Tearsheet

DigitalOcean (DOCN)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $47.86 | Market Cap: $4.4 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Internet Services & Infrastructure

DigitalOcean (DOCN)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $47.86
Market Cap: $4.4 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Internet Services & Infrastructure

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.9%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -2.1%
 
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
 
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing. Themes include Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS), and Platform as a Service (PaaS).
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.9%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing. Themes include Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS), and Platform as a Service (PaaS).
3 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -2.1%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DOCN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period (8/31/2025 to 12/15/2025) is in the future, and therefore, I cannot provide an analysis of DigitalOcean's (DOCN) stock movement for that specific timeframe. However, I can provide insights into recent historical factors that have influenced DigitalOcean's stock performance based on available information up to my last knowledge update. Here are some key points regarding DigitalOcean's stock movements in the recent past:

1. Strong Q4 2022 Revenue Growth and EPS Beat: DigitalOcean reported strong Q4 FY2022 results, beating Wall Street's expectations with revenue up 36.2% year-over-year to $163 million and non-GAAP EPS of $0.28, a 44% beat against analyst estimates. This positive performance contributed to an increase in the stock price, with shares soaring over 18% in premarket trading following the announcement.

2. Underwhelming Guidance for Q1 and Full Year 2023: Despite the strong Q4 results, the company's guidance for Q1 2023 and the full fiscal year 2023 was less impressive. Revenue guidance for Q1 2023 came in at $164 million at the midpoint, 2.71% below analyst estimates. Similarly, management's revenue guidance for FY2023 at $710 million at the midpoint missed analyst estimates by 4.04% and predicted slower growth compared to FY2022.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DOCN Return-68%44%-7%44%
Peers Return39%34%-30%54%27%19%203%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DOCN Win Rate67%25%67%42%67% 
Peers Win Rate67%68%28%70%60%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DOCN Max Drawdown-71%-22%-26%-24% 
Peers Max Drawdown-15%-7%-38%-5%-9%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMZN, MSFT, GOOGL, AKAM, ORCL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDOCNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-84.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven557.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to VRSN, GDDY, AKAM, MARA, CLSK


In The Past

DigitalOcean's stock fell -84.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/16/2021. A -84.8% loss requires a 557.2% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About DigitalOcean (DOCN)

Better Bets than DigitalOcean (DOCN)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DOCN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.7%11.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.8%5.8%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.6%11.6%0.0%
DOCN_8312023_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE08312023DOCNDigitalOceanDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
40.2%38.4%-26.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.7%11.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.8%5.8%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.6%11.6%0.0%
DOCN_8312023_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE08312023DOCNDigitalOceanDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
40.2%38.4%-26.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for DigitalOcean

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DOCNAMZNMSFTGOOGLAKAMORCLMedian
NameDigitalO.Amazon.c.MicrosoftAlphabet Akamai T.Oracle  
Mkt Price47.66226.19478.53309.2985.88189.97208.08
Mkt Cap4.32,406.03,556.93,738.112.3805.51,605.7
Rev LTM864670,038293,812385,4774,13361,017177,414
Op Inc LTM15176,190135,937124,07763719,49047,840
FCF LTM13813,48178,01773,552718-13,1817,100
FCF 3Y Avg11821,67771,30268,9987402,15511,916
CFO LTM324121,137147,039151,4241,49622,29671,716
CFO 3Y Avg27896,977121,384120,9901,45419,87458,425

Growth & Margins

DOCNAMZNMSFTGOOGLAKAMORCLMedian
NameDigitalO.Amazon.c.MicrosoftAlphabet Akamai T.Oracle  
Rev Chg LTM14.2%10.9%15.6%13.4%4.2%11.1%12.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg17.6%11.3%13.2%11.0%4.8%9.8%11.2%
Rev Chg Q15.7%13.3%18.4%15.9%5.0%14.2%15.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.7%3.0%4.3%3.8%1.2%3.4%3.6%
Op Mgn LTM17.4%11.4%46.3%32.2%15.4%31.9%24.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.4%7.9%44.6%29.9%16.8%30.8%23.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.8%0.3%0.6%-0.5%0.0%0.3%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM37.5%18.1%50.0%39.3%36.2%36.5%37.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg36.1%15.8%47.2%35.3%36.8%35.5%35.8%
FCF/Rev LTM15.9%2.0%26.6%19.1%17.4%-21.6%16.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg15.4%3.5%28.0%20.5%18.7%5.1%17.1%

Valuation

DOCNAMZNMSFTGOOGLAKAMORCLMedian
NameDigitalO.Amazon.c.MicrosoftAlphabet Akamai T.Oracle  
Mkt Cap4.32,406.03,556.93,738.112.3805.51,605.7
P/S3.63.513.17.62.613.25.6
P/EBIT14.527.429.619.315.8-19.3
P/E12.433.136.723.621.552.228.4
P/CFO9.619.326.219.47.336.119.3
Total Yield8.1%3.0%3.4%4.6%4.7%2.6%4.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%0.0%0.7%0.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.2%1.1%2.3%3.3%5.4%-3.3%
D/E0.50.10.00.00.5-0.1
Net D/E0.40.0-0.0-0.00.4-0.0

Returns

DOCNAMZNMSFTGOOGLAKAMORCLMedian
NameDigitalO.Amazon.c.MicrosoftAlphabet Akamai T.Oracle  
1M Rtn4.0%-3.6%-6.2%12.0%-1.5%-14.8%-2.6%
3M Rtn33.5%-0.9%-6.0%28.5%11.8%-34.9%5.5%
6M Rtn78.0%6.6%1.1%77.3%11.5%-11.4%9.1%
12M Rtn25.0%-0.6%7.8%63.6%-13.5%10.7%9.2%
3Y Rtn69.3%155.7%96.8%243.0%0.3%146.2%121.5%
1M Excs Rtn-1.1%-7.0%-5.9%8.3%-4.3%-16.0%-5.1%
3M Excs Rtn25.7%-5.5%-10.2%19.8%9.1%-40.2%1.8%
6M Excs Rtn63.7%-7.6%-13.1%63.1%-2.7%-25.6%-5.2%
12M Excs Rtn11.3%-12.6%-4.4%54.6%-26.2%-5.2%-4.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-2.1%82.1%27.0%154.7%-77.8%76.7%51.8%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9,938,810
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520252.8%
Average Daily Volume1,642,708
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.05
Basic Shares Quantity91,191,000
Short % of Basic Shares10.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/202518.0%28.8%24.4%
8/5/202528.9%9.4%18.6%
5/6/2025-13.8%-3.5%-8.8%
2/25/20259.8%8.6%2.2%
11/4/2024-13.5%-5.7%-4.8%
8/8/202411.9%25.8%33.6%
5/10/202410.2%14.5%12.6%
2/21/20248.7%4.1%11.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111111
# Negative777
Median Positive11.4%13.9%18.6%
Median Negative-5.6%-5.0%-10.6%
Max Positive28.9%35.0%44.9%
Max Negative-24.8%-25.0%-42.7%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241104202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023811202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221107202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Butte Amy 6112025Sell29.065,417157,418900,860Form
1Access Industries Holdings LLC 6062025Sell28.601,509,44443,170,098631,278,677Form
2D'Angelo Lawrence M.Chief Revenue Officer2192025Sell45.0010,551474,7956,112,800Form
3Steinfort MattChief Financial Officer12062024Sell40.0012,498499,92020,699,920Form