PC Connection (CNXN)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $59.04 | Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Technology Distributors
PC Connection (CNXN)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $59.04Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Technology Distributors
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.2% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -50%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -60% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.2% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -25% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 26% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cybersecurity, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.2% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -25% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 26% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cybersecurity, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -50%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -60% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.2% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CNXN Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
PC Connection (CNXN) experienced a stock decline of -7.8% between approximately August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, primarily due to the following key factors:
1. The company missed Wall Street's expectations for both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) in its third quarter 2025 earnings report, released on October 29, 2025. PC Connection reported an EPS of $0.97, falling short of analysts' consensus estimates of $1.00 to $1.01 per share. Additionally, its revenue of $709.1 million for the quarter missed estimates ranging from $743.7 million to $758.6 million.
2. A significant year-over-year decrease in net sales, largely driven by weakness in the public sector, contributed to the overall revenue miss. Net sales for the third quarter of 2025 declined by 2.2% compared to the prior year. The public sector solutions segment, in particular, saw a substantial drop of 24.3% in net sales year-over-year, which management partly attributed to delayed federal spending.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CNXN Return | -5% | -6% | 9% | 44% | 4% | -14% | 25% |
| Peers Return | 12% | 38% | -15% | 30% | -10% | -4% | 48% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CNXN Win Rate | 67% | 50% | 58% | 83% | 50% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 67% | 47% | 58% | 43% | 56% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CNXN Max Drawdown | -35% | -9% | -6% | -18% | -12% | -18% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -43% | -3% | -25% | -5% | -16% | -28% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PLUS, TAIT, CDW, SNX, ARW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CNXN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -30.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 44.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 181 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -41.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 71.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 986 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -34.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 52.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 119 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -84.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 559.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1689 days | 1480 days |
Compare to PLUS, TAIT, CDW, SNX, ARW
In The Past
PC Connection's stock fell -30.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/23/2022. A -30.8% loss requires a 44.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CNXN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for PC Connection
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 99.34 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.0 |
| Rev LTM | 12,489 |
| Op Inc LTM | 483 |
| FCF LTM | 90 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 339 |
| CFO LTM | 142 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 388 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -2.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 3.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 5.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 3.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.0 |
| P/S | 0.7 |
| P/EBIT | 12.5 |
| P/E | 16.3 |
| P/CFO | 23.0 |
| Total Yield | 6.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.6% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -9.6% |
| 6M Rtn | -8.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -13.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 7.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -17.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -22.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -25.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -64.1% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enterprise Solutions | 1,201 | 1,324 | 1,249 | 1,116 | 1,194 |
| Business Solutions | 1,076 | 1,245 | 1,098 | 966 | 1,060 |
| Public Sector Solutions | 574 | 555 | 545 | 509 | 566 |
| Total | 2,851 | 3,125 | 2,893 | 2,590 | 2,820 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business Solutions | 76 | 79 | 44 | 32 | 53 |
| Enterprise Solutions | 39 | 53 | 75 | 59 | 68 |
| Public Sector Solutions | 2 | 1 | -5 | -3 | 7 |
| Unallocated Headquarters/Other expenses | -14 | ||||
| Headquarters/Other assets | -14 | -17 | -17 | -16 | |
| Total | 103 | 121 | 97 | 72 | 112 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enterprise Solutions | 705 | 660 | 646 | 588 | 549 |
| Business Solutions | 503 | 446 | 402 | 365 | 309 |
| Public Sector Solutions | 79 | 85 | 85 | 96 | 92 |
| Headquarters/Other assets | -98 | -91 | -49 | -34 | -12 |
| Total | 1,188 | 1,100 | 1,083 | 1,015 | 937 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10292025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2242025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3072024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3062023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3142022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |