Zeta Global (ZETA)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $17.61 | Market Cap: $3.9 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software
Zeta Global (ZETA)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $17.61Market Cap: $3.9 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Systems Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.7% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% | Key risksZETA key risks include [1] an ongoing class action lawsuit alleging financial manipulation through "round trip transactions" and [2] claims of using "predatory consent farms" for user data collection. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Advertising, Artificial Intelligence, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Advertising, Artificial Intelligence, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms, Show more. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.7% |
| Key risksZETA key risks include [1] an ongoing class action lawsuit alleging financial manipulation through "round trip transactions" and [2] claims of using "predatory consent farms" for user data collection. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ZETA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
I am unable to provide key points for why Zeta Global (ZETA) stock moved by -11.5% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025. This requested time period is in the future, and I do not have access to future market data or news events.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ZETA Return | � | � | -3% | 8% | 104% | 1% | � |
| Peers Return | � | � | -67% | 96% | 140% | 33% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ZETA Win Rate | � | 67% | 50% | 58% | 75% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | 65% | 27% | 65% | 62% | 47% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ZETA Max Drawdown | � | � | -49% | -11% | -10% | -39% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | -72% | -20% | -33% | -39% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HUBS, BRZE, TTD, APP, APPS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ZETA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -67.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 211.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 676 days | 464 days |
Compare to GEN, PATH, S, VRNT, CHOW
In The Past
Zeta Global's stock fell -67.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/7/2022. A -67.9% loss requires a 211.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Zeta Global Earnings Notes | |||
| Can Zeta Global Stock Recover If Markets Fall? | Return | ||
| Is Zeta Global Stock Outperforming Its Rivals? | Peer Comparison | ||
| ZETA Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Zeta Global (ZETA) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | ||
| Zeta Global Stock Drops 11% In A Week, Should You Buy The Stock? | Buy or Fear | ||
| Zeta Global (ZETA) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Zeta Global (ZETA) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Zeta Global (ZETA) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Zeta Global (ZETA) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| What’s Happening With ZETA Stock? | November 21st, 2024 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ZETA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.1% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.5% | 13.5% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.1% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.1% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.5% | 13.5% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.1% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Zeta Global
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 35.95 |
| Mkt Cap | 11.0 |
| Rev LTM | 2,008 |
| Op Inc LTM | -7 |
| FCF LTM | 335 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 239 |
| CFO LTM | 443 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 323 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 21.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 26.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 23.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 5.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -0.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -4.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 19.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 11.0 |
| P/S | 6.3 |
| P/EBIT | 45.3 |
| P/E | -17.6 |
| P/CFO | 30.9 |
| Total Yield | -0.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.8% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 6.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -8.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 2.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -18.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 28.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 5.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -11.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -9.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -30.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -41.6% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/4/2025 | 19.4% | 18.6% | 14.1% |
| 8/5/2025 | 27.5% | 16.8% | 17.7% |
| 2/25/2025 | -13.7% | -18.2% | -26.7% |
| 11/12/2024 | -23.2% | -46.7% | -41.4% |
| 7/31/2024 | 12.0% | 5.3% | 21.1% |
| 2/27/2024 | -1.5% | -6.6% | 1.6% |
| 11/1/2023 | 4.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% |
| 8/2/2023 | 13.6% | -5.4% | -2.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| # Negative | 7 | 9 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 13.6% | 14.0% | 11.2% |
| Median Negative | -9.2% | -6.6% | -15.4% |
| Max Positive | 27.5% | 18.6% | 21.1% |
| Max Negative | -23.2% | -46.7% | -41.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2262025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5112022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |