Dell Technologies (DELL)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $126.58 | Market Cap: $84.9 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Dell Technologies (DELL)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $126.58Market Cap: $84.9 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.7%, FCF Yield is 5.2% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.2% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO LTM is 7.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.4 Bil | Key risksDELL key risks include [1] margin pressure and cash flow strain from its booming but high-cost AI server business and [2] concurrent weakness in its personal computer segment. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.7%, FCF Yield is 5.2% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO LTM is 7.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.4 Bil |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.2% |
| Key risksDELL key risks include [1] margin pressure and cash flow strain from its booming but high-cost AI server business and [2] concurrent weakness in its personal computer segment. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
DELL Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
**1. Strong Third Quarter Fiscal 2025 Financial Results.**
Dell Technologies reported robust financial results for its third quarter of fiscal 2025 on November 26, 2025. The company announced revenue of $24.4 billion, marking a 10% increase year-over-year. Diluted earnings per share (EPS) grew by 16% year-over-year to $1.58, and non-GAAP diluted EPS increased by 14% to $2.15. The Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) was a significant contributor, with revenue up 34% year-over-year to $11.4 billion, driven by strong demand for servers and networking, particularly in AI-related sectors. Additionally, Dell met Wall Street's revenue expectations and surpassed adjusted EPS estimates for Q3 CY2025, and also raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance.
**2. Surging Demand for AI Servers and Continued AI Leadership.**
Dell continued to demonstrate strong momentum in its Artificial Intelligence (AI) offerings during this period. The company reported record AI server orders of $3.6 billion in Q3 Fiscal 2025, with its AI pipeline growing over 50%. This highlights Dell's expanding role and leadership in the rapidly growing AI market. Furthermore, Dell unveiled significant updates to its AI Data Platform and showcased enhanced integration with NVIDIA's hardware to support high-performance AI workloads.
**3. Positive Analyst Ratings and Raised Price Targets.**
Between August and November 2025, several prominent financial analysts reiterated positive ratings and increased their price targets for Dell Technologies' stock. In August 2025, analysts from Morgan Stanley, Evercore ISI Group, Citigroup, B of A Securities, and JP Morgan all raised their price targets on DELL, maintaining "Overweight," "Outperform," or "Buy" ratings. More recently, in November 2025, Mizuho, Barclays, and UBS also issued positive ratings with implied upside, contributing to a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating for the stock.
**4. Strategic Product Announcements and Innovations from Dell Technologies World 2025.**
Although Dell Technologies World 2025 took place in May, key strategic takeaways and product innovations from the event were highlighted in subsequent reports through August 2025. These included groundbreaking advancements in AI, cloud, storage, and data protection. Dell showcased its commitment to enterprise AI adoption through initiatives like the Dell AI Factory, designed to simplify AI implementation, and introduced new data protection features, including all-flash PowerProtect Data Domain and cyber recovery enhancements.
