Post (POST)
Market Price (7/30/2026): $97.55 | Market Cap: $4.7 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Post (POST)
Market Price (7/30/2026): $97.55Market Cap: $4.7 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.2%, FCF Yield is 11% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 2.1 Bil Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Nutritional Supplements, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -45%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -48% Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 158% Key risksPOST key risks include [1] vulnerability to agricultural diseases such as avian influenza and [2] its significant financial leverage. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.2%, FCF Yield is 11% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 2.1 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Nutritional Supplements, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -45%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -48% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 158% |
| Key risksPOST key risks include [1] vulnerability to agricultural diseases such as avian influenza and [2] its significant financial leverage. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Post (POST) stock has remained largely at the same level since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Mixed Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Report and Cautious Outlook.
Post Holdings reported strong adjusted diluted earnings per common share of $1.94 for fiscal Q2 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), beating the consensus estimate of $1.75 by 10.86%. However, net sales for the quarter came in at $2.0 billion, falling short of the expected $2.08 billion. This revenue miss led to a 5.52% decline in the stock's after-hours trading following the May 7, 2026, release. Despite the earnings beat, management only affirmed its fiscal year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $1,550-$1,580 million, citing new geopolitical headwinds and rising fuel/energy costs, which suggested a cautious stance on future growth.
2. Weakness in Key Segments and Persistent Cost Pressures.
While segments like Foodservice and Refrigerated Retail showed strength, with refrigerated dinner sides growing approximately 12% year-over-year in fiscal Q2 2026, other critical areas faced challenges. The pet food segment experienced a 4% decline in dry dog food pounds (which constitutes 60% of its pet portfolio) due to higher-than-expected price elasticity on lower-margin brands, leading to lost placements at some retailers. The cereal category also saw a 3% decline in pounds during fiscal Q2 2026, improving slightly to a 2.5% decline in April 2026. These segment-specific weaknesses, combined with ongoing cost impacts from increased fuel charges and surcharges, constrained overall revenue growth and profitability expectations.
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Post (POST) stock has remained largely at the same level since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Mixed Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Report and Cautious Outlook.
Post Holdings reported strong adjusted diluted earnings per common share of $1.94 for fiscal Q2 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), beating the consensus estimate of $1.75 by 10.86%. However, net sales for the quarter came in at $2.0 billion, falling short of the expected $2.08 billion. This revenue miss led to a 5.52% decline in the stock's after-hours trading following the May 7, 2026, release. Despite the earnings beat, management only affirmed its fiscal year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $1,550-$1,580 million, citing new geopolitical headwinds and rising fuel/energy costs, which suggested a cautious stance on future growth.
2. Weakness in Key Segments and Persistent Cost Pressures.
While segments like Foodservice and Refrigerated Retail showed strength, with refrigerated dinner sides growing approximately 12% year-over-year in fiscal Q2 2026, other critical areas faced challenges. The pet food segment experienced a 4% decline in dry dog food pounds (which constitutes 60% of its pet portfolio) due to higher-than-expected price elasticity on lower-margin brands, leading to lost placements at some retailers. The cereal category also saw a 3% decline in pounds during fiscal Q2 2026, improving slightly to a 2.5% decline in April 2026. These segment-specific weaknesses, combined with ongoing cost impacts from increased fuel charges and surcharges, constrained overall revenue growth and profitability expectations.
3. Broad Consumer Staples Sector Headwinds.
The broader consumer staples sector experienced underperformance during fiscal Q3 and early Q4 2026. This trend was driven by a "fragile consumer backdrop" where higher inflation weighed on real income growth, which declined year-over-year at the end of April 2026 for the first time since 2022. Consumer spending consistently outpaced income growth for 23 consecutive months, resulting in the lowest savings rate since mid-2022, thereby limiting overall demand and pricing power for consumer packaged goods companies like Post. Additionally, the rise in bond yields reduced the relative attractiveness of dividend-yielding defensive stocks.
4. Analyst Price Target Reductions.
During the period, several prominent analyst firms revised their price targets for Post Holdings downwards, contributing to the stock's largely level movement. For example, Wells Fargo cut its price target from $110 to $98 on July 8, 2026, while JPMorgan reduced its target from $119 to $116 on July 20, 2026. Barclays also lowered its price target from $119 to $106 on July 21, 2026, and Evercore ISI Group cut its target from $131 to $128 on July 23, 2026. This trend of cautious sentiment and lower price expectations from analysts likely counteracted any positive internal developments, keeping the stock in a relatively tight range.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -1.3% change in POST stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -13.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 98.86 | 97.53 | -1.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 8,358 | 8,449 | 1.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 16.0 | 13.8 | -13.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 52 | 48 | 7.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -1.3% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| POST | -1.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.2% | -16.8% |
| Sector (XLP) | 6.6% | 65.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -1.5% change in POST stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -13.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 99.05 | 97.53 | -1.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 8,158 | 8,449 | 3.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.1% | 4.0% | -2.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 15.9 | 13.8 | -13.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 54 | 48 | 12.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -1.5% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| POST | -1.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.3% | 6.4% |
| Sector (XLP) | 13.1% | 56.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -10.5% change in POST stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -19.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 7292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 109.03 | 97.53 | -10.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 7,885 | 8,449 | 7.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.5% | 4.0% | -11.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 17.2 | 13.8 | -19.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 56 | 48 | 17.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -10.5% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| POST | -10.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 19.1% | 2.9% |
| Sector (XLP) | 10.1% | 51.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 12.6% change in POST stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 34.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 6302023 | 7292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 86.65 | 97.53 | 12.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6,290 | 8,449 | 34.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 6.5% | 4.0% | -38.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 12.5 | 13.8 | 10.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 59 | 48 | 22.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 12.6% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| POST | 12.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 70.4% | 13.4% |
| Sector (XLP) | 26.9% | 53.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| POST Return | 12% | 22% | -2% | 30% | -13% | -5% | 43% |
| Peers Return | 5% | 21% | -13% | -9% | -24% | 10% | -16% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| POST Win Rate | 50% | 67% | 50% | 58% | 33% | 57% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 45% | 68% | 42% | 48% | 37% | 66% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 43% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| POST Max Drawdown | -19% | -17% | -17% | -10% | -19% | -26% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -21% | -18% | -32% | -25% | -30% | -28% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: GIS, HRL, CAG, SJM, LW. See POST Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/29/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | POST | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -13.5% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 15.7% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 37 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -32.9% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.1% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 361 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -11.0% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.3% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 16 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -10.5% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 11.7% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 38 days | 6 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -18.3% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 22.4% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 14 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -14.3% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 16.7% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 16 days | 15 days |
In The Past
Post's stock fell -4.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 5.1% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | POST | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -32.9% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.1% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 361 days | 140 days |
In The Past
Post's stock fell -4.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 5.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Post (POST)
Post Holdings, Inc. is a diversified consumer packaged goods (CPG) holding company that operates both domestically and internationally. The company's core business revolves around manufacturing, marketing, and distributing a wide array of food products, spanning from staple breakfast items to specialized nutritional supplements and foodservice ingredients.
The company's operations are divided into five key segments. The Post Consumer Brands and Weetabix segments collectively produce a variety of ready-to-eat and hot cereals, including both branded and private label options, alongside other breakfast foods like muesli and breakfast drinks. Beyond breakfast, the Refrigerated Retail segment offers side dishes, eggs, sausages, and dairy products. Post also has a significant presence in the foodservice industry, supplying egg and potato products, while its BellRing Brands segment focuses on nutrition, providing ready-to-drink protein shakes, powders, and nutrition bars.
Post serves a very broad customer base across multiple channels. Its products are readily available to consumers through major retail outlets such as grocery stores, mass merchandisers, club stores, convenience stores, and online platforms. Furthermore, the company is a substantial supplier to the foodservice sector, delivering essential ingredients to national restaurant chains and distributors. This extensive market reach allows Post to cater to everyday consumers and institutional clients alike, both within the United States and internationally.
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A food-focused General Mills.
A diversified Kellogg's.
A smaller, diversified Kraft Heinz.
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- Cereal Products: Post offers a diverse range of branded and private label ready-to-eat (RTE) and hot cereals.
- Breakfast Drinks & Other Cereal-Based Foods: This category includes muesli and various ready-to-drink breakfast beverages, particularly from the Weetabix segment.
- Egg Products: The company produces and distributes a variety of egg and egg-based products for both retail and foodservice channels.
- Potato Products: Post manufactures and supplies prepared potato products primarily for the foodservice and food ingredient sectors.
- Refrigerated Retail Products: This segment includes side dishes, sausages, cheese, and other dairy and refrigerated items for grocery and mass merchandise customers.
- Nutrition Products: Marketed through its BellRing Brands segment, these include ready-to-drink protein shakes and beverages, protein powders, nutrition bars, and supplements.
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Major Customers of Post Holdings, Inc. (POST)
Post Holdings, Inc. primarily sells its products to other companies rather than directly to individual consumers. Based on the provided company description, its major customer categories include:
- Retailers: This extensive category encompasses a wide range of retail outlets that purchase Post's consumer packaged goods for resale to the public. These include grocery stores, mass merchandise customers (e.g., supercenters), club stores, drug stores, discounters, natural/specialty stores, convenience stores, and specialty retailers. This applies across segments like Post Consumer Brands, Weetabix, Refrigerated Retail, and BellRing Brands.
- Wholesalers and Distributors: Post sells its products to general wholesalers and foodservice distributors. These companies then distribute Post's items, such as egg and potato products from its Foodservice segment, and other consumer products, to a variety of businesses and institutions.
- Foodservice Operators and National Restaurant Chains: The Foodservice segment directly serves foodservice distributors and national restaurant chains with egg and potato products. Additionally, the Post Consumer Brands segment sells its products into broader foodservice channels.
- Online Retailers and E-commerce Platforms: Post utilizes e-commerce channels, indicating that online retailers and platforms are customers for products from segments like Post Consumer Brands, Weetabix, and BellRing Brands.
- Military: The Post Consumer Brands segment specifically sells its ready-to-eat and hot cereal products in the military channel.
The provided information describes these customer categories rather than specifying the names of individual public or private customer companies (e.g., specific grocery chains or restaurant groups).
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Robert V. Vitale President and Chief Executive Officer
Robert V. Vitale has served as the President and Chief Executive Officer of Post Holdings since 2014. He joined the company during its spin-off from Ralcorp Holdings, Inc., and held the role of Chief Financial Officer from 2011 to 2014. Prior to his tenure at Post, Mr. Vitale was the president and chief executive officer of AHM Financial Group LLC, a diversified financial services firm, which saw its revenue grow five-fold under his leadership. He was also a partner in Westgate Group LLC, a consumer products private equity firm. Early in his career, he worked at Boatmen's Bancshares and KPMG. He also co-founded a private equity firm after Boatmen's Bancshares was acquired in 1996. During his time at Post, the company has completed over 20 acquisitions and executed various financial transactions, including the formation and recapitalization of 8th Avenue Food and Provisions with a private equity firm, and the IPO and spin-off of BellRing Brands, Inc.
Matt Mainer Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
Matt Mainer was promoted to Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer in December 2022. He joined Post Holdings in 2015 as Vice President and Treasurer. Prior to his experience at Post, Mr. Mainer served as the Assistant Treasurer at Mallinckrodt Pharmaceuticals and as Vice President and Treasurer at ESCO Technologies. During his time at Post, Mr. Mainer has been instrumental in executing various financial transactions, including the IPO of BellRing Brands, Inc. in 2019 and its spin-off in 2022.
Nicolas Catoggio Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer; President and Chief Executive Officer of Post Consumer Brands Segment
Nicolas Catoggio joined Post Consumer Brands as President and Chief Executive Officer in September 2021 and will expand his role to include Chief Operating Officer of Post Holdings in January 2026. Prior to joining Post, Mr. Catoggio served as Managing Director and Senior Partner in the Chicago office of The Boston Consulting Group (BCG) from 2007 to 2021, where he advised leading consumer products companies on strategy, transformation, and organizational design. Before BCG, he worked at Unilever for several years in business development, corporate strategy, and finance.
