Dell Technologies (DELL)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $133.72 | Market Cap: $90.7 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Dell Technologies (DELL)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $133.72Market Cap: $90.7 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
DELL Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Dell Technologies (DELL) experienced significant movements in its stock during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, primarily driven by strong financial performance and an optimistic outlook on its Artificial Intelligence (AI) business.
1. Strong Fiscal Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results: Dell Technologies announced record third-quarter revenue of $27.0 billion for fiscal year 2026, marking an 11% year-over-year increase. The company also reported record Q3 profitability with diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.28, up 39% year over year, and non-GAAP diluted EPS of $2.59, up 17%. The Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) revenue grew by 24% year over year, with servers and networking revenue increasing by 37%.
2. Significant Increase in AI Server Shipment Guidance: The company raised its fiscal year 2026 AI shipment guidance to approximately $25 billion, representing an increase of over 150% year over year. Dell also reported record AI server orders totaling $12.3 billion in Q3, contributing to an unprecedented $30 billion in orders year-to-date.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DELL Return | 43% | 52% | -27% | 96% | 53% | 20% | 473% |
| Peers Return | 21% | 22% | -8% | 17% | 16% | 7% | 97% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DELL Win Rate | 67% | 75% | 33% | 75% | 75% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 35% | 38% | 25% | 43% | 33% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DELL Max Drawdown | -44% | -3% | -39% | -8% | -2% | -38% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -18% | -4% | -14% | -4% | -5% | -13% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AAPL, IBM, HPQ, BGIN, VELO. See DELL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DELL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -44.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 80.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 324 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -45.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 84.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 103 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -35.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 54.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 412 days | 120 days |
Compare to AAPL, IBM, HPQ, BGIN, VELO
In The Past
Dell Technologies's stock fell -44.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/9/2022. A -44.4% loss requires a 80.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to DELL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Dell Technologies
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Growth & Margins
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Valuation
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Returns
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Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Client Solutions Group | 48,916 | 58,213 | 61,464 | 48,387 | 45,838 |
| Infrastructure Solutions Group | 33,885 | 38,356 | 34,366 | 33,002 | 33,969 |
| Corporate and other | 5,624 | 5,732 | |||
| Impact of purchase accounting | -32 | -106 | -347 | ||
| Other businesses | 5,388 | 5,382 | 1,788 | ||
| Unallocated transactions | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| VMware | 10,905 | ||||
| Total | 88,425 | 102,301 | 101,197 | 86,670 | 92,154 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Infrastructure Solutions Group | 4,286 | 5,045 | 3,736 | 3,753 | 4,001 |
| Client Solutions Group | 3,712 | 3,824 | 4,365 | 3,333 | 3,138 |
| Corporate and other | -120 | -232 | |||
| Other corporate expenses | -756 | -921 | -337 | -376 | -1,160 |
| Amortization of intangibles | -833 | -1,014 | -1,641 | -2,133 | -4,408 |
| Stock-based compensation expense | -878 | -931 | -808 | -487 | -1,262 |
| Impact of purchase accounting | -67 | -144 | -411 | ||
| Other businesses | -319 | -139 | -43 | ||
| Transaction-related expenses | -273 | -124 | -285 | ||
| Unallocated transactions | 3 | 2 | -29 | ||
| VMware | 3,081 | ||||
| Total | 5,411 | 5,771 | 4,659 | 3,685 | 2,622 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 9082025 | 10-Q 8/1/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6102025 | 10-Q 5/2/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3252025 | 10-K 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12102024 | 10-Q 11/1/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9102024 | 10-Q 8/2/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6112024 | 10-Q 5/3/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3252024 | 10-K 2/2/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12082023 | 10-Q 11/3/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9122023 | 10-Q 8/4/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6122023 | 10-Q 5/5/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3302023 | 10-K 2/3/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12052022 | 10-Q 10/28/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9012022 | 10-Q 7/29/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6062022 | 10-Q 4/29/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3242022 | 10-K 1/28/2022 |
| 10312021 | 12032021 | 10-Q 10/29/2021 |
Industry Resources
| Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Resources |
| The Verge |
| TechRadar |
| Tom’s Hardware |
| PCMag |
| CNET |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |