Tearsheet

United Natural Foods (UNFI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $33.02 | Market Cap: $2.0 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Food Retail

United Natural Foods (UNFI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $33.02
Market Cap: $2.0 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Food Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 11%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -102%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 150%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Show more.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.6%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.3%
0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 11%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -102%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 150%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.6%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.3%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

UNFI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points highlighting why United Natural Foods (UNFI) stock moved by approximately 17.8% during the period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Stronger-than-Expected Q4 Fiscal 2025 Earnings. United Natural Foods reported its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results on September 30, 2025, with an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.11, which surpassed the forecast of -$0.16. The company's revenue of $7.7 billion also slightly exceeded anticipated figures. Following this announcement, UNFI's stock saw a significant positive reaction, surging over 10% in pre-market trading and more than 15% after the earnings release, reaching a 52-week high.

2. Beat in Q1 Fiscal 2026 Adjusted EPS and Revenue Performance. On December 2, 2025, UNFI announced its first-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings, reporting an adjusted EPS of $0.56, substantially beating the analyst consensus of $0.40 per share. While revenue of approximately $7.8 billion slightly missed estimates, this profit beat was a primary driver of investor enthusiasm, leading to the stock surging over 10% and reaching an 18-month high on the day of the announcement.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
UNFI Return82%207%-21%-58%68%32%310%
Peers Return-3%18%-23%14%5%-5%1%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
UNFI Win Rate42%58%58%42%67%70% 
Peers Win Rate50%55%37%53%55%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
UNFI Max Drawdown-38%0%-32%-66%-46%-22% 
Peers Max Drawdown-51%-10%-31%-12%-19%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SYY, USFD, BGS, HFFG, KR. See UNFI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventUNFIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-76.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven324.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven5 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-87.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven700.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven782 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-64.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven178.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven562 days1480 days

Compare to SYY, USFD, BGS, HFFG, KR


In The Past

United Natural Foods's stock fell -76.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/8/2021. A -76.5% loss requires a 324.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About United Natural Foods (UNFI)

Better Bets than United Natural Foods (UNFI)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to UNFI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.8%3.8%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.1%-2.1%-2.1%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.2%7.2%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.4%1.4%-5.1%
UNFI_3312023_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312023UNFIUnited Natural FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-46.3%-56.4%-56.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.8%3.8%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.1%-2.1%-2.1%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.2%7.2%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.4%1.4%-5.1%
UNFI_3312023_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312023UNFIUnited Natural FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-46.3%-56.4%-56.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for United Natural Foods

Peers to compare with:

Financials

UNFISYYUSFDBGSHFFGKRMedian
NameUnited N.Sysco US Foods B&G FoodsHF Foods Kroger  
Mkt Price33.3273.3675.684.552.5366.2049.76
Mkt Cap2.035.117.10.40.143.89.5
Rev LTM31,78482,03539,1151,8411,217147,00035,450
Op Inc LTM1053,0811,202183103,925693
FCF LTM2391,59997855182,212608
FCF 3Y Avg1491,92485111992,268500
CFO LTM4702,5431,35986316,018914
CFO 3Y Avg4492,7651,181146186,114815

Growth & Margins

UNFISYYUSFDBGSHFFGKRMedian
NameUnited N.Sysco US Foods B&G FoodsHF Foods Kroger  
Rev Chg LTM2.6%2.9%4.8%-6.0%4.9%-2.1%2.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.2%4.8%5.6%-4.4%6.2%0.7%4.0%
Rev Chg Q-5.6%3.2%4.8%-4.7%4.1%0.1%1.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.4%0.8%1.2%-1.2%1.0%0.0%0.4%
Op Mgn LTM0.3%3.8%3.1%9.9%0.8%2.7%2.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg0.4%3.9%2.9%10.8%0.4%2.4%2.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.2%-0.0%-0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM1.5%3.1%3.5%4.7%2.6%4.1%3.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg1.5%3.5%3.2%7.3%1.5%4.1%3.3%
FCF/Rev LTM0.8%1.9%2.5%3.0%1.5%1.5%1.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg0.5%2.4%2.3%5.9%0.8%1.5%1.9%

Valuation

UNFISYYUSFDBGSHFFGKRMedian
NameUnited N.Sysco US Foods B&G FoodsHF Foods Kroger  
Mkt Cap2.035.117.10.40.143.89.5
P/S0.10.50.40.20.10.30.3
P/EBIT-151.713.116.5-1.9-4.511.95.0
P/E-19.321.731.0-1.4-3.517.48.0
P/CFO4.815.512.74.15.47.96.6
Total Yield-5.2%7.2%3.2%-53.6%-28.4%7.6%-1.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.6%0.0%17.1%0.3%1.9%1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.5%5.2%6.4%19.1%3.6%6.0%6.2%
D/E1.50.40.35.81.40.51.0
Net D/E1.50.30.35.71.30.40.9

Returns

UNFISYYUSFDBGSHFFGKRMedian
NameUnited N.Sysco US Foods B&G FoodsHF Foods Kroger  
1M Rtn-10.8%0.6%2.7%13.7%17.7%4.9%3.8%
3M Rtn18.5%-8.9%-1.9%6.7%-20.7%-2.4%-2.2%
6M Rtn20.3%2.0%-2.2%21.4%-32.7%0.8%1.4%
12M Rtn32.8%-5.2%7.2%-23.3%-32.2%12.6%1.0%
3Y Rtn-28.7%-6.8%111.0%-53.4%-43.7%48.8%-17.7%
1M Excs Rtn-10.8%0.7%2.7%13.8%17.7%4.9%3.8%
3M Excs Rtn9.9%-15.9%-8.3%-3.2%-25.8%-7.2%-7.8%
6M Excs Rtn5.6%-12.7%-16.9%6.7%-47.4%-13.9%-13.3%
12M Excs Rtn20.6%-15.8%-5.1%-34.9%-46.5%-3.0%-10.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-101.9%-80.2%40.0%-125.9%-113.7%-27.8%-91.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Wholesale6,5636,4056,7336,5366,589
Retail606648599566548
Other401377335462498
Eliminations-42-36-39-43-55
Current assets of discontinued operations    3
Long-term assets of discontinued operations    4
Total7,5287,3947,6287,5217,587


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,502,336
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-4.4%
Average Daily Volume782,606
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.48
Basic Shares Quantity60,500,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
73120251001202510-K 8/2/2025
4302025610202510-Q 5/3/2025
1312025311202510-Q 2/1/2025
103120241210202410-Q 11/2/2024
73120241001202410-K 8/3/2024
4302024605202410-Q 4/27/2024
1312024306202410-Q 1/27/2024
103120231206202310-Q 10/28/2023
7312023926202310-K 7/29/2023
4302023607202310-Q 4/29/2023
1312023308202310-Q 1/28/2023
103120221207202210-Q 10/29/2022
7312022927202210-K 7/30/2022
4302022607202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022309202210-Q 1/29/2022
103120211208202110-Q 10/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Bushway MarkPresident, Natural & CSCO2142025Sell32.0013,700438,4001,401,376Form