Post (POST)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $95.0 | Market Cap: $4.9 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Post (POST)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $95.0Market Cap: $4.9 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.5%, FCF Yield is 8.8% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -31%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -51% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 145% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10% | Key risksPOST key risks include [1] vulnerability to agricultural diseases such as avian influenza and [2] its significant financial leverage. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Nutritional Supplements, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.5%, FCF Yield is 8.8% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Nutritional Supplements, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -31%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -51% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 145% |
| Key risksPOST key risks include [1] vulnerability to agricultural diseases such as avian influenza and [2] its significant financial leverage. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Persistent challenges in organic volume growth and profitability.
Post Holdings reported an 11.8% decline in operating profit and a gross margin contraction from 28.6% to 26.8% in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025, which ended September 30, 2025. Additionally, during Q4 2025, volumes fell across Post's consumer brands, pet food, breakfast cereal, and refrigerated products, with cereal and granola volumes specifically declining by 8.1% due to broader category declines and the comparison to elevated promotional activity in the prior year. These factors indicate ongoing underlying pressures on the company's core business profitability and organic growth, despite revenue increases driven by acquisitions.
2. Broader macroeconomic headwinds impacting consumer spending.
The food industry has been navigating persistent retail food inflation, with forecasts anticipating only a gradual easing to 3.8% in 2026. Concurrently, consumer sentiment remained fragile, with 33% of shoppers planning to reduce their grocery spending in 2026, an increase from 28% in December 2024. This environment of sustained inflation and a cautious, value-driven consumer base likely exerted downward pressure on demand for packaged food products, affecting Post Holdings' performance during the period.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -8.0% change in POST stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -7.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 104.03 | 95.70 | -8.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 8,158 | 8,358 | 2.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.1% | 3.8% | -7.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 16.7 | 15.5 | -7.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 54 | 52 | 4.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -8.0% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| POST | -8.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.3% | 26.2% |
| Sector (XLP) | 3.9% | 44.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -15.4% change in POST stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -17.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 113.15 | 95.70 | -15.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 7,921 | 8,358 | 5.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.6% | 3.8% | -17.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 17.2 | 15.5 | -9.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 56 | 52 | 7.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -15.4% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| POST | -15.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 0.6% | 7.4% |
| Sector (XLP) | 2.8% | 41.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -15.7% change in POST stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -22.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 113.51 | 95.70 | -15.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 7,932 | 8,358 | 5.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.9% | 3.8% | -22.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 16.9 | 15.5 | -8.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 58 | 52 | 12.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -15.7% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| POST | -15.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.8% | 17.8% |
| Sector (XLP) | 1.1% | 49.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 6.4% change in POST stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 156.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 89.96 | 95.70 | 6.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6,080 | 8,358 | 37.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 14.4% | 3.8% | -73.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 6.0 | 15.5 | 156.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 59 | 52 | 13.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 6.4% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| POST | 6.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 69.4% | 19.5% |
| Sector (XLP) | 23.1% | 50.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| POST Return | 12% | 22% | -2% | 30% | -13% | -3% | 45% |
| Peers Return | 5% | 21% | -13% | -9% | -24% | -8% | -29% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -5% | 72% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| POST Win Rate | 50% | 67% | 50% | 58% | 33% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 45% | 68% | 42% | 48% | 37% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| POST Max Drawdown | -8% | -14% | -12% | 0% | -16% | -4% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -14% | -11% | -25% | -17% | -28% | -9% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -5% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: GIS, HRL, CAG, SJM, LW. See POST Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/27/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | POST | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -19.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 23.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 44 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -36.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 394 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -19.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 23.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 120 days | 120 days |
Compare to GIS, HRL, CAG, SJM, LW
In The Past
Post's stock fell -19.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/14/2021. A -19.2% loss requires a 23.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Post (POST)
AI Analysis | Feedback
A food-focused General Mills.
A diversified Kellogg's.
A smaller, diversified Kraft Heinz.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Cereal Products: Post offers a diverse range of branded and private label ready-to-eat (RTE) and hot cereals.
- Breakfast Drinks & Other Cereal-Based Foods: This category includes muesli and various ready-to-drink breakfast beverages, particularly from the Weetabix segment.
- Egg Products: The company produces and distributes a variety of egg and egg-based products for both retail and foodservice channels.
- Potato Products: Post manufactures and supplies prepared potato products primarily for the foodservice and food ingredient sectors.
- Refrigerated Retail Products: This segment includes side dishes, sausages, cheese, and other dairy and refrigerated items for grocery and mass merchandise customers.
- Nutrition Products: Marketed through its BellRing Brands segment, these include ready-to-drink protein shakes and beverages, protein powders, nutrition bars, and supplements.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Major Customers of Post Holdings, Inc. (POST)
Post Holdings, Inc. primarily sells its products to other companies rather than directly to individual consumers. Based on the provided company description, its major customer categories include:
- Retailers: This extensive category encompasses a wide range of retail outlets that purchase Post's consumer packaged goods for resale to the public. These include grocery stores, mass merchandise customers (e.g., supercenters), club stores, drug stores, discounters, natural/specialty stores, convenience stores, and specialty retailers. This applies across segments like Post Consumer Brands, Weetabix, Refrigerated Retail, and BellRing Brands.
- Wholesalers and Distributors: Post sells its products to general wholesalers and foodservice distributors. These companies then distribute Post's items, such as egg and potato products from its Foodservice segment, and other consumer products, to a variety of businesses and institutions.
- Foodservice Operators and National Restaurant Chains: The Foodservice segment directly serves foodservice distributors and national restaurant chains with egg and potato products. Additionally, the Post Consumer Brands segment sells its products into broader foodservice channels.
- Online Retailers and E-commerce Platforms: Post utilizes e-commerce channels, indicating that online retailers and platforms are customers for products from segments like Post Consumer Brands, Weetabix, and BellRing Brands.
- Military: The Post Consumer Brands segment specifically sells its ready-to-eat and hot cereal products in the military channel.
The provided information describes these customer categories rather than specifying the names of individual public or private customer companies (e.g., specific grocery chains or restaurant groups).
AI Analysis | Feedback
NULLAI Analysis | Feedback
Robert V. Vitale President and Chief Executive Officer
Robert V. Vitale has served as the President and Chief Executive Officer of Post Holdings since 2014. He joined the company during its spin-off from Ralcorp Holdings, Inc., and held the role of Chief Financial Officer from 2011 to 2014. Prior to his tenure at Post, Mr. Vitale was the president and chief executive officer of AHM Financial Group LLC, a diversified financial services firm, which saw its revenue grow five-fold under his leadership. He was also a partner in Westgate Group LLC, a consumer products private equity firm. Early in his career, he worked at Boatmen's Bancshares and KPMG. He also co-founded a private equity firm after Boatmen's Bancshares was acquired in 1996. During his time at Post, the company has completed over 20 acquisitions and executed various financial transactions, including the formation and recapitalization of 8th Avenue Food and Provisions with a private equity firm, and the IPO and spin-off of BellRing Brands, Inc.
Matt Mainer Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
Matt Mainer was promoted to Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer in December 2022. He joined Post Holdings in 2015 as Vice President and Treasurer. Prior to his experience at Post, Mr. Mainer served as the Assistant Treasurer at Mallinckrodt Pharmaceuticals and as Vice President and Treasurer at ESCO Technologies. During his time at Post, Mr. Mainer has been instrumental in executing various financial transactions, including the IPO of BellRing Brands, Inc. in 2019 and its spin-off in 2022.
Nicolas Catoggio Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer; President and Chief Executive Officer of Post Consumer Brands Segment
Nicolas Catoggio joined Post Consumer Brands as President and Chief Executive Officer in September 2021 and will expand his role to include Chief Operating Officer of Post Holdings in January 2026. Prior to joining Post, Mr. Catoggio served as Managing Director and Senior Partner in the Chicago office of The Boston Consulting Group (BCG) from 2007 to 2021, where he advised leading consumer products companies on strategy, transformation, and organizational design. Before BCG, he worked at Unilever for several years in business development, corporate strategy, and finance.
Diedre J. Gray Executive Vice President, General Counsel, Chief Administrative Officer and Corporate Secretary
Diedre J. Gray serves as Executive Vice President, General Counsel, Chief Administrative Officer, and Corporate Secretary of Post Holdings. She joined the company during its spin-off from Ralcorp Holdings in 2011. Ms. Gray is highly experienced in the legal aspects of mergers and acquisitions and works with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). She oversees legal, human resources, inclusion efforts, sustainability, and communications. Prior to Post, her background includes corporate legal management and law firm experience, including serving as associate general counsel and assistant secretary for MEMC Electronic Materials (SunEdison) and as an associate attorney at Bryan Cave LLP.
Mark W. Westphal President, Michael Foods
Mark W. Westphal has served as the President of Michael Foods since January 2018. Prior to this, he was the chief financial officer of Michael Foods. As President of Michael Foods, he leads the foodservice business, which includes Michael Foods' foodservice egg and potato business, and Bob Evans' foodservice business.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Post Holdings, Inc. include its substantial debt load, declining sales volumes in key segments, and persistent inflationary pressures on input costs.
- High Debt Load: Post Holdings, Inc. carries a substantial debt load, largely accumulated through its strategy of growth by acquisition. This significant leverage, with a reported net leverage ratio of approximately 4.6x after the 8th Avenue acquisition, is considered a major near-term concern and a solvency issue for a consumer packaged goods company. This debt can restrict the company's financial flexibility, limit its capacity to secure additional financing, and heighten its vulnerability to economic downturns.
- Declining Sales Volumes: The company is experiencing a decline in sales volumes in several of its key segments, particularly within Post Consumer Brands for ready-to-eat cereal and pet food. This decline suggests shifts in consumer preferences and an increasing propensity for consumers to opt for non-branded or private label products if branded alternatives become too expensive, potentially leading to stalled revenue growth. Pet food volumes specifically decreased due to distribution losses.
- Inflationary Pressures and Increased Costs: Post Holdings is contending with elevated input costs for ingredients, packaging, and energy, driven by ongoing inflation, tariffs, and disruptions in the supply chain. These cost increases, exacerbated by geopolitical risks, are anticipated to persist, impacting the company's operational margins and overall financial performance.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The increasing market penetration and consumer adoption of plant-based food alternatives represent a clear emerging threat for Post Holdings, Inc. This trend directly impacts their Foodservice segment, which produces and distributes egg products, as well as their Refrigerated Retail segment, which produces and distributes eggs, sausages, cheese, and other dairy products. As plant-based alternatives gain traction in both foodservice and retail channels, they pose a disruptive challenge to traditional animal-based product categories that form a significant part of Post's business.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Post Holdings, Inc. operates in various consumer packaged goods markets. The addressable market sizes for its main products and services are outlined below:
-
Post Consumer Brands:
- Ready-to-Eat (RTE) Cereal: The global RTE breakfast cereal market is projected to reach $18.2 billion by 2025.
- Hot Cereal: Null
-
Weetabix:
- Breakfast Drinks: The global breakfast drinks market is estimated to be valued at USD 76.8 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 143.8 billion by 2035.
- Muesli: The global packaged muesli market size was valued at USD 19.35 billion in 2025.
-
Foodservice:
- Potato Products (Foodservice): The market for potatoes in the U.S. foodservice sector increased to a record high of $11.353 billion from July 2022 to June 2023.
- Egg Products (Foodservice): Null
-
Refrigerated Retail:
- Side Dishes: Null
- Eggs and Egg Products (Refrigerated): Null
- Sausages (Refrigerated): Null
- Cheese and other Dairy and Refrigerated Products: Null
-
BellRing Brands:
- Ready-to-Drink (RTD) Protein Shakes: The global Ready-to-Drink Protein Beverage Market size was valued at USD 1.8762 billion in 2024.
- Protein Powders: The global protein powder market was valued at USD 24.6 billion in 2024.
- Nutrition Bars: The global nutritional bars market size was estimated at USD 7.4 billion in 2024.
- Supplements (Dietary/Nutritional): The global nutritional supplements market size was estimated at USD 517.09 billion in 2025. The U.S. dietary supplement market size was valued at USD 78.2 billion in 2025.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through a combination of strategic acquisitions, expansion and innovation within its Foodservice segment, and targeted marketing and product development in its retail brands. Here are the key drivers of future revenue growth for Post Holdings: * Strategic Acquisitions: Post Holdings has a demonstrated strategy of acquiring complementary businesses to expand its product portfolio and market reach. Recent acquisitions, such as 8th Avenue Food & Provisions, Inc. (though the pasta business was later sold), Potato Products of Idaho, L.L.C., Perfection Pet Foods, LLC, and Deeside Cereals I Ltd, have significantly contributed to net sales growth across its Post Consumer Brands, Foodservice, Refrigerated Retail, and Weetabix segments. This inorganic growth strategy is expected to continue, with management actively evaluating new mergers and acquisition opportunities. * Foodservice Segment Expansion and Value-Added Products: The Foodservice segment is a significant driver of anticipated revenue growth, exhibiting strong volume increases and a projected sustained higher normalized earnings run rate. This growth is fueled by a recovery in egg volumes, particularly higher value-added egg products, and successful distribution gains in both egg and potato products. Furthermore, ongoing capital investments in expanding cage-free egg facilities and precooked egg facilities underscore the company's commitment to bolstering this segment's capacity and offerings. The company forecasts maintaining a 3-4% growth rate in its Foodservice segment. * Innovation and Targeted Marketing in Retail Segments: Post Holdings is focused on stimulating demand in its retail businesses, including Post Consumer Brands and Weetabix, through strategic marketing investments and product innovation. This includes the growth of protein-based shakes within the Weetabix segment and the exploration of adding protein to its side dishes portfolio, catering to evolving consumer preferences. The company emphasizes utilizing various levers such as advertising, promotions, and innovation to drive sales in these key retail categories.AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Post Holdings repurchased 6.4 million shares for approximately $708.5 million in fiscal year 2025.
- The company authorized a new $500 million share repurchase program effective November 27, 2025, after having repurchased approximately $275.2 million under a previous $500 million authorization initiated in August 2025.
- From August 27, 2025, to November 25, 2025, Post repurchased 2,588,600 shares for $275.2 million.
Share Issuance
- No significant share issuances for capital raising purposes were explicitly identified in the provided information over the last 3-5 years.
Outbound Investments
- Post Holdings acquired 8th Avenue Food & Provisions, Inc. for approximately $880 million in July 2025, including the assumption of $111 million in finance leases. This acquisition aims to internalize peanut butter manufacturing and expand into dry pasta and granola categories.
- In March 2025, Post Holdings acquired Potato Products of Idaho, L.L.C., strengthening its Refrigerated Retail and Foodservice segments with egg and potato products.
- With the 2021 acquisition of Peter Pan, nut butters became a more important category for Post Holdings.
Capital Expenditures
- Post Holdings reported total capital expenditures for fiscal year 2025 were nearly $500 million.
- For fiscal year 2025, planned capital expenditures ranged between $450 million and $480 million, with $130 million to $140 million allocated to Post Consumer Brands for network optimization, plant closures, and pet food safety/capacity enhancements.
- Expected capital expenditures for fiscal year 2026 are between $350 million and $390 million, including $80 million to $90 million for the Foodservice segment to complete the Norwalk, Iowa precooked egg facility expansion and continue cage-free egg facility expansion.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Post Earnings Notes | 12/21/2025 | |
| How Low Can Post Stock Really Go? | 11/22/2025 | |
| Post vs Cal-Maine Foods: Which Is A Better Investment? | 08/18/2025 | |
| How Does Post Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | 08/13/2025 | |
| Better Bet Than POST Stock: Pay Less Than Post To Get More From UAL, IBKR | 08/12/2025 | |
| Better Bet Than POST Stock: Pay Less Than Post To Get More From CALM | 08/12/2025 | |
| POST Dip Buy Analysis | 07/10/2025 | |
| Post Total Shareholder Return (TSR): -7.1% in 2025 and 13.0% 3-yr compounded annual returns (above peer average) | 03/07/2025 | |
| Post (POST) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 02/17/2025 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| Is Post Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | 11/22/2025 | |
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | 11/22/2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to POST.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02272026 | BRBR | BellRing Brands | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02132026 | STZ | Constellation Brands | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.7% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| 02132026 | KMB | Kimberly-Clark | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.9% | 1.9% | -1.7% |
| 02062026 | AVO | Mission Produce | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.1% | 1.1% | -2.7% |
| 01022026 | CALM | Cal-Maine Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.0% | 12.0% | -7.7% |
| 06302025 | POST | Post | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -8.4% | -2.5% | -12.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 39.03 |
| Mkt Cap | 8.8 |
| Rev LTM | 10,081 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,096 |
| FCF LTM | 764 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 811 |
| CFO LTM | 1,119 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,181 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 0.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 8.8 |
| P/S | 1.0 |
| P/EBIT | 7.3 |
| P/E | 11.2 |
| P/CFO | 6.9 |
| Total Yield | 8.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 4.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.0% |
| D/E | 0.7 |
| Net D/E | 0.7 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -15.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -4.5% |
| 6M Rtn | -10.8% |
| 12M Rtn | -20.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | -42.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -6.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 3.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -6.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -30.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -102.3% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $95.70 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 4.9 | |
| First Trading Date | 01/27/2012 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -19.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $102.71 | $104.79 |
| DMA Trend | down | up |
| Distance from DMA | -6.8% | -8.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 30.1% | 25.2% |
| Downside Capture | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| Upside Capture | 22.09 | 0.76 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 34.4% | 17.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.20 | 0.87 | 0.62 | 0.04 | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| Up Beta | 5.67 | 4.40 | 4.05 | 1.16 | 0.40 | 0.43 |
| Down Beta | 0.54 | 0.58 | 0.13 | 0.02 | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| Up Capture | 70% | 26% | -2% | -26% | 5% | 6% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 16 | 26 | 56 | 116 | 368 |
| Down Capture | -61% | -31% | -18% | -23% | 22% | 42% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 25 | 35 | 68 | 134 | 377 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with POST | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| POST | -12.1% | 24.9% | -0.56 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 4.6% | 13.9% | 0.09 | 48.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.5% | 18.9% | 0.59 | 17.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 50.2% | 27.7% | 1.46 | 5.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 17.8% | 17.6% | 0.85 | 4.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 0.4% | 16.4% | -0.15 | 33.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -23.7% | 44.2% | -0.49 | 20.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with POST | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| POST | 7.7% | 22.0% | 0.29 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 6.8% | 13.2% | 0.30 | 53.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.8% | 17.0% | 0.54 | 29.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.7% | 17.7% | 0.96 | 3.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.6% | 18.9% | 0.50 | 4.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.0% | 18.8% | 0.07 | 37.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.0% | 56.6% | 0.29 | 8.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with POST | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| POST | 8.2% | 24.0% | 0.33 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 7.3% | 14.7% | 0.37 | 56.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 44.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.3% | 15.8% | 0.70 | 3.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 14.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.7% | 20.7% | 0.19 | 45.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.4% | 66.8% | 1.06 | 8.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/5/2026 | 9.8% | 5.7% | 1.0% |
| 11/20/2025 | -7.2% | -6.7% | -5.9% |
| 8/7/2025 | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
| 5/8/2025 | -0.1% | -0.4% | -0.7% |
| 2/6/2025 | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% |
| 11/14/2024 | -1.5% | 4.8% | 8.0% |
| 8/1/2024 | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.8% |
| 5/2/2024 | -2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 17 | 16 |
| # Negative | 10 | 7 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% |
| Median Negative | -1.8% | -3.0% | -3.5% |
| Max Positive | 9.8% | 13.9% | 11.4% |
| Max Negative | -7.2% | -6.7% | -7.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/05/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/21/2025 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/15/2024 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/03/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/17/2023 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/17/2022 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/06/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 2/5/2026 | Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 11/20/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 1.55 Bil | 1.56 Bil | 1.58 Bil | 3.0% | Raised | Guidance: 1.52 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 350.00 Mil | 370.00 Mil | 390.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 370.00 Mil for 2026 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harper, Bradly A | SVP, CHIEF ACCTING OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 12082025 | 96.69 | 1,658 | 160,304 | 1,106,173 | Form |
| 2 | Catoggio, Nicolas | PRES & CEO, PCB | Direct | Sell | 11262025 | 100.21 | 10,000 | 1,002,109 | 7,570,132 | Form |
| 3 | Kemper, David W | Direct | Buy | 11252025 | 97.93 | 1,800 | 176,274 | 3,086,949 | Form | |
| 4 | Stiritz, William P | Direct | Buy | 8212025 | 109.53 | 36,000 | 3,943,080 | 474,776,077 | Form | |
| 5 | Stiritz, William P | Direct | Buy | 6092025 | 109.11 | 186,740 | 20,376,135 | 469,049,050 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.