Tearsheet

Applied Digital (APLD)


Market Price (11/14/2025): $22.36 | Market Cap: $5.7 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: IT Consulting & Other Services

Applied Digital (APLD)


Market Price (11/14/2025): $22.36
Market Cap: $5.7 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: IT Consulting & Other Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Crypto & Blockchain. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, High-Performance Computing (HPC) Hosting, Show more.
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -46 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -31%
1   Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 40x
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 313%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 222%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -82%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -676%
4   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 429%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.3%
6   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 128%
7   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 31%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Crypto & Blockchain. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, High-Performance Computing (HPC) Hosting, Show more.
1 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -46 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -31%
2 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 40x
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 313%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 222%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -82%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -676%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 429%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.3%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 128%
8 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 31%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

APLD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points highlighting why Applied Digital (APLD) stock moved by 75.5% from approximately July 31, 2025, to November 14, 2025:

1. Strong Q4 2025 Earnings and Confirmation of Major AI Contracts: Applied Digital reported better-than-expected fiscal Q4 2025 results at the end of July, with a narrower non-GAAP net loss of $0.03 per share against an anticipated $0.14 loss, and revenues of $38.01 million surpassing estimates. This performance, combined with the confirmation of a substantial contract with CoreWeave, initially valued at $7 billion and later expanded to approximately $11 billion for 400 megawatts (MW) at its Polaris Forge campus, solidified the company's pivot and growing presence in the AI infrastructure sector.

2. Announcement of Polaris Forge 2 AI Factory Expansion: In August 2025, Applied Digital announced plans to break ground in September 2025 on Polaris Forge 2, a new $3 billion, 280-MW AI Factory near Harwood, North Dakota. This significant expansion further signaled the company's commitment to and growth in the high-performance computing and AI data center market, positively impacting investor sentiment.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
APLD Return389%11803%-56%266%13%202%320178%
Peers Return-1%2%-1%5%-16%-31%-39%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%109%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
APLD Win Rate50%75%58%58%42%70% 
Peers Win Rate7%13%7%16%15%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
APLD Max Drawdown-1%-22%-79%-3%-65%-55% 
Peers Max Drawdown-9%-1%-3%-0%-20%-48% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GIB, ARBB, GLE, GMM, LZMH.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/13/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAPLDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-82.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven475.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven307 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-67.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven208.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven127 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-89.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven880.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven412 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-91.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1100.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven230 days1480 days

Compare to GIB, ARBB, GLE, GMM, LZMH


In The Past

Applied Digital's stock fell -82.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/26/2021. A -82.6% loss requires a 475.0% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Applied Digital (APLD)

Better Bets than Applied Digital (APLD)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to APLD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.0%-5.0%-5.2%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.4%-1.4%-3.5%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.0%-1.0%-3.9%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.0%1.0%-1.3%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
6.2%6.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.0%-5.0%-5.2%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.4%-1.4%-3.5%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.0%-1.0%-3.9%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.0%1.0%-1.3%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
6.2%6.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Applied Digital

Financials

APLDGIBARBBGLEGMMLZMHMedian
NameApplied .CGI ARB IOT Global E.Global M.LZ Techn. 
Mkt Price23.0687.756.830.481.663.154.99
Mkt Cap5.919.3----12.6
Rev LTM14815,913----8,030
Op Inc LTM-462,612----1,283
FCF LTM-9981,964----483
FCF 3Y Avg-4381,904----733
CFO LTM-1222,234----1,056
CFO 3Y Avg-472,184----1,068

Growth & Margins

APLDGIBARBBGLEGMMLZMHMedian
NameApplied .CGI ARB IOT Global E.Global M.LZ Techn. 
Rev Chg LTM9.3%8.4%----8.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg172.2%7.4%----89.8%
Rev Chg Q84.3%9.7%----47.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM24.8%2.3%----13.5%
Op Mgn LTM-31.3%16.4%-----7.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-29.8%16.4%-----6.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-10.5%0.1%-----5.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-82.3%14.0%-----34.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-25.8%14.6%-----5.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-675.5%12.3%-----331.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-316.0%12.7%-----151.6%

Valuation

APLDGIBARBBGLEGMMLZMHMedian
NameApplied .CGI ARB IOT Global E.Global M.LZ Techn. 
Mkt Cap5.919.3----12.6
P/S40.01.2----20.6
P/EBIT-34.98.2-----13.4
P/E-24.211.6-----6.3
P/CFO-48.68.6-----20.0
Total Yield-4.1%8.6%----2.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-16.5%8.5%-----4.0%
D/E0.10.2----0.2
Net D/E0.10.2----0.1

Returns

APLDGIBARBBGLEGMMLZMHMedian
NameApplied .CGI ARB IOT Global E.Global M.LZ Techn. 
1M Rtn-34.2%-2.7%-1.9%-28.5%-16.2%-0.6%-9.4%
3M Rtn58.5%-6.5%46.3%-21.4%-26.5%-10.3%-8.4%
6M Rtn312.5%-18.5%-25.3%-73.9%-39.4%-76.2%-32.4%
12M Rtn221.6%-21.4%-33.9%-87.7%-64.9%--33.9%
3Y Rtn881.3%6.6%----443.9%
1M Excs Rtn-39.9%0.5%3.0%-28.5%-17.2%-1.6%-9.4%
3M Excs Rtn59.2%-11.1%43.4%-27.7%-30.7%-10.1%-10.6%
6M Excs Rtn298.7%-32.4%-39.2%-87.8%-53.3%-90.1%-46.2%
12M Excs Rtn192.0%-33.5%-50.9%-100.4%-84.1%--50.9%
3Y Excs Rtn801.1%-66.6%----367.3%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity79,167,828
Short Interest: % Change Since 101520254.7%
Average Daily Volume30,104,017
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.63
Basic Shares Quantity255,892,902
Short % of Basic Shares30.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/9/202516.0%25.1%5.8%
7/30/202531.0%47.5%65.5%
4/14/2025-35.9%-25.0%11.4%
1/14/2025-2.0%12.9%-7.4%
8/28/2024-13.4%21.8%85.7%
4/11/2024-11.7%-22.1%7.8%
1/16/2024-26.2%-35.0%-40.6%
10/10/202312.6%14.1%7.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive798
# Negative534
Median Positive13.7%21.8%34.5%
Median Negative-13.4%-25.0%-25.7%
Max Positive31.0%71.7%85.7%
Max Negative-35.9%-35.0%-40.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
83120251009202510-Q 8/31/2025
5312025730202510-K 5/31/2025
2282025414202510-Q 2/28/2025
11302024114202510-Q 11/30/2024
83120241009202410-Q 8/31/2024
5312024830202410-K 5/31/2024
2292024411202410-Q 2/29/2024
11302023116202410-Q 11/30/2023
83120231010202310-Q 8/31/2023
5312023802202310-K 5/31/2023
2282023406202310-Q 2/28/2023
11302022110202310-Q 11/30/2022
83120221012202210-Q 8/31/2022
5312022829202210-K 5/31/2022
2282022513202210-Q 2/28/2022
83120211062022S-1/A 8/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Mohmand Mohammad Saidal LaVanwayChief Financial Officer10282025Sell34.08100,0003,408,0005,415,721Form
1Nottenburg Richard N 10282025Sell33.2334,3751,142,2818,759,827Form
2Lee Rachel H. 10282025Sell33.2024,213803,8721,972,080Form