Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Online Grocery Platforms, Show more.

Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 29x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 43x

Key risks
CASY key risks include [1] significant margin pressure from its heavy dependence on volatile fuel sales and [2] a long-term structural threat to fuel demand from the consumer shift toward electric vehicles.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Online Grocery Platforms, Show more.
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 29x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 43x
4 Key risks
CASY key risks include [1] significant margin pressure from its heavy dependence on volatile fuel sales and [2] a long-term structural threat to fuel demand from the consumer shift toward electric vehicles.

CASY in ETFs

Weight = CASY's share of each fund

SPY0.05%
VOO0.04%
IVV0.04%
VTI0.04%
ITOT0.04%
IWB0.04%
RSP0.17%
VIG0.13%
+28 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 7/8/2026

Casey's General Stores (CASY) stock has gained about 15% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Exceptional Fiscal Q4 2026 Earnings Beat and Strong Performance.

Casey's General Stores reported diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $4.37 for fiscal Q4 2026 (ended April 30, 2026), significantly surpassing the consensus analyst estimate of $3.31 by $1.06, or 32%. Quarterly revenue also exceeded expectations, reaching $4.57 billion against an estimated $4.33 billion, representing a 14.5% year-over-year increase. This strong financial performance, announced on June 9, 2026, led to an immediate positive stock reaction, including a 20.29% surge on June 10, 2026.

2. Robust Operational Metrics and Margin Expansion.

The company demonstrated strong operational execution, with inside same-store sales increasing by 5.5% in fiscal Q4 2026 and maintaining a robust inside margin of 42.4%. Total inside gross profit rose 10.5% to $643.4 million. The fuel segment also performed well, with same-store gallons up 1.5% and a strong fuel margin of 46.9 cents per gallon, contributing to a 29.1% increase in total fuel gross profit. These figures underscore effective management and profitability across key business segments.

Show more
Updated on 7/8/2026

Casey's General Stores (CASY) stock has gained about 15% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Exceptional Fiscal Q4 2026 Earnings Beat and Strong Performance.

Casey's General Stores reported diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $4.37 for fiscal Q4 2026 (ended April 30, 2026), significantly surpassing the consensus analyst estimate of $3.31 by $1.06, or 32%. Quarterly revenue also exceeded expectations, reaching $4.57 billion against an estimated $4.33 billion, representing a 14.5% year-over-year increase. This strong financial performance, announced on June 9, 2026, led to an immediate positive stock reaction, including a 20.29% surge on June 10, 2026.

2. Robust Operational Metrics and Margin Expansion.

The company demonstrated strong operational execution, with inside same-store sales increasing by 5.5% in fiscal Q4 2026 and maintaining a robust inside margin of 42.4%. Total inside gross profit rose 10.5% to $643.4 million. The fuel segment also performed well, with same-store gallons up 1.5% and a strong fuel margin of 46.9 cents per gallon, contributing to a 29.1% increase in total fuel gross profit. These figures underscore effective management and profitability across key business segments.

3. Strategic Growth Initiatives and Increased Shareholder Returns.

Casey's unveiled a new three-year strategic plan targeting the addition of at least 400 new stores through a mix of new builds and acquisitions, including geographic expansion into Texas and Florida, with at least 120 new stores planned for fiscal 2027. Furthermore, the company expanded its existing share repurchase program by $600 million to a total authorization of $1 billion and increased its quarterly dividend by 14% to $0.65 per share, marking the 27th consecutive annual increase. These actions signal management's confidence in sustained growth and commitment to enhancing shareholder value.

4. Positive Analyst Revisions and Upgraded Price Targets.

Following the strong earnings report and the announcement of strategic growth plans, multiple Wall Street analysts raised their price targets and reaffirmed or upgraded their ratings for CASY. For instance, Wolfe Research increased its price target to $1,069 from $808, maintaining an Outperform rating, and BMO Capital upgraded the stock to Outperform with a $950 price target. The consensus price target for CASY reached $939.29, reflecting a forecasted upside of 17.12% from the current price, contributing to a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating.

5. Notable Insider Selling Activity.

Over the last three months, insider selling activity at Casey's General Stores totaled $6.3 million, outpacing insider purchases of $0.2 million. This aggregate selling activity, including a $5.1 million sale by CEO Darren M. Rebelez across all periods, suggests that some insiders are taking profits, which can be interpreted as a potential signal regarding valuation.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 13.0% change in CASY stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 6.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)33120267092026Change
Stock Price ($)727.36822.0013.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)16,98217,5613.4%
Net Income Margin (%)3.8%4.1%6.3%
P/E Multiple41.442.52.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)37370.2%
Cumulative Contribution13.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 7/9/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CASY13.0% 
Market (SPY)15.6%-13.5%
Sector (XLP)1.5%30.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 49.0% change in CASY stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 25.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120257092026Change
Stock Price ($)551.81822.0049.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)16,97017,5613.5%
Net Income Margin (%)3.6%4.1%13.7%
P/E Multiple33.842.525.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)37370.5%
Cumulative Contribution49.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 7/9/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CASY49.0% 
Market (SPY)10.5%0.2%
Sector (XLP)7.7%32.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 61.7% change in CASY stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 23.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020257092026Change
Stock Price ($)508.32822.0061.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)15,94117,56110.2%
Net Income Margin (%)3.4%4.1%18.7%
P/E Multiple34.542.523.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)37370.5%
Cumulative Contribution61.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 7/9/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CASY61.7% 
Market (SPY)22.7%2.1%
Sector (XLP)4.9%33.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 242.1% change in CASY stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 111.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020237092026Change
Stock Price ($)240.28822.00242.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)15,09417,56116.3%
Net Income Margin (%)3.0%4.1%37.5%
P/E Multiple20.142.5111.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)37370.9%
Cumulative Contribution242.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2023 to 7/9/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CASY242.1% 
Market (SPY)75.6%25.0%
Sector (XLP)20.9%29.4%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
CASY Return11%14%23%45%40%53%387%
Peers Return46%3%22%36%-1%8%166%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%9%99%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CASY Win Rate75%67%67%75%58%86% 
Peers Win Rate65%48%67%57%58%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%43% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CASY Max Drawdown-19%-16%-13%-9%-14%-16% 
Peers Max Drawdown-18%-27%-12%-13%-23%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MUSA, KR, ACI, WMT, COST. See CASY Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/9/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventCASYS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-11.1%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven12.5%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven16 days79 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-12.7%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven14.6%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven20 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-30.7%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven44.3%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven133 days140 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-14.4%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven16.9%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven23 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-10.6%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven11.9%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven69 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-39.3%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven64.8%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven188 days1085 days

Compare to MUSA, KR, ACI, WMT, COST

In The Past

Casey's General Stores's stock fell -11.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 12.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventCASYS&P 500
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-30.7%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven44.3%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven133 days140 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-39.3%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven64.8%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven188 days1085 days

Compare to MUSA, KR, ACI, WMT, COST

In The Past

Casey's General Stores's stock fell -11.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 12.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Casey's General Stores (CASY)

Casey's General Stores, Inc. (CASY) operates a large chain of convenience stores primarily across the United States. Founded in 1959, the company manages approximately 2,400 locations under the Casey's and Casey's General Store names. Its core business model centers on providing a convenient one-stop shop for both motor fuel and an extensive array of everyday essentials, positioning itself as a vital retail presence in the communities it serves.

The company's offerings are diverse, encompassing two primary categories: fuel and in-store merchandise. On the fuel side, Casey's provides self-service gasoline and diesel fuel. Inside the stores, a significant differentiator is its robust freshly prepared food program, featuring popular items like pizza, donuts, and sandwiches. This is complemented by a wide selection of convenience items including tobacco and nicotine products, soft drinks, snacks, candy, packaged bakery goods, health and beauty aids, automotive products, beer, wine, spirits, and lottery tickets, among others. The company also operates a small number of specialized stores, such as Tobacco City and liquor stores.

Casey's primarily serves a broad customer base of everyday consumers and travelers seeking convenience and value in local communities and along major routes throughout the United States. Its primary markets are the regions surrounding its store locations, catering to residents and commuters looking for quick access to fuel, groceries, snacks, and prepared meals. The company's strategy focuses on efficiently meeting daily consumer needs, establishing itself as an essential part of the local retail landscape in its operational areas.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Casey's General Stores:

  • It's like a 7-Eleven that has significantly expanded its fresh food menu to include items like pizza and donuts, alongside fuel and typical convenience store offerings.
  • Think of it as the Midwest's version of a Wawa or Sheetz, combining gas, a wide range of convenience store items, and a strong emphasis on freshly prepared foods.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Freshly Prepared Foods: Offers a selection of items like pizza, donuts, and sandwiches made fresh for customers.
  • Motor Fuel: Provides self-service gasoline and diesel fuel for vehicles.
  • Tobacco & Nicotine Products: Sells a variety of tobacco and nicotine products, including through specialized stores.
  • Beverages: Features a wide selection of soft drinks, coffee, tea, dairy products, and alcoholic beverages like beer, wine, and spirits.
  • Snacks & Packaged Groceries: Includes snacks, candy, packaged bakery items, ice cream, and other convenience grocery products.
  • General Merchandise: Sells a range of non-food items such as health and beauty aids, automotive products, and electronic accessories.
  • Convenience Services: Provides services like lotto/lottery tickets and prepaid cards.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Casey's General Stores (CASY) primarily sells directly to individuals through its network of convenience stores. Its major customer categories include:

  1. Commuters and Travelers: Individuals who stop at Casey's locations for motor fuel, quick snacks, beverages, coffee, and grab-and-go meals while on their daily commutes or longer journeys. This group values speed, convenience, and accessibility.

  2. Local Residents and Households: People living in the communities served by Casey's stores who rely on them for everyday essentials, including groceries (milk, bread, etc.), freshly prepared foods (pizza, donuts, sandwiches), tobacco products, lottery tickets, and other household convenience items. This segment appreciates the proximity and extended operating hours.

  3. On-the-go Consumers: This category encompasses individuals such as workers, students, or anyone seeking quick meals, snacks, coffee, or beverages throughout their day. They often utilize Casey's for its freshly prepared food options and convenient selection of drinks and treats.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Darren Rebelez, Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer and President

Darren Rebelez was appointed CEO in June 2019. Prior to joining Casey's, he served as President of IHOP Restaurants and as Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer at 7-Eleven. He also held various leadership roles at ExxonMobil Corporation, Thornton Oil Corp, and KFC (when it was owned by PepsiCo). Rebelez is a graduate of the U.S. Military Academy at West Point, a Gulf War veteran (Army Ranger), and holds an MBA from the University of Houston. He serves on the board of directors of Genuine Parts Company and as an advisory board member for the Children of Fallen Patriots Foundation.

Stephen P. Bramlage, Jr., Chief Financial Officer and Principal Accounting Officer

Stephen P. Bramlage, Jr. was appointed CFO in 2020. His previous roles include EVP & CFO at Aramark and SVP & CFO at Owens-Illinois. He also held various financial positions at PPG Industries, Eli-Lilly, and EY. Bramlage holds an MBA from Northwestern University and a Bachelor of Science from the University of Dayton. He also serves on the board of directors for Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc.

Ena Williams, Chief Operations Officer

Ena Williams serves as the Chief Operations Officer of Casey's General Stores.

Thomas P Brennan, Chief Merchandising Officer

Thomas P Brennan is the Chief Merchandising Officer at Casey's General Stores.

Chad Michael Frazell, Chief Human Resources Officer

Chad Michael Frazell holds the position of Chief Human Resources Officer at Casey's General Stores.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Key Risks to Casey's General Stores (CASY)

  1. Dependence on Fuel Sales and the Transition to Electric Vehicles: Casey's General Stores' financial performance is significantly influenced by its fuel sales, which are subject to volatile market prices and fluctuating consumer demand. The company's reliance on fuel sales poses a risk due to external factors such as changes in oil prices and the long-term structural threat of consumers shifting towards more fuel-efficient or electric vehicles (EVs). This dependence could impact the company's overall financial stability in the face of evolving industry trends.
  2. Intense Industry Competition: The convenience store industry is highly competitive, with Casey's facing competition from national chains, supermarkets, drugstores, discount stores, and non-traditional retailers. This competitive landscape impacts Casey's revenue and profitability, as various players vie for market share. Maintaining market position requires continuous innovation and adaptation regarding price, location, product offerings, and service quality.
  3. Operational, Legal, and Security Risks: As a company with a vast network of stores and internal operations, Casey's faces inherent operational risks, including those associated with managing a large workforce. The company is also exposed to legal challenges, such as ongoing lawsuits related to the misclassification of Store Managers, which could result in financial liabilities and reputational damage. Furthermore, convenience stores and gas stations, like those operated by Casey's, are susceptible to significant security risks, including robberies, thefts, antisocial behavior, and potential gun violence, which can endanger employees and customers and lead to losses.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The accelerated transition to Electric Vehicles (EVs) poses a clear long-term threat to Casey's significant motor fuel sales, which are a primary driver of store traffic and impulse purchases inside the store. As EV adoption grows, demand for traditional gasoline and diesel will decline, potentially eroding a core revenue stream and altering store visit patterns.

The rapid expansion and adoption of e-commerce, particularly for grocery and meal delivery services, presents another clear emerging threat. These services increasingly offer consumers the convenience of having goods delivered directly to their homes, reducing the need for impromptu stops at convenience stores for packaged goods, snacks, beverages, and even freshly prepared meals. Services like Instacart, DoorDash, Uber Eats, and grocery store delivery compete directly with Casey's convenience proposition across multiple product categories.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Casey's General Stores operates within several large addressable markets across the United States for its main products and services.

The overall **U.S. convenience store industry** recorded total sales of $837.4 billion in 2024, which includes both fuel and in-store items. Within this, **in-store sales** (excluding fuel) for U.S. convenience stores reached $335.5 billion in 2024.

For specific product categories:

  • Motor Fuel: Fuel sales at U.S. convenience stores amounted to $501.9 billion in 2024. Convenience stores sell an estimated 80% of the fuel purchased in the U.S.
  • Foodservice (including freshly prepared foods like pizza, donuts, and sandwiches): The U.S. convenience store foodservice market is projected to reach $78.1 billion in 2026. In 2024, foodservice accounted for 27.7% of in-store sales at convenience stores.
  • Tobacco and Nicotine Products: The U.S. tobacco market was valued at approximately $85.93 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to $88.85 billion in 2025.
  • Packaged Beverages (excluding beer, wine, and liquor): Sales of packaged beverages in U.S. convenience stores constituted 17.9% of in-store sales in 2024, which translates to approximately $60.03 billion (based on $335.5 billion in-store sales).
  • Convenience Food (including snacks, packaged bakery, and other food items): The U.S. convenience food market was valued at $186.40 billion in 2025.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Casey's General Stores (CASY) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives:

  1. Strategic Store Expansion: The company is pursuing an aggressive expansion strategy, aiming to add approximately 500 new locations by the end of fiscal year 2026. This growth will be achieved through a combination of strategic mergers and acquisitions, such as the acquisition of 198 CEFCO convenience stores in November 2024, and organic development, with plans to open at least 80 new stores in fiscal year 2026. These expansions particularly bolster Casey's presence in southern markets like Texas, Alabama, Florida, and Mississippi.
  2. Growth in Prepared Foods and Dispensed Beverages: A significant driver of revenue and profitability is Casey's high-margin prepared food business. The company, recognized as the fifth-largest pizza chain in the U.S., saw its prepared food and dispensed beverages contribute 58% of inside-store gross profit in the first quarter of fiscal year 2025. Ongoing product innovation, including new menu items like thin crust pizza and an expanded lunch sandwich menu, along with the rollout of wings to over 550 stores, is expected to continue boosting sales in this category. Prepared food and dispensed beverage same-store sales increased by 4.3% in Q3 FY2026.
  3. Leveraging Casey's Rewards Loyalty Program and Digital Engagement: With over 10 million members by Q3 FY2026, the Casey's Rewards loyalty program is a crucial tool for enhancing customer engagement and driving repeat business through personalized offers. The company is also focusing on strengthening its omnichannel presence and digital sales capabilities, which contributed to a 20% increase in digital sales in Q3 FY2024.
  4. Sustained Inside Sales Growth: Beyond prepared foods, overall inside sales, including grocery and general merchandise, are expected to contribute to revenue growth. Casey's projects inside same-store sales to increase between 3.5% and 4.5% for fiscal year 2026. Specific categories like energy drinks and nicotine alternatives are outperforming, showing double-digit growth within grocery and general merchandise.
  5. Optimizing Fuel Volume and Margin Management: While fuel revenue can be subject to market volatility, increasing fuel gallons sold and maintaining strong fuel margins are key contributors to overall gross profit. In Q3 FY2026, same-store fuel gallons sold increased by 0.4%, and the company achieved a fuel margin exceeding $0.40 per gallon. Casey's strategy includes increasing its capacity to haul fuel in its own trucks and expanding business-to-business relationships to maintain a strategic advantage.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Casey's General Stores repurchased approximately $76 million of shares during the third quarter of fiscal year 2026 (ended January 31, 2026).
  • As of March 9, 2026, the company had approximately $157 million remaining under its existing share repurchase authorization.
  • Annual share buybacks amounted to $104.898 million in fiscal year 2024 and $734,000 in fiscal year 2025.

Share Issuance

  • Casey's shares outstanding saw a slight increase in fiscal year 2023 (0.44% from 2022) due to capital-preserving activity prior to the Fikes acquisition.

Outbound Investments

  • The company plans to open at least 80 stores in fiscal year 2026 through a mix of mergers and acquisitions (M&A) and new store construction, aiming for approximately 500 new stores over a three-year strategic plan period.
  • Casey's has acquired 394 stores in the last three years (as of March 10, 2026), significantly accelerating its M&A strategy.
  • Acquisitions of businesses resulted in cash outflows of approximately $1,239.25 million, $330.03 million, $85.57 million, and $901.64 million in various periods, including the Fikes and CEFCO acquisitions.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures averaged $454.5 million annually from fiscal years 2021 to 2025.
  • Actual capital expenditures were $441.3 million in fiscal year 2021, $326.5 million in fiscal year 2022, $476.6 million in fiscal year 2023, $522.0 million in fiscal year 2024, and $506.2 million in fiscal year 2025.
  • Expected capital expenditures for fiscal year 2026 (purchase of property and equipment) are approximately $600 million, primarily focused on store base expansion, prepared foods innovation, and growing the wings platform.

Better Bets vs. Casey's General Stores (CASY)

Latest Trefis Analyses

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Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CASYMUSAKRACIWMTCOSTMedian
NameCasey's .Murphy U.Kroger Albertso.Walmart Costco W. 
Mkt Price822.00584.7459.8614.34112.21912.97348.48
Mkt Cap30.410.837.87.3894.2405.334.1
Rev LTM17,56119,678147,64283,172725,305293,587115,407
Op Inc LTM1,0348561,89071530,18311,2251,462
FCF LTM7225553,45652712,5528,8062,089
FCF 3Y Avg5594522,70663513,5187,8471,670
CFO LTM1,3781,0057,3112,36740,89215,0004,839
CFO 3Y Avg1,1208726,6312,56937,94613,1774,600

Growth & Margins

CASYMUSAKRACIWMTCOSTMedian
NameCasey's .Murphy U.Kroger Albertso.Walmart Costco W. 
Rev Chg LTM10.2%-1.2%0.4%3.5%5.9%9.2%4.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.3%-5.6%-0.1%2.3%5.3%7.6%3.8%
Rev Chg Q14.5%6.5%1.2%7.7%7.3%11.6%7.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.4%1.5%0.3%1.8%1.7%2.6%1.7%
Op Inc Chg LTM29.8%15.8%-50.9%-56.4%1.8%11.3%6.6%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg17.7%-1.2%-17.2%-27.0%12.8%12.8%5.8%
Op Mgn LTM5.9%4.3%1.3%0.9%4.2%3.8%4.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.2%3.9%2.0%1.9%4.2%3.7%3.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%0.5%0.2%-1.0%-0.0%0.0%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM7.8%5.1%5.0%2.8%5.6%5.1%5.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.9%4.3%4.5%3.2%5.5%4.8%4.7%
FCF/Rev LTM4.1%2.8%2.3%0.6%1.7%3.0%2.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.4%2.2%1.8%0.8%2.0%2.9%2.1%

Valuation

CASYMUSAKRACIWMTCOSTMedian
NameCasey's .Murphy U.Kroger Albertso.Walmart Costco W. 
Mkt Cap30.410.837.87.3894.2405.334.1
P/S1.70.60.30.11.21.40.9
P/Op Inc29.412.720.010.229.636.124.7
P/EBIT29.412.920.59.726.734.123.6
P/E42.519.637.233.739.345.938.3
P/CFO22.010.85.23.121.927.016.3
Total Yield2.6%5.5%5.0%7.4%3.4%2.5%4.2%
Dividend Yield0.3%0.4%2.3%4.4%0.8%0.3%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.2%5.0%7.2%5.7%2.1%2.0%4.1%
D/E0.10.20.72.10.10.00.2
Net D/E0.10.20.52.10.1-0.00.2

Returns

CASYMUSAKRACIWMTCOSTMedian
NameCasey's .Murphy U.Kroger Albertso.Walmart Costco W. 
1M Rtn8.0%5.1%-5.0%-8.4%-5.6%-5.7%-5.3%
3M Rtn8.4%18.0%-14.5%-17.1%-12.9%-11.4%-12.2%
6M Rtn40.4%36.7%1.1%-12.1%-0.4%0.0%0.6%
12M Rtn58.0%38.8%-13.0%-33.6%16.9%-6.5%5.2%
3Y Rtn244.2%95.1%36.4%-29.2%124.6%80.3%87.7%
1M Excs Rtn7.5%5.2%-6.8%-13.0%-8.2%-8.2%-7.5%
3M Excs Rtn-2.8%6.1%-26.4%-29.4%-22.9%-22.5%-22.7%
6M Excs Rtn37.4%29.0%-10.7%-23.2%-10.1%-5.6%-7.9%
12M Excs Rtn39.9%21.1%-33.5%-54.2%-4.6%-28.0%-16.3%
3Y Excs Rtn173.7%21.7%-34.5%-98.2%50.5%6.3%14.0%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment15,94114,86315,09412,9538,707
Total15,94114,86315,09412,9538,707


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil202520242023
Single Segment547502447
Total547502447


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$822.00 
Market Cap ($ Bil)30.4 
First Trading Date10/20/1983 
Distance from 52W High-10.3% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$822.97$667.50
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-0.1%23.1%
 3M1YR
Volatility50.9%31.9%
Downside Capture-75.77-5.74
Upside Capture-13.5249.54
Correlation (SPY)-16.4%3.0%
CASY Betas & Captures as of 6/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-1.48-1.02-0.230.050.070.49
Up Beta0.360.170.930.590.310.49
Down Beta-2.90-2.62-2.55-0.82-0.670.44
Up Capture-116%-61%15%50%45%43%
Bmk +ve Days11244067140429
Stock +ve Days9183467134391
Down Capture-166%-72%-53%-26%4%60%
Bmk -ve Days10172358112321
Stock -ve Days12232958118360

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CASY
CASY61.4%31.9%1.52-
Sector ETF (XLP)4.4%13.4%0.0733.1%
Equity (SPY)22.3%12.5%1.332.1%
Gold (GLD)24.4%27.8%0.772.0%
Commodities (DBC)23.6%18.7%1.00-1.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.2%13.9%0.6514.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-42.8%42.8%-1.183.5%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CASY
CASY34.2%27.9%1.06-
Sector ETF (XLP)6.2%13.4%0.2437.7%
Equity (SPY)13.4%17.1%0.6133.1%
Gold (GLD)18.0%18.3%0.804.2%
Commodities (DBC)7.5%19.5%0.280.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.9%18.9%0.0630.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)12.3%53.5%0.4213.0%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CASY
CASY21.7%28.2%0.74-
Sector ETF (XLP)7.3%14.8%0.3645.4%
Equity (SPY)15.8%17.9%0.7542.0%
Gold (GLD)11.7%16.1%0.593.2%
Commodities (DBC)6.1%18.0%0.278.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.2%20.7%0.2239.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)58.0%66.2%0.988.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date6152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1.4 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 53120261.3%
Average Daily Volume0.7 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.0 days
Basic Shares Quantity36.9 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares3.8%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/18/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
6/9/202620.3%13.7% 
3/9/20263.8%1.3%14.1%
12/9/2025-5.3%-1.9%5.4%
9/8/20253.8%6.4%6.4%
6/9/202511.6%15.3%17.6%
3/11/20256.2%2.2%16.1%
12/9/2024-0.3%1.5%-7.7%
9/4/20247.4%5.3%3.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111415
# Negative14119
Median Positive7.4%5.8%6.6%
Median Negative-3.1%-5.1%-6.7%
Max Positive20.3%17.6%18.1%
Max Negative-6.9%-9.8%-11.8%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
6/9/202620.3%13.7% 
3/9/20263.8%1.3%14.1%
12/9/2025-5.3%-1.9%5.4%
9/8/20253.8%6.4%6.4%
6/9/202511.6%15.3%17.6%
3/11/20256.2%2.2%16.1%
12/9/2024-0.3%1.5%-7.7%
9/4/20247.4%5.3%3.4%
6/11/202416.7%15.4%15.3%
3/11/2024-1.6%2.1%4.5%
12/11/2023-0.4%-0.9%4.9%
9/11/202311.2%17.6%15.5%
6/6/2023-2.9%-1.6%8.2%
3/7/20233.9%-0.3%2.4%
12/6/20227.4%6.3%-3.0%
9/7/2022-0.7%-3.0%-8.2%
6/7/2022-4.0%-9.8%-5.9%
3/8/20227.8%7.9%18.1%
12/7/2021-6.9%-5.2%-2.0%
9/7/2021-4.8%-5.6%-6.7%
6/8/2021-4.6%-5.1%-9.8%
3/8/2021-2.4%3.0%6.6%
12/7/2020-3.4%-7.9%-1.5%
9/8/2020-2.2%1.3%3.9%
6/8/2020-4.8%-9.0%-11.8%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111415
# Negative14119
Median Positive7.4%5.8%6.6%
Median Negative-3.1%-5.1%-6.7%
Max Positive20.3%17.6%18.1%
Max Negative-6.9%-9.8%-11.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
04/30/202606/22/202610-K
01/31/202603/09/202610-Q
10/31/202512/09/202510-Q
07/31/202509/08/202510-Q
04/30/202506/23/202510-K
01/31/202503/11/202510-Q
10/31/202412/09/202410-Q
07/31/202409/04/202410-Q
04/30/202406/24/202410-K
01/31/202403/11/202410-Q
10/31/202312/11/202310-Q
07/31/202309/11/202310-Q
04/30/202306/23/202310-K
01/31/202303/07/202310-Q
10/31/202212/06/202210-Q
07/31/202209/07/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
04/30/202606/22/202610-K
01/31/202603/09/202610-Q
10/31/202512/09/202510-Q
07/31/202509/08/202510-Q
04/30/202506/23/202510-K
01/31/202503/11/202510-Q
10/31/202412/09/202410-Q
07/31/202409/04/202410-Q
04/30/202406/24/202410-K
01/31/202403/11/202410-Q
10/31/202312/11/202310-Q
07/31/202309/11/202310-Q
04/30/202306/23/202310-K
01/31/202303/07/202310-Q
10/31/202212/06/202210-Q
07/31/202209/07/202210-Q
04/30/202206/24/202210-K
01/31/202203/08/202210-Q
10/31/202112/07/202110-Q
07/31/202109/08/202110-Q
04/30/202106/25/202110-K
01/31/202103/08/202110-Q
10/31/202012/07/202010-Q
07/31/202009/08/202010-Q
04/30/202006/26/202010-K
01/31/202003/09/202010-Q
10/31/201912/09/201910-Q
07/31/201909/09/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/8/2026

Latest: Q4 2026 Earnings Reported 6/9/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2027 Inside Same-Store Sales Growth2.0%3.5%5.0% -0.5%LoweredGuidance: 4.0% for 2026
2027 Inside Margin 42.0%  0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 42.0% for 2026
2027 Same-Store Fuel Gallons Sold Growth-1.0%0.0%1.0% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 0.0% for 2026
2027 Operating Expenses Growth5.0%6.0%7.0% -4.0%LoweredGuidance: 10.0% for 2026
2027 EBITDA Growth8.0%9.0%10.0% -10.0%LoweredGuidance: 19.0% for 2026
2027 Net Interest Expense 95.00 Mil -5.0% LoweredGuidance: 100.00 Mil for 2026
2027 Depreciation and Amortization 490.00 Mil 8.9% RaisedGuidance: 450.00 Mil for 2026
2027 Capital Expenditures 800.00 Mil 33.3% RaisedGuidance: 600.00 Mil for 2026
2027 Tax Rate24.0%25.0%26.0% 1.0%RaisedGuidance: 24.0% for 2026

Prior: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 3/9/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 EBITDA Growth18.0%19.0%20.0% 3.0%RaisedGuidance: 16.0% for 2026
2026 Inside Same-Store Sales Growth3.5%4.0%4.5% 0.5%RaisedGuidance: 3.5% for 2026
2026 Inside Margin41.5%42.0%42.5% 0.5%RaisedGuidance: 41.5% for 2026
2026 Operating Expenses Growth 10.0%  1.0%RaisedGuidance: 9.0% for 2026
2026 Tax Rate23.5%24.0%24.5% -0.5%LoweredGuidance: 24.5% for 2026
2026 Net Interest Expense 100.00 Mil -9.1% LoweredGuidance: 110.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Same-Store Fuel Gallons Sold Growth-1.0%0.0%1.0% 0AffirmedGuidance: 0.0% for 2026
2026 Depreciation and Amortization 450.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 450.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Capital Expenditures 600.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 600.00 Mil for 2026

Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 12/9/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 EBITDA Growth15.0%16.0%17.0% 5.0%RaisedGuidance: 11.0% for 2026
2026 Inside Same-Store Sales Growth3.0%3.5%4.0% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 3.5% for 2026
2026 Inside Margin41.0%41.5%42.0% 0.5%RaisedGuidance: 41.0% for 2026
2026 Tax Rate24.0%24.5%25.0% -0.5%LoweredGuidance: 25.0% for 2026
2026 Same-Store Fuel Gallons Sold Growth-1.0%0.0%1.0% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 0.0% for 2026
2026 Operating Expenses Growth8.0%9.0%10.0% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 9.0% for 2026
2026 Net Interest Expense 110.00 Mil 0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 110.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Depreciation and Amortization 450.00 Mil 0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 450.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Capital Expenditures 600.00 Mil 0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 600.00 Mil for 2026

Insider Activity

Updated 7/10/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Koschel, Williams EnaChief Operating OfficerDirectSell7102026833.692,8002,334,33218,315,336Form
2Wing, Allison M DirectSell7102026837.58530443,9172,547,918Form
3Bramlage, Stephen P JRChief Financial OfficerDirectSell7102026838.165,7004,777,51224,874,074Form
4Rebelez, Darren MPresident and CEODirectSell7082026801.4619,00015,227,68871,469,150Form
5Koschel, Williams EnaChief Operating OfficerDirectSell7022026785.203,0002,355,60019,448,619Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Koschel, Williams EnaChief Operating OfficerDirectSell7102026833.692,8002,334,33218,315,336Form
2Wing, Allison M DirectSell7102026837.58530443,9172,547,918Form
3Bramlage, Stephen P JRChief Financial OfficerDirectSell7102026838.165,7004,777,51224,874,074Form
4Rebelez, Darren MPresident and CEODirectSell7082026801.4619,00015,227,68871,469,150Form
5Koschel, Williams EnaChief Operating OfficerDirectSell7022026785.203,0002,355,60019,448,619Form
6Frazell, Chad MichaelChief HR OfficerDirectSell7012026787.493,0132,372,7117,735,525Form
7Lindsey, Katrina SChief Legal OfficerDirectSell6302026800.002,0001,600,0005,334,400Form
8Spanos, Mike DirectBuy6292026778.81256199,3753,705,578Form
9Spanos, Mike DirectBuy3162026665.43300199,6292,993,770Form
10Lindsey, Katrina SChief Legal OfficerDirectSell3122026683.04200136,6082,758,799Form
11Castanon, Moats Maria DirectBuy1062026554.66300166,398445,392Form
12Frazell, Chad MichaelChief HR OfficerDirectSell9302025555.403,4871,936,6804,439,312Form
13Bramlage, Stephen P JRChief Financial OfficerDirectSell7032025507.56760385,74613,193,515Form
14Spanos, Mike DirectBuy7012025503.18200100,6361,791,321Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Jul 10, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank and community-bank filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Skye Global Management LP$6.0 Mil0.1%44TRIM -91.5%13F
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
Third Point LLC$251.5 Mil3.5%44ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Skye Global Management LP$6.0 Mil0.1%44TRIM -91.5%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Skye Global Management LP$6.0 Mil0.1%44TRIM -91.5%13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 7/9/2026