Lam Research (LRCX)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $157.42 | Market Cap: $199.0 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment
Lam Research (LRCX)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $157.42Market Cap: $199.0 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26% | Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 101% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 33% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 59% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, CFO LTM is 6.4 Bil, FCF LTM is 5.6 Bil | Key risksLRCX key risks include [1] extreme geopolitical vulnerability due to its heavy revenue concentration in Asia (87.9%) and specifically China (42.2%), Show more. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 48% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include AI Chips, Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 33% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, CFO LTM is 6.4 Bil, FCF LTM is 5.6 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 48% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include AI Chips, Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 101% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 59% |
| Key risksLRCX key risks include [1] extreme geopolitical vulnerability due to its heavy revenue concentration in Asia (87.9%) and specifically China (42.2%), Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
LRCX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the stock movement for Lam Research (LRCX) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Exceptional Q4 2025 and Q3 2025 Financial Performance: Lam Research reported strong fiscal Q4 2025 earnings in July 2025, surpassing analyst expectations with revenue of $5.17 billion and EPS of $1.33, which drove a 4% stock surge in after-hours trading. The company continued this trend with impressive Q3 2025 financial results reported on October 22, 2025, achieving record revenue of $5.32 billion and beating EPS forecasts, indicating robust execution and profitability.
2. Surging Demand for AI-Driven Semiconductor Technologies: A significant driver of Lam Research's performance was the strong and continued demand for advanced semiconductor manufacturing tools, especially those related to AI-driven technologies. The company's innovations are helping customers address major AI-driven semiconductor manufacturing inflections, and it raised its outlook for the wafer fabrication equipment (WFE) market in 2025 due to stronger high-bandwidth memory (HBM) investments crucial for AI chips.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LRCX Return | 64% | 54% | -41% | 89% | -7% | 128% | 499% |
| Peers Return | 60% | 50% | -40% | 51% | 2% | 50% | 235% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LRCX Win Rate | 67% | 67% | 33% | 58% | 42% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 67% | 37% | 60% | 48% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LRCX Max Drawdown | -36% | 0% | -56% | -1% | -10% | -18% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -33% | -4% | -53% | -7% | -10% | -31% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMAT, KLAC, TER, ENTG, MKSI. See LRCX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LRCX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -56.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 131.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 423 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -45.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 81.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -46.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 259 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -75.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 299.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2,011 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to AMAT, KLAC, ADI, ICHR, Q
In The Past
Lam Research's stock fell -56.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2022. A -56.8% loss requires a 131.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Lam Research Stock Drop Looks Sharp, But How Deep Can It Go? | Return | ||
| Lam Research Earnings Notes | |||
| What Is Happening With Lam Research Stock? | |||
| Lam Research Stock Down 5.1% in One Day, Should You Buy The Stock? | Buy or Fear | ||
| Momentum Meets Value: Is LRCX Stock A Buy? | Actionable | ||
| Ten-Year Tally: LRCX Returns $30 Bil to Shareholders | |||
| Lam Research Stock Surged 100%, Here's Why | |||
| KLAC Looks Smarter Buy Than Lam Research Stock | Actionable | ||
| Lam Research Stock Surged 100%, Here's Why | |||
| Is KLA a Better Long-Term Bet Than Lam Research? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| LRCX, AMAT Top Teradyne Stock on Price & Potential | December 12th, 2025 | ||
| Large Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | December 11th, 2025 | ||
| LRCX, AMAT Look Smarter Buy Than Entegris Stock | December 5th, 2025 | ||
| Better Value & Growth: LRCX, AMAT Lead Teradyne Stock | November 25th, 2025 | ||
| Lam Research Stock Surged 100%, Here’s Why | November 22nd, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to LRCX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.4% | 10.4% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | LRCX | Lam Research | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 10.3% | 10.3% | -5.8% |
| 02282025 | LRCX | Lam Research | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 31.2% | 114.7% | -22.8% |
| 12312022 | LRCX | Lam Research | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 53.9% | 88.6% | -1.4% |
| 04302022 | LRCX | Lam Research | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -12.3% | 14.2% | -31.9% |
| 09302018 | LRCX | Lam Research | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.5% | 56.0% | -18.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.4% | 10.4% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | LRCX | Lam Research | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 10.3% | 10.3% | -5.8% |
| 02282025 | LRCX | Lam Research | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 31.2% | 114.7% | -22.8% |
| 12312022 | LRCX | Lam Research | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 53.9% | 88.6% | -1.4% |
| 04302022 | LRCX | Lam Research | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -12.3% | 14.2% | -31.9% |
| 09302018 | LRCX | Lam Research | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.5% | 56.0% | -18.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Lam Research
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 170.09 |
| Mkt Cap | 91.9 |
| Rev LTM | 8,178 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,892 |
| FCF LTM | 2,201 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,920 |
| CFO LTM | 2,464 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,174 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 24.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 24.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 25.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 26.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 18.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 91.9 |
| P/S | 6.7 |
| P/EBIT | 27.2 |
| P/E | 31.7 |
| P/CFO | 23.6 |
| Total Yield | 3.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 6.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 26.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 53.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 46.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 127.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 6.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 17.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 40.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 38.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 47.3% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/22/2025 | 4.5% | 13.7% | -1.2% |
| 7/30/2025 | -4.3% | -3.2% | 5.0% |
| 4/23/2025 | 6.2% | 7.4% | 23.7% |
| 1/29/2025 | 7.4% | 9.0% | 2.1% |
| 10/23/2024 | 5.1% | 4.9% | 0.4% |
| 7/31/2024 | -9.9% | -18.8% | -13.5% |
| 4/24/2024 | 1.9% | -1.9% | 8.3% |
| 1/24/2024 | 2.1% | -2.7% | 9.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 14 | 14 |
| # Negative | 11 | 10 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% |
| Median Negative | -2.9% | -2.9% | -3.1% |
| Max Positive | 9.3% | 16.8% | 39.7% |
| Max Negative | -9.9% | -18.8% | -13.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10242025 | 10-Q 9/28/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 10-K 6/29/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4252025 | 10-Q 3/30/2025 |
| 12312024 | 1312025 | 10-Q 12/29/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10282024 | 10-Q 9/29/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8292024 | 10-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4292024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 1292024 | 10-Q 12/24/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10232023 | 10-Q 9/24/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8152023 | 10-K 6/25/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4242023 | 10-Q 3/26/2023 |
| 12312022 | 1302023 | 10-Q 12/25/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10242022 | 10-Q 9/25/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8242022 | 10-K 6/26/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4262022 | 10-Q 3/27/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2012022 | 10-Q 12/26/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |