Sempreon (CASK)
Market Price (11/6/2026): $17.56 | Market Cap: $376.2 MilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Distillers & Vintners
Sempreon (CASK)
Market Price (11/6/2026): $17.56Market Cap: $376.2 MilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Distillers & Vintners
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 2.8% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -97%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -164% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 89% Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -16%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.9% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -69% Key risksCASK key risks include [1] regulatory and legal uncertainties impacting its unique Direct-to-Consumer and Tribal Beverage Network (TBN) sales channels, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 2.8% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -97%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -164% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 89% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -16%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.9% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -69% |
| Key risksCASK key risks include [1] regulatory and legal uncertainties impacting its unique Direct-to-Consumer and Tribal Beverage Network (TBN) sales channels, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Sempreon (CASK) stock has remained largely at the same level since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Sempreon (formerly MGP Ingredients) reported weaker-than-expected financial results for its fiscal Q3 2026, which ended September 30, 2026. The company's consolidated sales declined 10% year-over-year to $117.9 million, while net income plummeted 55% to $6.9 million, and adjusted basic earnings per share fell to $0.39 from $0.71 in the prior year. This significant underperformance across key financial metrics likely contributed to negative investor sentiment.
2. The Distilling Solutions segment experienced a substantial downturn, with sales decreasing 29% to $29 million during fiscal Q3 2026. This decline was attributed to challenging industry conditions and an "oversupplied" market for distilling spirits in the United States, indicating a broader macroeconomic headwind impacting a core part of the business.
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Sempreon (CASK) stock has remained largely at the same level since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Sempreon (formerly MGP Ingredients) reported weaker-than-expected financial results for its fiscal Q3 2026, which ended September 30, 2026. The company's consolidated sales declined 10% year-over-year to $117.9 million, while net income plummeted 55% to $6.9 million, and adjusted basic earnings per share fell to $0.39 from $0.71 in the prior year. This significant underperformance across key financial metrics likely contributed to negative investor sentiment.
2. The Distilling Solutions segment experienced a substantial downturn, with sales decreasing 29% to $29 million during fiscal Q3 2026. This decline was attributed to challenging industry conditions and an "oversupplied" market for distilling spirits in the United States, indicating a broader macroeconomic headwind impacting a core part of the business.
3. Sempreon made financial covenant adjustments related to the Penelope Bourbon acquisition during the period. On August 6, 2026, the company entered into amendments to credit agreements, including modifying the definition of Consolidated EBITDA, to permit adding back up to $20 million in aggregate losses from specific accounts receivable. These "precautionary measures" were taken as the company expected fiscal Q3 2026 to represent its peak leverage, suggesting ongoing financial management related to the acquisition's earnout obligations.
4. Operational challenges within the Ingredient Solutions segment negatively impacted sales in fiscal Q3 2026. Specifically, sales of specialty wheat starch saw a 12% decline due to longer-than-expected downtime following a scheduled plant shutdown.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -0.3% change in CASK stock from 7/31/2026 to 11/5/2026 was primarily driven by a -2.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 7312026 | 11052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 17.58 | 17.52 | -0.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 500 | 487 | -2.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 21 | 21 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -0.3% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2026 to 11/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CASK | -0.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | -1.9% | -1.1% |
| Sector (XLP) | 7.3% | 57.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -10.9% change in CASK stock from 4/30/2026 to 11/5/2026 was primarily driven by a -6.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 4302026 | 11052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 19.68 | 17.52 | -10.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 521 | 487 | -6.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.8 | 0.8 | -4.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 21 | 21 | -0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -10.9% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2026 to 11/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CASK | -10.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 2.3% | -5.8% |
| Sector (XLP) | 9.0% | 55.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -25.8% change in CASK stock from 10/31/2025 to 11/5/2026 was primarily driven by a -15.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 11052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 23.61 | 17.52 | -25.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 579 | 487 | -15.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.9 | 0.8 | -11.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 21 | 21 | -0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -25.8% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 11/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CASK | -25.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.4% | 1.8% |
| Sector (XLP) | 22.1% | 42.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -80.6% change in CASK stock from 10/31/2023 to 11/5/2026 was primarily driven by a -69.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312023 | 11052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 90.56 | 17.52 | -80.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 802 | 487 | -39.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.5 | 0.8 | -69.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 22 | 21 | 2.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -80.6% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2023 to 11/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CASK | -80.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 81.3% | 15.3% |
| Sector (XLP) | 44.9% | 33.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CASK Return | 82% | 26% | -7% | -60% | -37% | -26% | -60% |
| Peers Return | 27% | 13% | -0% | -2% | -12% | 8% | 33% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 105% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CASK Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 45% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 64% | 56% | 50% | 42% | 44% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 45% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CASK Max Drawdown | -22% | -17% | -32% | -60% | -44% | -51% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -14% | -21% | -20% | -20% | -28% | -24% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: STZ, ADM, INGR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 11/5/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CASK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -18.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 22.3% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 30 days | 79 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -10.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 11.4% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 34 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -32.3% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.6% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 21 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -27.2% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 37.3% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 60 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -11.3% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.8% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1 days | 6 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -11.9% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.5% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 26 days | 62 days |
In The Past
Sempreon's stock fell -18.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 22.3% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | CASK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -32.3% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.6% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 21 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -27.2% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 37.3% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 60 days | 105 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -41.5% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 71.0% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 973 days | 123 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -28.7% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.2% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 122 days | 125 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -95.1% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1948.7% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 649 days | 1085 days |
| Summer 2007 Credit Crunch | ||
| % Loss | -29.2% | -8.6% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.2% | 9.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2642 days | 47 days |
In The Past
Sempreon's stock fell -18.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 22.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Sempreon (CASK)
Sempreon (CASK) is a prominent craft distillery specializing in the production, marketing, and sale of a diverse line of award-winning spirits. Their product portfolio includes whiskeys, vodkas, gins, rums, and popular ready-to-drink canned cocktails. The company prides itself on taste and innovation, having received more awards from the American Distilling Institute than any other North American craft distiller for the past decade, establishing them as a leading producer in the rapidly expanding U.S. craft spirits market.
Sempreon serves consumers primarily through a multi-faceted distribution strategy. They engage in direct-to-consumer (DtC) online sales, shipping to legal purchasers in 46 states, which allows for higher-margin sales and valuable customer data collection. Additionally, they leverage traditional wholesale distribution to local, regional, and national accounts, and operate five company-owned distilleries and tasting rooms in Washington and Oregon. While currently concentrated in the Pacific Northwest, Sempreon is actively developing a national reach.
A key component of Sempreon's growth strategy is its innovative Tribal Beverage Network (TBN). This unique sales channel involves collaborations with Native American tribes to establish Heritage-branded micro production hubs, stores, and tasting rooms on tribal lands. Sempreon grants licenses for its brands, products, and intellectual property to these tribal-owned businesses, receiving royalties on gross sales. This model is designed to expand brand recognition, create regional production centers, and foster synergy with their wholesale channels, driving broader national adoption and growth.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Sempreon (CASK):
- Think of Sempreon as a 'Sam Adams for craft spirits,' producing a diverse line of award-winning whiskeys, vodkas, and more, but with an aggressive focus on direct-to-consumer sales and unique tribal partnerships to grow nationally.
- It's like a 'Warby Parker for premium craft liquor,' building its brand through online direct-to-consumer sales while also expanding into traditional wholesale and an innovative tribal beverage network.
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- Craft Spirits: A diverse line of award-winning distilled spirits including whiskeys, vodkas, gins, and rums.
- Ready-to-Drink (RTD) Canned Cocktails: Pre-mixed, award-winning cocktails offered in convenient canned formats.
- Tribal Beverage Network (TBN) Licensing and Support: Providing licenses, intellectual property, new product development, and ongoing operational support to Native American tribal partners for their craft spirit businesses.
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Sempreon serves a diverse customer base through multiple channels. Its major customers fall into the following categories:
- Wholesale Distributors: These are business entities that purchase Sempreon's craft spirits in volume for resale to local, regional, and national accounts. These accounts include both on-premises establishments (such as bars and restaurants) and off-premises retailers (like liquor stores). Sempreon aims to drive large-scale growth across retail chains through this channel. The background information does not provide specific names of these wholesale distributor companies.
- Individual Consumers (Direct-to-Consumer or DtC): This category includes legal purchasers who buy Sempreon's products directly. These sales occur through the company's five owned and operated distilleries and tasting rooms located in Washington and Oregon, as well as via online shipping directly to consumers in 46 states where permitted. This channel allows Sempreon to generate higher-margin sales, develop direct relationships, and collect valuable demographic and product performance data.
- Native American Tribal Partners (Tribal Beverage Network or TBN): This is a unique and recently developed sales channel. Sempreon collaborates with Native American tribes who become partners in establishing and owning Heritage-branded micro-production hubs, stores, and tasting rooms on tribal lands. Sempreon supports these tribal businesses by granting licenses for its brands, products, recipes, and intellectual property, and by selling finished, intermediate, or bulk spirits to them. This collaboration aims to expand brand recognition and product sales, generating royalty revenue for Sempreon. The background information does not provide specific names of the tribal partners.
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Justin Stiefel, Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Stiefel is the co-founder of Heritage Distilling Company and the creator of the Tribal Beverage Network (TBN) concept. Before co-founding Heritage, he spent 13 years working in the United States Senate, focusing on taxation, economic development, banking, and oil and gas policy. He was also Of Counsel at the international law firm Dorsey and Whitney LLP.
Michael Carrosino, Executive Vice President of Finance & Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Carrosino has served as Heritage's Acting Chief Financial Officer since June 2023. He is a veteran Finance and Operations executive with over 40 years of experience across various public and private industries, specializing in Accounting, FP&A, Human Resources, Operations, M&A, divestitures, fundraisings, and restructurings. He has previously held CFO positions at several companies including Pacific Biometrics Inc., Experticity, Conversay, Helix BioMedix, and Tatoosh.
Jennifer Stiefel, President
Mrs. Stiefel is a co-founder of Heritage Distilling and has been President of the company since 2011. She oversees the Heritage brand preservation and consumer experience and plays an instrumental role in growing the Tribal Beverage Network (TBN). Prior to founding Heritage, she worked as a staff assistant for the United States Senate Committee on Appropriation and was a teacher.
Danielle B. Perkins, Senior Vice President, Wholesale Operations
Ms. Perkins has been with Heritage Distilling Company since 2018.
Beth A. Marker, Senior Vice President, Tribal Partnerships
Ms. Marker's role focuses on tribal partnerships, which aligns with the company's Tribal Beverage Network (TBN) growth strategy.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Sempreon (CASK) primarily revolve around the highly regulated nature of the spirits industry, intense market competition, and the successful execution of its new, unique growth strategies.
The most significant risk is the **dynamic and stringent regulatory and legal environment** governing alcohol sales and distribution, particularly impacting Sempreon's Direct-to-Consumer (DtC) sales and its nascent Tribal Beverage Network (TBN). Sempreon relies on DtC sales across 46 states, a model highly susceptible to changes in state-specific shipping laws and regulations. Similarly, the TBN, a "recently-developed" channel involving collaboration with Native American tribes for production and sales on tribal lands, could face unforeseen legal, compliance, or operational complexities as it expands nationally. Any adverse changes or increased scrutiny in these regulatory frameworks could significantly impede key growth channels.
Secondly, Sempreon operates in an **increasingly competitive craft spirits segment**. Despite being an award-winning producer, the market is described as having "more than 2,600 craft producers in North America" and growing rapidly. This intense competition poses a continuous challenge to maintaining market share, brand differentiation, and achieving growth rates that exceed the overall market, requiring sustained investment in marketing, sales, and product innovation.
Lastly, there is a **significant execution risk associated with the successful scaling and adoption of its unique Tribal Beverage Network (TBN)**. This model is a core component of Sempreon's growth strategy, involving complex collaborations with tribal partners for production, retail, and brand development, where Sempreon receives royalties. The ability to successfully establish regional production hubs, generate sales of Heritage and tribally-branded products, and achieve the anticipated synergy with wholesale channels across a national footprint represents a substantial operational and strategic challenge. Unforeseen difficulties in securing partnerships, managing operations, or gaining market acceptance for this new channel could hinder Sempreon's projected growth.
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Sempreon (CASK) operates within two key addressable markets for its craft spirits products:
- The overall spirits market, which is valued at $288 billion globally.
- The craft spirits segment, which had revenues of more than $21.4 billion globally in 2023. This segment increased by 20.9% from 2021 and is estimated to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 29.4% between 2024 and 2030, according to the Craft Spirits Global Market Report 2023 of Grand View Research.
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Sempreon (CASK) expects its future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years to be driven by the following key areas:
- Growth in Direct-to-Consumer (DtC) Sales: The company is focused on expanding its direct-to-consumer sales by shipping to legal purchasers in 46 states, utilizing a three-tier compliant, third-party platform. This strategy aims to generate higher-margin sales, collect valuable customer data for targeted marketing and retargeting, and build direct consumer relationships.
- Expansion of Wholesale Volume and Revenue: Sempreon plans to grow its wholesale distribution, leveraging its DtC strategy to build brand recognition in selected regions. This increased brand awareness is intended to support wholesale launches, marketing, and product pull-through with wholesalers, driving large-scale growth across retail chains.
- Expansion of the Tribal Beverage Network (TBN): The company is focused on expanded growth of its collaboration with Native American tribes through the TBN model. This channel involves Heritage-branded micro production hubs, stores, and tasting rooms on tribal lands, with Sempreon receiving royalties on gross sales. The TBN is expected to create a national network, promote brands as local and regional, and foster synergy with wholesale channels by driving trial and awareness.
- Increased Marketing Efforts and Sales Team Expansion: Sempreon believes it is well-positioned to grow in excess of the market growth rate by increasing its marketing efforts and expanding the size of its sales teams, which will support broader wholesale distribution.
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Peer Outperformance in Distillers & Vintners
| Industry | Names | 1Y med | 3Y med | 5Y med | Top 3 by 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail | 12 | 22.6% | 58.8% | 58.5% | WMT 171% · PSMT 128% · COST 119% |
| Tobacco | 6 | -27.2% | -3.6% | 41.4% | PM 169% · MO 152% |
| Food Retail | 6 | 12.4% | 64.4% | 37.5% | CASY 252% · SFM 114% · KR 83% |
| Food Distributors | 8 | 10.3% | 24.1% | 33.0% | CHEF 182% · USFD 177% · PFGC 126% |
| Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages | 13 | 12.6% | -4.6% | 11.9% | COKE 413% · COCO 367% · MNST 109% |
| Brewers | 3 | 7.4% | -20.8% | 6.9% | BUD 51% · TAP 7% · SAM -55% |
| Personal Care Products | 4 | 10.7% | 4.5% | -13.9% | ELF 251% · PG 30% · COTY -58% |
| Household Products | 19 | 23.6% | 6.1% | -18.1% | IPAR 61% · CL 43% · CHD 33% |
| Packaged Foods & Meats | 48 | -24.5% | -32.3% | -36.0% | CALM 130% · TR 43% · SJM 27% |
| Agricultural Products & Services | 11 | -8.9% | -9.6% | -40.2% | ADM 26% · BG 21% · INGR 14% |
| Distillers & Vintners ← | 5 | -26.9% | -56.2% | -75.4% | STZ -28% · BF-B -52% |
| Drug Retail | 3 | -67.4% | -82.5% | -95.5% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
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Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 83.89 |
| Mkt Cap | 15.2 |
| Rev LTM | 8,212 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,678 |
| FCF LTM | 350 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,252 |
| CFO LTM | 1,140 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,956 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -2.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -4.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -9.1% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -2.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 15.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.6% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Branded Spirits | 233 | 241 | 254 | 238 | 184 |
| Distilling Solutions | 181 | 332 | 451 | 428 | 353 |
| Ingredient solutions | 122 | 131 | 132 | 116 | 91 |
| Corporate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Total | 536 | 704 | 837 | 782 | 627 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2005 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Distilling Solutions | 65 | 137 | 122 | 122 | |
| Ingredient solutions | 11 | 21 | 41 | 28 | |
| Corporate | -43 | -35 | -48 | -34 | |
| Branded Spirits | -128 | -48 | 34 | 33 | |
| Distillery Products | 9 | ||||
| Ingredients | -1 | ||||
| Total | -95 | 74 | 149 | 149 | 8 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Branded Spirits | 734 | 862 | 911 | 699 | 659 |
| Distilling Solutions | 342 | 382 | 369 | 350 | 315 |
| Ingredient solutions | 134 | 132 | 89 | 64 | 43 |
| Corporate | 25 | 29 | 24 | 45 | 25 |
| Total | 1,236 | 1,406 | 1,392 | 1,158 | 1,041 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $17.52 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 11/22/2024 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -32.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $14.98 | $17.96 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | 17.0% | -2.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 50.3% | 45.9% |
| Downside Capture | -39.12 | 50.37 |
| Upside Capture | -24.32 | 6.78 |
| Correlation (S&P 500) | -6.4% | 2.1% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.62 | -0.54 | -0.59 | -0.44 | -0.02 | 0.42 |
| Up Beta | -6.25 | -5.32 | -2.57 | -1.40 | -0.91 | 0.40 |
| Down Beta | 0.79 | 0.07 | 0.51 | -0.02 | 0.21 | 0.45 |
| Up Capture | 141% | 4% | -38% | -32% | -2% | 0% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 18 | 28 | 62 | 130 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 19 | 28 | 56 | 115 | 353 |
| Down Capture | -288% | -21% | -34% | -22% | 50% | 93% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 25 | 36 | 64 | 121 | 325 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 24 | 36 | 69 | 135 | 396 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CASK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CASK | -27.8% | 45.9% | -0.57 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 22.7% | 15.7% | 1.09 | 42.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 9.5% | 13.6% | 0.41 | 2.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 3.6% | 28.7% | 0.11 | 6.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 37.7% | 21.2% | 1.40 | -8.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.0% | 14.2% | 0.55 | 28.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -20.8% | 43.3% | -0.42 | -9.7% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CASK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CASK | -21.9% | 40.5% | -0.50 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 7.7% | 14.0% | 0.33 | 32.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.3% | 17.3% | 0.48 | 24.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.5% | 19.1% | 0.74 | 2.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.0% | 19.6% | 0.29 | 3.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.2% | 18.9% | -0.05 | 34.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 5.9% | 51.5% | 0.29 | 9.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CASK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CASK | -6.0% | 43.1% | 0.01 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 8.5% | 15.0% | 0.42 | 30.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.9% | 18.0% | 0.70 | 28.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.0% | 16.5% | 0.59 | 2.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.6% | 18.1% | 0.33 | 7.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.7% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 30.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 61.3% | 66.2% | 1.01 | 8.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2026 | 10/28/2026 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2026 | 07/29/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 04/29/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/25/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/22/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/23/2023 | 10-K |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2026 | 10/28/2026 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2026 | 07/29/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 04/29/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/25/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/22/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/23/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/24/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/03/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/04/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/05/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/25/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 10/29/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 07/30/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 04/30/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/26/2020 | 10-K |
Industry Resources
| Consumer Staples Resources |
| FoodNavigator |
| Consumer Goods Technology (CGT) |
| Beverage Digest |
| Distillers & Vintners Resources |
| Just Drinks |
| Wine Business Monthly |
| Beverage Dynamics |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.