US Foods (USFD)
Market Price (8/8/2026): $109.11 | Market Cap: $23.9 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Food Distributors
US Foods (USFD)
Market Price (8/8/2026): $109.11Market Cap: $23.9 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Food Distributors
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 2.5 Bil Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Automation & Robotics, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Supply Chain Digitization, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% | Key risksUSFD key risks include [1] intense pricing and market share pressure from major national and regional competitors. |
| Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 2.5 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Automation & Robotics, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Supply Chain Digitization, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
| Key risksUSFD key risks include [1] intense pricing and market share pressure from major national and regional competitors. |
Qualitative Assessment
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US Foods (USFD) stock has gained about 15% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Outperformance.
US Foods reported robust results for fiscal Q2 2026 (which ended July 2, 2026), significantly exceeding analyst expectations. Net sales grew 4.5% year-over-year to $10.5 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of approximately $10.46 billion. Adjusted Diluted EPS rose 21.0% to $1.44, beating the average analyst estimate of $1.36. Adjusted EBITDA also increased 10.2% to a record $604 million, exceeding expectations of $587.2 million.
2. Accelerated Volume Growth in Independent Restaurants and Margin Expansion.
A core driver of the strong performance was the accelerated 5.1% increase in independent restaurant case volume during fiscal Q2 2026. This accelerated growth helped expand the Adjusted EBITDA margin by 29 basis points to 5.7%, and the net income margin by 39 basis points to 2.6%.
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US Foods (USFD) stock has gained about 15% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Outperformance.
US Foods reported robust results for fiscal Q2 2026 (which ended July 2, 2026), significantly exceeding analyst expectations. Net sales grew 4.5% year-over-year to $10.5 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of approximately $10.46 billion. Adjusted Diluted EPS rose 21.0% to $1.44, beating the average analyst estimate of $1.36. Adjusted EBITDA also increased 10.2% to a record $604 million, exceeding expectations of $587.2 million.
2. Accelerated Volume Growth in Independent Restaurants and Margin Expansion.
A core driver of the strong performance was the accelerated 5.1% increase in independent restaurant case volume during fiscal Q2 2026. This accelerated growth helped expand the Adjusted EBITDA margin by 29 basis points to 5.7%, and the net income margin by 39 basis points to 2.6%.
3. Shareholder Returns and Reaffirmed Strong Fiscal Year Guidance.
The company demonstrated a commitment to shareholder returns by repurchasing 4.4 million shares of common stock for $374 million during fiscal Q2 2026. Alongside this, management reaffirmed its strong fiscal year 2026 guidance, expecting Net Sales growth of 4% to 6%, Adjusted EBITDA growth of 9% to 13%, and Adjusted Diluted EPS growth of 18% to 24%. The updated guidance on EPS of $4.696–$4.935 and revenue of $41.0–$41.8 billion also broadly exceeded analyst expectations.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 16.5% change in USFD stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 6.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302026 | 8072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 93.49 | 108.88 | 16.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 39,424 | 40,133 | 1.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.7% | 1.8% | 5.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 30.6 | 32.8 | 6.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 222 | 219 | 1.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 16.5% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2026 to 8/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| USFD | 16.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.6% | -12.5% |
| Sector (XLP) | 1.0% | 37.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 30.2% change in USFD stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 27.2% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 8072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 83.62 | 108.88 | 30.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 39,115 | 40,133 | 2.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.4% | 1.8% | 27.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 33.8 | 32.8 | -3.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 226 | 219 | 3.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 30.2% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 8/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| USFD | 30.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.1% | -3.3% |
| Sector (XLP) | 2.5% | 41.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 30.7% change in USFD stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 31.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 8072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 83.33 | 108.88 | 30.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 38,279 | 40,133 | 4.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.4% | 1.8% | 31.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 36.5 | 32.8 | -10.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 231 | 219 | 5.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 30.7% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 8/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| USFD | 30.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 23.4% | 8.1% |
| Sector (XLP) | 8.9% | 36.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 154.8% change in USFD stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 78.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 7312023 | 8072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 42.73 | 108.88 | 154.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 34,801 | 40,133 | 15.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.0% | 1.8% | 78.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 27.3 | 32.8 | 20.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 226 | 219 | 3.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 154.8% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2023 to 8/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| USFD | 154.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 74.9% | 40.1% |
| Sector (XLP) | 21.1% | 38.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| USFD Return | 5% | -2% | 33% | 49% | 12% | 42% | 221% |
| Peers Return | 60% | 1% | -13% | 41% | 14% | 40% | 219% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 13% | 105% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| USFD Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 50% | 83% | 50% | 62% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 52% | 62% | 62% | 75% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| USFD Max Drawdown | -28% | -33% | -19% | -10% | -17% | -21% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -26% | -28% | -40% | -25% | -24% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SYY, PFGC, UNFI, CHEF. See USFD Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/7/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | USFD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -15.6% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.4% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 31 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -18.0% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 21.9% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 49 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -25.9% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.9% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 41 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -75.6% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 310.1% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 358 days | 140 days |
In The Past
US Foods's stock fell -15.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.4% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | USFD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -25.9% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.9% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 41 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -75.6% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 310.1% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 358 days | 140 days |
In The Past
US Foods's stock fell -15.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About US Foods (USFD)
US Foods Holding Corp. (USFD) operates as a major distributor within the U.S. foodservice industry. The company specializes in marketing and distributing a comprehensive array of fresh, frozen, and dry food products. In addition to food items, US Foods also supplies various non-food products, providing its customers with a complete solution for their operational needs.
The company serves a broad and diverse customer base across the United States. Its primary clients include independently owned restaurants, multi-unit regional concepts, and large national restaurant chains. Beyond the restaurant sector, US Foods also supplies essential goods to institutional customers such as hospitals, nursing homes, hotels, motels, country clubs, government and military organizations, colleges, and universities, as well as select retail locations.
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- Costco for restaurants and institutions.
- Amazon for commercial kitchens.
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- Fresh Food Products: A broad category including produce, meats, dairy, and other perishable items distributed to foodservice establishments.
- Frozen Food Products: Items such as frozen vegetables, prepared meals, and meats that are preserved by freezing and distributed to customers.
- Dry Food Products: Shelf-stable goods like grains, pasta, canned goods, baking ingredients, spices, and other non-perishable food items.
- Non-Food Products: Essential supplies for foodservice operations, including disposables, cleaning supplies, kitchen equipment, and other operational necessities.
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US Foods (USFD) primarily serves other companies and institutions within the foodservice industry rather than individual consumers. The company's customer base is broad and diverse, encompassing a wide variety of foodservice operations across the United States. The provided background information describes the *categories* of major customers but does not list specific named customer companies or their symbols.
The major categories of customers served by US Foods include:
- Independently owned single and multi-unit restaurants
- Regional concepts
- National restaurant chains
- Hospitals
- Nursing homes
- Hotels and motels
- Country clubs
- Government and military organizations
- Colleges and universities
- Retail locations
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David E. Flitman, Chief Executive Officer and Director
David E. Flitman was appointed CEO of US Foods effective January 5, 2023. He brings over 35 years of experience in manufacturing and distribution across multiple industries, including food distribution. Prior to joining US Foods, he served as CEO and President of Builders FirstSource. His previous leadership roles include CEO of BMC Stock Holdings (which merged with Builders FirstSource), President of the Water and Process Services operation of Ecolab, and a leader at Performance Foodservice. He also spent more than two decades in various positions at DuPont.
Dirk J. Locascio, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Dirk J. Locascio assumed the role of Chief Financial Officer at US Foods on February 6, 2017. He has held various finance and accounting leadership positions within the company since 2009. Before his tenure at US Foods, Locascio held senior finance roles with United Airlines and worked in public accounting with Arthur Andersen LLP.
John Tonnison, Executive Vice President, Chief Information and Digital Officer
John Tonnison joined US Foods as Executive Vice President, Chief Information and Digital Officer on July 12, 2021. In this role, he is responsible for the company's technology vision, strategy, and all information technology functions, including digital, cybersecurity, applications, and infrastructure. Prior to US Foods, Tonnison served for nearly 20 years as Executive Vice President and Chief Information Officer at Tech Data Corp., a global distributor of business and consumer technologies. He also previously held the position of Vice President and Chief Technology Officer for Technology Solutions Network.
Steven M. Guberman, Executive Vice President, Nationally Managed Business and Chief Transformation Officer
Steven M. Guberman is an Executive Vice President at US Foods.
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Here are the key risks to US Foods (USFD):
- Intense Competition: US Foods operates in a highly competitive foodservice distribution industry, facing numerous national, multi-regional, regional, and local distributors, as well as specialty competitors. This competitive landscape necessitates continuous innovation and service improvement to avoid losing customers and market share.
- Economic Sensitivity and Cost Volatility: The company's performance is closely tied to overall economic conditions, consumer spending, and confidence within the hospitality and restaurant industries. US Foods is exposed to market risks, including fluctuations in fuel and commodity costs, which can significantly impact delivery expenses and product costs, affecting both profitability and consumer demand.
- Supply Chain Disruptions and Labor Costs: US Foods relies on third-party suppliers, making it vulnerable to supply interruptions or increased product costs due to factors beyond its control, such as labor shortages, severe weather, and geopolitical events. Additionally, rising transportation and labor costs pose ongoing margin pressure for the business.
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- The U.S. food service market size was valued at approximately USD 1,202.65 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 1,286.65 billion in 2025.
- Other estimates place the U.S. foodservice market at USD 1.02 trillion in 2024, with a projected increase to USD 1.53 trillion by 2030.
- Additionally, food sales at foodservice outlets in the U.S. were reported as USD 1.52 trillion in 2024.
- The U.S. foodservice market size reached USD 1,610.1 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 2,703.6 billion by 2034.
- Another source estimates the United States foodservice restaurants market to grow from USD 0.91 trillion in 2025 to USD 1.67 trillion by 2031.
- The United States Foodservice Market is expected to grow from US$ 846 billion in 2024 to US$ 1,970.47 billion in 2033.
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US Foods (NYSE: USFD) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key initiatives:
- Continued Growth in Independent Restaurants: US Foods consistently emphasizes capturing incremental market share and increasing case volume within independently owned restaurants. This segment has shown accelerated growth, and the company has achieved 19 consecutive quarters of share gains in independent restaurant case volume.
- Expansion in Healthcare and Hospitality Sectors: The company strategically focuses on growing its business within healthcare and hospitality customer types, which collectively represent a significant portion of its sales and have demonstrated consistent volume growth.
- Leveraging Digital Platforms and Technology: US Foods is focused on enhancing its digital capabilities, including its MOXē platform, which is a key digital tool for customers and sales force, reducing seller workload by 30% and boasting nearly 90% customer penetration. The integration of AI and automation is also central to improving efficiency and service levels, supporting further growth.
- Increased Penetration of Exclusive Brands: The company's strong focus on its private label, Exclusive Brands, and value-added offerings is expected to enhance gross margins and provide insulation from input cost pressures. Increased penetration of these differentiated products can also drive revenue by attracting and retaining customers.
- Enhanced Sales Force Effectiveness and Pronto Expansion: The transition to a new 100% variable commission plan for its sales force is designed to drive stronger alignment with business objectives and accelerate long-term growth. Additionally, the Pronto small truck delivery service, which has already generated over $1 billion in sales, is planned for further market expansion.
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Share Repurchases
- US Foods repurchased $934 million of stock in 2025.
- The company announced a new $1 billion share repurchase authorization in January 2026.
- As of early 2026, US Foods had approximately $1.09 billion of remaining share repurchase authorization.
Share Issuance
- No information available regarding significant dollar amounts of shares issued. Shares outstanding declined by 5.66% in 2025 compared to 2024, reflecting net repurchases.
Inbound Investments
- No information available regarding large inbound investments made in US Foods by third-parties.
Outbound Investments
- In January 2025, US Foods acquired Jake's Finer Food for $92 million as part of its tuck-in acquisition strategy.
- After the third quarter of 2025, US Foods signed a definitive agreement to acquire Shetakis.
- The company decided against a merger with Performance Food Group, citing regulatory risks and unfavorable economics.
Capital Expenditures
- Cash capital expenditures for fiscal year 2025 totaled $410 million, representing an increase of $69 million from the prior year.
- These expenditures in 2025 were focused on investments in information technology, property and equipment, and construction and improvements to distribution facilities.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| 7-Day Rally Sends US Foods Stock Up 14% | 06/16/2026 | |
| US Foods Stock Rockets 14% With 6-Day Winning Streak | 06/13/2026 | |
| US Foods Earnings Notes | 12/29/2026 | |
| US Foods Stock Jump Looks Great, But How Secure Is That Gain? | 10/17/2025 | |
| US Foods vs T-Mobile US: Which Is A Better Investment? | 08/18/2025 | |
| US Foods vs Keurig Dr Pepper: Which Is A Better Investment? | 08/18/2025 | |
| How Does US Foods Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | 08/13/2025 | |
| Better Bet Than USFD Stock: Pay Less Than US Foods To Get More From CCL, FSLR | 08/12/2025 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| US Foods Stock 7-Day Winning Spree: Stock Climbs 14% | 06/16/2026 |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 108.88 |
| Mkt Cap | 17.9 |
| Rev LTM | 40,133 |
| Op Inc LTM | 832 |
| FCF LTM | 946 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 783 |
| CFO LTM | 1,369 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,207 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.1% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 8.4% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 11.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 3.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 3.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 3.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 17.9 |
| P/S | 0.5 |
| P/Op Inc | 18.4 |
| P/EBIT | 21.2 |
| P/E | 32.8 |
| P/CFO | 15.2 |
| Total Yield | 2.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.2% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 23.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 20.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 35.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 126.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 18.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 9.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 6.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 55.7% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meats and seafood | 13,974 | 12,930 | 11,953 | 11,245 |
| Dry grocery products | 6,685 | 6,624 | 6,407 | 4,979 |
| Refrigerated and frozen grocery products | 6,635 | 6,423 | 6,053 | 4,453 |
| Dairy | 4,214 | 4,036 | 3,727 | 2,801 |
| Equipment, disposables and supplies | 3,631 | 3,567 | 3,571 | 3,090 |
| Beverage products | 2,338 | 2,161 | 1,971 | 1,465 |
| Produce | 1,947 | 2,136 | 1,915 | 1,454 |
| Total | 39,424 | 37,877 | 35,597 | 29,487 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $108.88 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 24.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/26/2016 | |
| Distance from 52W High | 0.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $95.14 | $86.73 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 14.4% | 25.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 28.9% | 29.5% |
| Downside Capture | -114.39 | -14.82 |
| Upside Capture | 19.04 | 23.47 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -17.9% | 7.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.38 | -0.32 | -0.23 | -0.04 | 0.22 | 0.68 |
| Up Beta | -2.13 | -0.07 | -0.04 | 0.88 | 0.85 | 0.80 |
| Down Beta | -0.04 | -0.56 | -0.68 | -0.69 | -0.23 | 0.70 |
| Up Capture | -9% | 37% | 8% | 5% | 19% | 41% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 35 | 67 | 138 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 26 | 34 | 66 | 121 | 405 |
| Down Capture | 16% | -108% | -32% | -48% | 11% | 74% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 28 | 59 | 114 | 326 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 17 | 29 | 60 | 130 | 345 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with USFD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USFD | 28.7% | 29.9% | 0.85 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 6.5% | 14.1% | 0.21 | 36.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 23.3% | 12.8% | 1.36 | 7.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 28.5% | 28.4% | 0.87 | 4.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 32.9% | 19.8% | 1.32 | -16.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 14.2% | 13.8% | 0.72 | 26.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -44.2% | 42.9% | -1.23 | 8.7% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with USFD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USFD | 25.6% | 30.0% | 0.79 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 6.2% | 13.6% | 0.24 | 43.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.2% | 0.61 | 53.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.6% | 18.6% | 0.81 | 3.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 19.6% | 0.31 | 3.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.3% | 18.9% | 0.02 | 45.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 8.8% | 53.0% | 0.35 | 23.3% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with USFD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USFD | 16.1% | 39.0% | 0.50 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 7.3% | 14.8% | 0.36 | 38.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 17.9% | 0.73 | 52.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.1% | 16.2% | 0.61 | 2.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.4% | 18.0% | 0.33 | 16.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 20.7% | 0.20 | 51.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.2% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 17.2% |
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Earnings Returns History
Updated 8/7/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | -5.6% | -7.5% | -8.1% |
| 1/12/2026 | 2.3% | 13.4% | 19.9% |
| 11/6/2025 | -3.6% | -1.6% | 1.0% |
| 8/7/2025 | -5.3% | -7.1% | -8.0% |
| 5/8/2025 | 3.9% | 8.4% | 12.5% |
| 2/13/2025 | 1.7% | 2.5% | -6.3% |
| 11/7/2024 | 1.2% | 1.6% | 9.4% |
| 8/8/2024 | 0.4% | 9.4% | 11.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 16 | 13 |
| # Negative | 10 | 8 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 3.0% | 6.4% | 11.8% |
| Median Negative | -3.3% | -4.1% | -6.3% |
| Max Positive | 10.4% | 18.5% | 57.0% |
| Max Negative | -5.6% | -11.8% | -13.2% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | -5.6% | -7.5% | -8.1% |
| 1/12/2026 | 2.3% | 13.4% | 19.9% |
| 11/6/2025 | -3.6% | -1.6% | 1.0% |
| 8/7/2025 | -5.3% | -7.1% | -8.0% |
| 5/8/2025 | 3.9% | 8.4% | 12.5% |
| 2/13/2025 | 1.7% | 2.5% | -6.3% |
| 11/7/2024 | 1.2% | 1.6% | 9.4% |
| 8/8/2024 | 0.4% | 9.4% | 11.8% |
| 5/9/2024 | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| 2/15/2024 | 3.5% | 8.5% | 15.0% |
| 11/9/2023 | 0.5% | 4.3% | 8.7% |
| 8/10/2023 | -3.0% | -4.2% | -7.9% |
| 5/11/2023 | 5.0% | 7.6% | 10.4% |
| 2/16/2023 | 3.6% | 3.4% | -5.1% |
| 11/10/2022 | 10.4% | 15.7% | 17.7% |
| 8/11/2022 | 0.6% | 0.2% | -3.0% |
| 5/12/2022 | -3.6% | -4.0% | -13.2% |
| 2/17/2022 | -1.1% | -2.9% | -5.2% |
| 11/8/2021 | -5.4% | -11.8% | -11.9% |
| 8/9/2021 | -0.7% | 0.6% | -3.6% |
| 5/10/2021 | -2.7% | -2.9% | -1.4% |
| 2/16/2021 | -2.4% | 1.8% | 4.6% |
| 11/2/2020 | 2.5% | 11.6% | 57.0% |
| 8/4/2020 | 7.8% | 18.5% | 19.3% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 16 | 13 |
| # Negative | 10 | 8 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 3.0% | 6.4% | 11.8% |
| Median Negative | -3.3% | -4.1% | -6.3% |
| Max Positive | 10.4% | 18.5% | 57.0% |
| Max Negative | -5.6% | -11.8% | -13.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 08/06/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/12/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/13/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/15/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/17/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 08/06/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/12/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/13/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/15/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/17/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/11/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/12/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/17/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/08/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/09/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/10/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/16/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/02/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/04/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/05/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/13/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/05/2019 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 8/7/2026Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/6/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Net Sales growth | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 5.0% for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA growth | 9.0% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 11.0% for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted Diluted EPS growth | 18.0% | 21.0% | 24.0% | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 21.0% for 2026 | |
Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Net Sales growth | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 0.5% | Higher New | Guidance: 4.5% for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA growth | 9.0% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% | Same New | Guidance: 11.0% for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted Diluted EPS growth | 18.0% | 21.0% | 24.0% | -4.0% | Lower New | Guidance: 25.0% for 2025 | |
Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 1/12/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Net Sales growth | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 4.5% for 2025 | |
| 2025 Adjusted EBITDA growth | 10.0% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 11.0% for 2025 | |
| 2025 Adjusted Diluted EPS growth | 24.0% | 25.0% | 26.0% | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 25.0% for 2025 | |
Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/6/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Net Sales growth | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | -0.5% | Lowered | Guidance: 5.0% for 2025 | |
| 2025 Adjusted EBITDA growth | 10.0% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 0.2% | Raised | Guidance: 10.75% for 2025 | |
| 2025 Adjusted Diluted EPS growth | 24.0% | 25.0% | 26.0% | 3.8% | Raised | Guidance: 21.25% for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Updated 6/8/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Locascio, Dirk J | EVP, Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 3312026 | 91.19 | 20,000 | 1,823,800 | 9,690,032 | Form |
| 2 | Locascio, Dirk J | EVP, Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 2262026 | 96.59 | 25,101 | 2,424,506 | 11,115,287 | Form |
| 3 | Works, James David JR | See Remarks | Direct | Sell | 2202026 | 96.52 | 65,737 | 6,345,128 | 8,511,006 | Form |
| 4 | Guberman, Steven | See Remarks | Direct | Sell | 11132025 | 72.00 | 58,632 | 4,221,504 | 8,165,520 | Form |
| 5 | Locascio, Dirk J | EVP, Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 7142025 | 80.00 | 7,500 | 600,000 | 9,206,160 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Locascio, Dirk J | EVP, Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 3312026 | 91.19 | 20,000 | 1,823,800 | 9,690,032 | Form |
| 2 | Locascio, Dirk J | EVP, Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 2262026 | 96.59 | 25,101 | 2,424,506 | 11,115,287 | Form |
| 3 | Works, James David JR | See Remarks | Direct | Sell | 2202026 | 96.52 | 65,737 | 6,345,128 | 8,511,006 | Form |
| 4 | Guberman, Steven | See Remarks | Direct | Sell | 11132025 | 72.00 | 58,632 | 4,221,504 | 8,165,520 | Form |
| 5 | Locascio, Dirk J | EVP, Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 7142025 | 80.00 | 7,500 | 600,000 | 9,206,160 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Aug 8, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pertento Partners LLP | $170.9 Mil | 18.1% | 15 | ADD +10.5% | 13F |
| Atalan Capital Partners, LP | $96.9 Mil | 8.9% | 10 | TRIM -11.7% | 13F |
| Chescapmanager LLC | $48.7 Mil | 7.8% | 20 | TRIM -5.4% | 13F |
| Tensile Capital Management LP | $49.9 Mil | 7.1% | 25 | TRIM -29.2% | 13F |
| Avantyr Capital Partners, LP | $147.6 Mil | 7.1% | 22 | New | 13F |
| D1 Capital Partners L.P. | $395.0 Mil | 3.5% | 44 | Hold | 13F |
| Lone Pine Capital LLC | $350.0 Mil | 2.8% | 36 | New | 13F |
| Glenview Capital Management, LLC | $35.4 Mil | 1.0% | 41 | TRIM -66.2% | 13F |
| Unisphere Establishment | $32.6 Mil | 0.3% | 50 | ADD +28.4% | 13F |
| Sessa Capital IM, L.P. | $10.2 Mil | 0.2% | 31 | TRIM -75.2% | 13F |
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | As Of | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makena Capital Management LLC | $16.8 Mil | 2.0% | 26 | Exited | Dec 31, 2025 | 13F |
| Sessa Capital IM, L.P. | $10.2 Mil | 0.2% | 31 | TRIM -75.2% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| Glenview Capital Management, LLC | $35.4 Mil | 1.0% | 41 | TRIM -66.2% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| Tensile Capital Management LP | $49.9 Mil | 7.1% | 25 | TRIM -29.2% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| Atalan Capital Partners, LP | $96.9 Mil | 8.9% | 10 | TRIM -11.7% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| Chescapmanager LLC | $48.7 Mil | 7.8% | 20 | TRIM -5.4% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D1 Capital Partners L.P. | $395.0 Mil | 3.5% | 44 | Hold | 13F |
| Lone Pine Capital LLC | $350.0 Mil | 2.8% | 36 | New | 13F |
| Pertento Partners LLP | $170.9 Mil | 18.1% | 15 | ADD +10.5% | 13F |
| Avantyr Capital Partners, LP | $147.6 Mil | 7.1% | 22 | New | 13F |
| Atalan Capital Partners, LP | $96.9 Mil | 8.9% | 10 | TRIM -11.7% | 13F |
| Tensile Capital Management LP | $49.9 Mil | 7.1% | 25 | TRIM -29.2% | 13F |
| Chescapmanager LLC | $48.7 Mil | 7.8% | 20 | TRIM -5.4% | 13F |
| Glenview Capital Management, LLC | $35.4 Mil | 1.0% | 41 | TRIM -66.2% | 13F |
| Unisphere Establishment | $32.6 Mil | 0.3% | 50 | ADD +28.4% | 13F |
| Sessa Capital IM, L.P. | $10.2 Mil | 0.2% | 31 | TRIM -75.2% | 13F |
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