Diedre J. Gray Executive Vice President, General Counsel, Chief Administrative Officer and Corporate Secretary
Diedre J. Gray serves as Executive Vice President, General Counsel, Chief Administrative Officer, and Corporate Secretary of Post Holdings. She joined the company during its spin-off from Ralcorp Holdings in 2011. Ms. Gray is highly experienced in the legal aspects of mergers and acquisitions and works with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). She oversees legal, human resources, inclusion efforts, sustainability, and communications. Prior to Post, her background includes corporate legal management and law firm experience, including serving as associate general counsel and assistant secretary for MEMC Electronic Materials (SunEdison) and as an associate attorney at Bryan Cave LLP.
Mark W. Westphal President, Michael Foods
Mark W. Westphal has served as the President of Michael Foods since January 2018. Prior to this, he was the chief financial officer of Michael Foods. As President of Michael Foods, he leads the foodservice business, which includes Michael Foods' foodservice egg and potato business, and Bob Evans' foodservice business.
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The key risks to Post Holdings, Inc. include its substantial debt load, declining sales volumes in key segments, and persistent inflationary pressures on input costs.
- High Debt Load: Post Holdings, Inc. carries a substantial debt load, largely accumulated through its strategy of growth by acquisition. This significant leverage, with a reported net leverage ratio of approximately 4.6x after the 8th Avenue acquisition, is considered a major near-term concern and a solvency issue for a consumer packaged goods company. This debt can restrict the company's financial flexibility, limit its capacity to secure additional financing, and heighten its vulnerability to economic downturns.
- Declining Sales Volumes: The company is experiencing a decline in sales volumes in several of its key segments, particularly within Post Consumer Brands for ready-to-eat cereal and pet food. This decline suggests shifts in consumer preferences and an increasing propensity for consumers to opt for non-branded or private label products if branded alternatives become too expensive, potentially leading to stalled revenue growth. Pet food volumes specifically decreased due to distribution losses.
- Inflationary Pressures and Increased Costs: Post Holdings is contending with elevated input costs for ingredients, packaging, and energy, driven by ongoing inflation, tariffs, and disruptions in the supply chain. These cost increases, exacerbated by geopolitical risks, are anticipated to persist, impacting the company's operational margins and overall financial performance.
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The increasing market penetration and consumer adoption of plant-based food alternatives represent a clear emerging threat for Post Holdings, Inc. This trend directly impacts their Foodservice segment, which produces and distributes egg products, as well as their Refrigerated Retail segment, which produces and distributes eggs, sausages, cheese, and other dairy products. As plant-based alternatives gain traction in both foodservice and retail channels, they pose a disruptive challenge to traditional animal-based product categories that form a significant part of Post's business.
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Post Holdings, Inc. operates in various consumer packaged goods markets. The addressable market sizes for its main products and services are outlined below:
-
Post Consumer Brands:
- Ready-to-Eat (RTE) Cereal: The global RTE breakfast cereal market is projected to reach $18.2 billion by 2025.
- Hot Cereal: Null
-
Weetabix:
- Breakfast Drinks: The global breakfast drinks market is estimated to be valued at USD 76.8 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 143.8 billion by 2035.
- Muesli: The global packaged muesli market size was valued at USD 19.35 billion in 2025.
-
Foodservice:
- Potato Products (Foodservice): The market for potatoes in the U.S. foodservice sector increased to a record high of $11.353 billion from July 2022 to June 2023.
- Egg Products (Foodservice): Null
-
Refrigerated Retail:
- Side Dishes: Null
- Eggs and Egg Products (Refrigerated): Null
- Sausages (Refrigerated): Null
- Cheese and other Dairy and Refrigerated Products: Null
-
BellRing Brands:
- Ready-to-Drink (RTD) Protein Shakes: The global Ready-to-Drink Protein Beverage Market size was valued at USD 1.8762 billion in 2024.
- Protein Powders: The global protein powder market was valued at USD 24.6 billion in 2024.
- Nutrition Bars: The global nutritional bars market size was estimated at USD 7.4 billion in 2024.
- Supplements (Dietary/Nutritional): The global nutritional supplements market size was estimated at USD 517.09 billion in 2025. The U.S. dietary supplement market size was valued at USD 78.2 billion in 2025.
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Share Repurchases
- Post Holdings repurchased 6.4 million shares for approximately $708.5 million in fiscal year 2025.
- The company authorized a new $500 million share repurchase program effective November 27, 2025, after having repurchased approximately $275.2 million under a previous $500 million authorization initiated in August 2025.
- From August 27, 2025, to November 25, 2025, Post repurchased 2,588,600 shares for $275.2 million.
Share Issuance
- No significant share issuances for capital raising purposes were explicitly identified in the provided information over the last 3-5 years.
Outbound Investments
- Post Holdings acquired 8th Avenue Food & Provisions, Inc. for approximately $880 million in July 2025, including the assumption of $111 million in finance leases. This acquisition aims to internalize peanut butter manufacturing and expand into dry pasta and granola categories.
- In March 2025, Post Holdings acquired Potato Products of Idaho, L.L.C., strengthening its Refrigerated Retail and Foodservice segments with egg and potato products.
- With the 2021 acquisition of Peter Pan, nut butters became a more important category for Post Holdings.
Capital Expenditures
- Post Holdings reported total capital expenditures for fiscal year 2025 were nearly $500 million.
- For fiscal year 2025, planned capital expenditures ranged between $450 million and $480 million, with $130 million to $140 million allocated to Post Consumer Brands for network optimization, plant closures, and pet food safety/capacity enhancements.
- Expected capital expenditures for fiscal year 2026 are between $350 million and $390 million, including $80 million to $90 million for the Foodservice segment to complete the Norwalk, Iowa precooked egg facility expansion and continue cage-free egg facility expansion.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Post Earnings Notes | 12/21/2025 | |
| How Low Can Post Stock Really Go? | 11/22/2025 | |
| Post vs Cal-Maine Foods: Which Is A Better Investment? | 08/18/2025 | |
| How Does Post Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | 08/13/2025 | |
| Better Bet Than POST Stock: Pay Less Than Post To Get More From UAL, IBKR | 08/12/2025 | |
| Better Bet Than POST Stock: Pay Less Than Post To Get More From CALM | 08/12/2025 | |
| POST Dip Buy Analysis | 07/10/2025 | |
| Post Total Shareholder Return (TSR): -7.1% in 2025 and 13.0% 3-yr compounded annual returns (above peer average) | 03/07/2025 | |
| Post (POST) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 02/17/2025 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| Is Post Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | 11/22/2025 | |
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | 11/22/2025 |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 45.95 |
| Mkt Cap | 10.5 |
| Rev LTM | 10,166 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,071 |
| FCF LTM | 836 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 832 |
| CFO LTM | 1,205 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,198 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -11.6% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -4.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 12.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 12.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 10.5 |
| P/S | 1.1 |
| P/Op Inc | 8.8 |
| P/EBIT | 10.3 |
| P/E | 11.5 |
| P/CFO | 8.5 |
| Total Yield | 7.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 4.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.8% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.6 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 8.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 18.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 3.7% |
| 12M Rtn | -7.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | -35.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 10.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 14.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -2.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -21.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -96.4% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Post Consumer Brands | 4,025 | 4,110 | 3,033 | 2,243 | 1,915 |
| Foodservice | 2,641 | 2,307 | 2,426 | 2,095 | 1,616 |
| Refrigerated Retail | 953 | 962 | 1,020 | 1,037 | 974 |
| Weetabix | 542 | 543 | 512 | 477 | 478 |
| Corporate and eliminations | -3 | 1 | 0 | -0 | -3 |
| BellRing Brands | 1,247 | ||||
| Total | 8,158 | 7,923 | 6,991 | 5,851 | 6,227 |
| $ Mil | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Post Consumer Brands | 394 | 337 | 329 | 359 | 290 |
| BellRing Brands | 164 | 175 | 124 | 96 | 45 |
| Refrigerated Retail | 126 | 95 | |||
| Weetabix | 112 | 95 | 87 | 14 | |
| Foodservice | 26 | 198 | |||
| Loss on extinguishment of debt, net | -73 | 6 | |||
| General corporate expenses and other | -109 | -137 | -88 | -106 | |
| Gain on sale of business | -127 | ||||
| Impairment of goodwill | -125 | -26 | |||
| Michael Foods Group | 248 | 133 | 277 | ||
| Private Brands | 61 | 32 | 40 | ||
| Total | 639 | 780 | 588 | 520 | 546 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Post Consumer Brands | 6,290 | 5,106 | 4,782 | 3,529 | 3,468 |
| Foodservice and Refrigerated Retail | 5,028 | 4,875 | 4,922 | 5,023 | 5,074 |
| Weetabix | 1,925 | 1,948 | 1,738 | 1,591 | 1,930 |
| Corporate | 285 | 924 | 205 | 1,165 | 1,246 |
| BellRing Brands | 696 | ||||
| Total | 13,528 | 12,854 | 11,647 | 11,308 | 12,415 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $97.53 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 4.7 | |
| First Trading Date | 01/27/2012 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -14.9% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $91.18 | $99.63 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | 7.0% | -2.1% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 30.2% | 27.7% |
| Downside Capture | -70.78 | -14.20 |
| Upside Capture | -82.96 | -23.20 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -15.8% | 3.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.54 | -0.39 | -0.09 | 0.25 | 0.13 | 0.21 |
| Up Beta | 0.42 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.15 | 0.66 | 0.41 |
| Down Beta | -0.53 | -0.33 | -0.40 | 0.31 | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| Up Capture | -102% | -103% | -38% | -18% | -11% | 3% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 15 | 28 | 51 | 110 | 366 |
| Down Capture | -59% | -26% | -41% | 3% | 11% | 33% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 26 | 35 | 74 | 141 | 382 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with POST | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| POST | -8.6% | 27.7% | -0.34 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 10.6% | 14.1% | 0.48 | 50.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.6% | 12.8% | 0.86 | 1.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.6% | 28.1% | 0.68 | -2.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 31.5% | 19.7% | 1.27 | -7.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 15.9% | 14.0% | 0.82 | 32.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -46.1% | 42.9% | -1.32 | 9.2% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with POST | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| POST | 8.3% | 22.9% | 0.30 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 7.0% | 13.6% | 0.29 | 54.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.4% | 17.1% | 0.55 | 26.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.1% | 18.4% | 0.75 | 0.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.3% | 19.5% | 0.36 | 0.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.9% | 18.9% | 0.05 | 37.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 14.7% | 53.3% | 0.46 | 8.2% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with POST | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| POST | 5.9% | 24.2% | 0.24 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 7.4% | 14.8% | 0.37 | 56.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.7% | 17.9% | 0.70 | 42.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.3% | 16.1% | 0.57 | 2.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.1% | 18.0% | 0.32 | 12.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 45.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 57.7% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 8.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/10/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | -0.9% | -0.2% | -12.6% |
| 2/5/2026 | 9.8% | 5.7% | 1.0% |
| 11/20/2025 | -7.2% | -6.7% | -5.9% |
| 8/7/2025 | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
| 5/8/2025 | -0.1% | -0.4% | -0.7% |
| 2/6/2025 | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% |
| 11/14/2024 | -1.5% | 4.8% | 8.0% |
| 8/1/2024 | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 17 | 14 |
| # Negative | 10 | 6 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% |
| Median Negative | -1.5% | -3.0% | -4.0% |
| Max Positive | 9.8% | 13.9% | 11.0% |
| Max Negative | -7.2% | -6.7% | -12.6% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | -0.9% | -0.2% | -12.6% |
| 2/5/2026 | 9.8% | 5.7% | 1.0% |
| 11/20/2025 | -7.2% | -6.7% | -5.9% |
| 8/7/2025 | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
| 5/8/2025 | -0.1% | -0.4% | -0.7% |
| 2/6/2025 | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% |
| 11/14/2024 | -1.5% | 4.8% | 8.0% |
| 8/1/2024 | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.8% |
| 5/2/2024 | -2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 2/1/2024 | 7.7% | 13.5% | 10.6% |
| 11/16/2023 | -1.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% |
| 8/3/2023 | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% |
| 5/4/2023 | 0.7% | 0.4% | -4.0% |
| 2/2/2023 | 1.4% | -4.7% | -4.6% |
| 11/17/2022 | -0.7% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| 8/4/2022 | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 5/5/2022 | 7.0% | 4.0% | 8.7% |
| 2/3/2022 | -1.2% | 0.2% | -7.5% |
| 11/18/2021 | -3.7% | -2.9% | -0.5% |
| 8/5/2021 | 8.5% | 13.9% | 11.0% |
| 5/6/2021 | 0.1% | 0.6% | -0.5% |
| 2/4/2021 | 1.0% | 4.9% | 9.9% |
| 8/6/2020 | -2.9% | -3.1% | -3.0% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 17 | 14 |
| # Negative | 10 | 6 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% |
| Median Negative | -1.5% | -3.0% | -4.0% |
| Max Positive | 9.8% | 13.9% | 11.0% |
| Max Negative | -7.2% | -6.7% | -12.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/05/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/21/2025 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/15/2024 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/03/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/17/2023 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/17/2022 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/05/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/21/2025 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/15/2024 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/03/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/17/2023 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/17/2022 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/06/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/19/2021 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/06/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/07/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/05/2021 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/20/2020 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/07/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/08/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/07/2020 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/22/2019 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2019 | 08/02/2019 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 7/27/2026Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 1.55 Bil | 1.56 Bil | 1.58 Bil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 1.56 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 350.00 Mil | 370.00 Mil | 390.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 370.00 Mil for 2026 | |
Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 2/5/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 1.55 Bil | 1.56 Bil | 1.58 Bil | 3.0% | Raised | Guidance: 1.52 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 350.00 Mil | 370.00 Mil | 390.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 370.00 Mil for 2026 | |
Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 11/20/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 1.50 Bil | 1.52 Bil | 1.54 Bil | 0.7% | Higher New | Guidance: 1.51 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 350.00 Mil | 370.00 Mil | 390.00 Mil | -20.4% | Lower New | Guidance: 465.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Updated 7/2/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curl, Gregory L | Direct | Sell | 5142026 | 105.05 | 6,186 | 649,839 | 1,586,990 | Form | |
| 2 | Curl, Gregory L | Direct | Sell | 2102026 | 114.31 | 6,983 | 798,221 | 2,433,986 | Form | |
| 3 | Harper, Bradly A | SVP, CHIEF ACCTING OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 12082025 | 96.69 | 1,658 | 160,304 | 1,106,173 | Form |
| 4 | Catoggio, Nicolas | PRES & CEO, PCB | Direct | Sell | 11262025 | 100.21 | 10,000 | 1,002,109 | 7,570,132 | Form |
| 5 | Kemper, David W | Direct | Buy | 11252025 | 97.93 | 1,800 | 176,274 | 3,086,949 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curl, Gregory L | Direct | Sell | 5142026 | 105.05 | 6,186 | 649,839 | 1,586,990 | Form | |
| 2 | Curl, Gregory L | Direct | Sell | 2102026 | 114.31 | 6,983 | 798,221 | 2,433,986 | Form | |
| 3 | Harper, Bradly A | SVP, CHIEF ACCTING OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 12082025 | 96.69 | 1,658 | 160,304 | 1,106,173 | Form |
| 4 | Catoggio, Nicolas | PRES & CEO, PCB | Direct | Sell | 11262025 | 100.21 | 10,000 | 1,002,109 | 7,570,132 | Form |
| 5 | Kemper, David W | Direct | Buy | 11252025 | 97.93 | 1,800 | 176,274 | 3,086,949 | Form | |
| 6 | Stiritz, William P | Direct | Buy | 8212025 | 109.53 | 36,000 | 3,943,080 | 474,776,077 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Jul 30, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
Industry Resources
| Consumer Staples Resources |
| FoodNavigator |
| Consumer Goods Technology (CGT) |
| Beverage Digest |
| Packaged Foods & Meats Resources |
| USDA Data |
| Food Processing |
| Meat+Poultry |
| Just Food |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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