JFrog (FROG)
Market Price (4/23/2026): $46.65 | Market Cap: $5.5 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
JFrog (FROG)
Market Price (4/23/2026): $46.65Market Cap: $5.5 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12% Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity, Cloud Computing, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Software Security, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -19% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -89 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -17% Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.3% Key risksFROG key risks include [1] intense competition from cloud hyperscalers (AWS, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity, Cloud Computing, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Software Security, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -19% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -89 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -17% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.3% |
| Key risksFROG key risks include [1] intense competition from cloud hyperscalers (AWS, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Broader Tech Sector Rotation and AI Profit-Taking: In January 2026, JFrog's stock was impacted by a macroeconomic trend of broader market rotation out of the technology sector, including profit-taking from the artificial intelligence trade. This led to a 4.7% decline in JFrog's shares on January 8, 2026, as investors shifted away from high-growth tech stocks.
2. Concerns over AI Disruption in the Software Security Market: A significant factor contributing to the stock's decline was investor anxiety regarding the potential for AI-native tools to disrupt the software industry. Specifically, the announcement of Anthropic's "Claude Code Security" in February 2026 triggered a sharp sell-off, causing JFrog's stock to drop over 20% due to fears that such tools could impact JFrog's existing security offerings and traditional software supply chain models. By mid-February 2026, this contributed to the stock being down 20.3% year-to-date.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -25.1% change in FROG stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/22/2026 was primarily driven by a -28.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 62.46 | 46.81 | -25.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 503 | 532 | 5.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 14.6 | 10.5 | -28.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 117 | 119 | -1.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -25.1% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FROG | -25.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 10.6% |
| Sector (XLK) | 9.8% | 26.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -1.1% change in FROG stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/22/2026 was primarily driven by a -9.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 47.33 | 46.81 | -1.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 475 | 532 | 12.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 11.5 | 10.5 | -9.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 115 | 119 | -3.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -1.1% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FROG | -1.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 21.6% |
| Sector (XLK) | 12.3% | 27.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 46.3% change in FROG stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 25.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 32.00 | 46.81 | 46.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 428 | 532 | 24.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 8.4 | 10.5 | 25.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 112 | 119 | -5.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 46.3% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FROG | 46.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 35.8% |
| Sector (XLK) | 53.8% | 38.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 137.6% change in FROG stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 89.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 19.70 | 46.81 | 137.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 280 | 532 | 89.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 7.1 | 10.5 | 47.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 100 | 119 | -15.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 137.6% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FROG | 137.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 33.9% |
| Sector (XLK) | 113.5% | 34.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FROG Return | -53% | -28% | 62% | -15% | 112% | -26% | -27% |
| Peers Return | 24% | -31% | 52% | 24% | 18% | -10% | 72% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 3% | 88% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FROG Win Rate | 17% | 42% | 50% | 50% | 75% | 25% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 32% | 65% | 67% | 47% | 45% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FROG Max Drawdown | -55% | -43% | -17% | -29% | -5% | -44% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -10% | -40% | -13% | -10% | -20% | -25% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: GTLB, MSFT, AMZN, GOOGL, IBM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/22/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FROG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -75.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 312.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to GTLB, MSFT, AMZN, GOOGL, IBM
In The Past
JFrog's stock fell -75.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/27/2021. A -75.8% loss requires a 312.8% gain to breakeven.
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About JFrog (FROG)
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GitHub for compiled software packages.
Amazon Logistics for software supply chains.
Tesla's automated factory for software development.
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- JFrog Artifactory: A package repository that allows teams and organizations to store, update, and manage their software packages at any scale.
- JFrog Pipelines: An integration/continuous delivery tool for automating and orchestrating the movement of software packages.
- JFrog Xray: Scans JFrog Artifactory for security vulnerabilities and license compliance.
- JFrog Distribution: Provides software package distribution with enterprise-grade performance.
- JFrog Artifactory Edge: Utilizes and leverages metadata from JFrog Artifactory to facilitate the transfer of incremental changes in software packages.
- JFrog Mission Control: A platform control panel that provides a comprehensive view of an organization's software supply chain workflow.
- JFrog Insight: A DevOps intelligence tool for analytics and reporting.
- JFrog Connect: A device management solution that allows companies to manage software updates and monitor performance across IoT device fleets.
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JFrog (FROG) sells its DevOps platform and related products primarily to other companies and organizations.
While the provided background does not list specific customer company names, it identifies its major customers as organizations within the following sectors:
- Technology organizations
- Financial services organizations
- Retail organizations
- Healthcare organizations
- Telecommunications organizations
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Shlomi Ben Haim, Co-Founder and CEO
Shlomi Ben Haim is a co-founder and has served as CEO of JFrog since April 2008 and Chairman of the board of directors since January 2020. He has over 20 years of experience building profitable, high-growth information technology companies. Prior to co-founding JFrog, he was the CEO of AlphaCSP Ltd. (AlphaCSP), a company implementing software applications that was acquired by Malam Group in 2005. He served as CEO of AlphaCSP from June 2006 to June 2009. He also served in the Israeli Air Force, reaching the rank of Major.
Ed Grabscheid, Chief Financial Officer
Ed Grabscheid is the Chief Financial Officer at JFrog, overseeing global finance, treasury, and investor relations. He is a seasoned finance leader with over 25 years of experience driving growth and value at high-performing technology companies. Prior to JFrog, Ed has experience leading both private and public company finance teams and has successfully guided organizations from startup to IPO.
Yoav Landman, Co-Founder and CTO
Yoav Landman is a co-founder and the CTO of JFrog. He is recognized as the visionary behind Artifactory, JFrog's universal artifact repository manager. Before co-founding JFrog in April 2008, he spent over a decade as a senior consultant specializing in Distributed Computing and Enterprise Build Systems. He also held various senior technical roles in global organizations, including senior consultant at AlphaCSP and senior developer at Attunity, Verve, and Sausage.
Gal Marder, Chief Strategy Officer
Gal Marder brings over 20 years of experience across various tech leadership positions. He joined JFrog in 2018 through the acquisition of Trainologic, a cutting-edge DevOps technology consulting company he co-founded and served as CEO. After the acquisition, Marder initially served as VP of DevOps Acceleration, scaling and leading the team providing solutions engineering and professional services. In his current role, he leads the company's strategic direction, including exploring new market opportunities, cultivating partnerships, and pursuing M&A initiatives.
Tali Notman, Chief Revenue Officer
Tali Notman has served as JFrog's Chief Revenue Officer since January 2019. She has been instrumental in running the Sales team at JFrog from the company's early days, developing the sales funnel, building a global sales team, and establishing customer and partner relationships. Before joining JFrog, she held executive Human Resources roles at companies including AlphaCSP, Malam, the Prime Minister's Office, and SQLink.
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Key Risks to JFrog's Business
- Intense Competition, particularly from Cloud Hyperscalers and Version Control System (VCS) Providers: JFrog faces significant competition from major cloud providers, such as Amazon Web Services (AWS) with CodeArtifact and Google Cloud with Artifact Registry, which bundle repository services within their existing ecosystems and leverage established enterprise relationships. Additionally, strong competition comes from VCS providers like GitHub (owned by Microsoft) and GitLab, who represent a major entry point into the software release management pipeline and can up-sell into other functions like CI/CD, package storage, and code security. The market for DevOps and DevSecOps tools is also seeing consolidation, with larger entities directly competing with JFrog's offerings. This competitive landscape can impact JFrog's market position, pricing power, and ability to expand its customer base.
- Disruption from AI-native Tools and Evolving Software Security Paradigms: The emergence of AI-native tools for code security and vulnerability detection, such as Anthropic's Claude Code Security, poses a risk to JFrog's traditional security models. There is a concern that if AI can detect vulnerabilities earlier in the coding process, enterprises might perceive a reduced need for JFrog's downstream package-level controls and incremental security modules, potentially slowing their adoption. There's also a longer-term fear that AI platforms could expand into artifact scanning, directly overlapping with JFrog's core portfolio. While JFrog is actively integrating AI into its offerings, for example, through its acquisition of Qwak AI to embed MLOps into its platform, the rapid evolution and potential "platform creep" of AI tools present a significant challenge to JFrog's market position and product strategy.
- Dependence on Large Enterprise Contracts and Exposure to Macroeconomic Headwinds: JFrog's business model is significantly reliant on large enterprise customers and multi-year contracts, which introduces risks related to customer concentration and the timing of substantial deals. Delays, renegotiations, or the loss of these large contracts can adversely affect JFrog's financial performance. Furthermore, the company is susceptible to global economic conditions, such as inflation, recession, and rising interest rates, which can lead to enterprises tightening their IT budgets, extending cloud migration timelines, and scrutinizing investments in DevOps projects. Such macroeconomic pressures can negatively impact JFrog's revenue growth, customer expansion, and overall financial results.
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The increasing maturity and comprehensive nature of native DevOps platform offerings from major cloud providers (such as AWS CodeArtifact, CodePipeline, Azure Artifacts, Azure Pipelines, Google Cloud Artifact Registry, and Cloud Build). These deeply integrated services directly compete with JFrog's core products like Artifactory and Pipelines, and present an alternative, cloud-native approach to managing the software supply chain. For organizations committed to a single cloud ecosystem, these native tools offer the potential for simplified procurement, tighter integration with other cloud services, and perceived cost efficiencies, potentially reducing the need for a specialized, cloud-agnostic platform.
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JFrog Ltd. (FROG) operates within several significant addressable markets related to its DevOps platform and associated services. The company's unified Software Supply Chain Platform addresses a total addressable market (TAM) estimated to be over $40 billion globally. For its main products and services, the addressable market sizes are: * **DevOps Platforms (encompassing a broad range of JFrog's offerings):** The global DevOps Platforms market is estimated to reach approximately USD 8.0-16.0 billion in 2025, with projections suggesting growth to a valuation of USD 103.21 billion by 2034. * **Artifact Management (for products like JFrog Artifactory):** The global artifact repository market is projected to grow from $1.61 billion in 2025 to $1.85 billion in 2026, and is estimated to reach $3.24 billion by 2030. The broader Repository Management Software market was valued at $9.14 billion globally in 2025. * **Continuous Integration/Continuous Delivery (CI/CD) (for JFrog Pipelines):** The global CI/CD market is projected to reach approximately $15 billion by 2028, with some estimates suggesting it could reach around $45 billion by 2033. The Continuous Integration & Delivery (CI/CD) tools market is also projected to reach approximately US$19 billion by 2031 globally. * **Software Supply Chain Security (for JFrog Xray):** The global Software Supply Chain Security Market was valued at USD 5.83 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 13 billion by the end of 2030. Another estimate places the market size at USD 5.53 billion in 2025, forecasting growth to USD 10.10 billion by 2030. * **IoT Device Management (for JFrog Connect):** The global IoT device management market size was estimated at USD 8.84 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 43.82 billion by 2033. The market is expected to reach USD 27.94 billion by 2031. North America alone is predicted to generate USD 2 billion in revenue for this market by 2028.AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for JFrog (FROG) over the next 2-3 years:1. Strong Cloud Growth and Migration: JFrog anticipates continued robust growth in its cloud business, driven by increasing customer usage and an ongoing trend of customers migrating from self-managed subscriptions to hybrid or multi-cloud environments. The company projects cloud growth of 30-32% for 2026.
2. Deepening Enterprise Adoption and Platform Consolidation: Large enterprises are increasingly adopting the comprehensive JFrog platform, recognizing its critical role in the software supply chain. Revenue from JFrog's premium Enterprise+ offering has steadily grown, representing over 56% of total revenue in Q3 FY2025, indicating deeper integration and consolidation of tools within customer environments.
3. Expansion into Security, Compliance, and Governance (DevSecOps/DevGovOps): JFrog has strategically expanded its platform to include security, compliance, and governance functionalities. Products like JFrog Advanced Security and JFrog Curation are expected to contribute materially to revenue. The company emphasizes its strong position in binary security and governance, which are crucial for deployed code.
4. Growth in AI/MLOps and Securing AI Models: JFrog is focusing on securing AI models and Machine Learning Operations (MLOps) development as a significant future growth area. The company's acquisition of Qwak AI in 2024 aims to unify DevOps, DevSecOps, and MLOps within a single platform, and a notable AI customer is already contributing over $1 million in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR). MLOps is projected to be a rapidly expanding market, adding substantial potential to JFrog by 2030.
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Share Repurchases
- On February 26, 2026, JFrog's Board of Directors authorized a share repurchase program of up to $300 million of its outstanding ordinary shares.
- The program is expected to be funded with existing cash on hand and future cash generated from operations.
- Repurchases may occur through various methods, including open market purchases or privately negotiated transactions, and the program is discretionary and can be suspended or discontinued.
Share Issuance
- JFrog's shares outstanding have shown an increasing trend, with 0.116 billion shares outstanding in 2025, a 5.93% increase from 2024.
- In 2024, shares outstanding were 0.11 billion, an increase of 6.17% from 2023, and in 2023, they were 0.103 billion, a 4.11% increase from 2022.
- Historically, JFrog has funded its operations and capital expenditures in part through equity issuances.
Outbound Investments
- In June 2024, JFrog acquired Qwak for $230 million to expand its capabilities in AI and MLOps (Machine Learning Operations).
- In September 2021, JFrog acquired Upswift to integrate connected device management and over-the-air (OTA) updates for IoT devices into its platform.
- In July 2021, JFrog completed the acquisition of Vdoo Connected Trust Ltd. for approximately $300 million, comprised of cash and JFrog ordinary shares, to enhance its security offerings and DevSecOps capabilities.
Capital Expenditures
- JFrog's capital expenditures for fiscal year 2025 totaled $4.33 million.
- Capital expenditures were $3.14 million in fiscal year 2024 and $1.98 million in fiscal year 2023.
- The company focuses on balancing these investments with growth, particularly in areas like R&D and sales.
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Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 253.61 |
| Mkt Cap | 1,485.4 |
| Rev LTM | 186,494 |
| Op Inc LTM | 46,234 |
| FCF LTM | 9,575 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 18,021 |
| CFO LTM | 76,354 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 63,484 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 15.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 13.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 17.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.2% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 18.9% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 20.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 14.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 25.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 20.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1,485.4 |
| P/S | 7.1 |
| P/Op Inc | 20.7 |
| P/EBIT | 20.4 |
| P/E | 24.6 |
| P/CFO | 19.8 |
| Total Yield | 3.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.3% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 11.1% |
| 3M Rtn | -7.9% |
| 6M Rtn | -6.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 33.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 126.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -11.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -12.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -1.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 50.9% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $46.81 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 5.6 | |
| First Trading Date | 09/16/2020 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -32.1% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $44.36 | $50.25 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | down |
| Distance from DMA | 5.5% | -6.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 85.0% | 62.6% |
| Downside Capture | 0.46 | 0.53 |
| Upside Capture | 44.68 | 136.42 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 10.8% | 23.8% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.24 | 0.81 | 0.76 | 1.25 | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Up Beta | -1.18 | 1.15 | 0.48 | 0.52 | 1.15 | 1.18 |
| Down Beta | 0.74 | 1.62 | 0.92 | 1.23 | 1.23 | 1.39 |
| Up Capture | 400% | -32% | -25% | 141% | 150% | 211% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 13 | 24 | 32 | 65 | 131 | 386 |
| Down Capture | 13% | 76% | 131% | 128% | 104% | 104% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 18 | 31 | 61 | 119 | 363 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FROG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FROG | 53.8% | 62.6% | 0.94 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 69.4% | 20.7% | 2.44 | 29.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 26.7% | 12.5% | 1.77 | 24.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 38.9% | 27.4% | 1.19 | -6.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 23.5% | 16.2% | 1.32 | -2.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 15.6% | 13.6% | 0.82 | 7.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -12.8% | 42.6% | -0.21 | 16.6% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FROG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FROG | -2.7% | 55.7% | 0.17 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 18.0% | 24.7% | 0.65 | 41.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 10.5% | 17.1% | 0.48 | 39.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.5% | 17.8% | 0.99 | 2.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.7% | 18.8% | 0.47 | 7.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.6% | 18.8% | 0.09 | 27.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 3.8% | 56.4% | 0.29 | 15.3% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FROG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FROG | -3.4% | 56.5% | 0.11 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 23.0% | 24.3% | 0.86 | 40.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.8% | 17.9% | 0.66 | 38.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.9% | 15.9% | 0.73 | 3.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.1% | 17.6% | 0.38 | 7.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 26.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.1% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 11.6% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/12/2026 | -3.0% | -29.2% | -19.2% |
| 11/6/2025 | 27.0% | 26.1% | 45.6% |
| 8/7/2025 | 12.5% | 10.2% | 30.0% |
| 5/8/2025 | 10.6% | 22.4% | 20.4% |
| 2/13/2025 | 5.5% | 2.2% | -8.9% |
| 11/7/2024 | -5.4% | -4.2% | -5.9% |
| 8/7/2024 | -27.5% | -23.9% | -19.6% |
| 5/9/2024 | -18.7% | -19.0% | -19.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| # Negative | 12 | 12 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 11.5% | 13.6% | 20.4% |
| Median Negative | -6.2% | -13.7% | -18.2% |
| Max Positive | 28.4% | 28.6% | 45.6% |
| Max Negative | -27.5% | -29.2% | -22.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/13/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/14/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/10/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/15/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/09/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/09/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/12/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Revenue | 146.00 Mil | 147.00 Mil | 148.00 Mil | 6.9% | Higher New | Guidance: 137.50 Mil for Q4 2025 | |
| Q1 2026 Non-GAAP Operating Income | 25.00 Mil | 25.50 Mil | 26.00 Mil | 18.6% | Higher New | Guidance: 21.50 Mil for Q4 2025 | |
| Q1 2026 Non-GAAP Net Income Per Diluted Share | 0.2 | 0.21 | 0.22 | 10.5% | Higher New | Guidance: 0.19 for Q4 2025 | |
| 2026 Revenue | 623.00 Mil | 625.50 Mil | 628.00 Mil | 19.4% | Higher New | Guidance: 524.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Non-GAAP Operating Income | 106.00 Mil | 107.00 Mil | 108.00 Mil | 21.9% | Higher New | Guidance: 87.80 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Non-GAAP Net Income Per Diluted Share | 0.88 | 0.9 | 0.92 | 13.9% | Higher New | Guidance: 0.79 for 2025 | |
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/6/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Revenue | 136.50 Mil | 137.50 Mil | 138.50 Mil | ||||
| Q4 2025 Non-GAAP Operating Income | 21.00 Mil | 21.50 Mil | 22.00 Mil | ||||
| Q4 2025 Non-GAAP Net Income Per Diluted Share | 0.18 | 0.19 | 0.2 | ||||
| 2025 Revenue | 523.00 Mil | 524.00 Mil | 525.00 Mil | 3.0% | Raised | Guidance: 508.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Non-GAAP Operating Income | 87.30 Mil | 87.80 Mil | 88.30 Mil | 14.8% | Raised | Guidance: 76.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Non-GAAP Net Income Per Diluted Share | 0.78 | 0.79 | 0.8 | 14.5% | Raised | Guidance: 0.69 for 2025 | |
Industry Resources
| Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Resources |
| The Verge |
| TechRadar |
| Tom’s Hardware |
| PCMag |
| CNET |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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