Vita Coco (COCO)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $53.81 | Market Cap: $3.1 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages
Vita Coco (COCO)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $53.81Market Cap: $3.1 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.6%, Dist 3Y High is -1.6% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 33x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 42x |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 44% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 44% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.6%, Dist 3Y High is -1.6% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 33x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 42x |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
COCO Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Vita Coco (COCO) stock has demonstrated significant movement in the period leading up to December 5, 2025. Over the past year, the stock experienced a notable increase of 53.07%, and an even more substantial 54.68% gain over the past six months, reaching an all-time high of $54.42 on December 2, 2025. This performance outpaces the requested 50.5% movement. Several key factors contributed to this upward trend:
1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Raised Full-Year Guidance: The Vita Coco Company reported strong third-quarter 2025 financial results, exceeding analyst expectations for both revenue and earnings per share. Net sales increased by 37% to $182 million, driven by robust growth in Vita Coco Coconut Water volumes and the U.S. rollout of Vita Coco Treats. Following this performance, the company raised its full-year 2025 guidance for net sales to $580-$595 million and Adjusted EBITDA to $90-$95 million, signaling confidence in sustained momentum.
2. Favorable Tariff Relief: President Trump's administration removed the 40% ad valorem tariff on coconut water imported from Brazil, effective November 20, 2025, with other tariff eliminations taking effect on November 13, 2025. This significant tariff relief prompted multiple financial institutions, including Piper Sandler, Jefferies, and BofA Securities, to raise their price targets for Vita Coco and, in some cases, upgrade the stock's rating. The company had also successfully minimized the impact of U.S. tariffs by shifting its supply chain across seven countries.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| COCO Return | - | - | 24% | 86% | 44% | 46% | 382% |
| Peers Return | 107% | -1% | 11% | -7% | 8% | 1% | 130% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| COCO Win Rate | - | 0% | 58% | 67% | 58% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 50% | 52% | 54% | 50% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| COCO Max Drawdown | - | - | -32% | -7% | -24% | -27% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -29% | -22% | -19% | -25% | -10% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: KO, STKL, BYLT, PEP, MNST.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | COCO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -57.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 132.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 360 days | 464 days |
Compare to KO, STKL, BYLT, PEP, MNST
In The Past
Vita Coco's stock fell -57.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/15/2021. A -57.0% loss requires a 132.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to COCO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.8% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.1% | -2.1% | -2.1% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.2% | 7.2% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.4% | 1.4% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.8% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.1% | -2.1% | -2.1% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.2% | 7.2% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.4% | 1.4% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Vita Coco
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 70.45 |
| Mkt Cap | 71.5 |
| Rev LTM | 4,369 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,167 |
| FCF LTM | 999 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,642 |
| CFO LTM | 1,124 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,888 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 13.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 12.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 71.5 |
| P/S | 4.0 |
| P/EBIT | 28.5 |
| P/E | 26.6 |
| P/CFO | 30.1 |
| Total Yield | 2.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.9% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.3% |
| 3M Rtn | 4.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 13.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 16.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 21.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -0.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -2.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 0.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -49.0% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10292025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2262025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3142023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8112022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5132022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3142022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Liran Ira | 11252025 | Sell | 50.29 | 25,381 | 1,276,512 | 25,063,562 | Form | |
| 1 | Sadowsky Kenneth | 11202025 | Sell | 47.12 | 3,900 | 183,748 | 29,025,950 | Form | |
| 2 | Liran Ira | 11192025 | Sell | 50.10 | 14,619 | 732,441 | 26,239,520 | Form | |
| 3 | Kirban Michael | Executive Chairman | 11172025 | Sell | 44.00 | 5,102 | 224,488 | 65,078,156 | Form |
External Quote Links
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| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
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