Arista Networks (ANET)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $128.0 | Market Cap: $161.0 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Communications Equipment
Arista Networks (ANET)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $128.0Market Cap: $161.0 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Communications Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 65% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 43% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.3% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 49%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 48%, CFO LTM is 4.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.0 Bil | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 43% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 49%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 48%, CFO LTM is 4.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.0 Bil |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 65% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.3% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ANET Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Arista Networks (ANET) stock experienced a decline of 5.9% in the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025, influenced by several key factors.
1. Competitive Threat from NVIDIA's AI Networking Devices: A significant factor was the concern among investors in mid-October that major clients like Meta and Oracle planned to adopt NVIDIA's Spectrum-X Ethernet networking devices for their AI data centers. This was perceived as a substantial competitive threat to Arista Networks, leading to a 6% drop in the stock on October 14, 2025.
2. Cautious Q4 2025 Outlook and Decelerating Growth: Despite reporting strong third-quarter 2025 financial results, with revenue exceeding expectations, Arista Networks' fourth-quarter 2025 revenue guidance of $2.3 billion to $2.4 billion, along with a projected non-GAAP operating margin of 47-48% (lower than the previous fiscal year), suggested a more subdued outlook for near-term growth. This led to mixed analyst opinions and concerns about a deceleration in top-line growth, which was noted to drop from 30% in Q2 to 27% in Q3, with projections of approximately 22% for Q4.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ANET Return | 43% | 98% | -16% | 94% | 88% | 16% | 911% |
| Peers Return | 14% | 38% | -22% | 17% | 42% | 22% | 148% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ANET Win Rate | 67% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 83% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 57% | 28% | 38% | 58% | 61% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ANET Max Drawdown | -23% | -8% | -37% | -10% | -3% | -42% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -24% | -3% | -31% | -6% | -3% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MSI, CIEN, NTAP, FFIV, FIEE. See ANET Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ANET | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -38.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 62.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 265 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -34.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 129 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -43.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 77.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 566 days | 120 days |
Compare to MSI, CIEN, NTAP, FFIV, FIEE
In The Past
Arista Networks's stock fell -38.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -38.4% loss requires a 62.4% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ANET. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.9% | 1.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.0% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| 02282025 | ANET | Arista Networks | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 46.7% | 37.3% | -30.8% |
| 08312022 | ANET | Arista Networks | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 15.6% | 62.9% | -16.3% |
| 01312022 | ANET | Arista Networks | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -5.4% | 1.4% | -27.3% |
| 08312020 | ANET | Arista Networks | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 28.9% | 65.4% | -12.7% |
| 02292020 | ANET | Arista Networks | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 44.9% | -18.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.9% | 1.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.0% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| 02282025 | ANET | Arista Networks | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 46.7% | 37.3% | -30.8% |
| 08312022 | ANET | Arista Networks | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 15.6% | 62.9% | -16.3% |
| 01312022 | ANET | Arista Networks | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -5.4% | 1.4% | -27.3% |
| 08312020 | ANET | Arista Networks | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 28.9% | 65.4% | -12.7% |
| 02292020 | ANET | Arista Networks | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 44.9% | -18.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Arista Networks
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 163.16 |
| Mkt Cap | 28.1 |
| Rev LTM | 5,566 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,099 |
| FCF LTM | 1,306 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,060 |
| CFO LTM | 1,413 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,172 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 12.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 23.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 21.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 25.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 23.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 28.1 |
| P/S | 5.6 |
| P/EBIT | 25.4 |
| P/E | 36.0 |
| P/CFO | 17.2 |
| Total Yield | 3.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.1% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -2.7% |
| 3M Rtn | -15.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 12.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -4.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 93.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -22.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -3.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -17.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 0.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2192025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2132024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10312023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8012023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5022023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2142023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11012022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8022022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5032022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2152022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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