Fortinet (FTNT)
Market Price (3/14/2026): $83.6 | Market Cap: $62.1 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software
Fortinet (FTNT)
Market Price (3/14/2026): $83.6Market Cap: $62.1 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Systems Software
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 31% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -15%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -35% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, CFO LTM is 2.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.2 Bil | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 42% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity, Cloud Computing, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Network Security, Show more. |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 31% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, CFO LTM is 2.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.2 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 42% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity, Cloud Computing, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Network Security, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -15%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -35% |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Fortinet reported robust fourth-quarter 2025 financial results that surpassed analyst expectations. The company's non-GAAP earnings per share reached 81 cents, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 9.46% (expected 74 cents), and total revenues were $1.9 billion, exceeding the consensus by 2.54% (expected $1.86 billion). Product revenue also saw a 20% year-over-year increase to $691.1 million, and billings grew 18% to $2.37 billion.
2. The company provided optimistic financial guidance for both the first quarter and the full fiscal year 2026. For the first quarter of 2026, Fortinet projects revenues between $1.7 billion and $1.76 billion and diluted non-GAAP net income per share between $0.59 and $0.63. For the full fiscal year 2026, anticipated revenues are in the range of $7.50 billion to $7.70 billion, with billings expected between $8.4 billion and $8.6 billion.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 2.8% change in FTNT stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 3.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 81.13 | 83.44 | 2.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6,555 | 6,800 | 3.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 28.6% | 27.3% | -4.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 32.7 | 33.4 | 2.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 756 | 743 | 1.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 2.8% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FTNT | 2.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | -3.1% | 35.6% |
| Sector (XLK) | -4.4% | 39.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 5.9% change in FTNT stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 7.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 78.77 | 83.44 | 5.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6,338 | 6,800 | 7.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 30.6% | 27.3% | -10.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 31.1 | 33.4 | 7.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 766 | 743 | 3.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 5.9% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FTNT | 5.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.0% | 45.3% |
| Sector (XLK) | 4.4% | 47.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -22.7% change in FTNT stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -29.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 108.01 | 83.44 | -22.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5,956 | 6,800 | 14.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 29.3% | 27.3% | -7.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 47.4 | 33.4 | -29.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 766 | 743 | 3.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -22.7% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FTNT | -22.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.4% | 53.7% |
| Sector (XLK) | 21.9% | 55.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 40.4% change in FTNT stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 53.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 59.44 | 83.44 | 40.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4,417 | 6,800 | 53.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 19.4% | 27.3% | 40.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 54.1 | 33.4 | -38.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 781 | 743 | 5.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 40.4% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FTNT | 40.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 73.4% | 41.7% |
| Sector (XLK) | 104.5% | 40.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FTNT Return | 142% | -32% | 20% | 61% | -16% | 5% | 181% |
| Peers Return | 30% | -46% | 79% | 9% | 21% | -10% | 48% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -1% | 80% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FTNT Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 58% | 58% | 50% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 72% | 33% | 63% | 57% | 55% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FTNT Max Drawdown | -7% | -36% | -3% | -5% | -21% | -5% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -14% | -52% | -9% | -17% | -8% | -22% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -2% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: PANW, CRWD, ZS, CSCO, OKTA. See FTNT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/13/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FTNT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -38.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 62.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 337 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -37.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 60.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 52 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -29.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 109 days | 120 days |
Compare to PANW, CRWD, ZS, CSCO, OKTA
In The Past
Fortinet's stock fell -38.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/17/2023. A -38.3% loss requires a 62.1% gain to breakeven.
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About Fortinet (FTNT)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Fortinet (FTNT):
- Cisco for enterprise cybersecurity.
- The ADT for business digital security.
- A Home Depot for business cybersecurity solutions.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- FortiGate: Hardware and software licenses that provide a wide array of security and networking functions, including firewall, intrusion prevention, and VPN.
- FortiSwitch: Secure switching solutions designed for connecting customer end devices within a network.
- FortiAP: Secure wireless networking solutions offering reliable and protected Wi-Fi access.
- FortiExtender: A hardware appliance used to extend network connectivity, often leveraging cellular or broadband links.
- FortiAnalyzer: Centralized solutions for network logging, analysis, and comprehensive reporting of security events.
- FortiManager: A central and scalable management solution specifically for FortiGate products, streamlining configuration and policy enforcement.
- FortiWeb: Web application firewall solutions that protect web applications from a variety of cyber threats.
- FortiMail: Secure email gateway solutions designed to protect email communications from spam, malware, and other email-borne threats.
- FortiSandbox: Technology that delivers proactive detection and mitigation services for advanced and unknown threats.
- FortiClient: Endpoint protection providing features like pattern-based anti-malware, exploit protection, web-filtering, and an application firewall.
- FortiToken and FortiAuthenticator: Multi-factor authentication solutions used to safeguard systems, assets, and data by verifying user identities.
- FortiEDR/XDR: Advanced endpoint protection solutions offering both machine-learning anti-malware execution and real-time post-infection protection.
- Security Subscription Services: Ongoing services that provide continuous security updates, threat intelligence, and access to new features for Fortinet products.
- Technical Support Services: Provides customers with assistance, troubleshooting, and expertise to ensure optimal performance and resolution of issues with Fortinet products.
- Professional Services: Specialized consulting and implementation services to help customers design, deploy, and optimize their Fortinet security solutions.
- Training Services: Educational programs and courses designed to equip customers and partners with the knowledge and skills to effectively use and manage Fortinet technologies.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Fortinet (FTNT) sells its security solutions primarily to other companies and organizations, rather than individuals. The provided background information does not list the names of specific major customer companies or their public symbols. However, it does describe the major categories of customers Fortinet serves:
- Channel partners
- Customers in the telecommunications industry
- Customers in the technology industry
- Government entities
- Customers in the financial services industry
- Customers in the education sector
- Customers in the retail industry
- Customers in the manufacturing industry
- Customers in the healthcare industry
AI Analysis | Feedback
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nullAI Analysis | Feedback
The clear emerging threat for Fortinet is the rapid industry shift towards cloud-native security architectures, particularly **Secure Access Service Edge (SASE)** and **Security Service Edge (SSE)**. This paradigm shift moves security from traditional on-premise hardware appliances and perimeter-based defenses, which constitute a significant portion of Fortinet's historical business, to a consolidated, cloud-delivered service model. Companies born in the cloud and specialized in SASE/SSE offer agile, scalable, and fully cloud-integrated solutions that directly compete with Fortinet's efforts to adapt its extensive product portfolio to this new architecture, potentially eroding its market share in core security functions as customers migrate to cloud-centric networks.
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Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to FTNT.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02282026 | BMI | Badger Meter | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02282026 | VRNS | Varonis Systems | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02272026 | ITRI | Itron | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02272026 | FSLR | First Solar | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02272026 | PEGA | Pegasystems | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FTNT | Fortinet | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.2% | 0.2% | -4.6% |
| 05312024 | FTNT | Fortinet | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 60.2% | 71.6% | -6.6% |
| 10312023 | FTNT | Fortinet | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 10.5% | 37.7% | -13.4% |
| 02282023 | FTNT | Fortinet | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.0% | 16.9% | -16.7% |
| 08312022 | FTNT | Fortinet | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 20.0% | 23.7% | -5.7% |
| 09302019 | FTNT | Fortinet | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 31.5% | 52.6% | -1.4% |
Research & Analysis
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Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 118.60 |
| Mkt Cap | 86.8 |
| Rev LTM | 5,806 |
| Op Inc LTM | 788 |
| FCF LTM | 1,734 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,512 |
| CFO LTM | 2,101 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,824 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 14.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 16.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 14.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 3.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 35.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 35.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 29.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 27.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 86.8 |
