Agilysys (AGYS)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $121.09 | Market Cap: $3.4 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software
Agilysys (AGYS)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $121.09Market Cap: $3.4 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Application Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 84x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 120x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.3% |
| Key risksAGYS key risks include [1] its high concentration in the cyclical hospitality industry and [2] execution challenges related to its complex software implementation and integration processes. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 84x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 120x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.3% |
| Key risksAGYS key risks include [1] its high concentration in the cyclical hospitality industry and [2] execution challenges related to its complex software implementation and integration processes. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
AGYS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
I am unable to provide information about Agilysys (AGYS) stock movements for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, as this period is in the future. I do not have access to future market data or news.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AGYS Return | 51% | 16% | 78% | 7% | 55% | -8% | 376% |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | 613% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AGYS Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 75% | 42% | 50% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | 33% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AGYS Max Drawdown | -49% | -4% | -27% | -19% | -12% | -50% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | -51% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ADSK, HIT, BMR, BTTC, CCC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AGYS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -48.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 94.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 173 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -64.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 183.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 245 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -19.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 23.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 227 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -91.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1022.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3891 days | 1480 days |
Compare to ADSK, HIT, BMR, BTTC, CCC
In The Past
Agilysys's stock fell -48.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/1/2021. A -48.5% loss requires a 94.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AGYS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.4% | 10.4% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.4% | 10.4% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Agilysys
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 5.03 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.7 |
| Rev LTM | 300 |
| Op Inc LTM | 32 |
| FCF LTM | 156 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 216 |
| CFO LTM | 184 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 271 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 16.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 12.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 17.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 6.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 24.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 29.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 21.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.7 |
| P/S | 9.4 |
| P/EBIT | 83.8 |
| P/E | 56.6 |
| P/CFO | 34.9 |
| Total Yield | 1.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.6% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -38.5% |
| 6M Rtn | -19.3% |
| 12M Rtn | -14.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 55.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -2.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -41.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -31.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -20.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 1.5% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Providing software solutions to the global hospitality industry | 237 | ||||
| Products | 44 | 36 | 27 | 44 | |
| Professional services | 36 | 28 | 22 | 33 | |
| Subscription and maintenance | 118 | 99 | 89 | 84 | |
| Total | 237 | 198 | 163 | 137 | 161 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Providing software solutions to the global hospitality industry | 86 | ||||
| Total | 86 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/27/2025 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 9.4% |
| 5/19/2025 | 22.1% | 27.0% | 30.7% |
| 1/21/2025 | -20.0% | -26.9% | -35.7% |
| 10/28/2024 | -8.1% | -7.7% | 23.5% |
| 7/22/2024 | -4.5% | -1.4% | -2.7% |
| 5/13/2024 | 14.9% | 27.7% | 14.5% |
| 1/22/2024 | 0.1% | -0.2% | -8.2% |
| 10/23/2023 | 25.4% | 29.3% | 38.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 12 | 11 |
| # Negative | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 8.9% | 10.2% | 18.2% |
| Median Negative | -8.1% | -7.7% | -5.0% |
| Max Positive | 25.4% | 29.3% | 51.5% |
| Max Negative | -20.0% | -26.9% | -35.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10272025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7242025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5232025 | 10-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 1212025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10282024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7262024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5222024 | 10-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 1252024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10262023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7272023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5192023 | 10-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 1262023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10282022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7292022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5232022 | 10-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 1272022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |