Adeia (ADEA)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $13.045 | Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: IT Consulting & Other Services
Adeia (ADEA)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $13.045Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: IT Consulting & Other Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 10% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -16%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -39% | Key risksADEA key risks include [1] revenue dependence on costly and uncertain patent litigation, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 49% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Video Streaming, Music Streaming, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 10% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 49% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Video Streaming, Music Streaming, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -16%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -39% |
| Key risksADEA key risks include [1] revenue dependence on costly and uncertain patent litigation, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ADEA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points explaining the approximate -13% movement in Adeia (ADEA) stock between August 31, 2025, and December 17, 2025:
1. Adeia's Q3 2025 Earnings Missed Expectations Significantly. The company reported Q3 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of $0.28, which was 15.15% below forecasts, and revenue of $87.3 million, 13.21% below expectations. This financial underperformance led to a 16.08% plummet in shares during aftermarket trading.
2. The Company Revised Its Full-Year 2025 Revenue Guidance Downward. Following the disappointing third-quarter results, Adeia adjusted its 2025 revenue guidance to a lower range of $360-$380 million.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ADEA Return | 17% | -9% | 1% | 34% | 15% | -7% | 53% |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 110% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ADEA Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 42% | 58% | 42% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ADEA Max Drawdown | -42% | -15% | -28% | -24% | -21% | -19% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GIB, XRX, BAO, GBH, JAJI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ADEA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -45.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 82.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 559 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -46.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 261 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -69.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 232.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to GIB, XRX, BAO, GBH, JAJI
In The Past
Adeia's stock fell -45.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/17/2021. A -45.3% loss requires a 82.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Adeia Earnings Notes | |||
| How Low Can Adeia Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| Adeia (ADEA) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Adeia (ADEA) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| Adeia (ADEA) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Adeia (ADEA) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| Adeia (ADEA) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| Adeia (ADEA) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Adeia (ADEA) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Why Adeia Stock Moved: ADEA Stock Has Gained 44% Since 2021 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Favorable Change In Price To Sales Multiple (P/S) | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Adeia vs Gartner: Which Is the Stronger Buy Today? | December 16th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ADEA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.7% | 8.7% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.0% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.1% | 12.1% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.8% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.7% | 8.7% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.0% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.1% | 12.1% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.8% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Adeia
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 13.03 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.4 |
| Rev LTM | 6,607 |
| Op Inc LTM | 146 |
| FCF LTM | 283 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 411 |
| CFO LTM | 367 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 466 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 16.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.4 |
| P/S | 1.2 |
| P/EBIT | 11.2 |
| P/E | 11.8 |
| P/CFO | 8.8 |
| Total Yield | 5.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 9.8% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -16.0% |
| 6M Rtn | -15.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -17.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 7.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -19.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -29.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -31.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -65.4% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/3/2025 | -16.1% | -18.5% | -26.0% |
| 8/5/2025 | 10.3% | 18.3% | 23.8% |
| 5/5/2025 | 7.1% | 13.1% | 6.5% |
| 2/18/2025 | 21.7% | 21.3% | 3.3% |
| 11/7/2024 | -18.2% | -17.2% | -4.8% |
| 8/6/2024 | 6.8% | 15.1% | 21.9% |
| 5/6/2024 | 10.4% | 11.4% | 19.5% |
| 2/20/2024 | 0.0% | -2.5% | -8.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 13 | 12 |
| # Negative | 11 | 9 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 7.1% | 11.4% | 9.1% |
| Median Negative | -3.7% | -10.1% | -8.3% |
| Max Positive | 24.3% | 34.5% | 46.7% |
| Max Negative | -18.2% | -18.5% | -30.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2192025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2232024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11062023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8072023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5082023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5092022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |