Vita Coco (COCO)
Market Price (5/23/2026): $75.87 | Market Cap: $4.3 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages
Vita Coco (COCO)
Market Price (5/23/2026): $75.87Market Cap: $4.3 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.0%, Dist 3Y High is -4.0% Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 6.6x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 45x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 60x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 52x Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 110% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.2% Key risksCOCO key risks include [1] its heavy revenue dependence on coconut water products and [2] supply chain vulnerabilities and cost pressures tied to global coconut sourcing and specific import tariffs. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.0%, Dist 3Y High is -4.0% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 6.6x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 45x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 60x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 52x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 110% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.2% |
| Key risksCOCO key risks include [1] its heavy revenue dependence on coconut water products and [2] supply chain vulnerabilities and cost pressures tied to global coconut sourcing and specific import tariffs. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Exceptional First Quarter 2026 Financial Results and Upgraded Full-Year Guidance. The Vita Coco Company reported net sales of $180 million in Q1 2026, marking a 37% year-over-year increase and significantly exceeding analyst estimates of approximately $147 million to $150 million. Earnings per share (EPS) of $0.50 also substantially surpassed analyst expectations of $0.32 to $0.34, representing a surprise of 47% to 56%. Following this strong performance, the company raised its full-year 2026 net sales guidance to a range of $720 million to $735 million and adjusted EBITDA to $132 million to $138 million. This news alone drove the stock up nearly 28% in pre-market trading.
2. Robust Growth and Market Leadership in the Coconut Water Category. The coconut water market continues to demonstrate strong momentum, outpacing other major U.S. beverage segments with 31.3% dollar growth in the 13 weeks ending March 29, 2026. Vita Coco, as a category leader, experienced a 42% growth in its branded coconut water net sales during Q1 2026, contributing to an expected 20% U.S. coconut water category growth for the full year. The company's strategic investments are driving increased household penetration and new consumption occasions, reinforcing its market share growth.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 42.5% change in COCO stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 19.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 53.35 | 76.04 | 42.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 609 | 659 | 8.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 11.4% | 12.6% | 10.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 43.9 | 52.4 | 19.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 57 | 57 | -0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 42.5% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| COCO | 42.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.1% | 19.3% |
| Sector (XLP) | 2.1% | 7.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 84.7% change in COCO stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 54.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 41.18 | 76.04 | 84.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 609 | 659 | 8.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 11.4% | 12.6% | 10.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 33.8 | 52.4 | 54.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 57 | 57 | -0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 84.7% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| COCO | 84.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.9% | 20.5% |
| Sector (XLP) | 12.7% | 3.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 130.1% change in COCO stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 68.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 33.05 | 76.04 | 130.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 535 | 659 | 23.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 11.3% | 12.6% | 11.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 31.1 | 52.4 | 68.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 57 | 57 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 130.1% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| COCO | 130.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 36.0% | 15.3% |
| Sector (XLP) | 6.5% | 9.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 251.2% change in COCO stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 589.2% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5222026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 21.65 | 76.04 | 251.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 428 | 659 | 54.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.8% | 12.6% | 589.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 155.0 | 52.4 | -66.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 56 | 57 | -2.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 251.2% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| COCO | 251.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 86.3% | 24.7% |
| Sector (XLP) | 18.8% | 12.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| COCO Return | -17% | 24% | 86% | 44% | 44% | 49% | 483% |
| Peers Return | 21% | 11% | 14% | -15% | 16% | -0% | 49% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| COCO Win Rate | 0% | 58% | 67% | 58% | 58% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 48% | 50% | 40% | 53% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| COCO Max Drawdown | - | -48% | -27% | -25% | -33% | -23% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -27% | -26% | -22% | -30% | -27% | -22% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CELH, MNST, KDP, FIZZ, PEP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/22/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | COCO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -32.0% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.0% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 165 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -21.4% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.3% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 92 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -10.0% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 11.2% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -35.0% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 53.8% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 73 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Vita Coco's stock fell -32.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 47.0% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | COCO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -32.0% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.0% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 165 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -21.4% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.3% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 92 days | 18 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -35.0% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 53.8% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 73 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Vita Coco's stock fell -32.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 47.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Vita Coco (COCO)
AI Analysis | Feedback
It's like a mini PepsiCo focused on healthy and functional beverages, best known for its Vita Coco coconut water.
Think of it as a Monster Beverage, but specializing in 'better-for-you' and functional drinks rather than just energy, with coconut water as its cornerstone.
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```html- Coconut Water: The company's flagship product, a natural beverage derived from coconuts, sold under the Vita Coco brand.
- Coconut Oil: An oil extracted from the meat of mature coconts, used in cooking, baking, and beauty products.
- Coconut Milk: A dairy-free alternative to milk made from the grated flesh of mature coconuts.
- Hydration Drink Mix: A powdered, flavored form of coconut water designed for rehydration.
- Sparkling Water: Carbonated water products offered by the company.
- Runa: A brand of plant-based energy drinks.
- Ever & Ever: A brand of purified water.
- PWR LIFT: A protein-infused fitness drink.
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Major Customers of The Vita Coco Company, Inc. (COCO)
The Vita Coco Company, Inc. primarily sells its products to other companies, specifically retailers and distributors, which then distribute the products to individual consumers.
Based on their financial filings, the following are Vita Coco's major customers:
- Costco Wholesale Corporation (Symbol: COST)
- Walmart Inc. (Symbol: WMT)
- Target Corporation (Symbol: TGT)
- Amazon.com, Inc. (Symbol: AMZN)
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Michael Kirban, Co-founder, Executive Chairman of the Board of Directors
Michael Kirban co-founded Vita Coco in 2004. He previously served as the CEO of Vita Coco before assuming the role of Executive Chairman in May 2022. Prior to establishing Vita Coco, he started a computer software business at the age of 19, which he continued to maintain. Kirban also oversees the Runa and Ever & Ever brands. While no specific information details him selling companies to an acquirer or a pattern of managing private equity-backed firms, The Vita Coco Company itself was a formerly private equity-backed entity that completed its Initial Public Offering (IPO) in 2021.
Martin Roper, Chief Executive Officer, Director
Martin Roper was appointed Chief Executive Officer of The Vita Coco Company in May 2022. He previously served as Co-Chief Executive Officer from January 2021 to May 2022, and as President from September 2019 to December 2020. Before joining Vita Coco, Roper was the Chief Executive Officer of The Boston Beer Company, Inc. from 2001 to 2018, where he was instrumental in quadrupling the company's revenue, diversifying its brand portfolio, and expanding international partnerships and acquisitions. He has served on the boards of directors for LL Flooring Holdings, Inc. (formerly Lumber Liquidators Inc.) and Financial Information Technologies, LLC (Fintech), a private company.
Corey Baker, Chief Financial Officer
Corey Baker serves as the Chief Financial Officer for The Vita Coco Company, responsible for managing the company's financial strategy and reporting.
Jane Prior, Chief Marketing Officer
Jane Prior has served as Vita Coco's Chief Marketing Officer since April 2019. She has held various marketing positions at Vita Coco since 2009, including Vice President, US Marketing, and Executive Vice President, Global Brand Strategy & Development. Before her tenure at Vita Coco, Prior was the Director of Marketing for the New York Red Bulls.
Jonathan Burth, Chief Operating Officer
Jonathan Burth is the Chief Operating Officer of The Vita Coco Company.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The Vita Coco Company, Inc. (COCO) faces several key risks to its business, primarily stemming from its concentrated product portfolio, vulnerabilities in its global supply chain, and intense competition within the beverage industry.
1. Heavy Reliance on Coconut Water
A significant risk for Vita Coco is its substantial dependence on coconut water products, which have historically accounted for a vast majority of its revenue (approximately 96% in 2025 and 2024). This high concentration exposes the company to considerable vulnerability should there be any shift in consumer preferences or market dynamics away from coconut water. Despite attempts at diversification into other beverage categories, many new product lines have reportedly been discontinued or underperformed, further underscoring this core business risk.
2. Supply Chain Vulnerabilities and Cost Volatility
Vita Coco operates with an asset-light, global supply chain that relies on third-party partners for sourcing coconuts, manufacturing, and logistics. This model exposes the company to risks such as disruptions in the supply chain, volatility in the availability and pricing of raw materials (particularly coconuts, which can be affected by weather conditions and geopolitical events), increased freight costs, and the impact of tariffs. Tariffs, especially those from key sourcing countries like Brazil and the Philippines, have led to significant pressure on gross margins. Furthermore, a degree of supplier concentration exists, with three suppliers reportedly accounting for 40% of the company's total purchases.
3. Intense Market Competition
The beverage industry in which Vita Coco operates is highly competitive. The company faces significant challenges from well-established multinational corporations, such as PepsiCo and Coca-Cola, as well as from emerging brands and private label products. These competitors often possess greater financial resources and stronger brand recognition, which can lead to aggressive pricing strategies, increased marketing expenditures, and potential erosion of Vita Coco's market share and profit margins. The private label segment, while strategically important for Vita Coco, is inherently less profitable and more susceptible to pricing pressures dictated by retailers.
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The Vita Coco Company, Inc. (COCO) participates in several addressable markets for its diverse product portfolio. Here are the identified addressable market sizes for Vita Coco's main products: * **Coconut Water** * **Global:** The global coconut water market was valued at approximately USD 5.14 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach around USD 19.32 billion by 2033, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 18.2% from 2026 to 2033. Other estimates place the global market at USD 5.5 billion in 2025, expanding to USD 14.0 billion by 2034 with a CAGR of 10.35% from 2026-2034. Another report valued the global market at USD 5.92 billion in 2023, expecting it to reach USD 22.45 billion by 2033 at a CAGR of 14.26%. * **U.S.:** The U.S. coconut water market was valued at USD 1.89 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 5.12 billion by 2029, with a CAGR of 18.10%. Another source indicates the U.S. coconut water market generated a revenue of USD 1,049.5 million in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 3,803.0 million by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 17.7% from 2026 to 2033. The U.S. packaged coconut water market was estimated at USD 509.25 million in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 1080.0 million by 2035. * **Coconut Oil** * **Global:** The global coconut oil market size was valued at USD 6.93 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 12.43 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 6.71% during the forecast period from 2026 to 2034. Another estimate states the global coconut oil market size was valued at USD 4.91 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 7.03 billion by 2032, at a CAGR of 4.60%. * **U.S.:** The U.S. coconut oil market consumption surged to 468K tons in 2024 with a market value of USD 698 million, and is forecast to grow to 542K tons and USD 904 million by 2035. The North American virgin coconut oil market was valued at USD 474.4 million in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 743.5 million by 2032. * **Coconut Milk** * **Global:** The global coconut milk market was valued at USD 3.98 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 11.68 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 14.4% from 2025 to 2032. Another report states the global coconut milk market size was USD 1.92 billion in 2024 and is poised to grow from USD 2.26 billion in 2025 to USD 8.09 billion by 2033. * **Sparkling Water** * **Global:** The global sparkling water market size was valued at USD 47.75 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 136.58 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 12.40%. Other data indicates the global market size was USD 40.81 billion in 2024 and is poised to grow to USD 150.45 billion by 2033. * **U.S.:** The sparkling water market size in the U.S. is projected to reach an estimated value of USD 24.87 billion by 2032. * **Runa (Plant-based energy drink)** * **Global:** The global plant-based energy drink market was valued at USD 1.72 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 3.06 billion by 2032, at a CAGR of 7.40%. Another source indicates the global market, valued at USD 1.61 billion in 2023, is projected to reach USD 3.06 billion by 2032. * **North America:** North America dominated the plant-based energy drink market with the largest revenue share of 38.5% in 2024. The market in North America has a valuation of USD 2.3 billion. * **Ever & Ever (Purified Water)** * **Global:** The global purified water market was valued at USD 154.62 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 255.90 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 6.50%. Within the global bottled water market, purified water dominated in 2025, holding the largest share of 50.03% of the USD 323.07 billion market. * **U.S.:** Purified water accounted for a revenue share of 40.4% in 2024 in the U.S. bottled water market, which was estimated at USD 47.42 billion in 2024. * **Hydration Drink Mix (powdered form of flavored coconut water)**: Null * **PWR LIFT (protein-infused fitness drink)**: NullAI Analysis | Feedback
The Vita Coco Company (COCO) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and market trends:
- Continued Growth of Vita Coco Coconut Water: The flagship Vita Coco Coconut Water product remains the primary revenue driver for the company, consistently showing strong volume growth and market share gains in both the United States and international markets. This sustained demand for its core offering is anticipated to continue fueling consolidated net sales.
- International Market Expansion, particularly in Europe: The company foresees significant revenue growth from its international segment, especially in European markets like the UK and Germany, where per capita coconut water consumption is still considerably lower than in the U.S. This expansion into underpenetrated regions is a strategic focus for future growth.
- Expanded Distribution and Enhanced Retail Execution: Vita Coco plans to increase revenue by improving its distribution network and optimizing retail execution. This includes initiatives such as gaining broader shelf space in existing and new retail channels (e.g., the reported Walmart shelving reset), expanding into untapped store chains, and implementing strategic multi-pack and promotional strategies to boost consumer takeaway.
- Growth from Recently Launched and Emerging Products: Newer product offerings and strategic product initiatives are expected to contribute to revenue growth. Examples include the strong performance and market share gains of Vita Coco Juice, the planned expansion of the protein-infused fitness drink PWR LIFT (e.g., in the New York area), and the emphasis on products like Vita Coco Farmers Organic.
- Rebound and Growth in Private Label Coconut Water: While facing some shifts in its private label coconut oil business, Vita Coco anticipates a return to growth in its private label coconut water segment. This segment is expected to contribute to overall net sales as the company regains geographic regions at various retailers and launches new programs.
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Share Repurchases
- In October 2023, Vita Coco's Board of Directors authorized a share repurchase program of up to $40 million of the company's common stock.
- An additional $25 million was approved for the repurchase program in April 2025, increasing the total authorized limit to $65 million.
- As of December 31, 2025, the company had repurchased shares totaling $11.3 million during the year, with approximately $40.9 million remaining on the authorized limit of the program.
Share Issuance
- The Vita Coco Company completed its Initial Public Offering (IPO) in October 2021, pricing 11,500,000 shares of common stock at $15.00 per share.
- Out of the total IPO shares, the company itself sold 2,500,000 shares, while selling stockholders offered 9,000,000 shares.
Outbound Investments
- As of February 2026, Vita Coco had not made any investments or acquisitions.
- However, as of March 2026, management indicated they are actively exploring beverage and warm beverage acquisitions to complement organic growth, following a seven-year period without such deals.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, amounted to -$8.1 million.
- In the most recent 12 months (likely ending late 2025/early 2026), capital expenditures were -$8.15 million.
- The company's capital expenditures as a percentage of sales (CapEx %) reached its highest over the past five years at 1.34% as of December 31, 2025.
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 55.66 |
| Mkt Cap | 23.7 |
| Rev LTM | 5,881 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,570 |
| FCF LTM | 934 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 818 |
| CFO LTM | 1,196 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,100 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 13.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 18.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.0% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 20.5% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 13.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 19.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 17.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 13.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 9.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 23.7 |
| P/S | 2.7 |
| P/Op Inc | 14.2 |
| P/EBIT | 23.3 |
| P/E | 32.7 |
| P/CFO | 21.3 |
| Total Yield | 4.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.5% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 8.1% |
| 3M Rtn | -2.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 5.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 5.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | -5.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -2.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -12.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -4.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -22.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -86.9% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $76.04 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 4.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/21/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -4.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $58.74 | $49.91 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 29.4% | 52.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 75.2% | 52.3% |
| Downside Capture | -78.29 | -5.70 |
| Upside Capture | 71.39 | 83.32 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 23.0% | 17.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.72 | 1.32 | 1.11 | 1.04 | 0.64 | 0.80 |
| Up Beta | 0.54 | 1.39 | 1.65 | 1.33 | 0.26 | 0.78 |
| Down Beta | 4.55 | 3.67 | 3.00 | 1.80 | 1.28 | 0.90 |
| Up Capture | 44% | 37% | 28% | 79% | 77% | 68% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 19 | 30 | 65 | 134 | 390 |
| Down Capture | -327% | 134% | 61% | 61% | 46% | 88% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 24 | 34 | 60 | 116 | 357 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with COCO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COCO | 100.5% | 52.2% | 1.51 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 6.8% | 12.4% | 0.25 | 8.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 29.5% | 12.0% | 1.86 | 17.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 35.5% | 26.8% | 1.11 | 2.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 42.9% | 18.7% | 1.77 | -6.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 15.2% | 13.1% | 0.82 | 3.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -29.5% | 41.7% | -0.73 | 7.7% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with COCO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COCO | 40.4% | 56.8% | 0.87 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 6.4% | 13.2% | 0.27 | 21.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.0% | 0.64 | 32.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.8% | 18.0% | 0.85 | 5.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.4% | 19.4% | 0.42 | 1.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.8% | 18.8% | 0.10 | 22.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 12.2% | 55.3% | 0.42 | 19.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with COCO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COCO | 18.5% | 56.8% | 0.87 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 7.6% | 14.7% | 0.38 | 21.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.7% | 17.9% | 0.75 | 32.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.0% | 16.0% | 0.67 | 5.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.8% | 17.9% | 0.35 | 1.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.5% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 22.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.2% | 66.9% | 1.06 | 19.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/29/2026 | 29.7% | 31.3% | |
| 2/18/2026 | -11.4% | -2.3% | -1.1% |
| 10/29/2025 | 7.2% | -5.6% | 27.4% |
| 7/30/2025 | 0.0% | -12.2% | -5.8% |
| 2/26/2025 | -11.7% | -12.6% | -17.3% |
| 10/30/2024 | -4.0% | 14.6% | 15.7% |
| 7/31/2024 | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| 2/28/2024 | 14.9% | 13.9% | 5.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 9 | 9 |
| # Negative | 7 | 6 | 5 |
| Median Positive | 6.7% | 14.6% | 19.8% |
| Median Negative | -9.9% | -8.9% | -15.3% |
| Max Positive | 29.7% | 34.1% | 42.4% |
| Max Negative | -17.5% | -16.4% | -30.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/29/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/18/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/29/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/14/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/11/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/18/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 680.00 Mil | 690.00 Mil | 700.00 Mil | 17.4% | Higher New | Guidance: 587.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 122.00 Mil | 125.00 Mil | 128.00 Mil | 35.1% | Higher New | Guidance: 92.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Gross Margin | 38.0% | 5.6% | 2.0% | Higher New | Guidance: 36.0% for 2025 | ||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/29/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Revenue | 580.00 Mil | 587.50 Mil | 595.00 Mil | 2.6% | Raised | Guidance: 572.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Operating Margin | 36.0% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 36.0% for 2025 | ||
| 2025 Adjusted EBITDA | 90.00 Mil | 92.50 Mil | 95.00 Mil | 3.9% | Raised | Guidance: 89.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sadowsky, Kenneth | Direct | Sell | 5212026 | 77.47 | 3,900 | 302,152 | 45,142,048 | Form | |
| 2 | Burth, Jonathan | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 5132026 | 75.00 | 30,000 | 2,250,000 | 4,343,250 | Form |
| 3 | Burth, Jonathan | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 5112026 | 70.00 | 20,000 | 1,400,000 | 4,053,700 | Form |
| 4 | Van, Es Charles | Chief Commercial Officer | Direct | Sell | 5112026 | 70.00 | 8,561 | 599,270 | 4,699,100 | Form |
| 5 | Van, Es Charles | Chief Commercial Officer | Direct | Sell | 5042026 | 66.87 | 2,000 | 133,740 | 5,061,457 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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