United Natural Foods (UNFI)
Market Price (6/18/2026): $49.65 | Market Cap: $3.0 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Food Retail
United Natural Foods (UNFI)
Market Price (6/18/2026): $49.65Market Cap: $3.0 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Food Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 11% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 48% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Show more. | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 103% Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 42x Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 130% Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.2% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.6% Key risksUNFI key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on the Whole Foods distribution contract, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 11% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 48% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Show more. |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 103% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 42x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 130% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.2% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.6% |
| Key risksUNFI key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on the Whole Foods distribution contract, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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United Natural Foods (UNFI) stock has gained about 30% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Improved Profitability and Operational Efficiency: Despite a reported 4.2% decrease in net sales to $7.7 billion for fiscal Q3 2026, which ended May 2, 2026, United Natural Foods (UNFI) demonstrated significant improvement in its profitability. The company posted a net income of $33 million, a notable turnaround from a $7 million net loss in the comparable prior-year quarter. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 16.6% to $183 million, and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) grew by 75% to $0.77. This enhancement in profitability was largely attributed to a nearly 7% reduction in operating expenses, alongside benefits from network optimization actions and higher distribution center productivity.
2. Strengthened Financial Position and Debt Reduction: UNFI significantly strengthened its balance sheet by reducing its net debt to $1.63 billion as of May 2, 2026. This led to an improved net leverage ratio of 2.5x, marking its lowest level since fiscal 2018. This stronger financial standing and disciplined debt management contributed to S&P Global Ratings upgrading the company's credit rating to 'B+' from 'B'.
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United Natural Foods (UNFI) stock has gained about 30% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Improved Profitability and Operational Efficiency: Despite a reported 4.2% decrease in net sales to $7.7 billion for fiscal Q3 2026, which ended May 2, 2026, United Natural Foods (UNFI) demonstrated significant improvement in its profitability. The company posted a net income of $33 million, a notable turnaround from a $7 million net loss in the comparable prior-year quarter. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 16.6% to $183 million, and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) grew by 75% to $0.77. This enhancement in profitability was largely attributed to a nearly 7% reduction in operating expenses, alongside benefits from network optimization actions and higher distribution center productivity.
2. Strengthened Financial Position and Debt Reduction: UNFI significantly strengthened its balance sheet by reducing its net debt to $1.63 billion as of May 2, 2026. This led to an improved net leverage ratio of 2.5x, marking its lowest level since fiscal 2018. This stronger financial standing and disciplined debt management contributed to S&P Global Ratings upgrading the company's credit rating to 'B+' from 'B'.
3. Positive Outlook and Strategic Initiatives: The company reiterated its full-year fiscal 2026 outlook midpoints for key financial metrics, signaling confidence in its ongoing value creation strategy. UNFI is actively investing in next-generation supply chain technologies, including expanding its AI-powered supply chain and fleet management platforms, and rolling out a new digital marketplace. These strategic initiatives have contributed to underlying sales growth in the low single digits, which outperformed the broader food retail industry when excluding the impact of optimization actions, and are expected to drive wholesale sales growth in the mid-single digits in fiscal 2027.
4. Significant Institutional Investor Confidence: During fiscal Q1 2026, several major institutional investors made substantial investments in UNFI stock. For instance, SG AMERICAS SECURITIES, LLC added shares valued at an estimated $47.45 million, and WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP increased its holdings by an estimated $24.76 million. This notable institutional buying activity indicates increased investor confidence in UNFI's strategic direction and long-term prospects.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 29.9% change in UNFI stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/17/2026 was primarily driven by a 32.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 38.21 | 49.65 | 29.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 31,753 | 31,206 | -1.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.1 | 0.1 | 32.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 61 | 61 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 29.9% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| UNFI | 29.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.3% | 13.9% |
| Sector (XLP) | -6.5% | 29.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 33.1% change in UNFI stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/17/2026 was primarily driven by a 36.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 37.31 | 49.65 | 33.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 31,784 | 31,206 | -1.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.1 | 0.1 | 36.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 60 | 61 | -0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 33.1% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| UNFI | 33.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.0% | 10.3% |
| Sector (XLP) | 6.9% | 23.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 62.4% change in UNFI stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/17/2026 was primarily driven by a 66.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 30.57 | 49.65 | 62.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 31,682 | 31,206 | -1.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.1 | 0.1 | 66.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 60 | 61 | -1.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 62.4% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| UNFI | 62.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 27.2% | 17.0% |
| Sector (XLP) | 3.8% | 24.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 85.9% change in UNFI stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/17/2026 was primarily driven by a 80.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 26.71 | 49.65 | 85.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 29,863 | 31,206 | 4.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.1 | 0.1 | 80.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 60 | 61 | -1.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 85.9% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| UNFI | 85.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 84.3% | 25.1% |
| Sector (XLP) | 25.0% | 24.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| UNFI Return | 207% | -21% | -58% | 68% | 23% | 47% | 210% |
| Peers Return | 10% | 6% | 10% | 36% | 11% | 25% | 141% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 100% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| UNFI Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 42% | 67% | 58% | 83% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 46% | 54% | 67% | 60% | 75% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| UNFI Max Drawdown | -24% | -32% | -70% | -48% | -38% | -17% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -27% | -29% | -27% | -15% | -19% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SYY, USFD, PFGC, CHEF. See UNFI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/17/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | UNFI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -33.4% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 50.1% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 109 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -37.1% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 59.0% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 363 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -53.4% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 114.5% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 830 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -31.6% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.2% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1309 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -25.5% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.3% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 4 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -67.3% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 206.0% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 764 days | 105 days |
In The Past
United Natural Foods's stock fell -33.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 50.1% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | UNFI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -33.4% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 50.1% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 109 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -37.1% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 59.0% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 363 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -53.4% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 114.5% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 830 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -31.6% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.2% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1309 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -25.5% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.3% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 4 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -67.3% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 206.0% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 764 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -33.4% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 50.3% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 122 days | 62 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -57.7% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 136.2% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 428 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
United Natural Foods's stock fell -33.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 50.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About United Natural Foods (UNFI)
United Natural Foods, Inc. (UNFI) is a prominent wholesale distributor of natural, organic, specialty, and conventional food and non-food products across the United States and Canada. The company plays a crucial role in the supply chain, connecting a vast network of producers with various retail and service channels. In addition to its primary wholesale operations, UNFI also operates a retail segment, owning and managing grocery stores under the Cub Foods and Shoppers banners.
UNFI's extensive product portfolio encompasses a wide range of items, including grocery and general merchandise, fresh produce, perishables, frozen foods, nutritional supplements, bulk and foodservice products, and personal care items. The company also develops and distributes its own private label brands, such as Woodstock for nuts and snacks, and Blue Marble Brands. Beyond product distribution, UNFI provides valuable professional services to its retail customers, offering support in areas like advertising, e-commerce, store design, equipment sourcing, payment processing, and administrative solutions.
The company serves a diverse customer base that includes independent retailers, large supermarket chains, and specialized natural and organic food stores. Its reach extends further to foodservice providers, e-commerce platforms, and conventional military businesses, establishing UNFI as a comprehensive partner for various segments within the food and consumer goods industries.
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Here are 1-2 brief analogies for United Natural Foods (UNFI):
- UNFI is like the Sysco for grocery stores, supplying a massive range of natural, organic, and conventional products to retailers nationwide.
- Think of them as the Whole Foods Market on the wholesale side, distributing a vast array of organic, natural, and conventional foods to other grocery stores and foodservice businesses.
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- Grocery and Non-Food Products Distribution: Distributes natural, organic, specialty, produce, conventional grocery, and non-food items to various retailers and foodservice customers.
- Private Label Brands: Offers Blue Marble Brands and Field Day brand products, as well as general private label items.
- Snack and Confectionery Products: Imports, roasts, packages, and distributes nuts, dried fruits, seeds, trail mixes, granola, and natural snack items, including the Woodstock brand.
- Retail Grocery Stores: Operates 74 Cub Foods and Shoppers retail grocery stores, offering a range of groceries and pharmacy products.
- Professional Services: Provides retail store support, advertising, e-commerce, store design, equipment sourcing, payment processing, and administrative back-office solutions.
- Marketing Services: Offers consumer and trade marketing programs to support suppliers and understanding its markets.
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United Natural Foods (UNFI) primarily operates as a distributor (Wholesale segment) selling to other businesses, rather than directly to individuals. The company's major customers, as described in the background, can be categorized as follows:
- Chains: These are large, multi-location retail grocery store enterprises.
- Independent Retailers: Smaller, individually owned or operated grocery and specialty stores.
- Supernatural Chains: This category likely refers to larger retail chains that specialize in natural, organic, and specialty food products.
- Foodservice Customers: Businesses within the food service industry, such as restaurants, cafes, and institutional kitchens.
- E-commerce Businesses: Online retailers that purchase and sell natural, organic, and specialty products.
- Conventional Military Business: Entities involved in supplying products to the military market.
The provided background description does not specify the names of individual major customer companies or their public symbols.
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Sandy Douglas - Chief Executive Officer
Sandy Douglas was appointed CEO of United Natural Foods (UNFI) in August 2021. Prior to joining UNFI, he served as Chief Executive Officer of Staples, Inc. from April 2018 to June 2021, where he led the business-to-business distribution platform through a strategic transformation and the COVID-19 pandemic. Before his time at Staples, Douglas spent 30 years at The Coca-Cola Company, most recently as President of Coca-Cola North America, overseeing its $10 billion revenue business, including consumer and business-to-business operations. He also held the role of Global Chief Customer Officer and various other leadership positions in sales and marketing at Coca-Cola. Douglas began his career at The Procter & Gamble Company in sales and sales management. He has served as a board member of Wawa Inc. since May 2020.
Giorgio Matteo Tarditi - President and Chief Financial Officer
Giorgio Matteo Tarditi was appointed President and Chief Financial Officer of UNFI, effective April 15, 2024. He brings over 26 years of experience from General Electric (GE), where he held CFO roles across seven business units, including Renewable Energy and Energy Connections, and major divisions such as Power, Oil & Gas, Aerospace, and Healthcare. Throughout his career at GE, Tarditi demonstrated expertise in driving operational excellence, efficiency, and productivity, especially during complex transformations and mergers and acquisitions. He is a certified Lean Six Sigma Black Belt and led initiatives to improve forecast accuracy and continuous improvement processes. Tarditi holds a Master of Science degree in Finance and Business Administration from Universita Bocconi in Milan, Italy.
Erin Horvath - Chief Operating Officer
Erin Horvath was promoted to Chief Operating Officer of UNFI in March 2023. She initially joined UNFI in October 2022 as the Chief Supply Chain Transformation Officer. Prior to UNFI, Horvath spent 17 years at AmerisourceBergen Corporation (now Cencora), a pharmaceutical wholesaler. Her roles there included Chief Transformation Officer, President of Distribution Services, and Senior Vice President of Distribution Services, where she managed over 5,000 associates and more than 50 distribution centers. Her experience also encompasses designing distribution and customer operations strategies, leading the construction of new distribution centers, and developing warehouse automation teams. Earlier in her career, Horvath worked as a management consultant at Smart and Associates and Arthur Andersen Business Consulting.
Matt Echols - Chief Corporate Affairs Officer
Matt Echols was appointed to the newly created position of Chief Corporate Affairs Officer at UNFI in March 2022. Before joining UNFI, Echols had a nearly 24-year career at The Coca-Cola Company, holding various leadership roles in public affairs, communications, and sustainability. These positions included Global Vice President for Public Affairs, Communications and Sustainability, and Senior Vice President roles for North America and the Asia-Pacific region. He was also responsible for leading government affairs at all levels in the U.S. for Coca-Cola, including the Washington D.C. office. Earlier in his career, Echols worked on Capitol Hill for several members of the U.S. Congress.
Mark P. Bushway - President of Natural, Organic, Specialty & Fresh Products and UNFI Chief Supply Chain Officer
Mark P. Bushway was appointed President of Natural, Organic, Specialty & Fresh Products and UNFI Chief Supply Chain Officer in January 2025. He previously served as Chief Supply Chain Officer since December 2021 and as Region President of the Atlantic Region since August 2018. Bushway has held multiple roles at UNFI, including Region Vice President of Operations, National Director of Real Estate & Construction, Operations Project Manager, and General Manager of a Distribution Center. Before his tenure at UNFI, he worked for C&S Wholesale Grocers from 1989 to 2003, serving as Regional Project Manager and in other leadership capacities.
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- Customer Concentration and Intense Competition: UNFI operates in a highly competitive grocery distribution and retail landscape, facing pressure from both established players like Sysco, US Foods, and KeHE Distributors, as well as new entrants and retailers' increasing move towards self-distribution. This competitive environment can lead to price wars, margin compression, and a continuous need for innovation. A significant portion of UNFI's revenue is derived from a limited number of principal customers, with Whole Foods Market notably cited as a major customer under a contract extending to 2032. The loss or reduction of business from such a key customer could materially and adversely affect UNFI's financial condition and results of operations.
- Thin Profit Margins and High Debt Levels: The company has historically struggled with thin, and at times negative, operating margins, which makes it vulnerable to operational challenges and competitive pressures. UNFI also carries a substantial debt load, which has been cited as a "major red flag" for investors, limiting its financial flexibility and impacting its balance sheet. While management is focused on deleveraging, the significant debt burden remains a critical financial hurdle.
- Supply Chain Disruptions and Cybersecurity Threats: As a large-scale distributor, UNFI's business is highly dependent on an efficient and resilient supply chain. The company has experienced significant operational disruptions due to cyberattacks, which have led to material financial impacts including lost sales (up to $400 million) and net income losses (up to $60 million). These incidents highlight the vulnerability of its digital supply chain and the potential for widespread impact on its extensive network of retailers and suppliers. Beyond cyberattacks, the company also faces risks from broader supply chain disruptions caused by macroeconomic volatility, inflation, labor shortages, and other unforeseen events that can impact product availability and increase costs.
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The proliferation and growth of direct-to-consumer (DTC) specialized online grocers and food brands. These entities increasingly establish their own sourcing and logistics networks, or partner with fulfillment providers that bypass traditional wholesale distributors like United Natural Foods. This model directly competes for market share with UNFI's traditional retail customers and reduces the need for UNFI's distribution services for a segment of natural, organic, and specialty food products.
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United Natural Foods (UNFI) operates within several addressable markets across the United States and Canada, primarily focusing on the distribution of natural, organic, specialty, and conventional grocery products, as well as nutritional supplements.
United States Addressable Markets:
- Natural and Organic Food Market: The U.S. organic food market was estimated at approximately $65.55 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach around $159.04 billion by 2033. The broader natural and organic food market in the U.S. was valued at $279.3 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $459.4 billion by 2034.
- Specialty Food Market: The market size of Specialty Food Stores in the U.S. was $32.4 billion in 2024 and is projected to be $32.3 billion in 2025. The U.S. specialty food ingredients market generated a revenue of $14,504.4 million in 2025 and is expected to reach $20,433.1 million by 2033.
- Nutritional Supplements Market: The U.S. nutritional supplements market size was valued at $112.6 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to grow to $131.08 billion by 2033.
- Grocery Distribution Market: The U.S. Grocery Products Distributors industry is projected to reach over $1.77 trillion by 2032.
- Supermarkets & Grocery Stores: Total sales for supermarkets in the U.S. were $1 trillion in 2024. The Supermarkets & Grocery Stores market in the US was $900.6 billion in 2025 and is projected to be $912.4 billion in 2026.
Canada Addressable Markets:
- Natural and Organic Food Market: The Canada organic food market size reached $4.83 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $13.05 billion by 2033. The organic food and beverages market in Canada generated a revenue of $9,373.3 million in 2023 and is expected to reach $24,827.5 million by 2030. In 2020, Canada's total organic market (including food and non-food items) was worth $6.9 billion.
- Specialty Food Market: The market size of Specialty Food Stores in Canada was $7.0 billion in 2024 and is projected to remain $7.0 billion in 2025. The Canada specialty food ingredients market generated a revenue of $4,335.2 million in 2025 and is expected to reach $5,827.6 million by 2033.
- Nutritional Supplements Market: The Canada nutritional supplements market generated a revenue of $14,401.6 million in 2025 and is expected to reach $22,674.4 million by 2033. The Canada dietary supplements market size was estimated at $4.02 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $6.89 billion by 2030. Another estimate valued the Canada dietary supplements market at $18.99 billion in 2024, projected to reach $39.50 billion by 2034. The Canada Vitamins and Minerals Supplement Market is expected to be valued at $3.75 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to reach $8.5 billion by 2035.
- Supermarkets & Grocery Stores: The market size of Supermarkets & Grocery Stores in Canada was $120.1 billion in 2025 and is projected to be $121.3 billion in 2026.
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United Natural Foods (UNFI) anticipates several key drivers for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, focusing on strategic initiatives and market opportunities:
- Growth in Natural and Organic Products: UNFI is strategically focused on the expanding natural, organic, and specialty products market, which it identifies as a substantial $90 billion addressable market. The company has demonstrated sustained growth in its natural product segment, with an 11% increase in Q1 fiscal 2026, driven by strong unit growth. This continued strength in its core offerings is expected to be a significant revenue driver.
- Expansion of Private Label Offerings: A key part of UNFI's strategy involves expanding its private label portfolio, particularly within the natural and organic sectors. This initiative aims to differentiate its offerings and capture a larger share of the market by providing unique products to its retail partners.
- New Business Development and Customer Stewardship: UNFI is committed to fostering growth through new business projects with both existing and new customers. The company is restructuring its commercial organization to better align with individual customer strategies, offering tailored product and service recommendations. This focus on customer relationships and acquiring new business is expected to contribute to revenue expansion.
- Enhanced Merchandising and Supplier Support: The company is improving its merchandising capabilities to provide more competitive pricing on key value items and broaden its product assortments. By offering a more attractive and diverse product selection, UNFI aims to better support its retailers and help them differentiate in the market, thereby driving sales.
- Supply Chain Modernization and Technology Integration: UNFI is investing in its supply chain through the implementation of Lean methodologies and advanced AI tools, such as RELEX, across its distribution network. These efforts are designed to enhance supply chain efficiency and improve service levels, which are foundational for becoming a more effective and efficient business partner and can lead to increased customer satisfaction and sales retention.
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Share Repurchases
- United Natural Foods repurchased approximately 742,622 shares for about $25 million during the second quarter of fiscal 2026, which ended January 31, 2026.
- The company's annual share buybacks for 2023 amounted to $62 million.
Share Issuance
- Between August 2, 2025, and January 31, 2026, United Natural Foods issued 0.9 million shares, with 64.0 million shares issued as of January 31, 2026.
Outbound Investments
- United Natural Foods made an investment in Mighty Spark Food in May 2021.
Capital Expenditures
- United Natural Foods forecasts capital expenditures to remain steady at $250 million for fiscal year 2026, which includes capital and cloud implementation expenditures.
- Payments for capital expenditures were $40 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 and $16 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2026.
- The primary focus of capital expenditures includes investing in a next-generation supply chain through advanced technologies, such as automation, network optimization, and enhanced digital capabilities.
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 92.37 |
| Mkt Cap | 16.1 |
| Rev LTM | 39,683 |
| Op Inc LTM | 832 |
| FCF LTM | 848 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 783 |
| CFO LTM | 1,272 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,207 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.1% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 4.6% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 18.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 3.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 3.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 2.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 1.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 16.1 |
| P/S | 0.5 |
| P/Op Inc | 16.8 |
| P/EBIT | 19.1 |
| P/E | 30.5 |
| P/CFO | 14.3 |
| Total Yield | 2.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.5% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 7.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 22.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 21.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 24.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 125.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 7.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 10.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 14.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -0.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 50.8% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natural | 16,017 | 14,948 | 14,164 | ||
| Conventional | 14,667 | 14,946 | 15,029 | ||
| Retail | 2,342 | 2,436 | 2,480 | 2,468 | 2,442 |
| Corporate and Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Elimination of intersegment profit/loss | -1,242 | -1,350 | -1,401 | -1,583 | -1,584 |
| Other | 219 | 219 | |||
| Wholesale | 27,824 | 25,873 | |||
| Total | 31,784 | 30,980 | 30,272 | 28,928 | 26,950 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natural | 339 | ||||
| Net income attributable to noncontrolling interests | 3 | ||||
| LIFO benefit | 2 | ||||
| Conventional | -4 | ||||
| Other adjustments | -15 | ||||
| Cybersecurity incident | -26 | ||||
| Retail | -30 | ||||
| Loss on sale of assets and other asset charges | -42 | ||||
| Share-based compensation | -43 | ||||
| Business transformation costs | -47 | ||||
| Corporate and Other | -74 | ||||
| Restructuring, acquisition, and integration related expenses | -94 | ||||
| Elimination of intersegment profit/loss | -4 | 3 | 0 | -1 | |
| Other | -278 | -37 | -22 | -15 | |
| Wholesale | -9 | 260 | 247 | 240 | |
| Total | -31 | -291 | 227 | 226 | 224 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wholesale | 6,563 | 6,405 | 6,733 | 6,536 | 6,589 |
| Retail | 606 | 648 | 599 | 566 | 548 |
| Other | 401 | 377 | 335 | 462 | 498 |
| Elimination of intersegment profit/loss | -42 | -36 | -39 | -43 | -55 |
| Current assets of discontinued operations | 2 | 3 | |||
| Long-term assets of discontinued operations | 2 | 4 | |||
| Total | 7,528 | 7,394 | 7,628 | 7,525 | 7,587 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $49.65 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 3.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 11/01/1996 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -10.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $49.92 | $40.08 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -0.5% | 23.9% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 46.4% | 48.5% |
| Downside Capture | 31.02 | 63.58 |
| Upside Capture | 98.73 | 145.20 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 10.9% | 18.8% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.71 | 2.04 | 1.07 | 0.80 | 0.97 | 0.98 |
| Up Beta | 1.69 | 2.53 | 1.58 | 1.28 | 1.02 | 0.89 |
| Down Beta | 2.68 | 2.78 | 0.62 | -0.01 | 0.52 | 1.12 |
| Up Capture | 110% | 124% | 148% | 122% | 143% | 100% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 23 | 35 | 65 | 127 | 376 |
| Down Capture | 213% | 228% | 51% | 61% | 95% | 100% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 18 | 28 | 58 | 119 | 365 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with UNFI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNFI | 124.8% | 48.6% | 1.83 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 5.9% | 13.0% | 0.18 | 25.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 24.5% | 12.4% | 1.48 | 18.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.7% | 27.5% | 0.79 | 3.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 22.7% | 18.9% | 0.95 | -13.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 10.6% | 13.8% | 0.49 | 18.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -38.7% | 42.4% | -1.04 | 13.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with UNFI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNFI | 7.4% | 53.2% | 0.34 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 6.1% | 13.4% | 0.24 | 26.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.4% | 17.1% | 0.61 | 30.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 16.9% | 18.3% | 0.75 | 1.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 19.4% | 0.29 | 5.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.9% | 18.9% | 0.00 | 28.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 12.3% | 54.2% | 0.42 | 8.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with UNFI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNFI | 1.4% | 61.6% | 0.28 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 7.3% | 14.8% | 0.36 | 22.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.2% | 18.0% | 0.72 | 22.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.4% | 16.1% | 0.63 | -0.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 0.26 | 5.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.3% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 14.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 60.4% | 66.8% | 1.00 | 6.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/18/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 6/9/2026 | -10.3% | -2.5% | |
| 3/10/2026 | -3.0% | 6.8% | 19.9% |
| 12/2/2025 | 4.6% | 0.9% | -2.7% |
| 9/30/2025 | 18.5% | 30.3% | 22.1% |
| 6/10/2025 | -10.2% | -14.5% | -8.2% |
| 3/11/2025 | -4.9% | 2.6% | -8.5% |
| 12/10/2024 | 20.0% | 13.1% | 10.6% |
| 10/1/2024 | 30.6% | 14.9% | 23.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| # Negative | 17 | 15 | 15 |
| Median Positive | 18.3% | 13.7% | 12.0% |
| Median Negative | -14.2% | -12.0% | -12.3% |
| Max Positive | 30.6% | 30.3% | 23.1% |
| Max Negative | -28.1% | -37.3% | -35.6% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 6/9/2026 | -10.3% | -2.5% | |
| 3/10/2026 | -3.0% | 6.8% | 19.9% |
| 12/2/2025 | 4.6% | 0.9% | -2.7% |
| 9/30/2025 | 18.5% | 30.3% | 22.1% |
| 6/10/2025 | -10.2% | -14.5% | -8.2% |
| 3/11/2025 | -4.9% | 2.6% | -8.5% |
| 12/10/2024 | 20.0% | 13.1% | 10.6% |
| 10/1/2024 | 30.6% | 14.9% | 23.1% |
| 6/5/2024 | 10.4% | 16.6% | 2.2% |
| 3/6/2024 | -18.4% | -22.3% | -29.5% |
| 12/6/2023 | -6.9% | -6.7% | -6.0% |
| 9/26/2023 | -27.4% | -30.4% | -21.3% |
| 6/7/2023 | -14.9% | -21.5% | -28.8% |
| 3/8/2023 | -28.1% | -37.3% | -35.6% |
| 12/7/2022 | -14.8% | -11.5% | -13.9% |
| 9/27/2022 | -2.9% | -6.6% | 7.2% |
| 6/7/2022 | -3.2% | -10.4% | -12.3% |
| 3/9/2022 | -5.6% | -6.7% | 2.7% |
| 12/8/2021 | 13.2% | 3.1% | -3.7% |
| 9/28/2021 | 23.7% | 23.5% | 12.0% |
| 6/9/2021 | -15.7% | -7.0% | -11.9% |
| 3/10/2021 | 18.2% | 14.3% | 15.4% |
| 12/9/2020 | -14.3% | -19.6% | -11.8% |
| 9/28/2020 | -14.2% | -12.0% | -16.6% |
| 6/10/2020 | -20.2% | -25.4% | -12.5% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| # Negative | 17 | 15 | 15 |
| Median Positive | 18.3% | 13.7% | 12.0% |
| Median Negative | -14.2% | -12.0% | -12.3% |
| Max Positive | 30.6% | 30.3% | 23.1% |
| Max Negative | -28.1% | -37.3% | -35.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 04/30/2026 | 06/09/2026 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2026 | 03/10/2026 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2025 | 12/02/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 10/01/2025 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2025 | 06/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 03/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/10/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 10/01/2024 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2024 | 06/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 03/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2023 | 12/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 09/26/2023 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2023 | 06/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 03/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2022 | 12/07/2022 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2022 | 09/27/2022 | 10-K |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 04/30/2026 | 06/09/2026 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2026 | 03/10/2026 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2025 | 12/02/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 10/01/2025 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2025 | 06/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 03/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/10/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 10/01/2024 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2024 | 06/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 03/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2023 | 12/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 09/26/2023 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2023 | 06/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 03/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2022 | 12/07/2022 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2022 | 09/27/2022 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2022 | 06/07/2022 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2022 | 03/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2021 | 12/08/2021 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2021 | 09/28/2021 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2021 | 06/09/2021 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2021 | 03/10/2021 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2020 | 12/09/2020 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2020 | 09/29/2020 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2020 | 06/10/2020 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2020 | 03/11/2020 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2019 | 12/11/2019 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2019 | 10/01/2019 | 10-K |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 6/10/2026Latest: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 6/9/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Net sales | 31.10 Bil | 31.20 Bil | 31.30 Bil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 31.20 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Net income | 55.00 Mil | 62.50 Mil | 70.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 62.50 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 EPS | 0.9 | 1 | 1.1 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 1 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EPS | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 2.5 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 685.00 Mil | 695.00 Mil | 705.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 695.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Capital and cloud implementation expenditures | 250.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 250.00 Mil for 2026 | |||
| 2026 Free cash flow | 330.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 330.00 Mil for 2026 | |||
Prior: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 3/10/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Net sales | 31.00 Bil | 31.20 Bil | 31.40 Bil | -1.9% | Lowered | Guidance: 31.80 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Net income | 50.00 Mil | 62.50 Mil | 75.00 Mil | 150.0% | Raised | Guidance: 25.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 EPS | 0.8 | 1 | 1.2 | 150.0% | Raised | Guidance: 0.4 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EPS | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 31.6% | Raised | Guidance: 1.9 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 680.00 Mil | 695.00 Mil | 710.00 Mil | 4.5% | Raised | Guidance: 665.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Capital and cloud implementation expenditures | 250.00 Mil | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 250.00 Mil for 2026 | |||
| 2026 Free cash flow | 330.00 Mil | 10.0% | Raised | Guidance: 300.00 Mil for 2026 | |||
Insider Activity
Updated 5/8/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benedict, Danielle | Chief Human Resources Officer | Direct | Sell | 5082026 | 52.00 | 4,807 | 249,964 | 5,120,440 | Form |
| 2 | Pappas, James C | By: Managed Accounts of JCP Investment Management, LLC | Buy | 1062026 | 33.30 | 2,000 | 66,600 | 6,466,127 | Form | |
| 3 | Pappas, James C | By: Managed Accounts of JCP Investment Management, LLC | Buy | 1062026 | 33.76 | 15,000 | 506,400 | 6,487,929 | Form | |
| 4 | Martin, Louis Anthony | President, Conventional & CCO | Direct | Sell | 12232025 | 34.67 | 9,439 | 327,250 | 2,816,383 | Form |
| 5 | Esper, Richard Eric | Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 12222025 | 33.08 | 4,261 | 140,954 | 1,236,167 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benedict, Danielle | Chief Human Resources Officer | Direct | Sell | 5082026 | 52.00 | 4,807 | 249,964 | 5,120,440 | Form |
| 2 | Pappas, James C | By: Managed Accounts of JCP Investment Management, LLC | Buy | 1062026 | 33.30 | 2,000 | 66,600 | 6,466,127 | Form | |
| 3 | Pappas, James C | By: Managed Accounts of JCP Investment Management, LLC | Buy | 1062026 | 33.76 | 15,000 | 506,400 | 6,487,929 | Form | |
| 4 | Martin, Louis Anthony | President, Conventional & CCO | Direct | Sell | 12232025 | 34.67 | 9,439 | 327,250 | 2,816,383 | Form |
| 5 | Esper, Richard Eric | Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 12222025 | 33.08 | 4,261 | 140,954 | 1,236,167 | Form |
| 6 | Benedict, Danielle | Chief Human Resources Officer | Direct | Sell | 10012025 | 35.31 | 11,655 | 411,485 | 3,161,391 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Consumer Staples Resources |
| FoodNavigator |
| Consumer Goods Technology (CGT) |
| Beverage Digest |
| Food Retail Resources |
| Supermarket News |
| Progressive Grocer |
| Grocery Dive |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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