Zeta Global (ZETA)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $18.58 | Market Cap: $4.1 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software
Zeta Global (ZETA)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $18.58Market Cap: $4.1 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Systems Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.7% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Advertising, Artificial Intelligence, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Advertising, Artificial Intelligence, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms, Show more. |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.7% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ZETA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The stock price for Zeta Global (ZETA) experienced a decline of 5.22% in after-hours trading on November 4, 2025, to $17.22, despite the company reporting strong Q3 2025 results.
Here are the key points highlighting why Zeta Global's stock moved by -6.3% during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Negative Market Reaction to Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Report: Despite Zeta Global reporting strong third-quarter 2025 results on November 4, 2025, with revenue growth of 26% year-over-year to $337 million, exceeding analyst expectations, the stock fell by 5.22% in after-hours trading. This suggests that while the company's performance was positive, investor sentiment might have been influenced by broader market conditions or concerns about future growth sustainability, leading to the stock's decline.
2. Potential Investor Concerns Regarding Broader Market Conditions or Future Growth Sustainability: Even with positive financial highlights such as a 46% increase in adjusted EBITDA and an 83% increase in free cash flow, the stock still saw a dip. This indicates that the market's reaction might have been driven by external factors or a cautious outlook on the company's long-term prospects, overshadowing the strong quarterly performance.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ZETA Return | - | - | -3% | 8% | 104% | -2% | 110% |
| Peers Return | 13% | 13% | -38% | 33% | -9% | -8% | -11% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ZETA Win Rate | - | 67% | 50% | 58% | 75% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 23% | 40% | 30% | 45% | 45% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ZETA Max Drawdown | - | - | -49% | -11% | -10% | -39% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -8% | -1% | -42% | -20% | -26% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GEN, PATH, S, VRNT, CHOW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ZETA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -67.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 211.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 676 days | 464 days |
Compare to GEN, PATH, S, VRNT, CHOW
In The Past
Zeta Global's stock fell -67.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/7/2022. A -67.9% loss requires a 211.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| How Low Can Zeta Global Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| How Does Zeta Global Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | Peer Comparison | ||
| ZETA Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Zeta Global (ZETA) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | ||
| Should You Buy Zeta Global Stock? | Buy or Fear | ||
| Zeta Global (ZETA) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Zeta Global (ZETA) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Zeta Global (ZETA) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Zeta Global (ZETA) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Why Zeta Global Stock Moved: ZETA Stock Has Gained 117% Since 2022 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Favorable Change In Price To Sales Multiple (P/S) | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| What’s Happening With ZETA Stock? | November 21st, 2024 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ZETA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.9% | 1.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.0% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.9% | 1.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.0% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Zeta Global
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 16.96 |
| Mkt Cap | 6.8 |
| Rev LTM | 1,361 |
| Op Inc LTM | -19 |
| FCF LTM | 225 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 179 |
| CFO LTM | 257 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 205 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 20.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 23.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 23.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 5.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -1.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -12.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 2.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 18.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 16.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 6.8 |
| P/S | 4.2 |
| P/EBIT | -83.9 |
| P/E | 8.3 |
| P/CFO | 22.6 |
| Total Yield | -0.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -3.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 4.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -16.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 18.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -9.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -10.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -25.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -48.4% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2262025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5112022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |