Tearsheet

JM Smucker (SJM)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $100.35 | Market Cap: $10.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

JM Smucker (SJM)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $100.35
Market Cap: $10.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SJM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The J.M. Smucker Co. (SJM) experienced an approximate 8.3% decline in its stock price between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, influenced by several key factors.

1. Weak First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Earnings and Outlook: On August 27, 2025, J.M. Smucker reported a 1% year-over-year decrease in net sales and a 22% decline in adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for its first fiscal quarter ended July 31, 2025. The company also reported negative cash flow from operating activities and free cash flow. While net sales guidance for the full fiscal year 2026 was raised, the adjusted EPS guidance remained unchanged due to anticipated higher costs from U.S. tariffs, which negatively impacted the stock by 4% on the day of the announcement.

2. Mixed Second Quarter Fiscal 2026 Results and Tightened Guidance: Announced on November 25, 2025, the second quarter fiscal 2026 results, while showing a return to profitability and a 2.6% revenue increase that exceeded forecasts, presented a mixed picture. Non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of $2.10 fell slightly below analyst consensus estimates of $2.12, attributed partly to higher interest expenses and tax rates. Following this, the company tightened its full-year 2026 GAAP and adjusted EPS guidance, with the new outlook for GAAP EPS remaining below the Street's consensus estimate.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SJM Return15%21%21%-18%-10%-5%19%
Peers Return16%4%-6%-11%-15%-28%-38%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SJM Win Rate50%67%75%33%42%40% 
Peers Win Rate42%38%35%31%33%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SJM Max Drawdown-7%-4%-9%-30%-13%-13% 
Peers Max Drawdown-15%-9%-21%-20%-17%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CPB, HAIN, BRBF, MEHA, MDLZ. See SJM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSJMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-33.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven50.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-19.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven24.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven24 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-34.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven52.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1110 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-46.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven86.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven503 days1480 days

Compare to CPB, HAIN, BRBF, MEHA, MDLZ


In The Past

JM Smucker's stock fell -33.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/6/2023. A -33.5% loss requires a 50.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About JM Smucker (SJM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SJM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%
SJM_6302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302025SJMJM SmuckerDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.9%4.9%0.0%
SJM_12312018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield12312018SJMJM SmuckerDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
26.5%14.9%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%
SJM_6302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302025SJMJM SmuckerDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.9%4.9%0.0%
SJM_12312018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield12312018SJMJM SmuckerDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
26.5%14.9%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for JM Smucker

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SJMCPBHAINBRBFMEHAMDLZMedian
NameJM Smuck.Campbell.Hain Cel.BRB FoodsFunction.Mondelez. 
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Growth & Margins

SJMCPBHAINBRBFMEHAMDLZMedian
NameJM Smuck.Campbell.Hain Cel.BRB FoodsFunction.Mondelez. 
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Valuation

SJMCPBHAINBRBFMEHAMDLZMedian
NameJM Smuck.Campbell.Hain Cel.BRB FoodsFunction.Mondelez. 
Mkt Cap-------
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P/EBIT-------
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Returns

SJMCPBHAINBRBFMEHAMDLZMedian
NameJM Smuck.Campbell.Hain Cel.BRB FoodsFunction.Mondelez. 
1M Rtn-------
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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
U.S. Retail Coffee2,7042,7352,4972,3752,150
U.S. Retail Pet Foods1,8233,0382,7642,8442,870
U.S. Retail Frozen Handheld and Spreads1,8161,6311,7071,8361,732
International and Away From Home1,1991,1251,0309481,050
Sweet Baked Snacks63700  
Total8,1798,5297,9998,0037,801


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
U.S. Retail Coffee759738737769691
U.S. Retail Frozen Handheld and Spreads434353424472390
U.S. Retail Pet Foods402495396487553
International and Away From Home208143142124173
Sweet Baked Snacks13800  
Change in net cumulative unallocated derivative gains and losses7-21-239420
Cost of products sold - special project costs-3-6-20-30
Gain (loss) on divestitures - net-13-1,01810250
Other special project costs-130-5-8-21-16
Amortization-191-207-224-233-236
Corporate administrative expenses-306-313-259-324-298
Other intangible assets impairment charges  -150-4-52
Total1,3061571,0241,3871,223


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Sweet Baked Snacks6,26700  
U.S. Retail Coffee4,8264,8094,8924,7944,787
U.S. Retail Pet Foods4,7844,9947,1677,4817,731
U.S. Retail Frozen Handheld and Spreads3,2572,9732,6922,5532,873
International and Away From Home9909789741,0141,048
Unallocated1501,237330442530
Total20,27414,99116,05516,28416,970


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,090,548
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120257.1%
Average Daily Volume1,542,960
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.60
Basic Shares Quantity106,600,000
Short % of Basic Shares6.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025827202510-Q 7/31/2025
4302025618202510-K 4/30/2025
1312025227202510-Q 1/31/2025
103120241126202410-Q 10/31/2024
7312024828202410-Q 7/31/2024
4302024618202410-K 4/30/2024
1312024227202410-Q 1/31/2024
103120231205202310-Q 10/31/2023
7312023829202310-Q 7/31/2023
4302023620202310-K 4/30/2023
1312023228202310-Q 1/31/2023
103120221121202210-Q 10/31/2022
7312022823202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022616202210-K 4/30/2022
1312022301202210-Q 1/31/2022
103120211123202110-Q 10/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0SMUCKER MARK TCEO, Chair of Board9252025Sell110.006,500715,0008,447,120Form
1AMIN TARANG 6122025Buy96.091,050100,894367,544Form
2Penrose Jill RChief People Officer3312025Sell116.265,117594,9021,022,390Form
3Knudsen Jeannette LChief Legal Officer3242025Sell110.552,700298,4851,617,015Form
4Marshall Tucker HChief Financial Officer3142025Sell113.365,028569,9741,503,475Form

Industry Resources

Packaged Foods & Meats Resources
USDA Data