Lam Research (LRCX)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $173.03 | Market Cap: $218.8 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment
Lam Research (LRCX)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $173.03Market Cap: $218.8 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% | Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 144% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 33% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 59% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, CFO LTM is 6.4 Bil, FCF LTM is 5.6 Bil | Key risksLRCX key risks include [1] extreme geopolitical vulnerability due to its heavy revenue concentration in Asia (87.9%) and specifically China (42.2%), Show more. | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include AI Chips, Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 33% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, CFO LTM is 6.4 Bil, FCF LTM is 5.6 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include AI Chips, Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 144% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 59% |
| Key risksLRCX key risks include [1] extreme geopolitical vulnerability due to its heavy revenue concentration in Asia (87.9%) and specifically China (42.2%), Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
LRCX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the 72.6% stock movement for Lam Research (LRCX) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 20, 2025:
1. Exceptional Growth in the Semiconductor Equipment Market
The semiconductor equipment market experienced a robust surge, with worldwide sales projected to reach a record $133 billion in 2025, a 13.7% year-over-year increase. This growth, particularly in Wafer Fab Equipment (WFE) which saw an 11% increase to $115.7 billion in 2025, significantly benefited Lam Research as a leading supplier in this sector.
2. Surging Demand Driven by Artificial Intelligence (AI) and High-Performance Computing (HPC)
Unprecedented demand for AI-enabling technologies and high-performance computing chips fueled substantial orders for semiconductor manufacturing equipment. This strong demand from AI-focused foundry investments was a primary catalyst for Lam Research's growth, leading to a 33.6% year-over-year revenue increase in Q2 2025, primarily from strong customer orders.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LRCX Return | 64% | 54% | -41% | 89% | -7% | 130% | 505% |
| Peers Return | 60% | 50% | -40% | 51% | 2% | 48% | 231% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LRCX Win Rate | 67% | 67% | 33% | 58% | 42% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 67% | 37% | 60% | 48% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LRCX Max Drawdown | -36% | 0% | -56% | -1% | -10% | -18% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -33% | -4% | -53% | -7% | -10% | -31% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMAT, KLAC, TER, ENTG, MKSI. See LRCX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LRCX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -56.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 131.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 423 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -45.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 81.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -46.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 259 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -75.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 299.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2,011 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
Lam Research's stock fell -56.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2022. A -56.8% loss requires a 131.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Lam Research Stock Jumps 16% In A Month, Should You Buy The Stock? | Buy or Fear | ||
| Lam Research Earnings Notes | |||
| Lam Research Stock (+6.3%): Analyst Upgrades Ignite Institutional Chase | Notification | ||
| Would You Still Hold Lam Research Stock If It Fell 30%? | Return | ||
| What Is Happening With Lam Research Stock? | |||
| Momentum Meets Value: Is LRCX Stock A Buy? | Actionable | ||
| Ten-Year Tally: LRCX Returns $30 Bil to Shareholders | |||
| Lam Research Stock Surged 100%, Here's Why | |||
| KLAC Looks Smarter Buy Than Lam Research Stock | Actionable | ||
| Lam Research Stock Surged 100%, Here's Why | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Buy or Sell Lam Research Stock? | December 20th, 2025 | ||
| Lam Research Stock (+6.3%): Analyst Upgrades Ignite Institutional Chase | December 19th, 2025 | ||
| S&P 500 Movers | Winners: MU, LRCX, CEG | Losers: NOW, FDS, GNRC | December 18th, 2025 | ||
| With Lam Research Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | December 18th, 2025 | ||
| LRCX, AMAT Top Teradyne Stock on Price & Potential | December 12th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to LRCX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.3% | 15.3% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.2% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.6% | 14.6% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.4% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | LRCX | Lam Research | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 16.4% | 16.4% | -5.8% |
| 02282025 | LRCX | Lam Research | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 31.2% | 126.5% | -22.8% |
| 12312022 | LRCX | Lam Research | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 53.9% | 88.6% | -1.4% |
| 04302022 | LRCX | Lam Research | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -12.3% | 14.2% | -31.9% |
| 09302018 | LRCX | Lam Research | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.5% | 56.0% | -18.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.3% | 15.3% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.2% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.6% | 14.6% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.4% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | LRCX | Lam Research | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 16.4% | 16.4% | -5.8% |
| 02282025 | LRCX | Lam Research | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 31.2% | 126.5% | -22.8% |
| 12312022 | LRCX | Lam Research | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 53.9% | 88.6% | -1.4% |
| 04302022 | LRCX | Lam Research | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -12.3% | 14.2% | -31.9% |
| 09302018 | LRCX | Lam Research | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.5% | 56.0% | -18.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Lam Research
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 183.73 |
| Mkt Cap | 97.5 |
| Rev LTM | 8,178 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,892 |
| FCF LTM | 2,201 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,920 |
| CFO LTM | 2,464 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,174 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 24.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 24.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 25.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 26.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 18.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 97.5 |
| P/S | 9.0 |
| P/EBIT | 28.3 |
| P/E | 38.6 |
| P/CFO | 29.9 |
| Total Yield | 3.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.0% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 12.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 29.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 64.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 58.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 139.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 9.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 24.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 48.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 39.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 54.1% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/22/2025 | 4.5% | 13.7% | -1.2% |
| 7/30/2025 | -4.3% | -3.2% | 5.0% |
| 4/23/2025 | 6.2% | 7.4% | 23.7% |
| 1/29/2025 | 7.4% | 9.0% | 2.1% |
| 10/23/2024 | 5.1% | 4.9% | 0.4% |
| 7/31/2024 | -9.9% | -18.8% | -13.5% |
| 4/24/2024 | 1.9% | -1.9% | 8.3% |
| 1/24/2024 | 2.1% | -2.7% | 9.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 14 | 14 |
| # Negative | 11 | 10 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% |
| Median Negative | -2.9% | -2.9% | -3.1% |
| Max Positive | 9.3% | 16.8% | 39.7% |
| Max Negative | -9.9% | -18.8% | -13.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10242025 | 10-Q 9/28/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 10-K 6/29/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4252025 | 10-Q 3/30/2025 |
| 12312024 | 1312025 | 10-Q 12/29/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10282024 | 10-Q 9/29/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8292024 | 10-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4292024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 1292024 | 10-Q 12/24/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10232023 | 10-Q 9/24/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8152023 | 10-K 6/25/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4242023 | 10-Q 3/26/2023 |
| 12312022 | 1302023 | 10-Q 12/25/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10242022 | 10-Q 9/25/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8242022 | 10-K 6/26/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4262022 | 10-Q 3/27/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2012022 | 10-Q 12/26/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |