Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.2%, Dividend Yield is 2.6%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -43%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -80%
 
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 2.5 Bil
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 21%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.2%, Dividend Yield is 2.6%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 2.5 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 21%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -43%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -80%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SYY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested period from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025, is in the future. As an AI, I do not have access to real-time future stock performance or news events. Therefore, I cannot provide specific factual reasons for a hypothetical -8.1% stock movement for Sysco (SYY) during that future timeframe. However, based on available forward-looking analyses and general industry challenges anticipated for 2025, several factors could potentially contribute to a stock decline for a foodservice distributor like Sysco.

1. Continued Macroeconomic Headwinds and Soft Restaurant Traffic: Broader economic uncertainties, such as rising interest rates, inflationary pressures, and a tepid labor market, could dampen consumer spending on dining out. This could lead to stagnant or declining restaurant traffic, directly impacting Sysco's sales volume in its U.S. Foodservice segment.

2. Input Price Inflation and Pressure on Margins: Sysco has faced and is expected to continue encountering product cost inflation, particularly in categories like dairy and protein, due to supply constraints. While the company may try to pass these costs to customers, sustained inflation could pressure gross margins and erode profitability if not managed effectively.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SYY Return-10%8%-0%-2%7%-1%1%
Peers Return4%64%6%-5%29%7%137%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SYY Win Rate42%33%50%58%58%60% 
Peers Win Rate45%55%53%50%62%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SYY Max Drawdown-63%-6%-8%-16%-3%-10% 
Peers Max Drawdown-67%-6%-20%-28%-24%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: USFD, PFGC, CHEF, UNFI, MGPI. See SYY Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSYYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-30.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven43.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-63.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven173.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven415 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-20.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven26.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven259 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-47.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven88.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1736 days1480 days

Compare to USFD, PFGC, CHEF, UNFI, MGPI


In The Past

Sysco's stock fell -30.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/21/2022. A -30.1% loss requires a 43.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Sysco (SYY)

Better Bets than Sysco (SYY)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SYY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.8%3.8%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.1%-2.1%-2.1%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.2%7.2%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.4%1.4%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.8%3.8%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.1%-2.1%-2.1%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.2%7.2%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.4%1.4%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Sysco

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SYYUSFDPFGCCHEFUNFIMGPIMedian
NameSysco US Foods Performa.Chefs' W.United N.MGP Ingr. 
Mkt Price73.4476.1592.9960.3934.1124.7066.91
Mkt Cap35.217.214.52.32.10.58.4
Rev LTM82,03539,11564,9594,04131,78457935,450
Op Inc LTM3,0811,202826148105110487
FCF LTM1,5999785238723962381
FCF 3Y Avg1,9248515113614937330
CFO LTM2,5431,3591,011128470121741
CFO 3Y Avg2,7651,1819158744998682

Growth & Margins

SYYUSFDPFGCCHEFUNFIMGPIMedian
NameSysco US Foods Performa.Chefs' W.United N.MGP Ingr. 
Rev Chg LTM2.9%4.8%10.6%8.9%2.6%-21.5%3.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.8%5.6%5.6%19.9%3.2%-7.9%5.2%
Rev Chg Q3.2%4.8%10.8%9.6%-5.6%-18.9%4.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.8%1.2%2.6%2.3%-1.4%-5.0%1.0%
Op Mgn LTM3.8%3.1%1.3%3.7%0.3%18.9%3.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg3.9%2.9%1.4%3.2%0.4%20.4%3.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.0%-0.0%-0.0%0.1%-0.2%-1.5%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM3.1%3.5%1.6%3.2%1.5%20.9%3.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg3.5%3.2%1.5%2.3%1.5%14.6%2.7%
FCF/Rev LTM1.9%2.5%0.8%2.1%0.8%10.7%2.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg2.4%2.3%0.8%0.9%0.5%5.8%1.6%

Valuation

SYYUSFDPFGCCHEFUNFIMGPIMedian
NameSysco US Foods Performa.Chefs' W.United N.MGP Ingr. 
Mkt Cap35.217.214.52.32.10.58.4
P/S0.50.40.20.60.10.90.5
P/EBIT13.116.519.515.2-151.744.415.8
P/E21.731.049.730.2-19.3-34.225.9
P/CFO15.512.716.017.54.84.314.1
Total Yield7.2%3.2%2.0%3.3%-5.2%-2.4%2.6%
Dividend Yield2.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.5%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.2%6.4%4.1%0.9%12.5%4.9%5.1%
D/E0.40.30.50.41.50.50.5
Net D/E0.30.30.50.41.50.50.5

Returns

SYYUSFDPFGCCHEFUNFIMGPIMedian
NameSysco US Foods Performa.Chefs' W.United N.MGP Ingr. 
1M Rtn0.5%3.8%-3.8%-2.8%-7.2%-0.1%-1.4%
3M Rtn-10.4%-2.4%-11.6%-7.4%18.0%-13.5%-8.9%
6M Rtn0.9%-1.9%6.0%-3.8%24.6%-9.1%-0.5%
12M Rtn-6.1%5.8%3.8%28.1%38.3%-45.2%4.8%
3Y Rtn-6.4%114.0%54.3%58.0%-27.1%-78.4%23.9%
1M Excs Rtn-0.8%2.5%-5.1%-4.0%-8.4%-1.4%-2.7%
3M Excs Rtn-16.1%-8.1%-17.6%-11.4%12.0%-20.8%-13.8%
6M Excs Rtn-14.5%-17.3%-9.5%-19.3%9.1%-24.6%-15.9%
12M Excs Rtn-14.5%-3.9%-8.0%23.8%21.7%-58.5%-6.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-79.7%38.7%-15.7%-15.5%-101.1%-152.3%-47.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
US Foodservice Operations55,33953,68348,52135,72536,774
International Foodservice Operations14,56113,56011,7878,3519,672
SYGMA7,7687,8437,2466,4995,556
Other1,1761,2391,082724891
Total78,84476,32568,63651,29852,893


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
US Foodservice Operations3,6733,5873,1812,4572,003
International Foodservice Operations375314100-232-371
SYGMA7256-35337
Other405717-0-21
Global Support Center-958-975-949-839-898
Total3,2023,0392,3461,437750


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
US Foodservice Operations12,50511,3989,5417,6326,647
International Foodservice Operations7,5457,4336,5966,7846,258
Global Support Center3,3282,5064,5595,7818,579
SYGMA923840835760685
Other616644555455458
Total24,91722,82122,08621,41422,628


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10,923,412
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120252.6%
Average Daily Volume3,088,892
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.54
Basic Shares Quantity478,761,180
Short % of Basic Shares2.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025822202510-K 6/28/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024129202510-Q 12/28/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024828202410-K 6/29/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023131202410-Q 12/30/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023825202310-K 7/1/2023
3312023502202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022201202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022826202210-K 7/2/2022
3312022511202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021209202210-Q 1/1/2022