ServiceNow (NOW)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $841.08 | Market Cap: $174.6 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software
ServiceNow (NOW)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $841.08Market Cap: $174.6 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Systems Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, Automation & Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, and Cybersecurity. Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, Automation & Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, and Cybersecurity. Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
NOW Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Despite reporting strong financial results for its third quarter of 2025, ServiceNow (NOW) experienced a stock decline of approximately -9.2% during the period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025. The movement can be attributed to several factors:
1. Post-Earnings Sell-Off and "Buy the Rumor, Sell the News" Phenomenon
ServiceNow announced impressive Q3 2025 financial results on October 29, 2025, surpassing revenue and earnings per share estimates and raising full-year guidance. However, the stock saw a significant decline of over 10% following this announcement. This "buy the rumor, sell the news" effect often occurs when investors purchase shares in anticipation of positive news and then sell once the news is released, leading to a temporary price correction despite strong fundamentals.
2. Five-for-One Stock Split Announcement and Execution
Alongside its strong Q3 earnings, ServiceNow's Board of Directors authorized a five-for-one stock split, with the new shares distributed after the market close on December 4, 2025, and the split becoming effective on December 5, 2025. While stock splits do not alter a company's intrinsic value, they can sometimes trigger short-term market volatility or selling pressure as investors might adjust their positions or engage in profit-taking around the event.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NOW Return | 95% | 18% | -40% | 82% | 50% | -22% | 192% |
| Peers Return | 132% | 1% | -57% | 50% | 8% | -7% | 53% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NOW Win Rate | 83% | 50% | 17% | 75% | 75% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 67% | 47% | 23% | 58% | 43% | 38% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NOW Max Drawdown | -12% | -17% | -47% | -6% | -9% | -32% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -25% | -25% | -61% | -14% | -32% | -38% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TEAM, PEGA, ALRM, FSLY, VRNT. See NOW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NOW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -51.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 105.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 423 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -30.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 43.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 32 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -27.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 37.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 82 days | 120 days |
Compare to TEAM, PEGA, ALRM, FSLY, VRNT
In The Past
ServiceNow's stock fell -51.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/4/2021. A -51.3% loss requires a 105.3% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NOW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | NOW | ServiceNow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -4.3% | -4.3% | -7.1% |
| 10312022 | NOW | ServiceNow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 7.1% | 38.3% | -14.1% |
| 04302022 | NOW | ServiceNow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -12.1% | -3.9% | -28.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | NOW | ServiceNow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -4.3% | -4.3% | -7.1% |
| 10312022 | NOW | ServiceNow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 7.1% | 38.3% | -14.1% |
| 04302022 | NOW | ServiceNow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -12.1% | -3.9% | -28.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for ServiceNow
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Valuation
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Returns
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Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7242025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4232025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 1302025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10242024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7252024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5062024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 1252024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10262023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7272023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4272023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 1312023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10272022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7282022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4282022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2032022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |