Tearsheet

AXT (AXTI)


Market Price (2/1/2026): $18.71 | Market Cap: $820.3 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment

AXT (AXTI)


Market Price (2/1/2026): $18.71
Market Cap: $820.3 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -22 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -24%
1   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 866%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 787%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%
4   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 294%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.9%
6   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 111%
7   Key risks
AXTI key risks include [1] revenue shortfalls and negative gross margins resulting from Chinese export restrictions on key materials, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more.
1 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -22 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -24%
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 866%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 787%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 294%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.9%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 111%
9 Key risks
AXTI key risks include [1] revenue shortfalls and negative gross margins resulting from Chinese export restrictions on key materials, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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AXT (AXTI) stock has gained about 135% since 10/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat and Improved Financial Performance

AXT reported strong third-quarter 2025 results on October 30, 2025, exceeding analyst expectations. The company announced an EPS of -$0.04, significantly beating the consensus estimate of -$0.12. Quarterly revenue also surpassed estimates, coming in at $27.96 million against an anticipated $19.85 million. This improved financial performance was largely driven by a substantial 250% quarter-over-quarter increase in indium phosphide revenues, attributed to the successful receipt of export permits and fulfillment of backlog orders. This positive earnings report, released at the onset of the analyzed period, acted as a significant catalyst.

2. High Demand for Indium Phosphide Driven by AI and Data Center Build-Outs

A crucial factor in AXT's stock surge is the escalating customer demand for its indium phosphide (InP) substrates, which are vital components for artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure and high-speed optical connectivity in data centers. AXT is recognized as a unique supplier of indium phosphide substrates, a material increasingly in demand as data centers are built and updated to support the growth of AI computing. This strong underlying market trend created a favorable environment for the company's growth prospects.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 133.2% change in AXTI stock from 10/31/2025 to 1/31/2026 was primarily driven by a 122.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)103120251312026Change
Stock Price ($)7.9518.54133.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)86905.0%
P/S Multiple4.09.0122.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4444-0.3%
Cumulative Contribution133.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 1/31/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AXTI133.2% 
Market (SPY)1.5%23.6%
Sector (XLK)-4.3%26.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 791.3% change in AXTI stock from 7/31/2025 to 1/31/2026 was primarily driven by a 853.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120251312026Change
Stock Price ($)2.0818.54791.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)9690-5.9%
P/S Multiple0.99.0853.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4444-0.7%
Cumulative Contribution791.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 1/31/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AXTI791.3% 
Market (SPY)9.8%35.2%
Sector (XLK)9.7%38.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 787.1% change in AXTI stock from 1/31/2025 to 1/31/2026 was primarily driven by a 844.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120251312026Change
Stock Price ($)2.0918.54787.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)9590-4.5%
P/S Multiple1.09.0844.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4344-1.6%
Cumulative Contribution787.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2025 to 1/31/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AXTI787.1% 
Market (SPY)16.0%28.1%
Sector (XLK)25.3%31.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 214.8% change in AXTI stock from 1/31/2023 to 1/31/2026 was primarily driven by a 450.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120231312026Change
Stock Price ($)5.8918.54214.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)15290-40.6%
P/S Multiple1.69.0450.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4244-3.8%
Cumulative Contribution214.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2023 to 1/31/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AXTI214.8% 
Market (SPY)76.6%29.2%
Sector (XLK)116.0%30.9%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
AXTI Return-8%-50%-45%-10%653%0%71%
Peers Return-10%-49%24%118%37%8%85%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%2%86%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AXTI Win Rate50%25%33%58%58%100% 
Peers Win Rate58%42%42%75%42%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%100% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AXTI Max Drawdown-22%-52%-56%-28%-47%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-28%-56%-21%-7%-35%-3% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: COHR, WOLF.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 1/30/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAXTIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-87.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven696.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven770 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-61.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven159.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven41 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-73.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven283.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven412 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-89.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven878.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven557 days1,480 days

Compare to COHR, WOLF

In The Past

AXT's stock fell -87.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/19/2021. A -87.4% loss requires a 696.4% gain to breakeven.

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About AXT (AXTI)

AXT, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and distributes compound and single element semiconductor substrates. It produces semiconductor substrates using its proprietary vertical gradient freeze technology. The company offers indium phosphide for use in data center connectivity using light/lasers, 5G communications, fiber optic lasers and detectors, passive optical networks, silicon photonics, photonic integrated circuits, terrestrial solar cells, RF amplifier and switching, infrared light-emitting diode (LEDS) motion control, lidar for robotics and autonomous vehicles, and infrared thermal imaging. It also provides semi-insulating gallium arsenide (GaAs) substrates for use in Wi-Fi and IoT devices, transistors, direct broadcast television, power amplifiers, satellite communications, and solar cells; and semi-conducting GaAs substrates that are used in LED, screen displays, printer head lasers and LEDs, 3-D sensing using VCSELs, data center communication using VCSELs, sensors for industrial robotics/near-infrared sensors, optical couplers, solar cells, night vision goggles, lidar for robotics and autonomous vehicles, and other lasers, as well as laser machining, cutting, and drilling. In addition, the company offers germanium substrates for use in multi-junction solar cells for satellites, optical sensors and detectors, terrestrial concentrated photo voltaic cells, infrared detectors, and carrier wafer for LED. Further, it provides 6N+ and 7N+ purified gallium, boron trioxide, gallium-magnesium alloy, pyrolytic boron nitride (pBN) crucibles, and pBN insulating parts. AXT, Inc. sells its products through direct salesforce in the United States, China, and Europe, as well as through independent sales representatives and distributors in Japan, Taiwan, Korea, and internationally. The company was formerly known as American Xtal Technology, Inc. and changed its name to AXT, Inc. in July 2000. AXT, Inc. was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Fremont, California.

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AXT is like a specialized Corning, providing the foundational crystal wafers used in high-speed communication and advanced electronic devices.

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  • Gallium Arsenide (GaAs) Substrates: Essential for high-performance wireless devices, fiber optic lasers, and consumer electronics.
  • Indium Phosphide (InP) Substrates: Critical for high-speed fiber optic communications, data center transceivers, and 3D sensing.
  • Germanium (Ge) Substrates: Utilized in high-efficiency solar cells, infrared applications, and various optoelectronic devices.
  • Pyrolytic Boron Nitride (PBN) Products: Advanced materials used as crucibles and components in crystal growth furnaces for compound semiconductors.

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Major Customers of AXT (AXTI)

AXT, Inc. (AXTI) sells primarily to **other companies** within the compound semiconductor industry, not directly to individuals. Its products are high-performance compound semiconductor substrates, which are intermediate materials used by other manufacturers to produce various electronic and optoelectronic devices.

While AXT's public filings indicate that sales to specific customers can represent a significant portion of its revenue (e.g., in 2023, two customers each represented over 10% of total revenue), the names of these major customers are typically not disclosed due to confidentiality agreements. Therefore, we cannot list specific customer company names or their symbols.

However, AXT's customer base generally consists of manufacturers in the following categories:

  • Manufacturers of **optical components** (e.g., lasers, LEDs, fiber optic communications components)
  • Manufacturers of **wireless devices** (e.g., radio frequency (RF) devices for 5G, Wi-Fi, and other wireless communication technologies)
  • Manufacturers of **flat panel displays** (e.g., micro-LED displays)
  • Manufacturers of **solar cells** and other renewable energy technologies
  • **Research and development laboratories** working on advanced semiconductor applications

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Morris Young, Chief Executive Officer

Morris Young co-founded AXT in 1986 and has served as a director since 1989. He held the titles of President and Chief Executive Officer from 1989 to 2004. After serving as Chief Technology Officer from 2004 to 2006 and a brief retirement from management, Dr. Young was reappointed CEO on July 16, 2009, and also became Chairman of the Board of Directors on August 12, 2021. Prior to AXT, he was a physicist at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory from 1985 to 1989 and a member of the technical staff at AT&T Bell Labs. Dr. Young also holds the position of Chairman at Beijing Tongmei Xtal Technology Co., Ltd. and Nanjing Jinmei Gallium Co., Ltd., which are part of AXT, Inc.

Gary L. Fischer, Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Gary Fischer joined AXT as Vice President and Chief Financial Officer in August 2014. He brings extensive experience from Silicon Valley, including working in Asia and Europe. In 1993, Mr. Fischer became Chief Financial Officer at ISSI (Integrated Silicon Solution Inc.), an advanced memory solutions company, which he helped take public in 1995. He later served as its President and Chief Operating Officer. In 2005, he joined eRide, a fabless semiconductor company, which was acquired in 2009. Following this, he consulted for growth companies on finance and M&A projects.

Wei Gao, Chief Technical Officer

Dr. Wei Gao joined AXT in May 2019 as Chief Technical Officer. He has over 20 years of experience in the III-V photonics industry, with a focus on R&D, product development, and manufacturing. Notably, Dr. Gao founded Axcel Photonics in 2000 with $10 million in venture capital funding, where he served as President, CEO, and CTO. Under his leadership, Axcel developed high-power diode lasers and was successfully acquired in 2010. His prior roles include Vice President of High Power Lasers at InPhenix, Inc., Vice President at Raydex Technology, Vice President at Precision Digital Corporation, Application Engineer at Nortel Networks, and Senior Engineer at Lasertron.

Sung Nee George Chu, Vice President, Technology and Chief Scientist

Dr. Sung Nee George Chu joined AXT in April 2012 as Chief Scientist, later becoming Vice President, Technology and Chief Scientist. He is recognized for his contributions to AXT's indium phosphide (InP) product line. Dr. Chu is a veteran of Bell Labs, where he joined AT&T Bell Labs in 1980, specializing in the epitaxial growth group of InP for optical fiber communication systems and becoming a distinguished member of technical staff in 1986. He has made significant scientific contributions to advanced photonic devices and was awarded the Bell Labs President's Quality Award in 1991. From 2003 to 2012, Dr. Chu served as Senior Director at Multiplex Inc., where he was responsible for manufacturing processes of EML devices.

Tim Bettles, Vice President, Business Development, Strategic Sales and Marketing

Tim Bettles joined AXT in July 2017 as Vice President of Business Development, Strategic Sales and Marketing. He is responsible for commercial activities in North America and strategic commercial partnerships globally. With over 30 years of experience in the semiconductor industry, Mr. Bettles began his career in research and development at Plessey Research and Technology and Philips Semiconductors, focusing on plasma deposition and etch processes. He transitioned into commercial roles at Trikon Technologies (now SPTS Technologies) and later joined IQE in 1998, moving to the U.S. in 2001 to develop and manage IQE's North American optoelectronics business. Before joining AXT, he managed business development for Crystal IS and SETi, focusing on AlN-based materials and ultraviolet LEDs.

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The key risks to AXT Inc. (AXTI) include:

  1. China Export Restrictions and Geopolitical Tensions: AXT's business faces significant challenges due to Chinese export restrictions on key materials such as indium phosphide and gallium arsenide. Delays in obtaining export permits have led to revenue shortfalls, impacted timely product shipments, and contributed to negative gross margins, posing a substantial risk to the company's financial performance. Geopolitical tensions between China and the United States further contribute to this uncertainty.
  2. Operational and Financial Challenges: AXT has been contending with persistent net losses and weak profit margins. The company reported a non-GAAP net loss in recent quarters, and declining sales of germanium substrates also present a challenge to profitability and diversification efforts. Although the company maintains a healthy liquidity position, its overall financial health score remains weak, and liabilities have, at times, outweighed its cash and near-term receivables.
  3. Risk of Health Epidemics and Natural/Human Disruptions: AXT Inc. is susceptible to significant business risks arising from potential health epidemics and outbreaks, as demonstrated by the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on its operations. Such events can lead to operational shutdowns, disruptions in raw material supply and manufacturing, and subsequent revenue losses, posing a challenge to recapturing financial stability and potentially resulting in a loss of market share.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

AXT Inc. (symbol: AXTI) is a material science company that develops and manufactures high-performance compound and single-element semiconductor wafer substrates, including indium phosphide (InP), gallium arsenide (GaAs), and germanium (Ge). These substrates are critical components in various high-tech applications when silicon wafers do not meet performance requirements. The addressable markets for AXT's main products are globally sized as follows: * **Indium Phosphide (InP) Wafer Substrates:** The global indium phosphide wafer market was valued at approximately USD 198.17 million in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 348.30 million by 2030, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.94%. Other estimates place the global market at USD 204.6 million in 2024, expected to reach USD 571.9 million by 2033 with a CAGR of 12.1%. The broader "Global Indium Phosphide Compound Semiconductor Market" is expected to reach USD 7.6 billion by 2027, with a CAGR of 9.7%. * **Gallium Arsenide (GaAs) Wafer Substrates:** The global gallium arsenide (GaAs) wafer market was valued at approximately USD 112 million in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 167 million by 2034, with a CAGR of 4.1%. Other reports estimate the global market size for GaAs wafers to be around USD 0.42 billion in 2025, potentially reaching USD 0.86 billion by 2034 with a CAGR of 9.5%. Another source indicates a global market size of USD 1.14 billion in 2024, estimated to grow to USD 3.51 billion by 2034 at a CAGR of 11.8%. * **Germanium (Ge) Wafer Substrates:** The global germanium market was valued at approximately USD 319.9 million in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 481.4 million by 2035, growing at a CAGR of 3.79%. Other estimates state the global germanium market was valued at USD 312.58 million in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 433.63 million by 2034, with a CAGR of 3.3%. The market was also estimated at USD 320.3 million in 2024, with a projection to reach USD 436.9 million by 2033 at a CAGR of 3.5%.

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AXT, Inc. (NASDAQ: AXTI) is poised for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key factors in the compound semiconductor market.

  1. Surging Demand for Indium Phosphide in Data Centers and AI: AXT is experiencing a significant increase in demand for its indium phosphide (InP) products, primarily fueled by the expansion of data center applications and the growing artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure. The company reported a 250% sequential growth in indium phosphide revenue in Q3 2025, reaching a three-year high due to strong demand for data center applications globally. This trend is expected to continue, with management highlighting tremendous opportunities in 2026 driven by the data center upgrade cycle. Indium phosphide substrates are critical for high-speed optical interconnects and silicon photonics, essential components of AI infrastructure.
  2. Growth in Optical Connectivity and 5G Infrastructure: The company anticipates continued growth from the optical connectivity sector, including applications in 5G infrastructure. AXT's Indium Phosphide substrates are utilized in broadband, fiber optic, and 5G applications. Additionally, Gallium Arsenide (GaAs) substrates are crucial for HBT devices in 5G and next-generation networks.
  3. Expansion into Emerging Markets like Autonomous Driving (LiDAR): AXT identifies autonomous driving, specifically LiDAR sensors, as a high-growth market for its gallium arsenide substrates. The LiDAR market is projected to reach $5.6 billion by 2030, presenting a significant long-term potential for AXT.
  4. Strategic Capital Infusion from Tongmei IPO: The ongoing process of listing AXT's subsidiary, Tongmei, on China's STAR Market is expected to bolster its financial position and provide a capital source to fund long-term growth initiatives. This strategic move aims to enhance AXT's ability to support the strong demand for strategic compound semiconductor materials.
  5. Leveraging Superior Product Performance and Export Permit Streamlining: AXT is focused on enhancing its competitive positioning through superior product performance, particularly in key specifications like low etch pit density (EPD), which is crucial for next-generation transceiver technology. The company has been actively working on obtaining necessary export permits for its indium phosphide and gallium arsenide, which, once streamlined and consistently secured, will enable the fulfillment of substantial backlogs and unlock previously delayed revenue.

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Share Repurchases

  • AXT repurchased $1 million of common stock in 2024.
  • The company repurchased $41 million of common stock in 2023.
  • As of December 31, 2024, approximately $108 million remained authorized under the share repurchase program.

