Micron Technology (MU)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $267.72 | Market Cap: $301.2 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors
Micron Technology (MU)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $267.72Market Cap: $301.2 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductors
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 115%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 207% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 33% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 55% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 23 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.7 Bil | Key risksMU key risks include [1] intense competition from emerging state-owned entities and [2] targeted geopolitical actions, Show more. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include AI Chips, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 33% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 23 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.7 Bil |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include AI Chips, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 115%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 207% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 55% |
| Key risksMU key risks include [1] intense competition from emerging state-owned entities and [2] targeted geopolitical actions, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MU Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why Micron Technology's (MU) stock moved by 124% during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 20, 2025:
1. Record Financial Results and Strong Guidance: Micron delivered exceptional financial performance, reporting record revenues and earnings for its fiscal fourth quarter of 2025 (ended August 28, 2025) and first quarter of 2026 (ended November 27, 2025). The company consistently surpassed analyst expectations for both top and bottom lines and provided a highly optimistic outlook for upcoming quarters, including record revenue and significant margin expansion forecasts.
2. Surging AI-Driven Demand and High-Bandwidth Memory (HBM) Leadership: A primary catalyst was the explosive demand for High-Bandwidth Memory (HBM) and other specialized memory solutions essential for artificial intelligence (AI) data centers. Micron solidified its position as a critical "AI enabler," with reports indicating its entire HBM supply for both calendar 2025 and 2026 was fully committed or "sold out."
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MU Return | 40% | 24% | -46% | 72% | -1% | 196% | 373% |
| Peers Return | 55% | 46% | -48% | 112% | 23% | 97% | 501% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MU Win Rate | 58% | 42% | 42% | 58% | 50% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 53% | 37% | 63% | 53% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MU Max Drawdown | -36% | -12% | -47% | 0% | -7% | -23% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -28% | -13% | -54% | -3% | -19% | -25% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WDC, INTC, NVDA, AMD, QCOM. See MU Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MU | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -49.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 99.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 528 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -42.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 245 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -53.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 115.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 700 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -88.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 742.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,680 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to TXN, ADI, STX, WDC, MCHP
In The Past
Micron Technology's stock fell -49.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2022. A -49.8% loss requires a 99.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MU. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.3% | 15.3% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.2% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.6% | 14.6% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.4% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| 06302025 | MU | Micron Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 116.1% | 116.1% | -14.8% |
| 12312024 | MU | Micron Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 43.8% | 216.9% | -23.0% |
| 02282023 | MU | Micron Technology | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.8% | 56.2% | -6.8% |
| 08312022 | MU | Micron Technology | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.9% | 24.8% | -13.5% |
| 10312018 | MU | Micron Technology | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.1% | 26.1% | -23.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.3% | 15.3% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.2% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.6% | 14.6% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.4% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| 06302025 | MU | Micron Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 116.1% | 116.1% | -14.8% |
| 12312024 | MU | Micron Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 43.8% | 216.9% | -23.0% |
| 02282023 | MU | Micron Technology | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.8% | 56.2% | -6.8% |
| 08312022 | MU | Micron Technology | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.9% | 24.8% | -13.5% |
| 10312018 | MU | Micron Technology | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.1% | 26.1% | -23.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Micron Technology
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 181.04 |
| Mkt Cap | 244.0 |
| Rev LTM | 43,298 |
| Op Inc LTM | 7,696 |
| FCF LTM | 5,050 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,421 |
| CFO LTM | 11,293 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 11,322 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 35.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 32.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 6.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 24.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 4.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 25.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 26.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 244.0 |
| P/S | 5.9 |
| P/EBIT | 33.6 |
| P/E | 39.2 |
| P/CFO | 28.4 |
| Total Yield | 2.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -0.0% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 5.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 30.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 70.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 86.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 330.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 28.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 55.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 62.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 231.3% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mobile and Client Business Unit (MCBU) | 11,667 | ||||
| Core Data Center Business Unit (CDBU) | 4,984 | ||||
| Automotive and Embedded Business Unit (AEBU) | 4,631 | ||||
| Cloud Memory Business Unit (CMBU) | 3,792 | ||||
| All Other | 37 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 25 |
| Unallocated | 0 | ||||
| Compute and Networking Business Unit (CNBU) | 5,710 | 13,693 | 12,280 | 9,184 | |
| Embedded Business Unit (EBU) | 3,637 | 5,235 | 4,209 | 2,759 | |
| Mobile Business Unit (MBU) | 3,630 | 7,260 | 7,203 | 5,702 | |
| Storage Business Unit (SBU) | 2,553 | 4,553 | 3,973 | 3,765 | |
| Total | 25,111 | 15,540 | 30,758 | 27,705 | 21,435 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Automotive and Embedded Business Unit (AEBU) | 432 | ||||
| Unallocated | 356 | -1,913 | -579 | -1,384 | -416 |
| Core Data Center Business Unit (CDBU) | 255 | ||||
| Cloud Memory Business Unit (CMBU) | 244 | ||||
| All Other | 18 | 8 | 12 | 20 | -2 |
| Mobile and Client Business Unit (MCBU) | -1 | ||||
| Compute and Networking Business Unit (CNBU) | -585 | 5,844 | 4,295 | 2,010 | |
| Embedded Business Unit (EBU) | 382 | 1,752 | 1,006 | 301 | |
| Mobile Business Unit (MBU) | -1,750 | 2,160 | 2,173 | 1,074 | |
| Storage Business Unit (SBU) | -1,887 | 513 | 173 | 36 | |
| Total | 1,304 | -5,745 | 9,702 | 6,283 | 3,003 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 12/17/2025 | 10.2% | ||
| 9/23/2025 | -2.8% | 0.5% | 19.3% |
| 6/25/2025 | -1.0% | -4.3% | -12.5% |
| 3/20/2025 | -8.0% | -11.5% | -35.1% |
| 12/18/2024 | -16.2% | -13.6% | 5.3% |
| 9/25/2024 | 14.7% | 4.3% | 11.7% |
| 6/26/2024 | -7.1% | -3.9% | -23.1% |
| 3/20/2024 | 14.1% | 23.9% | 11.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 9 | 14 |
| # Negative | 13 | 14 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% |
| Median Negative | -4.1% | -6.1% | -10.6% |
| Max Positive | 14.7% | 23.9% | 19.9% |
| Max Negative | -16.2% | -13.6% | -35.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | 12182025 | 10-Q 11/27/2025 |
| 8312025 | 10032025 | 10-K 8/28/2025 |
| 5312025 | 6262025 | 10-Q 5/29/2025 |
| 2282025 | 3212025 | 10-Q 2/27/2025 |
| 11302024 | 12192024 | 10-Q 11/28/2024 |
| 8312024 | 10042024 | 10-K 8/29/2024 |
| 5312024 | 6272024 | 10-Q 5/30/2024 |
| 2292024 | 3212024 | 10-Q 2/29/2024 |
| 11302023 | 12212023 | 10-Q 11/30/2023 |
| 8312023 | 10062023 | 10-K 8/31/2023 |
| 5312023 | 6292023 | 10-Q 6/1/2023 |
| 2282023 | 3292023 | 10-Q 3/2/2023 |
| 11302022 | 12222022 | 10-Q 12/1/2022 |
| 8312022 | 10072022 | 10-K 9/1/2022 |
| 5312022 | 7012022 | 10-Q 6/2/2022 |
| 2282022 | 3302022 | 10-Q 3/3/2022 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
