DigitalOcean (DOCN)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $46.02 | Market Cap: $4.2 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Internet Services & Infrastructure
DigitalOcean (DOCN)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $46.02Market Cap: $4.2 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Internet Services & Infrastructure
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.9% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -0.2%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -7.4% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing. Themes include Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS), and Platform as a Service (PaaS). |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.9% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing. Themes include Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS), and Platform as a Service (PaaS). |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -0.2%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -7.4% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
DOCN Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining DigitalOcean's (DOCN) stock movement from approximately August 31, 2025, to today:
1. DigitalOcean Exceeded Q3 2025 Financial Expectations. The company reported robust third-quarter results that surpassed analyst consensus estimates for both adjusted earnings per share and revenue. DigitalOcean's non-GAAP earnings per share reached $0.54, exceeding the consensus estimate of $0.49, and revenue was approximately $230 million, beating the $227 million consensus forecast.
2. The Company Raised Its Full-Year 2025 and 2026 Guidance. Following strong Q3 performance, DigitalOcean increased its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to between $896 million and $897 million, surpassing the previous consensus estimate. Furthermore, the company indicated it expects to achieve its 2027 growth target of 18%-20% in 2026, a year ahead of schedule, reflecting accelerated momentum.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DOCN Return | - | - | -68% | 44% | -7% | 31% | -44% |
| Peers Return | 1090% | 36% | -45% | 222% | 4% | -0% | 2860% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DOCN Win Rate | - | 67% | 25% | 67% | 42% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 48% | 37% | 63% | 52% | 56% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DOCN Max Drawdown | - | - | -71% | -22% | -26% | -24% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -24% | -22% | -53% | -7% | -26% | -27% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRSN, GDDY, AKAM, MARA, CLSK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DOCN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -84.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 557.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to VRSN, GDDY, AKAM, MARA, CLSK
In The Past
DigitalOcean's stock fell -84.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/16/2021. A -84.8% loss requires a 557.2% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to DOCN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| 08312023 | DOCN | DigitalOcean | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 40.2% | 38.4% | -26.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| 08312023 | DOCN | DigitalOcean | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 40.2% | 38.4% | -26.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for DigitalOcean
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 66.93 |
| Mkt Cap | 8.6 |
| Rev LTM | 1,273 |
| Op Inc LTM | 394 |
| FCF LTM | 428 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 429 |
| CFO LTM | 678 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 601 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 11.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 11.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 12.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 16.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 33.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 31.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 16.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 8.6 |
| P/S | 4.4 |
| P/EBIT | 15.2 |
| P/E | 16.9 |
| P/CFO | 8.4 |
| Total Yield | 6.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.2% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 3.2% |
| 12M Rtn | -3.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 57.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -3.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -11.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -16.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -3.8% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2252025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11042024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5102024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2212024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8112023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2222023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Butte Amy | 6112025 | Sell | 29.06 | 5,417 | 157,418 | 900,860 | Form | |
| 1 | Access Industries Holdings LLC | 6062025 | Sell | 28.60 | 1,509,444 | 43,170,098 | 631,278,677 | Form | |
| 2 | D'Angelo Lawrence M. | Chief Revenue Officer | 2192025 | Sell | 45.00 | 10,551 | 474,795 | 6,112,800 | Form |
| 3 | Steinfort Matt | Chief Financial Officer | 12062024 | Sell | 40.00 | 12,498 | 499,920 | 20,699,920 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |