% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 12.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 19.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.1% | 66.9% | 1.06 | 13.0% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/26/2026 | 56.9% | 88.4% | 82.9% |
| 11/6/2025 | -1.8% | -28.1% | 4.4% |
| 8/7/2025 | -3.3% | -5.9% | 5.8% |
| 5/8/2025 | -0.6% | 27.8% | 14.3% |
| 2/26/2025 | -4.6% | -28.2% | -29.4% |
| 11/7/2024 | 55.1% | 57.3% | 102.0% |
| 8/6/2024 | -5.8% | 10.0% | 67.9% |
| 5/9/2024 | -3.0% | 6.5% | -3.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 5 | 8 | 12 |
| # Negative | 19 | 16 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 55.1% | 29.7% | 22.4% |
| Median Negative | -7.1% | -14.1% | -20.1% |
| Max Positive | 67.1% | 119.1% | 111.5% |
| Max Negative | -32.2% | -30.3% | -36.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/26/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/28/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/23/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/27/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/05/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/26/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Revenue | 150.00 Mil | 157.50 Mil | 165.00 Mil | 18.9% | Higher New | Actual: 132.50 Mil for Q4 2025 | |
| Q1 2026 Non-GAAP Gross Margin | 29.0% | 30.0% | 31.0% | 0 | 0 | Same New | Actual: 30.0% for Q4 2025 |
| Q1 2026 Non-GAAP Net Income | -7.00 Mil | -3.65 Mil | -0.30 Mil | -38.1% | Higher New | Actual: -5.90 Mil for Q4 2025 | |
| Q1 2026 Non-GAAP EPS | -0.09 | -0.04 | 0 | -47.1% | Higher New | Actual: -0.09 for Q4 2025 | |
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/6/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Revenue | 125.00 Mil | 132.50 Mil | 140.00 Mil | 9.5% | Higher New | Guidance: 121.00 Mil for Q3 2025 | |
| Q4 2025 Operating Margin | 29.0% | 30.0% | 31.0% | -0.8% | -0.2% | Lower New | Guidance: 30.25% for Q3 2025 |
| Q4 2025 Net Income | -9.00 Mil | -5.90 Mil | -2.80 Mil | 49.4% | Lower New | Guidance: -3.95 Mil for Q3 2025 | |
| Q4 2025 EPS | -0.13 | -0.09 | -0.04 | 30.8% | Lower New | Guidance: -0.07 for Q3 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kuo, David C | *** See Remarks | Direct | Sell | 12292025 | 40.15 | 12,500 | 501,875 | 5,257,562 | Form |
| 2 | Loboa, Elizabeth G | Direct | Sell | 12172025 | 30.23 | 4,121 | 124,584 | 3,714,557 | Form | |
| 3 | Murry, Stefan J | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 12122025 | 31.55 | 4,000 | 126,213 | 9,086,392 | Form |
| 4 | Murry, Stefan J | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 8152025 | 22.37 | 12,000 | 268,440 | 6,676,930 | Form |
| 5 | Lin, Chih-Hsiang (thompson) | President and CEO | 401(k) | Buy | 8152025 | 21.62 | 5,750 | 124,315 | 35,914,387 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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