United Natural Foods (UNFI)
Market Price (3/18/2026): $39.32 | Market Cap: $2.4 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Food Retail
United Natural Foods (UNFI)
Market Price (3/18/2026): $39.32Market Cap: $2.4 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Food Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 16% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -29% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 130% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Show more. | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 122x | |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.6% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.4% | ||
| Key risksUNFI key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on the Whole Foods distribution contract, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 16% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -29% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 130% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 122x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.6% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.4% |
| Key risksUNFI key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on the Whole Foods distribution contract, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Stronger-than-Expected Quarterly Earnings and Profitability Improvement: United Natural Foods reported better-than-anticipated adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for both Q1 and Q2 Fiscal Year 2026. For Q1 FY2026 (ending November 1, 2025), announced on December 2, 2025, the company reported adjusted EPS of $0.56, significantly beating analyst estimates of $0.42 by 40%. This quarter also saw a 24.6% increase in Adjusted EBITDA to $167 million. Following the Q1 results, the stock surged by 10.22%. Similarly, for Q2 FY2026 (ending January 31, 2026), announced on March 10, 2026, UNFI delivered an adjusted EPS of $0.62, outperforming analyst expectations of $0.51 by 21%. The company also returned to profitability with a net income of $20 million in Q2 FY2026, compared to a net loss of $3 million in the prior year's quarter.
2. Raised Full-Year Profitability Outlook and Improved Free Cash Flow: Concurrent with its Q2 FY2026 earnings release, UNFI updated its full-year fiscal 2026 outlook, increasing all profitability metrics and raising free cash flow guidance. The company raised its adjusted EBITDA outlook to a range of $680 million to $710 million, implying a 26% increase compared to fiscal 2025, and increased adjusted EPS guidance by $0.60 at the midpoint to a range of $2.30 to $2.70 per share. The free cash flow guidance for the full year also increased by approximately $30 million to around $330 million. These upward revisions signal management's confidence in sustained operational improvements.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 7.7% change in UNFI stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/17/2026 was primarily driven by a 9.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 37.31 | 40.17 | 7.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 31,784 | 31,542 | -0.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.1 | 0.1 | 9.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 60 | 61 | -0.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 7.7% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| UNFI | 7.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | -1.8% | 10.3% |
| Sector (XLP) | 6.7% | 9.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 42.0% change in UNFI stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/17/2026 was primarily driven by a 46.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 28.28 | 40.17 | 42.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 32,243 | 31,542 | -2.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.1 | 0.1 | 46.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 60 | 61 | -0.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 42.0% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| UNFI | 42.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.3% | 19.4% |
| Sector (XLP) | 5.6% | 18.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 26.4% change in UNFI stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/17/2026 was primarily driven by a 28.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 31.79 | 40.17 | 26.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 31,299 | 31,542 | 0.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.1 | 0.1 | 28.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 60 | 61 | -2.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 26.4% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| UNFI | 26.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 13.9% | 36.1% |
| Sector (XLP) | 3.9% | 25.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -1.4% change in UNFI stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/17/2026 was primarily driven by a -4.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 40.73 | 40.17 | -1.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 29,463 | 31,542 | 7.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.1 | 0.1 | -4.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 59 | 61 | -3.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -1.4% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| UNFI | -1.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 75.6% | 26.2% |
| Sector (XLP) | 26.5% | 22.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| UNFI Return | 207% | -21% | -58% | 68% | 23% | 23% | 160% |
| Peers Return | 10% | 6% | 10% | 36% | 11% | 9% | 111% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -2% | 78% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| UNFI Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 42% | 67% | 58% | 100% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 46% | 54% | 67% | 60% | 67% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| UNFI Max Drawdown | 0% | -32% | -66% | -46% | -22% | -3% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -9% | -17% | -18% | -5% | -9% | -3% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -3% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SYY, USFD, PFGC, CHEF. See UNFI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/17/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | UNFI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -76.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 324.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -42.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 5 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -87.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 700.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 782 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -64.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 178.4% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 562 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to SYY, USFD, PFGC, CHEF
In The Past
United Natural Foods's stock fell -76.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/8/2021. A -76.5% loss requires a 324.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About United Natural Foods (UNFI)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-2 brief analogies for United Natural Foods (UNFI):
- UNFI is like the Sysco for grocery stores, supplying a massive range of natural, organic, and conventional products to retailers nationwide.
