Tearsheet

Tootsie Roll Industries (TR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $37.565 | Market Cap: $2.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Tootsie Roll Industries (TR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $37.565
Market Cap: $2.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -76%
 
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 14.21
 
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Online Grocery Platforms, Direct-to-Consumer Brands (Staples), and Supply Chain Digitization.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Online Grocery Platforms, Direct-to-Consumer Brands (Staples), and Supply Chain Digitization.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -76%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 14.21

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Tootsie Roll Industries (TR) stock has experienced fluctuations, with recent data showing a short-term negative trend. While a precise -6.4% movement within the future period of August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, cannot be confirmed, several factors typically influence confectionery stock performance that could lead to such a decline. Here are key points that could contribute to a downward movement in Tootsie Roll Industries' stock: 1. Rising Raw Material Costs: The confectionery market, including companies like Tootsie Roll, is highly susceptible to the volatile prices of key raw materials such as cocoa and sugar. Cocoa prices have seen significant increases due to climate change, diseases, and supply chain disruptions. Elevated raw material costs can squeeze profit margins if companies cannot fully pass these increases on to consumers through higher prices. 2. Economic Pressures and Price Sensitivity: Inflationary pressures can impact consumer spending on discretionary items like confectionery. While some consumers might still buy indulgent treats, affordability concerns can push others towards private-label or smaller-pack options, potentially affecting sales volume for established brands.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TR Return-12%27%22%-19%1%20%35%
Peers Return-7%7%15%4%16%-34%-8%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TR Win Rate33%50%50%42%42%60% 
Peers Win Rate42%46%52%62%56%25% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TR Max Drawdown-14%-0%-10%-29%-13%-6% 
Peers Max Drawdown-36%-14%-20%-15%-17%-43% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CALM, SMPL, JJSF, THS, BRBF. See TR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-38.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven61.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-23.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven30.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven125 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1000 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-40.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1562 days1480 days

Compare to CALM, SMPL, JJSF, THS, BRBF


In The Past

Tootsie Roll Industries's stock fell -38.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/6/2023. A -38.1% loss requires a 61.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Tootsie Roll Industries (TR)

Better Bets than Tootsie Roll Industries (TR)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.8%3.8%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.1%-2.1%-2.1%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.2%7.2%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.4%1.4%-5.1%
TR_4302023_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%04302023TRTootsie Roll IndustriesQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-25.5%-24.2%-28.0%
TR_4302020_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%04302020TRTootsie Roll IndustriesQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-13.7%-6.4%-17.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.8%3.8%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.1%-2.1%-2.1%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.2%7.2%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.4%1.4%-5.1%
TR_4302023_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%04302023TRTootsie Roll IndustriesQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-25.5%-24.2%-28.0%
TR_4302020_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%04302020TRTootsie Roll IndustriesQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-13.7%-6.4%-17.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Tootsie Roll Industries

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TRCALMSMPLJJSFTHSBRBFMedian
NameTootsie .Cal-Main.Simply G.J&J Snac.Treehous.BRB Foods 
Mkt Price37.5682.6718.9992.4623.94-37.56
Mkt Cap2.74.01.91.81.2-1.9
Rev LTM7304,3991,4511,6003,33501,525
Op Inc LTM1061,600219104158-1132
FCF LTM1001,2151566794-097
FCF 3Y Avg8772717579-62-183
CFO LTM1261,386178145237-0162
CFO 3Y Avg111882188167661139

Growth & Margins

TRCALMSMPLJJSFTHSBRBFMedian
NameTootsie .Cal-Main.Simply G.J&J Snac.Treehous.BRB Foods 
Rev Chg LTM0.3%65.8%9.0%0.5%-1.4%-100.0%0.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.4%31.8%7.5%7.3%3.6%-7.3%
Rev Chg Q3.0%17.4%-1.8%3.3%1.2%-3.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.9%3.2%-0.5%0.9%0.3%-0.9%
Op Mgn LTM14.6%36.4%15.1%6.5%4.7%-14.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg13.4%27.4%16.1%6.7%4.0%-13.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.5%0.3%-0.7%0.0%0.3%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM17.3%31.5%12.3%9.1%7.1%-12.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg15.0%25.4%14.1%10.6%2.0%-14.1%
FCF/Rev LTM13.7%27.6%10.7%4.2%2.8%-10.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg11.8%20.6%13.1%5.0%-1.8%-11.8%

Valuation

TRCALMSMPLJJSFTHSBRBFMedian
NameTootsie .Cal-Main.Simply G.J&J Snac.Treehous.BRB Foods 
Mkt Cap2.74.01.91.81.2-1.9
P/S4.21.01.71.40.3-1.4
P/EBIT22.92.715.719.010.5-15.7
P/E32.63.624.126.347.6-26.3
P/CFO24.23.314.015.24.1-14.0
Total Yield3.9%36.9%4.2%5.2%2.1%-4.2%
Dividend Yield0.8%9.0%0.0%1.4%0.0%-0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.5%20.6%5.6%2.8%-0.1%-3.5%
D/E0.00.00.10.11.7-0.1
Net D/E-0.0-0.30.10.01.7-0.0

Returns

TRCALMSMPLJJSFTHSBRBFMedian
NameTootsie .Cal-Main.Simply G.J&J Snac.Treehous.BRB Foods 
1M Rtn1.6%-6.5%-4.2%8.8%27.6%-1.6%
3M Rtn-7.5%-24.1%-33.7%-14.4%31.9%--14.4%
6M Rtn7.6%-10.0%-43.9%-17.9%9.0%--10.0%
12M Rtn17.6%-8.5%-52.2%-45.1%-30.3%--30.3%
3Y Rtn-8.1%72.4%-52.6%-39.9%-52.1%--39.9%
1M Excs Rtn1.7%-6.5%-4.2%8.8%27.6%-1.7%
3M Excs Rtn-12.2%-31.1%-38.8%-19.3%26.5%--19.3%
6M Excs Rtn-7.1%-24.7%-58.7%-32.7%-5.7%--24.7%
12M Excs Rtn4.5%-21.1%-65.8%-59.0%-43.8%--43.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-76.1%6.8%-123.3%-112.4%-123.9%--112.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment769    
Net product sales 681566467524
Rental and royalty revenue 6543
Total769687571471527


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,383,197
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-1.7%
Average Daily Volume167,743
Days-to-Cover Short Interest14.21
Basic Shares Quantity72,879,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021

Industry Resources

Packaged Foods & Meats Resources
USDA Data