Tearsheet

Impinj (PI)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $146.7 | Market Cap: $4.3 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Electronic Equipment & Instruments

Impinj (PI)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $146.7
Market Cap: $4.3 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Electronic Equipment & Instruments

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -46%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.7 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.5%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, and Supply Chain Digitization.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 94x
2   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 106%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.4%
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, and Supply Chain Digitization.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -46%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.7 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.5%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 94x
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 106%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.4%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Weaker-than-expected guidance for future quarters. Impinj's stock experienced significant plunges, including a 22% drop following weaker than expected guidance for the first quarter of 2025, and a 25.9% fall after disappointing fourth-quarter 2024 results where next-quarter revenue, EBITDA, and earnings guidance fell significantly short of expectations. This guidance pointed to a seasonal decline in endpoint integrated circuit (IC) revenues and delays in major projects with supply chain and logistics customers, which were anticipated to impact future revenues.

2. In-line revenue guidance overshadowing a quarterly earnings beat. On October 30, 2025, Impinj's shares fell 10.2% after its in-line fourth-quarter revenue guidance overshadowed an otherwise strong third-quarter earnings beat. Investors appeared disappointed by the projected revenue, even though the company's third-quarter results, including revenue and non-GAAP profit, had exceeded Wall Street's expectations.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PI Return62%112%23%-18%61%5%490%
Peers Return36%34%-28%15%14%-1%72%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PI Win Rate67%58%42%58%75%42% 
Peers Win Rate63%70%32%48%42%45% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PI Max Drawdown-51%-4%-53%-55%-11%-57% 
Peers Max Drawdown-43%-3%-38%-15%-9%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ZBRA, AVY, NXPI, HON, TRMB.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-65.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven187.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven205 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-64.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven181.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven251 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-81.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven436.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1070 days120 days

Compare to ENS, BDC, SPB, ENR, AIN


In The Past

Impinj's stock fell -65.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/19/2023. A -65.2% loss requires a 187.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Impinj (PI)

Better Bets than Impinj (PI)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.7%11.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.8%5.8%0.0%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
12.9%12.9%-5.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.7%11.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.8%5.8%0.0%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
12.9%12.9%-5.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Impinj

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PIZBRAAVYNXPIHONTRMBMedian
NameImpinj Zebra Te.Avery De.NXP Semi.Honeywel.Trimble  
Mkt Price145.33268.39182.60228.16193.6680.26188.13
Mkt Cap4.313.614.257.5123.019.116.7
Rev LTM3605,2558,77012,04540,6703,6017,012
Op Inc LTM-28061,1223,0017,692574964
FCF LTM417926531,7706,164315722
FCF 3Y Avg215376212,2555,212453579
CFO LTM568668562,3207,485341861
CFO 3Y Avg396128723,1006,336487742

Growth & Margins

PIZBRAAVYNXPIHONTRMBMedian
NameImpinj Zebra Te.Avery De.NXP Semi.Honeywel.Trimble  
Rev Chg LTM4.2%12.9%1.0%-6.8%7.5%-0.9%2.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg16.1%-2.4%-1.4%-2.3%5.2%-1.3%-1.3%
Rev Chg Q0.9%5.2%1.5%-2.4%7.0%2.9%2.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.2%1.3%0.4%-0.6%1.7%0.7%0.5%
Op Mgn LTM-0.5%15.3%12.8%24.9%18.9%15.9%15.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-4.8%14.6%12.1%27.2%19.5%13.5%14.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.4%-0.2%-0.0%-0.7%-0.9%1.2%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM15.6%16.5%9.8%19.3%18.4%9.5%16.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.5%12.4%10.2%24.3%16.4%13.3%12.8%
FCF/Rev LTM11.3%15.1%7.4%14.7%15.2%8.8%13.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.1%10.9%7.2%17.7%13.5%12.4%11.6%

Valuation

PIZBRAAVYNXPIHONTRMBMedian
NameImpinj Zebra Te.Avery De.NXP Semi.Honeywel.Trimble  
Mkt Cap4.313.614.257.5123.019.116.7
P/S14.72.91.44.83.35.44.0
P/EBIT-555.218.911.618.815.239.617.0
P/E-427.729.518.227.921.854.424.8
P/CFO94.317.414.824.817.957.021.3
Total Yield-0.2%3.4%7.8%5.4%6.8%1.8%4.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%2.3%1.8%2.2%0.0%0.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1.0%3.2%4.2%4.0%4.0%3.0%3.6%
D/E0.10.20.30.20.30.10.2
Net D/E0.00.10.30.10.20.10.1

Returns

PIZBRAAVYNXPIHONTRMBMedian
NameImpinj Zebra Te.Avery De.NXP Semi.Honeywel.Trimble  
1M Rtn2.0%11.6%6.2%16.3%-2.7%3.5%4.8%
3M Rtn-18.7%-14.2%10.8%5.2%-2.3%-0.8%-1.5%
6M Rtn39.2%-5.4%5.7%9.7%-7.4%12.9%7.7%
12M Rtn-3.7%-33.5%-4.4%7.2%-7.8%9.1%-4.1%
3Y Rtn33.1%6.9%6.4%46.1%4.8%54.7%20.0%
1M Excs Rtn-4.7%5.3%5.9%12.6%-3.6%-2.0%1.7%
3M Excs Rtn-27.0%-19.6%8.2%1.8%-5.6%-4.1%-4.9%
6M Excs Rtn25.0%-19.6%-8.5%-4.6%-21.6%-1.3%-6.5%
12M Excs Rtn-20.3%-46.3%-20.6%-6.5%-21.5%-4.8%-20.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-46.1%-67.3%-73.0%-25.6%-70.9%-33.9%-56.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Developing and selling our RAIN products and services308    
Endpoint Integrated Circuits (ICs) 19213910298
Systems 66513755
Total308258190139153


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,976,184
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202515.6%
Average Daily Volume504,864
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.90
Basic Shares Quantity29,338,000
Short % of Basic Shares10.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/2025-14.8%-25.5%-32.8%
7/30/202526.5%30.9%55.9%
4/23/202516.5%19.5%49.5%
1/14/2025-8.6%-7.1%-30.7%
10/23/2024-13.6%-13.8%-15.4%
7/24/20244.4%4.4%3.9%
4/24/202428.6%27.9%39.4%
1/16/202411.4%27.2%26.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131614
# Negative11810
Median Positive18.7%21.9%34.7%
Median Negative-11.9%-17.1%-19.1%
Max Positive29.2%44.3%66.1%
Max Negative-39.1%-35.2%-41.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025423202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024210202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241023202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024724202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024424202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023212202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231025202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023726202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023426202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022213202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221026202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022727202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022427202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021214202210-K 12/31/2021