Pricesmart (PSMT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $126.73 | Market Cap: $3.8 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail
Pricesmart (PSMT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $126.73Market Cap: $3.8 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Online Grocery Platforms, Last-Mile Delivery, Show more. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Online Grocery Platforms, Last-Mile Delivery, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
PSMT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the movement of Pricesmart (PSMT) stock for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Strong Revenue Growth Despite Earnings Per Share Miss: Pricesmart reported solid total revenue of $1.33 billion for its fiscal fourth quarter of 2025, exceeding analyst forecasts of $1.31 billion, signaling robust sales performance in its markets. Although earnings per diluted share of $1.02 missed the expected $1.11, the company's strong top-line growth indicated healthy underlying business operations.
2. Robust Membership Growth and Engagement: The company demonstrated strength in its membership model, ending fiscal year 2025 with 2.01 million membership accounts, an increase from the previous year. A strong membership renewal rate of 88.8% and a significant 54.7% increase in Platinum memberships highlight a loyal customer base and effective member value propositions.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PSMT Return | 30% | -19% | -16% | 26% | 25% | 38% | 92% |
| Peers Return | 29% | 26% | -9% | 3% | 4% | 18% | 88% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PSMT Win Rate | 67% | 50% | 42% | 67% | 58% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 63% | 50% | 57% | 47% | 54% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PSMT Max Drawdown | -39% | -23% | -20% | -0% | -4% | -10% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -18% | -14% | -23% | -24% | -23% | -15% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WMT, COST, DG, DLTR, TGT. See PSMT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PSMT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -43.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 78.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 938 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -39.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 65.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 176 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -48.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 93.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 586 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -67.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 204.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 740 days | 1480 days |
Compare to WMT, COST, DG, DLTR, TGT
In The Past
Pricesmart's stock fell -43.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/24/2021. A -43.9% loss requires a 78.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to PSMT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.5% | 3.5% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.5% | 3.5% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Pricesmart
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 113.66 |
| Mkt Cap | 32.8 |
| Rev LTM | 73,646 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3,607 |
| FCF LTM | 2,397 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,246 |
| CFO LTM | 4,772 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 5,108 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 4.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 4.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 5.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 32.8 |
| P/S | 0.9 |
| P/EBIT | 15.4 |
| P/E | 22.9 |
| P/CFO | 11.0 |
| Total Yield | 4.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.8% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 9.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 5.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 7.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 32.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 32.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 9.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 1.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -7.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 20.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -44.1% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 8312025 | 10302025 | 10-K 8/31/2025 |
| 5312025 | 7102025 | 10-Q 5/31/2025 |
| 2282025 | 4092025 | 10-Q 2/28/2025 |
| 11302024 | 1082025 | 10-Q 11/30/2024 |
| 8312024 | 10302024 | 10-K 8/31/2024 |
| 5312024 | 7102024 | 10-Q 5/31/2024 |
| 2292024 | 4092024 | 10-Q 2/29/2024 |
| 11302023 | 1092024 | 10-Q 11/30/2023 |
| 8312023 | 10302023 | 10-K 8/31/2023 |
| 5312023 | 7102023 | 10-Q 5/31/2023 |
| 2282023 | 4102023 | 10-Q 2/28/2023 |
| 11302022 | 1092023 | 10-Q 11/30/2022 |
| 8312022 | 10312022 | 10-K 8/31/2022 |
| 5312022 | 7112022 | 10-Q 5/31/2022 |
| 2282022 | 4072022 | 10-Q 2/28/2022 |
| 11302021 | 1062022 | 10-Q 11/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |