Casey's General Stores (CASY)


Market Price (9/16/2026): $590.76 | Market Cap: $-Investor Relations Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Food Retail

Casey's General Stores (CASY)


Market Price (9/16/2026): $590.76
Market Cap: $-
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Food Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%

Key risks
CASY key risks include [1] significant margin pressure from its heavy dependence on volatile fuel sales and [2] a long-term structural threat to fuel demand from the consumer shift toward electric vehicles.

0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
1 Key risks
CASY key risks include [1] significant margin pressure from its heavy dependence on volatile fuel sales and [2] a long-term structural threat to fuel demand from the consumer shift toward electric vehicles.

CASY in ETFs

Weight = CASY's share of each fund

SPY0.04%
VOO0.05%
IVV0.04%
VTI0.04%
ITOT0.03%
IWB0.03%
RSP0.13%
VIG0.14%
+28 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 9/15/2026

Casey's General Stores (CASY) stock has lost about 25% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Investor concerns over slowing fiscal year 2027 (FY27) guidance, despite strong fiscal Q4 2026 and fiscal Q1 2027 results.

Casey's General Stores reported strong fiscal Q4 2026 results on June 9, 2026, with diluted EPS up 66.2% year-over-year to $4.37, exceeding estimates. However, management's projection for fiscal 2027 (ending April 30, 2027) indicated an anticipated EBITDA growth of 8% to 10%, a "sharp deceleration" from the approximately 23% growth achieved in fiscal 2026. This conservative outlook continued to weigh on the stock, exacerbated after the fiscal Q1 2027 earnings release on September 8, 2026, where despite beating analyst estimates with diluted EPS of $7.37 (up 27.7% year-over-year) and revenue of $5.68 billion (up 24.3% year-over-year), the company maintained its prior full-year guidance for FY27. This lack of an improved outlook, despite the strong quarterly performance, triggered a "sell-the-news" reaction, contributing significantly to the stock's decline.

2. Premium valuation and elevated market expectations led to a significant reset.

Prior to the stock's decline, Casey's General Stores reached a 52-week high of $927.85 in mid-June 2026. Analysts and investors expressed concerns that the stock was trading at a "premium valuation," with a trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 29.94 around the time of the fiscal Q1 2027 earnings release. Despite consistently strong operational performance and earnings beats, market expectations were considered "elevated" and "skewed toward the high end of the company's guidance range". This led to a substantial correction as investors "reset expectations" in response to the unchanged fiscal 2027 guidance and perceived stretched valuation. The stock experienced a single-session drop of approximately 5.4% in late August and fell over 14% on September 9, 2026, following the Q1 FY27 report.

Show more
Updated on 9/15/2026

Casey's General Stores (CASY) stock has lost about 25% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Investor concerns over slowing fiscal year 2027 (FY27) guidance, despite strong fiscal Q4 2026 and fiscal Q1 2027 results.

Casey's General Stores reported strong fiscal Q4 2026 results on June 9, 2026, with diluted EPS up 66.2% year-over-year to $4.37, exceeding estimates. However, management's projection for fiscal 2027 (ending April 30, 2027) indicated an anticipated EBITDA growth of 8% to 10%, a "sharp deceleration" from the approximately 23% growth achieved in fiscal 2026. This conservative outlook continued to weigh on the stock, exacerbated after the fiscal Q1 2027 earnings release on September 8, 2026, where despite beating analyst estimates with diluted EPS of $7.37 (up 27.7% year-over-year) and revenue of $5.68 billion (up 24.3% year-over-year), the company maintained its prior full-year guidance for FY27. This lack of an improved outlook, despite the strong quarterly performance, triggered a "sell-the-news" reaction, contributing significantly to the stock's decline.

2. Premium valuation and elevated market expectations led to a significant reset.

Prior to the stock's decline, Casey's General Stores reached a 52-week high of $927.85 in mid-June 2026. Analysts and investors expressed concerns that the stock was trading at a "premium valuation," with a trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 29.94 around the time of the fiscal Q1 2027 earnings release. Despite consistently strong operational performance and earnings beats, market expectations were considered "elevated" and "skewed toward the high end of the company's guidance range". This led to a substantial correction as investors "reset expectations" in response to the unchanged fiscal 2027 guidance and perceived stretched valuation. The stock experienced a single-session drop of approximately 5.4% in late August and fell over 14% on September 9, 2026, following the Q1 FY27 report.

3. Reduction in free cash flow raised concerns about future capital spending and cash generation.

Alongside the maintained fiscal 2027 guidance, the fiscal Q1 2027 earnings report highlighted a decrease in free cash flow, which fell to $190 million, down from $262 million in the same period a year prior. While operating cash flow remained robust at $384 million, the decline in free cash flow fueled investor apprehension regarding the company's cash generation capabilities and its implications for future capital spending, despite ambitious growth targets outlined in the September 2026 investor presentation. This specific financial metric contributed to a broader investor concern about the company's outlook and cash generation, further pressuring the stock.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

5/31/2026 to 9/15/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CASY-23.4% 
Market (SPY)0.1%-24.5%
Sector (XLP)1.0%28.2%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 9/15/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CASY-14.2% 
Market (SPY)10.7%-1.1%
Sector (XLP)-6.5%29.7%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 9/15/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CASY19.1% 
Market (SPY)18.4%-1.2%
Sector (XLP)5.8%31.2%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

8/31/2023 to 9/15/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CASY143.6% 
Market (SPY)74.1%21.4%
Sector (XLP)24.0%28.8%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
CASY Return11%14%23%45%40%13%260%
Peers Return46%3%22%36%-1%3%151%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%11%103%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CASY Win Rate75%67%67%75%58%67% 
Peers Win Rate65%48%67%57%58%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%44% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CASY Max Drawdown-19%-16%-13%-9%-14%-33% 
Peers Max Drawdown-18%-27%-12%-13%-23%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MUSA, KR, ACI, WMT, COST. See CASY Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/15/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventCASYS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-11.1%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven12.5%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven16 days79 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-12.7%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven14.6%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven20 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-30.7%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven44.3%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven133 days140 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-14.4%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven16.9%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven23 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-10.6%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven11.9%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven69 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-39.3%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven64.8%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven188 days1085 days

Compare to MUSA, KR, ACI, WMT, COST

In The Past

Casey's General Stores's stock fell -11.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 12.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventCASYS&P 500
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-30.7%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven44.3%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven133 days140 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-39.3%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven64.8%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven188 days1085 days

Compare to MUSA, KR, ACI, WMT, COST

In The Past

Casey's General Stores's stock fell -11.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 12.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Casey's General Stores (CASY)

Casey's General Stores, Inc. (CASY) operates a large chain of convenience stores primarily across the United States. Founded in 1959, the company manages approximately 2,400 locations under the Casey's and Casey's General Store names. Its core business model centers on providing a convenient one-stop shop for both motor fuel and an extensive array of everyday essentials, positioning itself as a vital retail presence in the communities it serves.

The company's offerings are diverse, encompassing two primary categories: fuel and in-store merchandise. On the fuel side, Casey's provides self-service gasoline and diesel fuel. Inside the stores, a significant differentiator is its robust freshly prepared food program, featuring popular items like pizza, donuts, and sandwiches. This is complemented by a wide selection of convenience items including tobacco and nicotine products, soft drinks, snacks, candy, packaged bakery goods, health and beauty aids, automotive products, beer, wine, spirits, and lottery tickets, among others. The company also operates a small number of specialized stores, such as Tobacco City and liquor stores.

Casey's primarily serves a broad customer base of everyday consumers and travelers seeking convenience and value in local communities and along major routes throughout the United States. Its primary markets are the regions surrounding its store locations, catering to residents and commuters looking for quick access to fuel, groceries, snacks, and prepared meals. The company's strategy focuses on efficiently meeting daily consumer needs, establishing itself as an essential part of the local retail landscape in its operational areas.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Casey's General Stores:

  • It's like a 7-Eleven that has significantly expanded its fresh food menu to include items like pizza and donuts, alongside fuel and typical convenience store offerings.
  • Think of it as the Midwest's version of a Wawa or Sheetz, combining gas, a wide range of convenience store items, and a strong emphasis on freshly prepared foods.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Freshly Prepared Foods: Offers a selection of items like pizza, donuts, and sandwiches made fresh for customers.
  • Motor Fuel: Provides self-service gasoline and diesel fuel for vehicles.
  • Tobacco & Nicotine Products: Sells a variety of tobacco and nicotine products, including through specialized stores.
  • Beverages: Features a wide selection of soft drinks, coffee, tea, dairy products, and alcoholic beverages like beer, wine, and spirits.
  • Snacks & Packaged Groceries: Includes snacks, candy, packaged bakery items, ice cream, and other convenience grocery products.
  • General Merchandise: Sells a range of non-food items such as health and beauty aids, automotive products, and electronic accessories.
  • Convenience Services: Provides services like lotto/lottery tickets and prepaid cards.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Casey's General Stores (CASY) primarily sells directly to individuals through its network of convenience stores. Its major customer categories include:

  1. Commuters and Travelers: Individuals who stop at Casey's locations for motor fuel, quick snacks, beverages, coffee, and grab-and-go meals while on their daily commutes or longer journeys. This group values speed, convenience, and accessibility.

  2. Local Residents and Households: People living in the communities served by Casey's stores who rely on them for everyday essentials, including groceries (milk, bread, etc.), freshly prepared foods (pizza, donuts, sandwiches), tobacco products, lottery tickets, and other household convenience items. This segment appreciates the proximity and extended operating hours.

  3. On-the-go Consumers: This category encompasses individuals such as workers, students, or anyone seeking quick meals, snacks, coffee, or beverages throughout their day. They often utilize Casey's for its freshly prepared food options and convenient selection of drinks and treats.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

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Darren Rebelez, Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer and President

Darren Rebelez was appointed CEO in June 2019. Prior to joining Casey's, he served as President of IHOP Restaurants and as Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer at 7-Eleven. He also held various leadership roles at ExxonMobil Corporation, Thornton Oil Corp, and KFC (when it was owned by PepsiCo). Rebelez is a graduate of the U.S. Military Academy at West Point, a Gulf War veteran (Army Ranger), and holds an MBA from the University of Houston. He serves on the board of directors of Genuine Parts Company and as an advisory board member for the Children of Fallen Patriots Foundation.

Stephen P. Bramlage, Jr., Chief Financial Officer and Principal Accounting Officer

Stephen P. Bramlage, Jr. was appointed CFO in 2020. His previous roles include EVP & CFO at Aramark and SVP & CFO at Owens-Illinois. He also held various financial positions at PPG Industries, Eli-Lilly, and EY. Bramlage holds an MBA from Northwestern University and a Bachelor of Science from the University of Dayton. He also serves on the board of directors for Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc.

Ena Williams, Chief Operations Officer

Ena Williams serves as the Chief Operations Officer of Casey's General Stores.

Thomas P Brennan, Chief Merchandising Officer

Thomas P Brennan is the Chief Merchandising Officer at Casey's General Stores.

Chad Michael Frazell, Chief Human Resources Officer

Chad Michael Frazell holds the position of Chief Human Resources Officer at Casey's General Stores.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Key Risks to Casey's General Stores (CASY)

  1. Dependence on Fuel Sales and the Transition to Electric Vehicles: Casey's General Stores' financial performance is significantly influenced by its fuel sales, which are subject to volatile market prices and fluctuating consumer demand. The company's reliance on fuel sales poses a risk due to external factors such as changes in oil prices and the long-term structural threat of consumers shifting towards more fuel-efficient or electric vehicles (EVs). This dependence could impact the company's overall financial stability in the face of evolving industry trends.
  2. Intense Industry Competition: The convenience store industry is highly competitive, with Casey's facing competition from national chains, supermarkets, drugstores, discount stores, and non-traditional retailers. This competitive landscape impacts Casey's revenue and profitability, as various players vie for market share. Maintaining market position requires continuous innovation and adaptation regarding price, location, product offerings, and service quality.
  3. Operational, Legal, and Security Risks: As a company with a vast network of stores and internal operations, Casey's faces inherent operational risks, including those associated with managing a large workforce. The company is also exposed to legal challenges, such as ongoing lawsuits related to the misclassification of Store Managers, which could result in financial liabilities and reputational damage. Furthermore, convenience stores and gas stations, like those operated by Casey's, are susceptible to significant security risks, including robberies, thefts, antisocial behavior, and potential gun violence, which can endanger employees and customers and lead to losses.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The accelerated transition to Electric Vehicles (EVs) poses a clear long-term threat to Casey's significant motor fuel sales, which are a primary driver of store traffic and impulse purchases inside the store. As EV adoption grows, demand for traditional gasoline and diesel will decline, potentially eroding a core revenue stream and altering store visit patterns.

The rapid expansion and adoption of e-commerce, particularly for grocery and meal delivery services, presents another clear emerging threat. These services increasingly offer consumers the convenience of having goods delivered directly to their homes, reducing the need for impromptu stops at convenience stores for packaged goods, snacks, beverages, and even freshly prepared meals. Services like Instacart, DoorDash, Uber Eats, and grocery store delivery compete directly with Casey's convenience proposition across multiple product categories.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Casey's General Stores operates within several large addressable markets across the United States for its main products and services.

The overall **U.S. convenience store industry** recorded total sales of $837.4 billion in 2024, which includes both fuel and in-store items. Within this, **in-store sales** (excluding fuel) for U.S. convenience stores reached $335.5 billion in 2024.

