Tearsheet

Applied Digital (APLD)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $29.37 | Market Cap: $7.5 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: IT Consulting & Other Services

Applied Digital (APLD)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $29.37
Market Cap: $7.5 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: IT Consulting & Other Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Crypto & Blockchain. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, High-Performance Computing (HPC) Hosting, Show more.
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -46 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -31%
1  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 40x
2  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 122%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 207%
3  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -82%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -676%
4  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 429%
5  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.3%
6  High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 127%
7  Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 31%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Crypto & Blockchain. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, High-Performance Computing (HPC) Hosting, Show more.
1 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -46 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -31%
2 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 40x
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 122%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 207%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -82%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -676%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 429%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.3%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 127%
8 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 31%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

APLD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points highlighting why Applied Digital (APLD) stock moved by 83.7% in the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Significant Expansion of AI Data Center Leases with CoreWeave: Applied Digital secured and finalized transformative long-term lease agreements with AI hyperscaler CoreWeave. Initially, these agreements covered 250MW of IT load at the Polaris Forge 1 campus, projected to generate approximately $7 billion in contracted revenue over 15 years. An additional 150MW option was exercised by CoreWeave, increasing the total capacity to 400MW and the anticipated contracted revenue to roughly $11 billion over the same period, fundamentally reshaping Applied Digital's revenue profile and strategic position in the AI infrastructure market.

2. Strong Performance in Fiscal Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings: Although reported slightly before the requested period (July 30, 2025), the positive details of the Q4 2025 earnings report continued to influence market sentiment. Applied Digital reported a 41% year-over-year revenue increase to $38 million for the quarter and significantly surpassed analyst expectations with an Adjusted EPS of -$0.03 against forecasts ranging from -$0.14 to -$0.17.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
APLD Return389%11803%-56%266%13%267%389483%
Peers Return-19%7%-17%29%-24%-43%-60%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
APLD Win Rate50%75%58%58%42%70% 
Peers Win Rate38%54%38%67%46%35% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
APLD Max Drawdown-1%-22%-79%-3%-65%-55% 
Peers Max Drawdown-52%-13%-28%-7%-31%-47% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GIB, XRX, BAO, GBH, JAJI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAPLDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-82.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven475.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven307 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-67.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven208.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven127 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-89.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven880.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven412 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-91.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1100.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven230 days1480 days

Compare to GIB, XRX, BAO, GBH, JAJI


In The Past

Applied Digital's stock fell -82.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/26/2021. A -82.6% loss requires a 475.0% gain to breakeven.

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About Applied Digital (APLD)

Better Bets than Applied Digital (APLD)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to APLD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Applied Digital

Peers to compare with:

Financials

APLDGIBXRXBAOGBHJAJIMedian
NameApplied .CGI Xerox BAO Gigabit JAJI Glo. 
Mkt Price29.3689.512.71---29.36
Mkt Cap7.519.60.3---7.5
Rev LTM14815,9136,174---6,174
Op Inc LTM-462,612131---131
FCF LTM-9981,964302---302
FCF 3Y Avg-4381,904376---376
CFO LTM-1222,234367---367
CFO 3Y Avg-472,184425---425

Growth & Margins

APLDGIBXRXBAOGBHJAJIMedian
NameApplied .CGI Xerox BAO Gigabit JAJI Glo. 
Rev Chg LTM9.3%8.4%-5.0%---8.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg172.2%7.4%-3.7%---7.4%
Rev Chg Q84.3%9.7%-0.1%---9.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM24.8%2.3%-0.0%---2.3%
Op Mgn LTM-31.3%16.4%2.1%---2.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-29.8%16.4%3.7%---3.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-10.5%0.1%-0.6%----0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM-82.3%14.0%5.9%---5.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-25.8%14.6%6.5%---6.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-675.5%12.3%4.9%---4.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-316.0%12.7%5.7%---5.7%

Valuation

APLDGIBXRXBAOGBHJAJIMedian
NameApplied .CGI Xerox BAO Gigabit JAJI Glo. 
Mkt Cap7.519.60.3---7.5
P/S39.71.20.1---1.2
P/EBIT-34.88.3-0.6----0.6
P/E-24.111.8-0.5----0.5
P/CFO-48.38.81.8---1.8
Total Yield-4.2%8.5%-214.5%----4.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%---0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-16.5%8.5%31.5%---8.5%
D/E0.10.25.9---0.2
Net D/E0.10.25.3---0.2

Returns

APLDGIBXRXBAOGBHJAJIMedian
NameApplied .CGI Xerox BAO Gigabit JAJI Glo. 
1M Rtn-10.7%3.5%-15.8%----10.7%
3M Rtn104.2%-7.0%-28.2%----7.0%
6M Rtn121.6%-16.7%-45.7%----16.7%
12M Rtn206.8%-19.8%-67.3%----19.8%
3Y Rtn1,453.4%2.1%-80.1%---2.1%
1M Excs Rtn-10.6%3.5%-15.8%----10.6%
3M Excs Rtn99.5%-11.3%-35.0%----11.3%
6M Excs Rtn106.9%-31.5%-60.4%----31.5%
12M Excs Rtn177.1%-33.6%-81.9%----33.6%
3Y Excs Rtn1,295.2%-66.6%-151.3%----66.6%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity78,754,402
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-0.5%
Average Daily Volume26,685,007
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.95
Basic Shares Quantity255,892,902
Short % of Basic Shares30.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
83120251009202510-Q 8/31/2025
5312025730202510-K 5/31/2025
2282025414202510-Q 2/28/2025
11302024114202510-Q 11/30/2024
83120241009202410-Q 8/31/2024
5312024830202410-K 5/31/2024
2292024411202410-Q 2/29/2024
11302023116202410-Q 11/30/2023
83120231010202310-Q 8/31/2023
5312023802202310-K 5/31/2023
2282023406202310-Q 2/28/2023
11302022110202310-Q 11/30/2022
83120221012202210-Q 8/31/2022
5312022829202210-K 5/31/2022
2282022513202210-Q 2/28/2022
83120211062022S-1/A 8/31/2021