PTC (PTC)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $178.45 | Market Cap: $21.4 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software
PTC (PTC)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $178.45Market Cap: $21.4 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Application Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Factory Automation, Industrial Robotics, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Factory Automation, Industrial Robotics, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
PTC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the approximate -16.9% movement in PTC (symbol: PTC) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Disappointing Investor Reaction to Strong Q4 Earnings.
PTC Inc. reported strong fiscal Q4 2025 results on November 5, 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) of $3.47 and revenue of $894 million, both exceeding analyst expectations of $2.27 and $750.87 million, respectively. Despite these positive results, the stock experienced a slight decline of 1.07% in aftermarket trading, suggesting that investors might have focused on other aspects of the report or had even higher expectations that were not fully met.
2. Lowered Analyst Price Targets and Ratings Adjustments.
Following the Q4 earnings announcement, several prominent analyst firms adjusted their outlooks for PTC Inc. For instance, on November 7, 2025, Piper Sandler lowered its price target for PTC Inc. by 12.5% from $200 to $175, while maintaining a "Neutral" rating. Similarly, Rosenblatt also lowered its price target from $227 to $220 on November 6, 2025, despite maintaining a "Buy" rating. These downward revisions by analysts can negatively influence investor sentiment and contribute to a stock price decline.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PTC Return | 60% | 1% | -1% | 46% | 5% | -4% | 136% |
| Peers Return | 18% | 9% | -6% | 16% | 74% | 876% | 2296% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PTC Win Rate | 75% | 58% | 42% | 67% | 67% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 38% | 33% | 26% | 55% | 62% | 44% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PTC Max Drawdown | -35% | -11% | -19% | -2% | -6% | -26% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -16% | -6% | -16% | -18% | -9% | -25% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ORCL, IBM, ADSK, BMR, BTTC. See PTC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PTC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -36.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 566 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -45.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 82.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 151 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -40.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 69.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 416 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -66.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 201.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 603 days | 1480 days |
Compare to ORCL, IBM, ADSK, BMR, BTTC
In The Past
PTC's stock fell -36.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/23/2021. A -36.1% loss requires a 56.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to PTC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| 03312025 | PTC | PTC | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 31.6% | 13.9% | -11.8% |
| 08312022 | PTC | PTC | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 7.8% | 28.1% | -9.3% |
| 02282022 | PTC | PTC | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 12.6% | -12.3% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| 03312025 | PTC | PTC | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 31.6% | 13.9% | -11.8% |
| 08312022 | PTC | PTC | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 7.8% | 28.1% | -9.3% |
| 02282022 | PTC | PTC | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 12.6% | -12.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for PTC
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Valuation
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Returns
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Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2062025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11142024 | 10-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2022024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11202023 | 10-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2092023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11152022 | 10-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2072022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11222021 | 10-K 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |