United Natural Foods (UNFI)


Market Price (8/2/2026): $50.85 | Market Cap: $3.1 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Food Retail

United Natural Foods (UNFI)


Market Price (8/2/2026): $50.85
Market Cap: $3.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Food Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 11%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Show more.

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 101%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 43x

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.2%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.5%

Key risks
UNFI key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on the Whole Foods distribution contract, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 11%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Show more.
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 101%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 43x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.2%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.5%
7 Key risks
UNFI key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on the Whole Foods distribution contract, Show more.

UNFI in ETFs

Weight = UNFI's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
ITOT0.00%
IWM0.10%
IJR0.16%
VB0.03%
AVUV0.55%
IJS0.32%
SLYV0.32%
+13 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/1/2026

United Natural Foods (UNFI) stock has remained largely at the same level since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Mixed Fiscal Q3 2026 Earnings Report.

United Natural Foods reported mixed results for its fiscal Q3 2026, which ended May 2, 2026, and were announced on June 9, 2026. Net sales decreased 4.2% year-over-year to $7.7 billion, missing analyst estimates of $7.79 billion, partly due to strategic optimization actions and the nearing completion of a short-term customer project. However, the company demonstrated strong profitability, with adjusted EBITDA increasing 16.6% to $183 million and adjusted diluted EPS rising to $0.77 from $0.44 in the prior year, though it slightly missed the consensus estimate of $0.81. This "profit-over-sales" strategy, involving intentionally exiting lower-margin businesses, created a mixed signal for investors.

2. Ongoing Strategic Optimization and Efficiency Gains.

The company continued to make progress on its value creation strategy, focusing on network optimization and efficiency improvements. In fiscal Q3 2026, the gross profit rate increased to 13.6% (up 20 basis points), benefiting from network optimization and customer mix, while operating expenses declined nearly 7%. UNFI also reported improvements in distribution center productivity (up over 7%), on-time deliveries (up over 4% year-to-date), and reduced average miles per delivery (nearly 5%), aided by AI-powered fleet management and lean daily management across 40 distribution centers. Furthermore, net debt was reduced to $1.63 billion, and the net leverage ratio improved to 2.5x, the lowest since fiscal 2018, strengthening the balance sheet.

Show more
Updated on 8/1/2026

United Natural Foods (UNFI) stock has remained largely at the same level since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Mixed Fiscal Q3 2026 Earnings Report.

United Natural Foods reported mixed results for its fiscal Q3 2026, which ended May 2, 2026, and were announced on June 9, 2026. Net sales decreased 4.2% year-over-year to $7.7 billion, missing analyst estimates of $7.79 billion, partly due to strategic optimization actions and the nearing completion of a short-term customer project. However, the company demonstrated strong profitability, with adjusted EBITDA increasing 16.6% to $183 million and adjusted diluted EPS rising to $0.77 from $0.44 in the prior year, though it slightly missed the consensus estimate of $0.81. This "profit-over-sales" strategy, involving intentionally exiting lower-margin businesses, created a mixed signal for investors.

2. Ongoing Strategic Optimization and Efficiency Gains.

The company continued to make progress on its value creation strategy, focusing on network optimization and efficiency improvements. In fiscal Q3 2026, the gross profit rate increased to 13.6% (up 20 basis points), benefiting from network optimization and customer mix, while operating expenses declined nearly 7%. UNFI also reported improvements in distribution center productivity (up over 7%), on-time deliveries (up over 4% year-to-date), and reduced average miles per delivery (nearly 5%), aided by AI-powered fleet management and lean daily management across 40 distribution centers. Furthermore, net debt was reduced to $1.63 billion, and the net leverage ratio improved to 2.5x, the lowest since fiscal 2018, strengthening the balance sheet.

3. Neutral Analyst Sentiment and Consistent Fiscal Year 2026 Guidance.

Analyst sentiment for UNFI remained largely neutral during this period. As of July 2026, the consensus rating from several analysts was "Hold" or "Neutral," with an average 1-year price target ranging from approximately $46.38 to $50.25, indicating an expectation of the stock remaining relatively stable. Management maintained its fiscal year 2026 outlook midpoints for net sales, net income, EPS, and adjusted EBITDA, narrowing the ranges, which signaled a focus on tighter execution rather than significant shifts in future expectations. While natural product sales showed growth (over 4% in fiscal Q3 2026), ongoing pressures in the conventional and retail segments continued to weigh on overall top-line performance, contributing to the flat stock movement.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 1.6% change in UNFI stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/1/2026 was primarily driven by a 2.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020268012026Change
Stock Price ($)50.0250.831.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)31,54231,206-1.1%
P/S Multiple0.10.12.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)61610.2%
Cumulative Contribution1.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
UNFI1.6% 
Market (SPY)3.9%-4.6%
Sector (XLP)0.9%23.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 36.5% change in UNFI stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/1/2026 was primarily driven by a 39.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120268012026Change
Stock Price ($)37.2350.8336.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)31,75331,206-1.7%
P/S Multiple0.10.139.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)6161-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution36.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
UNFI36.5% 
Market (SPY)8.3%11.3%
Sector (XLP)2.4%27.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 83.9% change in UNFI stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/1/2026 was primarily driven by a 91.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120258012026Change
Stock Price ($)27.6450.8383.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)32,24331,206-3.2%
P/S Multiple0.10.191.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)6061-0.5%
Cumulative Contribution83.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
UNFI83.9% 
Market (SPY)19.2%16.5%
Sector (XLP)8.8%23.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 144.4% change in UNFI stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/1/2026 was primarily driven by a 141.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120238012026Change
Stock Price ($)20.8050.83144.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)30,12831,2063.6%
P/S Multiple0.00.1141.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5961-2.3%
Cumulative Contribution144.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
UNFI144.4% 
Market (SPY)68.9%25.1%
Sector (XLP)21.0%24.2%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
UNFI Return207%-21%-58%68%23%48%211%
Peers Return10%6%10%36%11%40%170%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%9%98%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
UNFI Win Rate58%58%42%67%58%86% 
Peers Win Rate48%46%54%67%60%75% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%43% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
UNFI Max Drawdown-24%-32%-70%-48%-38%-18% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-29%-27%-15%-19%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SYY, USFD, PFGC, CHEF. See UNFI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/31/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventUNFIS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-33.4%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven50.1%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven109 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-37.1%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven59.0%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven363 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-53.4%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven114.5%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven830 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-31.6%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven46.2%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven1309 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-25.5%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.3%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven4 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-67.3%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven206.0%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven764 days105 days

Compare to SYY, USFD, PFGC, CHEF

In The Past

United Natural Foods's stock fell -33.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 50.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventUNFIS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-33.4%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven50.1%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven109 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-37.1%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven59.0%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven363 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-53.4%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven114.5%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven830 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-31.6%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven46.2%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven1309 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-25.5%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.3%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven4 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-67.3%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven206.0%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven764 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-33.4%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven50.3%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven122 days62 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-57.7%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven136.2%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven428 days1085 days

Compare to SYY, USFD, PFGC, CHEF

In The Past

United Natural Foods's stock fell -33.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 50.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About United Natural Foods (UNFI)

United Natural Foods, Inc. (UNFI) is a prominent wholesale distributor of natural, organic, specialty, and conventional food and non-food products across the United States and Canada. The company plays a crucial role in the supply chain, connecting a vast network of producers with various retail and service channels. In addition to its primary wholesale operations, UNFI also operates a retail segment, owning and managing grocery stores under the Cub Foods and Shoppers banners.

UNFI's extensive product portfolio encompasses a wide range of items, including grocery and general merchandise, fresh produce, perishables, frozen foods, nutritional supplements, bulk and foodservice products, and personal care items. The company also develops and distributes its own private label brands, such as Woodstock for nuts and snacks, and Blue Marble Brands. Beyond product distribution, UNFI provides valuable professional services to its retail customers, offering support in areas like advertising, e-commerce, store design, equipment sourcing, payment processing, and administrative solutions.

The company serves a diverse customer base that includes independent retailers, large supermarket chains, and specialized natural and organic food stores. Its reach extends further to foodservice providers, e-commerce platforms, and conventional military businesses, establishing UNFI as a comprehensive partner for various segments within the food and consumer goods industries.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-2 brief analogies for United Natural Foods (UNFI):

  • UNFI is like the Sysco for grocery stores, supplying a massive range of natural, organic, and conventional products to retailers nationwide.
  • Think of them as the Whole Foods Market on the wholesale side, distributing a vast array of organic, natural, and conventional foods to other grocery stores and foodservice businesses.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Grocery and Non-Food Products Distribution: Distributes natural, organic, specialty, produce, conventional grocery, and non-food items to various retailers and foodservice customers.
  • Private Label Brands: Offers Blue Marble Brands and Field Day brand products, as well as general private label items.
  • Snack and Confectionery Products: Imports, roasts, packages, and distributes nuts, dried fruits, seeds, trail mixes, granola, and natural snack items, including the Woodstock brand.
  • Retail Grocery Stores: Operates 74 Cub Foods and Shoppers retail grocery stores, offering a range of groceries and pharmacy products.
  • Professional Services: Provides retail store support, advertising, e-commerce, store design, equipment sourcing, payment processing, and administrative back-office solutions.
  • Marketing Services: Offers consumer and trade marketing programs to support suppliers and understanding its markets.

AI Analysis | Feedback

United Natural Foods (UNFI) primarily operates as a distributor (Wholesale segment) selling to other businesses, rather than directly to individuals. The company's major customers, as described in the background, can be categorized as follows:

  • Chains: These are large, multi-location retail grocery store enterprises.
  • Independent Retailers: Smaller, individually owned or operated grocery and specialty stores.
  • Supernatural Chains: This category likely refers to larger retail chains that specialize in natural, organic, and specialty food products.
  • Foodservice Customers: Businesses within the food service industry, such as restaurants, cafes, and institutional kitchens.
  • E-commerce Businesses: Online retailers that purchase and sell natural, organic, and specialty products.
  • Conventional Military Business: Entities involved in supplying products to the military market.

The provided background description does not specify the names of individual major customer companies or their public symbols.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Sandy Douglas - Chief Executive Officer

Sandy Douglas was appointed CEO of United Natural Foods (UNFI) in August 2021. Prior to joining UNFI, he served as Chief Executive Officer of Staples, Inc. from April 2018 to June 2021, where he led the business-to-business distribution platform through a strategic transformation and the COVID-19 pandemic. Before his time at Staples, Douglas spent 30 years at The Coca-Cola Company, most recently as President of Coca-Cola North America, overseeing its $10 billion revenue business, including consumer and business-to-business operations. He also held the role of Global Chief Customer Officer and various other leadership positions in sales and marketing at Coca-Cola. Douglas began his career at The Procter & Gamble Company in sales and sales management. He has served as a board member of Wawa Inc. since May 2020.

Giorgio Matteo Tarditi - President and Chief Financial Officer

Giorgio Matteo Tarditi was appointed President and Chief Financial Officer of UNFI, effective April 15, 2024. He brings over 26 years of experience from General Electric (GE), where he held CFO roles across seven business units, including Renewable Energy and Energy Connections, and major divisions such as Power, Oil & Gas, Aerospace, and Healthcare. Throughout his career at GE, Tarditi demonstrated expertise in driving operational excellence, efficiency, and productivity, especially during complex transformations and mergers and acquisitions. He is a certified Lean Six Sigma Black Belt and led initiatives to improve forecast accuracy and continuous improvement processes. Tarditi holds a Master of Science degree in Finance and Business Administration from Universita Bocconi in Milan, Italy.

Erin Horvath - Chief Operating Officer

Erin Horvath was promoted to Chief Operating Officer of UNFI in March 2023. She initially joined UNFI in October 2022 as the Chief Supply Chain Transformation Officer. Prior to UNFI, Horvath spent 17 years at AmerisourceBergen Corporation (now Cencora), a pharmaceutical wholesaler. Her roles there included Chief Transformation Officer, President of Distribution Services, and Senior Vice President of Distribution Services, where she managed over 5,000 associates and more than 50 distribution centers. Her experience also encompasses designing distribution and customer operations strategies, leading the construction of new distribution centers, and developing warehouse automation teams. Earlier in her career, Horvath worked as a management consultant at Smart and Associates and Arthur Andersen Business Consulting.

Matt Echols - Chief Corporate Affairs Officer

Matt Echols was appointed to the newly created position of Chief Corporate Affairs Officer at UNFI in March 2022. Before joining UNFI, Echols had a nearly 24-year career at The Coca-Cola Company, holding various leadership roles in public affairs, communications, and sustainability. These positions included Global Vice President for Public Affairs, Communications and Sustainability, and Senior Vice President roles for North America and the Asia-Pacific region. He was also responsible for leading government affairs at all levels in the U.S. for Coca-Cola, including the Washington D.C. office. Earlier in his career, Echols worked on Capitol Hill for several members of the U.S. Congress.

Mark P. Bushway - President of Natural, Organic, Specialty & Fresh Products and UNFI Chief Supply Chain Officer

Mark P. Bushway was appointed President of Natural, Organic, Specialty & Fresh Products and UNFI Chief Supply Chain Officer in January 2025. He previously served as Chief Supply Chain Officer since December 2021 and as Region President of the Atlantic Region since August 2018. Bushway has held multiple roles at UNFI, including Region Vice President of Operations, National Director of Real Estate & Construction, Operations Project Manager, and General Manager of a Distribution Center. Before his tenure at UNFI, he worked for C&S Wholesale Grocers from 1989 to 2003, serving as Regional Project Manager and in other leadership capacities.

AI Analysis | Feedback

United Natural Foods (UNFI) faces several key risks to its business, primarily stemming from its competitive market, financial structure, and the inherent vulnerabilities of its extensive distribution network. Here are the key risks identified:
  1. Customer Concentration and Intense Competition: UNFI operates in a highly competitive grocery distribution and retail landscape, facing pressure from both established players like Sysco, US Foods, and KeHE Distributors, as well as new entrants and retailers' increasing move towards self-distribution. This competitive environment can lead to price wars, margin compression, and a continuous need for innovation. A significant portion of UNFI's revenue is derived from a limited number of principal customers, with Whole Foods Market notably cited as a major customer under a contract extending to 2032. The loss or reduction of business from such a key customer could materially and adversely affect UNFI's financial condition and results of operations.
  2. Thin Profit Margins and High Debt Levels: The company has historically struggled with thin, and at times negative, operating margins, which makes it vulnerable to operational challenges and competitive pressures. UNFI also carries a substantial debt load, which has been cited as a "major red flag" for investors, limiting its financial flexibility and impacting its balance sheet. While management is focused on deleveraging, the significant debt burden remains a critical financial hurdle.
  3. Supply Chain Disruptions and Cybersecurity Threats: As a large-scale distributor, UNFI's business is highly dependent on an efficient and resilient supply chain. The company has experienced significant operational disruptions due to cyberattacks, which have led to material financial impacts including lost sales (up to $400 million) and net income losses (up to $60 million). These incidents highlight the vulnerability of its digital supply chain and the potential for widespread impact on its extensive network of retailers and suppliers. Beyond cyberattacks, the company also faces risks from broader supply chain disruptions caused by macroeconomic volatility, inflation, labor shortages, and other unforeseen events that can impact product availability and increase costs.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The proliferation and growth of direct-to-consumer (DTC) specialized online grocers and food brands. These entities increasingly establish their own sourcing and logistics networks, or partner with fulfillment providers that bypass traditional wholesale distributors like United Natural Foods. This model directly competes for market share with UNFI's traditional retail customers and reduces the need for UNFI's distribution services for a segment of natural, organic, and specialty food products.

AI Analysis | Feedback

United Natural Foods (UNFI) operates within several addressable markets across the United States and Canada, primarily focusing on the distribution of natural, organic, specialty, and conventional grocery products, as well as nutritional supplements.

United States Addressable Markets:

  • Natural and Organic Food Market: The U.S. organic food market was estimated at approximately $65.55 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach around $159.04 billion by 2033. The broader natural and organic food market in the U.S. was valued at $279.3 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $459.4 billion by 2034.
  • Specialty Food Market: The market size of Specialty Food Stores in the U.S. was $32.4 billion in 2024 and is projected to be $32.3 billion in 2025. The U.S. specialty food ingredients market generated a revenue of $14,504.4 million in 2025 and is expected to reach $20,433.1 million by 2033.
  • Nutritional Supplements Market: The U.S. nutritional supplements market size was valued at $112.6 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to grow to $131.08 billion by 2033.
  • Grocery Distribution Market: The U.S. Grocery Products Distributors industry is projected to reach over $1.77 trillion by 2032.
  • Supermarkets & Grocery Stores: Total sales for supermarkets in the U.S. were $1 trillion in 2024. The Supermarkets & Grocery Stores market in the US was $900.6 billion in 2025 and is projected to be $912.4 billion in 2026.

Canada Addressable Markets:

  • Natural and Organic Food Market: The Canada organic food market size reached $4.83 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $13.05 billion by 2033. The organic food and beverages market in Canada generated a revenue of $9,373.3 million in 2023 and is expected to reach $24,827.5 million by 2030. In 2020, Canada's total organic market (including food and non-food items) was worth $6.9 billion.
  • Specialty Food Market: The market size of Specialty Food Stores in Canada was $7.0 billion in 2024 and is projected to remain $7.0 billion in 2025. The Canada specialty food ingredients market generated a revenue of $4,335.2 million in 2025 and is expected to reach $5,827.6 million by 2033.
  • Nutritional Supplements Market: The Canada nutritional supplements market generated a revenue of $14,401.6 million in 2025 and is expected to reach $22,674.4 million by 2033. The Canada dietary supplements market size was estimated at $4.02 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $6.89 billion by 2030. Another estimate valued the Canada dietary supplements market at $18.99 billion in 2024, projected to reach $39.50 billion by 2034. The Canada Vitamins and Minerals Supplement Market is expected to be valued at $3.75 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to reach $8.5 billion by 2035.
  • Supermarkets & Grocery Stores: The market size of Supermarkets & Grocery Stores in Canada was $120.1 billion in 2025 and is projected to be $121.3 billion in 2026.

AI Analysis | Feedback

United Natural Foods (UNFI) anticipates several key drivers for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, focusing on strategic initiatives and market opportunities:

  1. Growth in Natural and Organic Products: UNFI is strategically focused on the expanding natural, organic, and specialty products market, which it identifies as a substantial $90 billion addressable market. The company has demonstrated sustained growth in its natural product segment, with an 11% increase in Q1 fiscal 2026, driven by strong unit growth. This continued strength in its core offerings is expected to be a significant revenue driver.
  2. Expansion of Private Label Offerings: A key part of UNFI's strategy involves expanding its private label portfolio, particularly within the natural and organic sectors. This initiative aims to differentiate its offerings and capture a larger share of the market by providing unique products to its retail partners.
  3. New Business Development and Customer Stewardship: UNFI is committed to fostering growth through new business projects with both existing and new customers. The company is restructuring its commercial organization to better align with individual customer strategies, offering tailored product and service recommendations. This focus on customer relationships and acquiring new business is expected to contribute to revenue expansion.
  4. Enhanced Merchandising and Supplier Support: The company is improving its merchandising capabilities to provide more competitive pricing on key value items and broaden its product assortments. By offering a more attractive and diverse product selection, UNFI aims to better support its retailers and help them differentiate in the market, thereby driving sales.
  5. Supply Chain Modernization and Technology Integration: UNFI is investing in its supply chain through the implementation of Lean methodologies and advanced AI tools, such as RELEX, across its distribution network. These efforts are designed to enhance supply chain efficiency and improve service levels, which are foundational for becoming a more effective and efficient business partner and can lead to increased customer satisfaction and sales retention.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • United Natural Foods repurchased approximately 742,622 shares for about $25 million during the second quarter of fiscal 2026, which ended January 31, 2026.
  • The company's annual share buybacks for 2023 amounted to $62 million.

Share Issuance

  • Between August 2, 2025, and January 31, 2026, United Natural Foods issued 0.9 million shares, with 64.0 million shares issued as of January 31, 2026.

Outbound Investments

  • United Natural Foods made an investment in Mighty Spark Food in May 2021.

Capital Expenditures

  • United Natural Foods forecasts capital expenditures to remain steady at $250 million for fiscal year 2026, which includes capital and cloud implementation expenditures.
  • Payments for capital expenditures were $40 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 and $16 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2026.
  • The primary focus of capital expenditures includes investing in a next-generation supply chain through advanced technologies, such as automation, network optimization, and enhanced digital capabilities.

Better Bets vs. United Natural Foods (UNFI)

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Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

UNFISYYUSFDPFGCCHEFMedian
NameUnited N.Sysco US Foods Performa.Chefs' W. 
Mkt Price50.8385.24100.59114.39115.35100.59
Mkt Cap3.140.922.117.94.517.9
Rev LTM31,20683,56739,68366,7504,39239,683
Op Inc LTM2082,9991,227832182832
FCF LTM3291,8218481,006126848
FCF 3Y Avg1691,96286778396783
CFO LTM5032,6561,2721,4551621,272
CFO 3Y Avg4292,8011,2331,2071431,207

Growth & Margins

UNFISYYUSFDPFGCCHEFMedian
NameUnited N.Sysco US Foods Performa.Chefs' W. 
Rev Chg LTM-3.2%3.4%3.7%8.4%11.2%3.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.3%3.4%4.5%5.5%13.0%4.5%
Rev Chg Q-4.2%4.7%2.8%6.4%12.9%4.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.1%1.1%0.7%1.5%3.1%1.1%
Op Inc Chg LTM28.4%-5.6%4.6%0.2%28.8%4.6%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg191.0%2.0%18.0%8.6%26.9%18.0%
Op Mgn LTM0.7%3.6%3.1%1.2%4.1%3.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg0.4%3.9%3.0%1.3%3.6%3.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%-0.1%-0.0%-0.1%0.3%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM1.6%3.2%3.2%2.2%3.7%3.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg1.4%3.5%3.2%1.9%3.6%3.2%
FCF/Rev LTM1.1%2.2%2.1%1.5%2.9%2.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg0.5%2.4%2.3%1.3%2.3%2.3%

Valuation

UNFISYYUSFDPFGCCHEFMedian
NameUnited N.Sysco US Foods Performa.Chefs' W. 
Mkt Cap3.140.922.117.94.517.9
P/S0.10.50.60.31.00.5
P/Op Inc14.913.618.021.524.718.0
P/EBIT42.913.918.521.125.821.1
P/E-81.323.532.754.448.832.7
P/CFO6.115.417.412.327.815.4
Total Yield-1.2%6.8%3.1%1.8%2.0%2.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.3%5.2%5.0%5.9%3.7%5.2%
D/E1.00.40.20.40.20.4
Net D/E1.00.30.20.40.20.3

Returns

UNFISYYUSFDPFGCCHEFMedian
NameUnited N.Sysco US Foods Performa.Chefs' W. 
1M Rtn11.5%0.5%-3.5%1.1%20.6%1.1%
3M Rtn-0.8%15.9%8.1%29.0%46.3%15.9%
6M Rtn36.5%3.1%20.3%19.8%83.4%20.3%
12M Rtn88.2%9.7%20.8%13.8%71.1%20.8%
3Y Rtn145.8%22.5%138.1%91.0%264.9%138.1%
1M Excs Rtn11.2%2.6%-1.4%1.6%20.9%2.6%
3M Excs Rtn-2.3%11.0%3.7%22.4%44.8%11.0%
6M Excs Rtn28.9%-4.7%11.9%9.1%75.7%11.9%
12M Excs Rtn64.5%-8.3%1.5%-5.7%54.7%1.5%
3Y Excs Rtn79.8%-41.2%68.1%20.4%138.8%68.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Natural16,01714,94814,164  
Conventional14,66714,94615,029  
Retail2,3422,4362,4802,4682,442
Corporate and Other000  
Elimination of intersegment profit/loss-1,242-1,350-1,401-1,583-1,584
Other   219219
Wholesale   27,82425,873
Total31,78430,98030,27228,92826,950


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252019201820172016
Natural339    
Net income attributable to noncontrolling interests3    
LIFO benefit2    
Conventional-4    
Other adjustments-15    
Cybersecurity incident-26    
Retail-30    
Loss on sale of assets and other asset charges-42    
Share-based compensation-43    
Business transformation costs-47    
Corporate and Other-74    
Restructuring, acquisition, and integration related expenses-94    
Elimination of intersegment profit/loss -430-1
Other -278-37-22-15
Wholesale -9260247240
Total-31-291227226224


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Wholesale6,5636,4056,7336,5366,589
Retail606648599566548
Other401377335462498
Elimination of intersegment profit/loss-42-36-39-43-55
Current assets of discontinued operations   23
Long-term assets of discontinued operations   24
Total7,5287,3947,6287,5257,587


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$50.83 
Market Cap ($ Bil)3.1 
First Trading Date11/01/1996 
Distance from 52W High-8.4% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$49.26$42.32
DMA Trendupindeterminate
Distance from DMA3.2%20.1%
 3M1YR
Volatility45.6%46.8%
Downside Capture59.5650.91
Upside Capture46.28112.70
Correlation (SPY)-5.6%16.5%
UNFI Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.03-0.53-0.150.350.600.90
Up Beta-0.32-0.98-0.500.980.600.82
Down Beta1.61-2.34-1.79-0.97-0.040.99
Up Capture213%26%54%82%120%104%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days13223267133378
Down Capture41%34%62%28%62%95%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days9213159117365

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with UNFI
UNFI82.7%46.7%1.43-
Sector ETF (XLP)7.9%14.2%0.3124.0%
Equity (SPY)18.8%12.9%1.0716.5%
Gold (GLD)23.6%28.1%0.743.4%
Commodities (DBC)30.2%19.7%1.22-12.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.7%13.9%0.6918.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-46.8%43.0%-1.3411.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with UNFI
UNFI9.8%53.0%0.37-
Sector ETF (XLP)6.2%13.6%0.2426.8%
Equity (SPY)12.6%17.1%0.5630.1%
Gold (GLD)17.1%18.5%0.751.8%
Commodities (DBC)9.0%19.5%0.355.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.5%18.9%0.0328.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)13.4%53.3%0.438.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with UNFI
UNFI0.5%61.7%0.27-
Sector ETF (XLP)7.2%14.9%0.3522.4%
Equity (SPY)15.0%17.9%0.7122.3%
Gold (GLD)11.3%16.1%0.57-0.1%
Commodities (DBC)7.3%18.0%0.325.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.9%20.7%0.2014.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)57.6%66.2%0.985.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2.7 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 63020269.2%
Average Daily Volume0.5 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.0 days
Basic Shares Quantity60.8 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares4.4%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 7/14/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
6/9/2026-10.3%-2.5%-7.2%
3/10/2026-3.0%6.8%19.9%
12/2/20254.6%0.9%-2.7%
9/30/202518.5%30.3%22.1%
6/10/2025-10.2%-14.5%-8.2%
3/11/2025-4.9%2.6%-8.5%
12/10/202420.0%13.1%10.6%
10/1/202430.6%14.9%23.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive8109
# Negative161415
Median Positive18.3%13.7%12.0%
Median Negative-12.2%-11.8%-11.9%
Max Positive30.6%30.3%23.1%
Max Negative-28.1%-37.3%-35.6%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
6/9/2026-10.3%-2.5%-7.2%
3/10/2026-3.0%6.8%19.9%
12/2/20254.6%0.9%-2.7%
9/30/202518.5%30.3%22.1%
6/10/2025-10.2%-14.5%-8.2%
3/11/2025-4.9%2.6%-8.5%
12/10/202420.0%13.1%10.6%
10/1/202430.6%14.9%23.1%
6/5/202410.4%16.6%2.2%
3/6/2024-18.4%-22.3%-29.5%
12/6/2023-6.9%-6.7%-6.0%
9/26/2023-27.4%-30.4%-21.3%
6/7/2023-14.9%-21.5%-28.8%
3/8/2023-28.1%-37.3%-35.6%
12/7/2022-14.8%-11.5%-13.9%
9/27/2022-2.9%-6.6%7.2%
6/7/2022-3.2%-10.4%-12.3%
3/9/2022-5.6%-6.7%2.7%
12/8/202113.2%3.1%-3.7%
9/28/202123.7%23.5%12.0%
6/9/2021-15.7%-7.0%-11.9%
3/10/202118.2%14.3%15.4%
12/9/2020-14.3%-19.6%-11.8%
9/28/2020-14.2%-12.0%-16.6%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive8109
# Negative161415
Median Positive18.3%13.7%12.0%
Median Negative-12.2%-11.8%-11.9%
Max Positive30.6%30.3%23.1%
Max Negative-28.1%-37.3%-35.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
04/30/202606/09/202610-Q
01/31/202603/10/202610-Q
10/31/202512/02/202510-Q
07/31/202510/01/202510-K
04/30/202506/10/202510-Q
01/31/202503/11/202510-Q
10/31/202412/10/202410-Q
07/31/202410/01/202410-K
04/30/202406/05/202410-Q
01/31/202403/06/202410-Q
10/31/202312/06/202310-Q
07/31/202309/26/202310-K
04/30/202306/07/202310-Q
01/31/202303/08/202310-Q
10/31/202212/07/202210-Q
07/31/202209/27/202210-K
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
04/30/202606/09/202610-Q
01/31/202603/10/202610-Q
10/31/202512/02/202510-Q
07/31/202510/01/202510-K
04/30/202506/10/202510-Q
01/31/202503/11/202510-Q
10/31/202412/10/202410-Q
07/31/202410/01/202410-K
04/30/202406/05/202410-Q
01/31/202403/06/202410-Q
10/31/202312/06/202310-Q
07/31/202309/26/202310-K
04/30/202306/07/202310-Q
01/31/202303/08/202310-Q
10/31/202212/07/202210-Q
07/31/202209/27/202210-K
04/30/202206/07/202210-Q
01/31/202203/09/202210-Q
10/31/202112/08/202110-Q
07/31/202109/28/202110-K
04/30/202106/09/202110-Q
01/31/202103/10/202110-Q
10/31/202012/09/202010-Q
07/31/202009/29/202010-K
04/30/202006/10/202010-Q
01/31/202003/11/202010-Q
10/31/201912/11/201910-Q
07/31/201910/01/201910-K

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/27/2026

Latest: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 6/9/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Net sales31.10 Bil31.20 Bil31.30 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 31.20 Bil for 2026
2026 Net income55.00 Mil62.50 Mil70.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 62.50 Mil for 2026
2026 EPS0.911.10 AffirmedGuidance: 1 for 2026
2026 Adjusted EPS2.42.52.60 AffirmedGuidance: 2.5 for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDA685.00 Mil695.00 Mil705.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 695.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Capital and cloud implementation expenditures 250.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 250.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Free cash flow 330.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 330.00 Mil for 2026

Prior: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 3/10/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Net sales31.00 Bil31.20 Bil31.40 Bil-1.9% LoweredGuidance: 31.80 Bil for 2026
2026 Net income50.00 Mil62.50 Mil75.00 Mil150.0% RaisedGuidance: 25.00 Mil for 2026
2026 EPS0.811.2150.0% RaisedGuidance: 0.4 for 2026
2026 Adjusted EPS2.32.52.731.6% RaisedGuidance: 1.9 for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDA680.00 Mil695.00 Mil710.00 Mil4.5% RaisedGuidance: 665.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Capital and cloud implementation expenditures 250.00 Mil 0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 250.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Free cash flow 330.00 Mil 10.0% RaisedGuidance: 300.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Net leverage ratio 2.3    

Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 12/2/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Net sales31.60 Bil31.80 Bil32.00 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 31.80 Bil for 2026
2026 Net income025.00 Mil50.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 25.00 Mil for 2026
2026 EPS00.40.80 AffirmedGuidance: 0.4 for 2026
2026 Adjusted EPS1.51.92.30 AffirmedGuidance: 1.9 for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDA630.00 Mil665.00 Mil700.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 665.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Capital and cloud implementation expenditures 250.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 250.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Free cash flow 300.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 300.00 Mil for 2026

Insider Activity

Updated 6/30/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Bushway, MarkPresident, Natural & CSCODirectSell625202651.5610,000515,6002,635,696Form
2Benedict, DanielleChief Human Resources OfficerDirectSell508202652.004,807249,9645,120,440Form
3Pappas, James C By: Managed Accounts of JCP Investment Management, LLCBuy106202633.302,00066,6006,466,127Form
4Pappas, James C By: Managed Accounts of JCP Investment Management, LLCBuy106202633.7615,000506,4006,487,929Form
5Martin, Louis AnthonyPresident, Conventional & CCODirectSell1223202534.679,439327,2502,816,383Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Bushway, MarkPresident, Natural & CSCODirectSell625202651.5610,000515,6002,635,696Form
2Benedict, DanielleChief Human Resources OfficerDirectSell508202652.004,807249,9645,120,440Form
3Pappas, James C By: Managed Accounts of JCP Investment Management, LLCBuy106202633.302,00066,6006,466,127Form
4Pappas, James C By: Managed Accounts of JCP Investment Management, LLCBuy106202633.7615,000506,4006,487,929Form
5Martin, Louis AnthonyPresident, Conventional & CCODirectSell1223202534.679,439327,2502,816,383Form
6Esper, Richard EricChief Accounting OfficerDirectSell1222202533.084,261140,9541,236,167Form
7Benedict, DanielleChief Human Resources OfficerDirectSell1001202535.3111,655411,4853,161,391Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Aug 2, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Valueworks LLC$13.8 Mil3.8%35TRIM -20.0%13F
Senvest Management, LLC$55.7 Mil1.9%49TRIM -40.5%13F
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
Ophir Asset Management Pty Ltd$17.9 Mil2.0%32ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Senvest Management, LLC$55.7 Mil1.9%49TRIM -40.5%Mar 31, 202613F
Valueworks LLC$13.8 Mil3.8%35TRIM -20.0%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Senvest Management, LLC$55.7 Mil1.9%49TRIM -40.5%13F
Valueworks LLC$13.8 Mil3.8%35TRIM -20.0%13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/1/2026