Share Issuance

  • Common stock issued amounted to $28,000 in 2023, $10,000 in 2022, and $518,000 in 2021.
  • In 2020, common stock issued was $593,000.
  • In the first quarter of 2021, there were proceeds from the issuance of Tongmei's common stock to redeemable noncontrolling interests of $0.7 million and proceeds from common stock options exercised of $0.7 million.

Inbound Investments

  • Beijing Tongmei Xtal Technology Co., Ltd. ("Tongmei"), AXT's subsidiary in China, applied to list its shares on the Shanghai Stock Exchange's Sci-Tech innovAtion boaRd (STAR Market), which was accepted for review on January 10, 2022, and approved for listing on July 12, 2022.
  • Capital Investment Agreements with investors for Tongmei totaled approximately $49 million, with the government approving the entire investment on January 25, 2021, in exchange for a 7.28% noncontrolling interest.
  • AXT announced a strategic plan in November 2020 to secure approximately $50 million from private equity firms for Tongmei, with the first tranche of $22.5 million expected by early December 2020 and a second tranche of $26.5 million in January 2021.

Outbound Investments

  • AXT makes strategic investments in private companies located in China to gain competitive access to raw materials for its substrate business.
  • In February 2021, Tongmei formed a joint venture, ChaoYang XinMei High Purity Semiconductor Materials Co., Ltd., by funding approximately $1.8 million for a 58.5% ownership.
  • AXT has board representation in its raw material supply chain companies, some of which are consolidated.

Capital Expenditures

  • Net cash used in investing activities, primarily due to property, plant, and equipment, was $25.2 million in 2022 and $38.8 million in 2021.
  • In 2020, net cash used in investing activities was $16.4 million, primarily for property, plant, and equipment in preparation for new manufacturing sites, additional equipment for the Beijing site, and facility costs for consolidated subsidiaries.
  • In 2020, AXT expected to spend approximately $5 million on its gallium arsenide manufacturing line and considered additional investments in its indium phosphide manufacturing line, while its subsidiary JinMei expected to invest $3.0 million to $3.5 million for new facilities.

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Peer Comparisons

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Financials

AXTICOHRWOLFMedian
NameAXT Coherent Wolfspeed 
Mkt Price18.54212.1815.6618.54
Mkt Cap0.833.12.42.4
Rev LTM906,043760760
Op Inc LTM-22608-625-22
FCF LTM-1974-1,518-19
FCF 3Y Avg-15197-2,023-15
CFO LTM-16527-574-16
CFO 3Y Avg-8593-520-8

Growth & Margins

AXTICOHRWOLFMedian
NameAXT Coherent Wolfspeed 
Rev Chg LTM-4.5%20.8%-5.6%-4.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-11.8%16.5%8.7%8.7%
Rev Chg Q18.2%17.3%1.1%17.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.0%4.0%0.3%4.0%
Op Mgn LTM-24.4%10.1%-82.3%-24.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-18.4%5.1%-63.3%-18.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM3.9%0.8%0.6%0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM-17.5%8.7%-75.6%-17.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-9.0%11.4%-66.7%-9.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-20.9%1.2%-199.8%-20.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-16.7%3.9%-258.4%-16.7%

Valuation

AXTICOHRWOLFMedian
NameAXT Coherent Wolfspeed 
Mkt Cap0.833.12.42.4
P/S9.05.53.25.5
P/EBIT-36.062.9-1.4-1.4
P/E-35.7132.6-1.2-1.2
P/CFO-51.462.9-4.3-4.3
Total Yield-2.8%0.8%-80.6%-2.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-10.0%2.4%--3.8%
D/E0.10.10.00.1
Net D/E0.00.1-0.40.0

Returns

AXTICOHRWOLFMedian
NameAXT Coherent Wolfspeed 
1M Rtn13.4%15.0%-10.1%13.4%
3M Rtn133.2%60.8%-40.5%60.8%
6M Rtn865.6%106.4%-29.1%106.4%
12M Rtn787.1%134.5%-29.1%134.5%
3Y Rtn196.6%375.2%-29.1%196.6%
1M Excs Rtn16.7%13.0%-9.1%13.0%
3M Excs Rtn161.5%53.0%-51.8%53.0%
6M Excs Rtn781.9%87.7%-38.6%87.7%
12M Excs Rtn776.4%133.0%-44.0%133.0%
3Y Excs Rtn154.8%307.4%-101.9%154.8%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Substrates471111037668
Raw Materials and Other2830342015
Total761411379583


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$18.54 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.8 
First Trading Date05/21/1998 
Distance from 52W High-28.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$15.79$6.43
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA17.4%188.2%
 3M1YR
Volatility121.5%111.2%
Downside Capture-8.55145.89
Upside Capture492.68351.76
Correlation (SPY)25.9%28.6%
AXTI Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-1.171.532.523.531.611.90
Up Beta-6.80-2.88-0.113.140.400.70
Down Beta1.264.524.696.182.462.34
Up Capture-13%414%699%1479%1562%5045%
Bmk +ve Days11223471142430
Stock +ve Days8223473129350
Down Capture-393%-279%-9%-91%118%113%
Bmk -ve Days9192754109321
Stock -ve Days12192649110364

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AXTI
AXTI720.0%110.7%2.43-
Sector ETF (XLK)24.9%26.9%0.8032.1%
Equity (SPY)16.1%19.2%0.6528.5%
Gold (GLD)76.5%23.4%2.38-9.6%
Commodities (DBC)11.1%15.9%0.487.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.3%16.5%0.149.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-18.9%39.9%-0.4323.7%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AXTI
AXTI7.5%86.8%0.46-
Sector ETF (XLK)17.4%24.7%0.6436.7%
Equity (SPY)14.0%17.1%0.6534.4%
Gold (GLD)20.8%16.5%1.033.5%
Commodities (DBC)12.2%18.8%0.537.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%18.8%0.1620.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)21.1%57.5%0.5620.0%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AXTI
AXTI20.7%76.0%0.58-
Sector ETF (XLK)23.1%24.2%0.8736.8%
Equity (SPY)15.6%17.9%0.7534.6%
Gold (GLD)15.6%15.3%0.852.0%
Commodities (DBC)8.5%17.6%0.4011.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.9%20.8%0.2521.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)71.5%66.4%1.1115.0%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date1152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4.5 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 123120259.1%
Average Daily Volume9.9 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity43.8 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares10.2%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
1/9/2026-11.0%-0.4% 
10/30/20258.6%21.2%60.7%
7/31/2025-7.7%-1.0%39.4%
5/1/20253.0%-3.0%16.3%
2/20/2025-31.0%-27.9%-26.6%
10/31/2024-18.1%-18.1%-14.2%
8/1/2024-18.5%-24.3%-19.5%
5/2/202420.8%17.8%17.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111010
# Negative121312
Median Positive9.2%5.7%23.7%
Median Negative-9.6%-10.8%-9.7%
Max Positive69.3%88.2%117.1%
Max Negative-31.0%-27.9%-44.6%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202511/13/202510-Q
06/30/202508/13/202510-Q
03/31/202505/14/202510-Q
12/31/202403/14/202510-K
09/30/202411/12/202410-Q
06/30/202408/09/202410-Q
03/31/202405/10/202410-Q
12/31/202303/15/202410-K
09/30/202311/09/202310-Q
06/30/202308/09/202310-Q
03/31/202305/10/202310-Q
12/31/202203/16/202310-K
09/30/202211/10/202210-Q
06/30/202208/12/202210-Q
03/31/202205/09/202210-Q
12/31/202103/15/202210-K

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Chang, David C DAVID C CHANG TTEE DAVID C.CHANG REVOCABLE TRUSTSell1209202514.8425,000371,0251,970,054Form
2Young, Morris SCEOYoung Family Trust DTDSell1209202512.4637,160462,90230,624,339Form
3Young, Morris SCEOYoung Family Trust DTDSell1208202512.0535,000421,75030,071,546Form
4Chang, David C DAVID C CHANG TTEE DAVID C.CHANG REVOCABLE TRUSTSell1202202510.7225,000268,0001,959,016Form
5Chang, David C DAVID C CHANG TTEE DAVID C.CHANG REVOCABLE TRUSTSell1202202512.3325,000308,2501,944,984Form