**5. Imminent Price Increases on Commercial Products.**
Dell Technologies announced upcoming price increases on various commercial products, including laptops, desktops, monitors, and AI-equipped configurations, effective December 17, 2025. These price hikes, ranging from 10% to 30%, were attributed to an "unprecedented" rise in memory costs (DRAM and NAND chips) driven by high AI demand. While this may impact IT budgets for corporate buyers, it also indicates Dell's pricing power and ability to pass on increased component costs, which could be viewed positively by investors regarding future revenue and profit margins.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DELL Return | 43% | 52% | -27% | 96% | 53% | 9% | 418% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 38% | -12% | 21% | 26% | 15% | 148% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DELL Win Rate | 67% | 75% | 33% | 75% | 75% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 65% | 42% | 68% | 57% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DELL Max Drawdown | -44% | -3% | -39% | -8% | -2% | -38% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -5% | -26% | -7% | -9% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL. See DELL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DELL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -44.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 80.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 324 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -45.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 84.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 103 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -35.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 54.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 412 days | 120 days |
Compare to AAPL, IBM, HPQ, AMCI, BGIN
In The Past
Dell Technologies's stock fell -44.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/9/2022. A -44.4% loss requires a 80.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to DELL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.3% | 15.3% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.2% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.6% | 14.6% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.4% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.3% | 15.3% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.2% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.6% | 14.6% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.4% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Dell Technologies
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 102.42 |
| Mkt Cap | 183.0 |
| Rev LTM | 61,549 |
| Op Inc LTM | 9,234 |
| FCF LTM | 8,152 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 8,267 |
| CFO LTM | 10,290 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 10,486 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 183.0 |
| P/S | 2.6 |
| P/EBIT | 21.2 |
| P/E | 32.8 |
| P/CFO | 16.4 |
| Total Yield | 5.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.2% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 5.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 14.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 17.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 95.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 0.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -0.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 0.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 12.7% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Client Solutions Group | 48,916 | 58,213 | 61,464 | 48,387 | 45,838 |
| Infrastructure Solutions Group | 33,885 | 38,356 | 34,366 | 33,002 | 33,969 |
| Corporate and other | 5,624 | ||||
| Impact of purchase accounting | 0 | -32 | -106 | -347 | |
| Other businesses | 5,721 | 5,388 | 5,382 | 1,788 | |
| Unallocated transactions | 11 | 11 | 5 | 1 | |
| VMware | 10,905 | ||||
| Total | 88,425 | 102,301 | 101,197 | 86,670 | 92,154 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Infrastructure Solutions Group | 4,286 | 5,045 | 3,736 | 3,753 | 4,001 |
| Client Solutions Group | 3,712 | 3,824 | 4,365 | 3,333 | 3,138 |
| Corporate and other | -120 | ||||
| Other corporate expenses | -756 | -899 | -337 | -376 | -1,160 |
| Amortization of intangibles | -833 | -970 | -1,641 | -2,133 | -4,408 |
| Stock-based compensation expense | -878 | -931 | -808 | -487 | -1,262 |
| Impact of purchase accounting | -44 | -67 | -144 | -411 | |
| Other businesses | -240 | -319 | -139 | -43 | |
| Transaction-related expenses | -22 | -273 | -124 | -285 | |
| Unallocated transactions | 8 | 3 | 2 | -29 | |
| VMware | 3,081 | ||||
| Total | 5,411 | 5,771 | 4,659 | 3,685 | 2,622 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/25/2025 | 5.8% | 10.4% | |
| 8/28/2025 | -8.9% | -6.9% | -0.1% |
| 5/29/2025 | -2.1% | -1.6% | 7.9% |
| 2/27/2025 | -4.7% | -13.7% | -14.4% |
| 11/26/2024 | -12.2% | -11.0% | -17.2% |
| 8/29/2024 | 4.3% | -7.9% | 7.0% |
| 5/30/2024 | -17.9% | -21.2% | -15.9% |
| 2/29/2024 | 31.6% | 27.3% | 26.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 12 | 14 |
| # Negative | 13 | 12 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% |
| Median Negative | -5.2% | -7.4% | -11.0% |
| Max Positive | 31.6% | 27.3% | 26.4% |
| Max Negative | -17.9% | -21.4% | -27.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | 12092025 | 10-Q 10/31/2025 |
| 7312025 | 9082025 | 10-Q 8/1/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6102025 | 10-Q 5/2/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3252025 | 10-K 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12102024 | 10-Q 11/1/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9102024 | 10-Q 8/2/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6112024 | 10-Q 5/3/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3252024 | 10-K 2/2/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12082023 | 10-Q 11/3/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9122023 | 10-Q 8/4/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6122023 | 10-Q 5/5/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3302023 | 10-K 2/3/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12052022 | 10-Q 10/28/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9012022 | 10-Q 7/29/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6062022 | 10-Q 4/29/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3242022 | 10-K 1/28/2022 |
Industry Resources
| Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Resources |
| The Verge |
| TechRadar |
| Tom’s Hardware |
| PCMag |
| CNET |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |