Adeia (ADEA)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $12.62 | Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: IT Consulting & Other Services
Adeia (ADEA)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $12.62Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: IT Consulting & Other Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 10% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -15%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -44% | |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 38% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 49% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 50% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Video Streaming, Music Streaming, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 10% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 38% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 49% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 50% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Video Streaming, Music Streaming, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -15%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -44% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ADEA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Adeia Inc. (ADEA) experienced a stock movement of approximately -16.1% between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, primarily due to the following key points:
1. Adeia Missed Q3 2025 Earnings and Revenue Estimates.
On November 3, 2025, Adeia announced its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, reporting diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.28, which missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.36. The company also posted revenues of $87.3 million, falling short of analyst expectations of $99.24 million or $100.63 million.
2. Significant Stock Drop Following Q3 Earnings Announcement.
Following the announcement of its Q3 2025 results, Adeia's stock dropped by 16.08% in aftermarket trading to $14.30, approaching its 52-week low.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ADEA Return | 17% | -9% | 1% | 34% | 15% | -9% | 49% |
| Peers Return | -19% | 7% | -17% | 29% | -24% | -43% | -60% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ADEA Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 42% | 58% | 42% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 38% | 54% | 38% | 67% | 46% | 35% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ADEA Max Drawdown | -42% | -15% | -28% | -24% | -21% | -19% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -52% | -13% | -28% | -7% | -31% | -47% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GIB, XRX, BAO, GBH, JAJI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ADEA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -45.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 82.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 559 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -46.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 261 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -69.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 232.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to GIB, XRX, BAO, GBH, JAJI
In The Past
Adeia's stock fell -45.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/17/2021. A -45.3% loss requires a 82.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ADEA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Adeia
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 12.56 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.4 |
| Rev LTM | 6,174 |
| Op Inc LTM | 146 |
| FCF LTM | 302 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 376 |
| CFO LTM | 367 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 425 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 16.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.4 |
| P/S | 1.2 |
| P/EBIT | 8.3 |
| P/E | 11.8 |
| P/CFO | 8.8 |
| Total Yield | 5.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 11.2% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -11.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -17.3% |
| 6M Rtn | -16.7% |
| 12M Rtn | -19.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 2.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -11.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -23.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -31.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -33.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -66.6% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2192025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2232024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11062023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8072023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5082023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5092022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
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