Tearsheet

ACI Worldwide (ACIW)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $47.08 | Market Cap: $4.9 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

ACI Worldwide (ACIW)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $47.08
Market Cap: $4.9 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
 
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.3%
 
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
 
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, Show more.
 
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.3%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ACIW Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining why ACI Worldwide (ACIW) stock moved by approximately -4.6% from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: **1. Multiple Analyst Downgrades in August 2025** Several analyst firms lowered their ratings for ACI Worldwide in August 2025. Wall Street Zen downgraded ACIW from a "strong-buy" to a "hold" on August 9, 2025, and Zacks Research followed suit on August 21, 2025, cutting its rating from "strong-buy" to "hold". Weiss Ratings also reduced its stance from a "buy (b-)" to a "hold (c+)". These downgrades likely contributed to negative investor sentiment at the beginning of the specified period.

**2. Muted Market Reaction to Strong Q3 2025 Earnings** On November 6, 2025, ACI Worldwide reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, exceeding analysts' consensus estimates for both earnings per share and revenue, and raising its full-year 2025 guidance. However, the market's immediate reaction was "muted" or "tepid," with shares experiencing a slight decline of approximately 1.24% in pre-market trading, suggesting that the positive news may have been largely anticipated or led to a "sell-the-news" event.

**3. Initiation of a Downtrend Post-Q3 Earnings Release** Following the Q3 2025 earnings announcement on November 6, 2025, ACIW stock entered a downtrend. Technical analysis indicated a total price decline of over 8% during this trend as of December 2, 2025, contributing significantly to the overall negative movement in the stock price during the requested period.

**4. Persistent Concerns Regarding Revenue Volatility in the Payment Software Segment** Despite the company's strong Q3 results and the launch of new platforms like ACI Connetic, investor narratives from early November 2025 highlighted ongoing concerns about revenue unpredictability in the Payment Software segment. This perceived revenue volatility remained a key risk that shaped broader expectations for ACI Worldwide's future performance, potentially offsetting positive news.

**5. Widening Gap in Payments Modernization Readiness** A global research study released by ACI Worldwide and Globant on December 2, 2025, indicated a widening gap between the confidence of payments leaders and their actual readiness for modernization. The study identified challenges such as reliance on legacy infrastructure, fraud/cybersecurity concerns, and regulatory complexity as significant barriers to innovation. Although ACI Worldwide offers solutions in these areas, the report could suggest broader industry hurdles that might impact the pace of adoption or the overall growth environment for payment technology providers.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ACIW Return1%-10%-34%33%70%-10%23%
Peers Return36%2%-10%16%60%845%2110%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ACIW Win Rate50%17%25%58%75%40% 
Peers Win Rate25%27%21%46%42%26% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ACIW Max Drawdown-44%-26%-42%-14%-5%-22% 
Peers Max Drawdown-13%-9%-17%-15%-11%-42% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: APPF, WK, BMR, BTTC, CCC. See ACIW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventACIWS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-54.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven118.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven276 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-45.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven84.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven265 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-19.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven24.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven88 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-76.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven322.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1214 days1480 days

Compare to APPF, WK, BMR, BTTC, CCC


In The Past

ACI Worldwide's stock fell -54.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/17/2021. A -54.2% loss requires a 118.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About ACI Worldwide (ACIW)

Better Bets than ACI Worldwide (ACIW)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ACIW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
ACIW_12312024_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%12312024ACIWACI WorldwideQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-11.5%-10.4%-21.5%
ACIW_8312022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield08312022ACIWACI WorldwideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%2.4%-15.6%
ACIW_11302021_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11302021ACIWACI WorldwideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.6%-28.3%-31.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
ACIW_12312024_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%12312024ACIWACI WorldwideQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-11.5%-10.4%-21.5%
ACIW_8312022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield08312022ACIWACI WorldwideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%2.4%-15.6%
ACIW_11302021_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11302021ACIWACI WorldwideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.6%-28.3%-31.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for ACI Worldwide

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ACIWAPPFWKBMRBTTCCCCMedian
NameACI Worl.AppFolio Workiva Beamr Im.Black Ti.CCC Inte. 
Mkt Price47.08236.4392.082.223.427.5627.32
Mkt Cap4.98.55.2---5.2
Rev LTM1,731906846-21,026906
Op Inc LTM343132-64--06565
FCF LTM288208130--255232
FCF 3Y Avg21613480--216175
CFO LTM328214133--310262
CFO 3Y Avg25714482--271200

Growth & Margins

ACIWAPPFWKBMRBTTCCCCMedian
NameACI Worl.AppFolio Workiva Beamr Im.Black Ti.CCC Inte. 
Rev Chg LTM7.0%18.9%19.9%--10.6%14.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.6%27.1%18.0%--10.2%14.1%
Rev Chg Q6.8%21.2%20.8%--12.0%16.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.8%5.1%4.8%--2.9%3.8%
Op Mgn LTM19.8%14.6%-7.5%--3.8%6.3%6.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg18.6%8.3%-11.3%--6.9%7.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%-1.6%2.6%---0.1%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM18.9%23.6%15.7%--30.2%21.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg15.8%17.9%10.9%--29.0%16.8%
FCF/Rev LTM16.6%23.0%15.4%--24.9%19.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg13.2%16.4%10.6%--23.1%14.8%

Valuation

ACIWAPPFWKBMRBTTCCCCMedian
NameACI Worl.AppFolio Workiva Beamr Im.Black Ti.CCC Inte. 
Mkt Cap4.98.55.2---5.2
P/S3.110.95.7---5.7
P/EBIT14.474.8-169.8---14.4
P/E20.948.6-103.6---20.9
P/CFO16.646.336.4---36.4
Total Yield4.8%2.1%-1.0%---2.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%---0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.6%1.5%1.7%---1.7%
D/E0.20.00.2---0.2
Net D/E0.1-0.0-0.0----0.0

Returns

ACIWAPPFWKBMRBTTCCCCMedian
NameACI Worl.AppFolio Workiva Beamr Im.Black Ti.CCC Inte. 
1M Rtn-1.2%-9.8%8.5%-12.3%-3.1%-13.3%-6.5%
3M Rtn-4.3%-14.4%18.4%-20.1%-14.5%-64.8%-14.5%
6M Rtn1.0%8.4%35.6%-30.6%-14.5%-64.8%-6.8%
12M Rtn-16.7%-9.6%-6.2%-27.5%4,785.7%-64.8%-13.2%
3Y Rtn117.0%97.0%9.5%-3,320.0%-64.8%97.0%
1M Excs Rtn-1.2%-9.8%8.6%-12.2%-3.1%-13.3%-6.4%
3M Excs Rtn-10.5%-20.7%15.7%-23.1%-19.8%-70.2%-20.3%
6M Excs Rtn-13.7%-6.3%20.9%-45.3%-29.2%-79.6%-21.5%
12M Excs Rtn-30.7%-20.4%-18.9%-45.7%4,643.1%-78.4%-25.5%
3Y Excs Rtn57.6%35.3%-53.0%-3,299.3%-137.6%35.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Billers686629592586 
Banks616639625558 
Merchants151154153149 
ACI Worldwide, Inc. ("ACI") On Demand    679
ACI Worldwide, Inc. ("ACI") On Premise    579
Total1,4531,4221,3711,2941,258


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Banks355371373331 
Billers142107129135 
Merchants44495453 
Stock-based compensation expense-25-30-27-30 
Depreciation and amortization-122-127-133-140 
Corporate and unallocated expenses-175-167-186-205 
ACI Worldwide, Inc. ("ACI") On Demand    24
ACI Worldwide, Inc. ("ACI") On Premise    302
Corporate    -202
Total220204210145124


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,208,235
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202524.2%
Average Daily Volume833,721
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.05
Basic Shares Quantity103,245,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021