- Think of them as the Whole Foods Market on the wholesale side, distributing a vast array of organic, natural, and conventional foods to other grocery stores and foodservice businesses.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Grocery and Non-Food Products Distribution: Distributes natural, organic, specialty, produce, conventional grocery, and non-food items to various retailers and foodservice customers.
- Private Label Brands: Offers Blue Marble Brands and Field Day brand products, as well as general private label items.
- Snack and Confectionery Products: Imports, roasts, packages, and distributes nuts, dried fruits, seeds, trail mixes, granola, and natural snack items, including the Woodstock brand.
- Retail Grocery Stores: Operates 74 Cub Foods and Shoppers retail grocery stores, offering a range of groceries and pharmacy products.
- Professional Services: Provides retail store support, advertising, e-commerce, store design, equipment sourcing, payment processing, and administrative back-office solutions.
- Marketing Services: Offers consumer and trade marketing programs to support suppliers and understanding its markets.
AI Analysis | Feedback
United Natural Foods (UNFI) primarily operates as a distributor (Wholesale segment) selling to other businesses, rather than directly to individuals. The company's major customers, as described in the background, can be categorized as follows:
- Chains: These are large, multi-location retail grocery store enterprises.
- Independent Retailers: Smaller, individually owned or operated grocery and specialty stores.
- Supernatural Chains: This category likely refers to larger retail chains that specialize in natural, organic, and specialty food products.
- Foodservice Customers: Businesses within the food service industry, such as restaurants, cafes, and institutional kitchens.
- E-commerce Businesses: Online retailers that purchase and sell natural, organic, and specialty products.
- Conventional Military Business: Entities involved in supplying products to the military market.
The provided background description does not specify the names of individual major customer companies or their public symbols.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Sandy Douglas - Chief Executive Officer
Sandy Douglas was appointed CEO of United Natural Foods (UNFI) in August 2021. Prior to joining UNFI, he served as Chief Executive Officer of Staples, Inc. from April 2018 to June 2021, where he led the business-to-business distribution platform through a strategic transformation and the COVID-19 pandemic. Before his time at Staples, Douglas spent 30 years at The Coca-Cola Company, most recently as President of Coca-Cola North America, overseeing its $10 billion revenue business, including consumer and business-to-business operations. He also held the role of Global Chief Customer Officer and various other leadership positions in sales and marketing at Coca-Cola. Douglas began his career at The Procter & Gamble Company in sales and sales management. He has served as a board member of Wawa Inc. since May 2020.
Giorgio Matteo Tarditi - President and Chief Financial Officer
Giorgio Matteo Tarditi was appointed President and Chief Financial Officer of UNFI, effective April 15, 2024. He brings over 26 years of experience from General Electric (GE), where he held CFO roles across seven business units, including Renewable Energy and Energy Connections, and major divisions such as Power, Oil & Gas, Aerospace, and Healthcare. Throughout his career at GE, Tarditi demonstrated expertise in driving operational excellence, efficiency, and productivity, especially during complex transformations and mergers and acquisitions. He is a certified Lean Six Sigma Black Belt and led initiatives to improve forecast accuracy and continuous improvement processes. Tarditi holds a Master of Science degree in Finance and Business Administration from Universita Bocconi in Milan, Italy.
Erin Horvath - Chief Operating Officer
Erin Horvath was promoted to Chief Operating Officer of UNFI in March 2023. She initially joined UNFI in October 2022 as the Chief Supply Chain Transformation Officer. Prior to UNFI, Horvath spent 17 years at AmerisourceBergen Corporation (now Cencora), a pharmaceutical wholesaler. Her roles there included Chief Transformation Officer, President of Distribution Services, and Senior Vice President of Distribution Services, where she managed over 5,000 associates and more than 50 distribution centers. Her experience also encompasses designing distribution and customer operations strategies, leading the construction of new distribution centers, and developing warehouse automation teams. Earlier in her career, Horvath worked as a management consultant at Smart and Associates and Arthur Andersen Business Consulting.
Matt Echols - Chief Corporate Affairs Officer
Matt Echols was appointed to the newly created position of Chief Corporate Affairs Officer at UNFI in March 2022. Before joining UNFI, Echols had a nearly 24-year career at The Coca-Cola Company, holding various leadership roles in public affairs, communications, and sustainability. These positions included Global Vice President for Public Affairs, Communications and Sustainability, and Senior Vice President roles for North America and the Asia-Pacific region. He was also responsible for leading government affairs at all levels in the U.S. for Coca-Cola, including the Washington D.C. office. Earlier in his career, Echols worked on Capitol Hill for several members of the U.S. Congress.
Mark P. Bushway - President of Natural, Organic, Specialty & Fresh Products and UNFI Chief Supply Chain Officer
Mark P. Bushway was appointed President of Natural, Organic, Specialty & Fresh Products and UNFI Chief Supply Chain Officer in January 2025. He previously served as Chief Supply Chain Officer since December 2021 and as Region President of the Atlantic Region since August 2018. Bushway has held multiple roles at UNFI, including Region Vice President of Operations, National Director of Real Estate & Construction, Operations Project Manager, and General Manager of a Distribution Center. Before his tenure at UNFI, he worked for C&S Wholesale Grocers from 1989 to 2003, serving as Regional Project Manager and in other leadership capacities.
AI Analysis | Feedback
United Natural Foods (UNFI) faces several key risks to its business, primarily stemming from its competitive market, financial structure, and the inherent vulnerabilities of its extensive distribution network. Here are the key risks identified:- Customer Concentration and Intense Competition: UNFI operates in a highly competitive grocery distribution and retail landscape, facing pressure from both established players like Sysco, US Foods, and KeHE Distributors, as well as new entrants and retailers' increasing move towards self-distribution. This competitive environment can lead to price wars, margin compression, and a continuous need for innovation. A significant portion of UNFI's revenue is derived from a limited number of principal customers, with Whole Foods Market notably cited as a major customer under a contract extending to 2032. The loss or reduction of business from such a key customer could materially and adversely affect UNFI's financial condition and results of operations.
- Thin Profit Margins and High Debt Levels: The company has historically struggled with thin, and at times negative, operating margins, which makes it vulnerable to operational challenges and competitive pressures. UNFI also carries a substantial debt load, which has been cited as a "major red flag" for investors, limiting its financial flexibility and impacting its balance sheet. While management is focused on deleveraging, the significant debt burden remains a critical financial hurdle.
- Supply Chain Disruptions and Cybersecurity Threats: As a large-scale distributor, UNFI's business is highly dependent on an efficient and resilient supply chain. The company has experienced significant operational disruptions due to cyberattacks, which have led to material financial impacts including lost sales (up to $400 million) and net income losses (up to $60 million). These incidents highlight the vulnerability of its digital supply chain and the potential for widespread impact on its extensive network of retailers and suppliers. Beyond cyberattacks, the company also faces risks from broader supply chain disruptions caused by macroeconomic volatility, inflation, labor shortages, and other unforeseen events that can impact product availability and increase costs.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The proliferation and growth of direct-to-consumer (DTC) specialized online grocers and food brands. These entities increasingly establish their own sourcing and logistics networks, or partner with fulfillment providers that bypass traditional wholesale distributors like United Natural Foods. This model directly competes for market share with UNFI's traditional retail customers and reduces the need for UNFI's distribution services for a segment of natural, organic, and specialty food products.
AI Analysis | Feedback
United Natural Foods (UNFI) operates within several addressable markets across the United States and Canada, primarily focusing on the distribution of natural, organic, specialty, and conventional grocery products, as well as nutritional supplements.
United States Addressable Markets:
- Natural and Organic Food Market: The U.S. organic food market was estimated at approximately $65.55 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach around $159.04 billion by 2033. The broader natural and organic food market in the U.S. was valued at $279.3 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $459.4 billion by 2034.
- Specialty Food Market: The market size of Specialty Food Stores in the U.S. was $32.4 billion in 2024 and is projected to be $32.3 billion in 2025. The U.S. specialty food ingredients market generated a revenue of $14,504.4 million in 2025 and is expected to reach $20,433.1 million by 2033.
- Nutritional Supplements Market: The U.S. nutritional supplements market size was valued at $112.6 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to grow to $131.08 billion by 2033.
- Grocery Distribution Market: The U.S. Grocery Products Distributors industry is projected to reach over $1.77 trillion by 2032.
- Supermarkets & Grocery Stores: Total sales for supermarkets in the U.S. were $1 trillion in 2024. The Supermarkets & Grocery Stores market in the US was $900.6 billion in 2025 and is projected to be $912.4 billion in 2026.
Canada Addressable Markets:
- Natural and Organic Food Market: The Canada organic food market size reached $4.83 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $13.05 billion by 2033. The organic food and beverages market in Canada generated a revenue of $9,373.3 million in 2023 and is expected to reach $24,827.5 million by 2030. In 2020, Canada's total organic market (including food and non-food items) was worth $6.9 billion.
- Specialty Food Market: The market size of Specialty Food Stores in Canada was $7.0 billion in 2024 and is projected to remain $7.0 billion in 2025. The Canada specialty food ingredients market generated a revenue of $4,335.2 million in 2025 and is expected to reach $5,827.6 million by 2033.
- Nutritional Supplements Market: The Canada nutritional supplements market generated a revenue of $14,401.6 million in 2025 and is expected to reach $22,674.4 million by 2033. The Canada dietary supplements market size was estimated at $4.02 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $6.89 billion by 2030. Another estimate valued the Canada dietary supplements market at $18.99 billion in 2024, projected to reach $39.50 billion by 2034. The Canada Vitamins and Minerals Supplement Market is expected to be valued at $3.75 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to reach $8.5 billion by 2035.
- Supermarkets & Grocery Stores: The market size of Supermarkets & Grocery Stores in Canada was $120.1 billion in 2025 and is projected to be $121.3 billion in 2026.
AI Analysis | Feedback
United Natural Foods (UNFI) anticipates several key drivers for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, focusing on strategic initiatives and market opportunities:
- Growth in Natural and Organic Products: UNFI is strategically focused on the expanding natural, organic, and specialty products market, which it identifies as a substantial $90 billion addressable market. The company has demonstrated sustained growth in its natural product segment, with an 11% increase in Q1 fiscal 2026, driven by strong unit growth. This continued strength in its core offerings is expected to be a significant revenue driver.
- Expansion of Private Label Offerings: A key part of UNFI's strategy involves expanding its private label portfolio, particularly within the natural and organic sectors. This initiative aims to differentiate its offerings and capture a larger share of the market by providing unique products to its retail partners.
- New Business Development and Customer Stewardship: UNFI is committed to fostering growth through new business projects with both existing and new customers. The company is restructuring its commercial organization to better align with individual customer strategies, offering tailored product and service recommendations. This focus on customer relationships and acquiring new business is expected to contribute to revenue expansion.
- Enhanced Merchandising and Supplier Support: The company is improving its merchandising capabilities to provide more competitive pricing on key value items and broaden its product assortments. By offering a more attractive and diverse product selection, UNFI aims to better support its retailers and help them differentiate in the market, thereby driving sales.
- Supply Chain Modernization and Technology Integration: UNFI is investing in its supply chain through the implementation of Lean methodologies and advanced AI tools, such as RELEX, across its distribution network. These efforts are designed to enhance supply chain efficiency and improve service levels, which are foundational for becoming a more effective and efficient business partner and can lead to increased customer satisfaction and sales retention.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- United Natural Foods repurchased approximately 742,622 shares for about $25 million during the second quarter of fiscal 2026, which ended January 31, 2026.
- The company's annual share buybacks for 2023 amounted to $62 million.
Share Issuance
- Between August 2, 2025, and January 31, 2026, United Natural Foods issued 0.9 million shares, with 64.0 million shares issued as of January 31, 2026.
Outbound Investments
- United Natural Foods made an investment in Mighty Spark Food in May 2021.
Capital Expenditures
- United Natural Foods forecasts capital expenditures to remain steady at $250 million for fiscal year 2026, which includes capital and cloud implementation expenditures.
- Payments for capital expenditures were $40 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 and $16 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2026.
- The primary focus of capital expenditures includes investing in a next-generation supply chain through advanced technologies, such as automation, network optimization, and enhanced digital capabilities.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to UNFI.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02272026 | BRBR | BellRing Brands | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02132026 | STZ | Constellation Brands | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.7% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| 02132026 | KMB | Kimberly-Clark | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.9% | 1.9% | -1.7% |
| 02062026 | AVO | Mission Produce | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.1% | 1.1% | -2.7% |
| 01022026 | CALM | Cal-Maine Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.0% | 12.0% | -7.7% |
| 03312023 | UNFI | United Natural Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -46.3% | -56.4% | -56.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 84.29 |
| Mkt Cap | 13.5 |
| Rev LTM | 39,424 |
| Op Inc LTM | 857 |
| FCF LTM | 793 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 657 |
| CFO LTM | 1,287 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,079 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 3.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 3.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 3.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 13.5 |
| P/S | 0.5 |
| P/EBIT | 16.8 |
| P/E | 30.2 |
| P/CFO | 14.9 |
| Total Yield | 3.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.4% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -7.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 13.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 4.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 19.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 72.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -6.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 15.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 5.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 0.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -14.9% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wholesale | 6,563 | 6,405 | 6,733 | 6,536 | 6,589 |
| Retail | 606 | 648 | 599 | 566 | 548 |
| Other | 401 | 377 | 335 | 462 | 498 |
| Elimination of intersegment loss | -42 | -36 | -39 | -43 | -55 |
| Current assets of discontinued operations | 3 | ||||
| Long-term assets of discontinued operations | 4 | ||||
| Total | 7,528 | 7,394 | 7,628 | 7,521 | 7,587 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $40.17 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 2.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 11/01/1996 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -6.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $37.59 | $32.81 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 6.9% | 22.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 40.9% | 50.5% |
| Downside Capture | 20.45 | 100.53 |
| Upside Capture | 142.10 | 125.65 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 20.8% | 34.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.07 | 0.49 | 0.24 | 0.76 | 0.97 | 0.99 |
| Up Beta | 2.64 | 0.61 | -0.01 | 0.14 | 0.62 | 0.89 |
| Down Beta | -1.78 | -0.62 | -0.73 | 0.77 | 1.07 | 1.15 |
| Up Capture | -21% | 158% | 78% | 134% | 141% | 66% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 20 | 30 | 63 | 123 | 368 |
| Down Capture | -49% | 40% | 67% | 59% | 115% | 103% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 30 | 59 | 124 | 374 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with UNFI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNFI | 50.6% | 50.5% | 0.98 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 8.6% | 13.9% | 0.36 | 29.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 20.3% | 18.8% | 0.85 | 34.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 68.2% | 26.2% | 1.97 | 2.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.1% | 17.3% | 0.89 | 5.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 7.6% | 16.1% | 0.27 | 33.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -10.5% | 44.3% | -0.12 | 21.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with UNFI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNFI | 2.2% | 54.1% | 0.25 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 7.8% | 13.1% | 0.38 | 25.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.0% | 17.0% | 0.60 | 31.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 23.4% | 17.2% | 1.11 | 2.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.0% | 19.0% | 0.47 | 8.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 18.8% | 0.16 | 28.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 6.1% | 56.7% | 0.33 | 8.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with UNFI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNFI | 0.4% | 61.6% | 0.27 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 7.8% | 14.7% | 0.40 | 22.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.8% | 17.9% | 0.71 | 22.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.4% | 15.6% | 0.76 | -0.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.5% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 6.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.8% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 14.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.3% | 66.8% | 1.07 | 6.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/10/2026 | -3.0% | 6.8% | |
| 9/30/2025 | 18.5% | 30.3% | 22.1% |
| 6/10/2025 | -10.2% | -14.5% | -8.2% |
| 3/11/2025 | -4.9% | 2.6% | -8.5% |
| 12/10/2024 | 20.0% | 13.1% | 10.6% |
| 10/1/2024 | 30.6% | 14.9% | 23.1% |
| 6/5/2024 | 10.4% | 16.6% | 2.2% |
| 3/6/2024 | -18.4% | -22.3% | -29.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 10 | 9 |
| # Negative | 17 | 14 | 14 |
| Median Positive | 18.5% | 14.6% | 12.0% |
| Median Negative | -14.2% | -13.3% | -12.4% |
| Max Positive | 30.6% | 47.6% | 41.4% |
| Max Negative | -28.1% | -37.3% | -35.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 01/31/2026 | 03/10/2026 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2025 | 12/02/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 10/01/2025 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2025 | 06/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 03/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/10/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 10/01/2024 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2024 | 06/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 03/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2023 | 12/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 09/26/2023 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2023 | 06/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 03/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2022 | 12/07/2022 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2022 | 09/27/2022 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2022 | 06/07/2022 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pappas, James C | By: Managed Accounts of JCP Investment Management, LLC | Buy | 1062026 | 33.76 | 15,000 | 506,400 | 6,487,929 | Form | |
| 2 | Pappas, James C | By: Managed Accounts of JCP Investment Management, LLC | Buy | 1062026 | 33.30 | 2,000 | 66,600 | 6,466,127 | Form | |
| 3 | Martin, Louis Anthony | President, Conventional & CCO | Direct | Sell | 12232025 | 34.67 | 9,439 | 327,250 | 2,816,383 | Form |
| 4 | Esper, Richard Eric | Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 12222025 | 33.08 | 4,261 | 140,954 | 1,236,167 | Form |
| 5 | Benedict, Danielle | Chief Human Resources Officer | Direct | Sell | 10012025 | 35.31 | 11,655 | 411,485 | 3,161,391 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.