| P/S | 8.6 |
| P/EBIT | 24.2 |
| P/E | 30.7 |
| P/CFO | 23.6 |
| Total Yield | 1.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.1% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -6.7% |
| 3M Rtn | -12.4% |
| 6M Rtn | -5.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -8.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 58.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -4.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -11.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -8.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -31.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -15.4% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $83.44 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 63.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 11/18/2009 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -23.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $80.59 | $86.65 |
| DMA Trend | down | indeterminate |
| Distance from DMA | 3.5% | -3.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 33.2% | 42.3% |
| Downside Capture | 81.95 | 142.40 |
| Upside Capture | 106.82 | 102.78 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 37.3% | 52.9% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.96 | 1.40 | 1.36 | 1.33 | 1.21 | 1.12 |
| Up Beta | 3.18 | 1.93 | 1.15 | 0.75 | 1.27 | 1.06 |
| Down Beta | 4.29 | 1.57 | 1.58 | 1.50 | 1.14 | 1.19 |
| Up Capture | 75% | 108% | 124% | 136% | 90% | 116% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 19 | 30 | 63 | 132 | 402 |
| Down Capture | 113% | 123% | 138% | 142% | 126% | 105% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 22 | 31 | 61 | 118 | 349 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FTNT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTNT | -18.4% | 42.3% | -0.36 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 30.0% | 26.8% | 0.95 | 55.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 19.6% | 18.9% | 0.81 | 53.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 71.9% | 26.3% | 2.05 | 5.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.3% | 17.3% | 0.89 | 16.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.2% | 16.3% | 0.19 | 30.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -15.0% | 44.2% | -0.24 | 17.4% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FTNT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTNT | 19.2% | 42.7% | 0.55 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 17.7% | 24.7% | 0.64 | 54.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.1% | 17.0% | 0.61 | 54.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.1% | 17.3% | 1.14 | 5.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.2% | 19.0% | 0.47 | 11.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 18.8% | 0.16 | 34.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 6.4% | 56.7% | 0.33 | 22.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FTNT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTNT | 30.2% | 40.1% | 0.79 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 21.8% | 24.2% | 0.82 | 57.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.5% | 17.9% | 0.70 | 54.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.4% | 15.6% | 0.77 | 4.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 18.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 33.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.5% | 66.8% | 1.07 | 16.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/5/2026 | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% |
| 11/5/2025 | -6.3% | -4.5% | -2.9% |
| 8/6/2025 | -22.0% | -17.9% | -18.4% |
| 5/7/2025 | -8.4% | -3.3% | -1.7% |
| 2/6/2025 | 2.8% | 5.0% | -8.3% |
| 11/7/2024 | 10.0% | 12.9% | 16.0% |
| 8/6/2024 | 25.3% | 28.1% | 35.8% |
| 5/2/2024 | -9.7% | -10.9% | -9.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 13 | 13 |
| # Negative | 13 | 11 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 5.6% | 9.4% | 11.5% |
| Median Negative | -8.4% | -9.2% | -9.8% |
| Max Positive | 25.3% | 28.1% | 35.8% |
| Max Negative | -25.1% | -20.1% | -22.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/25/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/21/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/26/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/24/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/07/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/06/2022 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xie, Ken | PRESIDENT & CEO | Direct | Sell | 11042025 | 86.51 | 158,485 | 13,710,381 | 4,445,860,812 | Form |
| 2 | Ohlgart, Christiane | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 11042025 | 86.50 | 110 | 9,515 | 581,626 | Form |
| 3 | Xie, Michael | VP, ENGINEERING & CTO | Direct | Sell | 11042025 | 86.53 | 3,546 | 306,825 | 907,843,547 | Form |
| 4 | Xie, Michael | VP, ENGINEERING & CTO | Direct | Sell | 8052025 | 98.48 | 476,596 | 46,936,043 | 958,283,288 | Form |
| 5 | Xie, Ken | PRESIDENT & CEO | Direct | Sell | 8052025 | 98.48 | 158,486 | 15,607,891 | 5,061,133,856 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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