Celestica (CLS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $306.8 | Market Cap: $35.3 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Electronic Components
Celestica (CLS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $306.8Market Cap: $35.3 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Electronic Components
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 157%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 245% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, and Telecom Infrastructure. | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 177% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, and Telecom Infrastructure. |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 157%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 245% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 177% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CLS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
**1. Strong Financial Performance and Exceeding Guidance**
Celestica reported very strong financial results for Q3 2025, with revenue reaching $3.19 billion, an increase of 28% compared to Q3 2024. Adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS) were $1.58, up 52% year-over-year, both exceeding the high end of guidance ranges. The company also achieved a record adjusted operating margin of 7.6% in Q3 2025.
**2. Raised Annual Outlooks for 2025 and 2026**
Driven by robust performance, Celestica increased its 2025 annual revenue outlook to $12.2 billion and its adjusted EPS outlook to $5.90. Furthermore, the company provided a strong 2026 annual outlook, projecting revenue of $16.0 billion and adjusted EPS of $8.20, reflecting continued positive momentum.
**3. Robust Demand in Connectivity & Cloud Solutions (CCS) Segment and AI Investments**
The Connectivity & Cloud Solutions (CCS) segment experienced very strong growth, with revenue increasing 43% compared to Q3 2024. This growth was largely driven by significant investments from hyperscale customers in AI data center infrastructure and new AI program awards, including 1.6T program wins.
**4. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Target Increases**
During this period, numerous investment analysts issued positive reports, upgrading ratings and/or significantly increasing their price targets for Celestica's stock. This led to a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" or "Strong Buy" among analysts, indicating high confidence in the company's future performance.
**5. Strong Revenue and EPS Growth in Prior Periods**
Celestica demonstrated consistent strong growth leading up to this period, with full-year 2024 non-GAAP adjusted EPS growing 58% year-over-year. This consistent performance and positive trajectory set a strong foundation for continued investor confidence.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CLS Return | -2% | 38% | 1% | 160% | 215% | 230% | 3579% |
| Peers Return | 11% | 19% | 31% | 44% | 47% | 79% | 557% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CLS Win Rate | 58% | 67% | 50% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 47% | 64% | 44% | 53% | 72% | 67% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CLS Max Drawdown | -66% | -12% | -26% | -6% | -6% | -28% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -46% | -4% | -16% | -9% | -5% | -22% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GLW, BELFA, BLTG, EIL, APH.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CLS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -35.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 55.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 109 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -69.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 223.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 327 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -57.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 136.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1393 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -73.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 276.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 190 days | 1480 days |
Compare to GLW, BELFA, BLTG, EIL, APH
In The Past
Celestica's stock fell -35.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/1/2022. A -35.6% loss requires a 55.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CLS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Celestica
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 139.00 |
| Mkt Cap | 53.5 |
| Rev LTM | 13,098 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,477 |
| FCF LTM | 780 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 564 |
| CFO LTM | 1,409 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,238 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 22.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 36.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 7.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 13.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 12.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 53.5 |
| P/S | 3.6 |
| P/EBIT | 30.0 |
| P/E | 39.6 |
| P/CFO | 32.3 |
| Total Yield | 3.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.4% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 23.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 88.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 82.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 284.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 16.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 74.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 70.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 214.3% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity & Cloud Solutions (CCS) | 4,641 | 4,271 | 3,320 | 3,662 | 3,603 |
| Advanced Technology Solutions (ATS) | 3,320 | 2,979 | 2,315 | 2,086 | 2,286 |
| Total | 7,961 | 7,250 | 5,635 | 5,748 | 5,888 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity & Cloud Solutions (CCS) | 287 | 217 | 129 | 129 | 94 |
| Advanced Technology Solutions (ATS) | 155 | 141 | 105 | 70 | 64 |
| Foreign currency forward contracts transitional adjustments | 1 | ||||
| Total Return Swap (TRS) Fair Value Adjustments (FVA):losses(gains) | 0 | 0 | |||
| Restructuring and other charges, net of recoveries | -12 | ||||
| Amortization of intangible assets (excluding computer software) | -37 | -37 | -22 | -22 | -25 |
| Employee Stock-Based Compensation (SBC) expense | -56 | -51 | -33 | -26 | -34 |
| Other charges, net of recoveries | -7 | -10 | -24 | 50 | |
| Total | 338 | 263 | 168 | 128 | 149 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10272025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7282025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4242025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3032025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10232024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7252024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4252024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3112024 | 20-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10262023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7272023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4272023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3132023 | 20-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10252022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7262022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4282022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3142022 | 20-F 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | KOELLNER LAURETTE T | 10302025 | Buy | 339.68 | 700 | 237,776 | 237,776 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |