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Cal-Maine Foods (CALM)


Market Price (12/14/2025): $87.07 | Market Cap: $4.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Cal-Maine Foods (CALM)


Market Price (12/14/2025): $87.07
Market Cap: $4.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 37%, Dividend Yield is 9.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 33%, FCF Yield is 27%
 
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -28%
 
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 66%
 
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
 
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%
 
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more.
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 37%, Dividend Yield is 9.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 33%, FCF Yield is 27%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -28%
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 66%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CALM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate -23.7% movement in Cal-Maine Foods (CALM) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 14, 2025:

1. Significant Decline in Egg Prices: Wholesale egg prices experienced a sharp downturn during this period, crashing by approximately 86% since March 2025 to about $1.15 per dozen by October 2025. This was primarily driven by soaring inventories and shifts in seasonal demand, directly impacting Cal-Maine Foods' revenue and profitability as the largest egg producer in the United States.

2. Q1 Fiscal 2026 Earnings Miss: Cal-Maine Foods reported its first-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings on October 1, 2025, where the Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $4.12 missed analysts' consensus estimates of $4.55. Additionally, quarterly revenue of $922.60 million fell short of analysts' expectations of $931.62 million, leading to negative investor sentiment.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CALM Return-12%-1%52%14%87%-7%162%
Peers Return-9%2%1%85%-12%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CALM Win Rate25%42%75%67%75%67% 
Peers Win Rate41%46%54%46%58%38% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CALM Max Drawdown-28%-9%0%-14%-6%-20% 
Peers Max Drawdown-22%-34%-22%-4%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VITL, POST. See CALM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCALMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-32.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven47.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven371 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-27.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven38.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven19 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-28.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1022 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-63.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven176.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1579 days1480 days

Compare to DOLE, VFF, LMNR, BRBF, MEHA


In The Past

Cal-Maine Foods's stock fell -32.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/23/2022. A -32.3% loss requires a 47.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Cal-Maine Foods (CALM)

Better Bets than Cal-Maine Foods (CALM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CALM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.0%7.0%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.7%-5.7%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
12.9%12.9%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.7%4.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.3%0.3%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.0%7.0%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.7%-5.7%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
12.9%12.9%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.7%4.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.3%0.3%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Cal-Maine Foods

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CALMVITLPOSTMedian
NameCal-Main.Vital Fa.Post  
Mkt Price86.8934.3098.7486.89
Mkt Cap4.21.55.84.2
Rev LTM4,3997128,1584,399
Op Inc LTM1,60080829829
FCF LTM1,215-19488488
FCF 3Y Avg72717479479
CFO LTM1,38643998998
CFO 3Y Avg88246893882

Growth & Margins

CALMVITLPOSTMedian
NameCal-Main.Vital Fa.Post  
Rev Chg LTM65.8%23.6%3.0%23.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg31.8%29.4%11.9%29.4%
Rev Chg Q17.4%37.2%11.8%17.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.2%8.2%3.0%3.2%
Op Mgn LTM36.4%11.2%10.2%11.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg27.4%9.3%9.8%9.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%0.9%-0.2%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM31.5%6.0%12.2%12.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg25.4%7.9%11.6%11.6%
FCF/Rev LTM27.6%-2.7%6.0%6.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg20.6%3.3%6.2%6.2%

Valuation

CALMVITLPOSTMedian
NameCal-Main.Vital Fa.Post  
Mkt Cap4.21.55.84.2
P/S1.02.60.71.0
P/EBIT2.721.9-12.3
P/E3.630.417.317.3
P/CFO3.343.15.85.8
Total Yield36.9%3.3%5.8%5.8%
Dividend Yield9.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg20.6%1.7%-11.2%
D/E0.00.0-0.0
Net D/E-0.3-0.0--0.2

Returns

CALMVITLPOSTMedian
NameCal-Main.Vital Fa.Post  
1M Rtn-5.1%5.1%-7.1%-5.1%
3M Rtn-20.2%-29.4%-5.9%-20.2%
6M Rtn-6.4%8.4%-12.0%-6.4%
12M Rtn-12.2%-8.7%-15.7%-12.2%
3Y Rtn88.8%125.7%6.7%88.8%
1M Excs Rtn-4.1%5.8%-7.1%-4.1%
3M Excs Rtn-21.9%-30.3%-6.7%-21.9%
6M Excs Rtn-20.6%-5.9%-26.2%-20.6%
12M Excs Rtn-22.1%-21.8%-30.2%-22.1%
3Y Excs Rtn7.5%56.3%-66.7%7.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Conventional shell egg sales1,2922,0521,062766830
Specialty shell egg sales926957649540485
Egg products and prepared foods89122603731
Other2015664
Total2,3263,1461,7771,3491,352


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,088,741
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-1.9%
Average Daily Volume776,516
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.27
Basic Shares Quantity48,281,000
Short % of Basic Shares8.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/1/2025-1.2%-1.3%-6.0%
7/22/202513.8%3.3%11.5%
4/8/20252.5%6.9%4.2%
1/7/20251.0%8.5%5.9%
10/1/2024-1.9%13.7%17.1%
7/23/20243.1%10.7%12.1%
4/2/20243.6%6.0%-4.6%
1/3/20242.6%-0.6%4.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141216
# Negative10128
Median Positive2.3%5.7%4.2%
Median Negative-2.9%-2.7%-6.5%
Max Positive13.8%13.7%17.1%
Max Negative-14.5%-10.2%-15.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
83120251001202510-Q 8/30/2025
5312025722202510-K 5/31/2025
2282025408202510-Q 3/1/2025
11302024107202510-Q 11/30/2024
83120241001202410-Q 8/31/2024
5312024723202410-K 6/1/2024
2292024402202410-Q 3/2/2024
11302023103202410-Q 12/2/2023
83120231003202310-Q 9/2/2023
5312023725202310-K 6/3/2023
2282023328202310-Q 2/25/2023
113020221228202210-Q 11/26/2022
8312022927202210-Q 8/27/2022
5312022719202210-K 5/28/2022
2282022329202210-Q 2/26/2022
113020211228202110-Q 11/27/2021

Industry Resources

Packaged Foods & Meats Resources
USDA Data