For specific product categories:

  • Motor Fuel: Fuel sales at U.S. convenience stores amounted to $501.9 billion in 2024. Convenience stores sell an estimated 80% of the fuel purchased in the U.S.
  • Foodservice (including freshly prepared foods like pizza, donuts, and sandwiches): The U.S. convenience store foodservice market is projected to reach $78.1 billion in 2026. In 2024, foodservice accounted for 27.7% of in-store sales at convenience stores.
  • Tobacco and Nicotine Products: The U.S. tobacco market was valued at approximately $85.93 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to $88.85 billion in 2025.
  • Packaged Beverages (excluding beer, wine, and liquor): Sales of packaged beverages in U.S. convenience stores constituted 17.9% of in-store sales in 2024, which translates to approximately $60.03 billion (based on $335.5 billion in-store sales).
  • Convenience Food (including snacks, packaged bakery, and other food items): The U.S. convenience food market was valued at $186.40 billion in 2025.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Casey's General Stores (CASY) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives:

  1. Strategic Store Expansion: The company is pursuing an aggressive expansion strategy, aiming to add approximately 500 new locations by the end of fiscal year 2026. This growth will be achieved through a combination of strategic mergers and acquisitions, such as the acquisition of 198 CEFCO convenience stores in November 2024, and organic development, with plans to open at least 80 new stores in fiscal year 2026. These expansions particularly bolster Casey's presence in southern markets like Texas, Alabama, Florida, and Mississippi.
  2. Growth in Prepared Foods and Dispensed Beverages: A significant driver of revenue and profitability is Casey's high-margin prepared food business. The company, recognized as the fifth-largest pizza chain in the U.S., saw its prepared food and dispensed beverages contribute 58% of inside-store gross profit in the first quarter of fiscal year 2025. Ongoing product innovation, including new menu items like thin crust pizza and an expanded lunch sandwich menu, along with the rollout of wings to over 550 stores, is expected to continue boosting sales in this category. Prepared food and dispensed beverage same-store sales increased by 4.3% in Q3 FY2026.
  3. Leveraging Casey's Rewards Loyalty Program and Digital Engagement: With over 10 million members by Q3 FY2026, the Casey's Rewards loyalty program is a crucial tool for enhancing customer engagement and driving repeat business through personalized offers. The company is also focusing on strengthening its omnichannel presence and digital sales capabilities, which contributed to a 20% increase in digital sales in Q3 FY2024.
  4. Sustained Inside Sales Growth: Beyond prepared foods, overall inside sales, including grocery and general merchandise, are expected to contribute to revenue growth. Casey's projects inside same-store sales to increase between 3.5% and 4.5% for fiscal year 2026. Specific categories like energy drinks and nicotine alternatives are outperforming, showing double-digit growth within grocery and general merchandise.
  5. Optimizing Fuel Volume and Margin Management: While fuel revenue can be subject to market volatility, increasing fuel gallons sold and maintaining strong fuel margins are key contributors to overall gross profit. In Q3 FY2026, same-store fuel gallons sold increased by 0.4%, and the company achieved a fuel margin exceeding $0.40 per gallon. Casey's strategy includes increasing its capacity to haul fuel in its own trucks and expanding business-to-business relationships to maintain a strategic advantage.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Casey's General Stores repurchased approximately $76 million of shares during the third quarter of fiscal year 2026 (ended January 31, 2026).
  • As of March 9, 2026, the company had approximately $157 million remaining under its existing share repurchase authorization.
  • Annual share buybacks amounted to $104.898 million in fiscal year 2024 and $734,000 in fiscal year 2025.

Share Issuance

  • Casey's shares outstanding saw a slight increase in fiscal year 2023 (0.44% from 2022) due to capital-preserving activity prior to the Fikes acquisition.

Outbound Investments

  • The company plans to open at least 80 stores in fiscal year 2026 through a mix of mergers and acquisitions (M&A) and new store construction, aiming for approximately 500 new stores over a three-year strategic plan period.
  • Casey's has acquired 394 stores in the last three years (as of March 10, 2026), significantly accelerating its M&A strategy.
  • Acquisitions of businesses resulted in cash outflows of approximately $1,239.25 million, $330.03 million, $85.57 million, and $901.64 million in various periods, including the Fikes and CEFCO acquisitions.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures averaged $454.5 million annually from fiscal years 2021 to 2025.
  • Actual capital expenditures were $441.3 million in fiscal year 2021, $326.5 million in fiscal year 2022, $476.6 million in fiscal year 2023, $522.0 million in fiscal year 2024, and $506.2 million in fiscal year 2025.
  • Expected capital expenditures for fiscal year 2026 (purchase of property and equipment) are approximately $600 million, primarily focused on store base expansion, prepared foods innovation, and growing the wings platform.

Peer Outperformance in Food Retail

CASY has outperformed 80% of its 5 Food Retail peers over 5Y. Food Retail ranks 3rd of 12 industries in Consumer Staples by median 5Y return. That makes it one of the strongest corners of the sector.
Share of Food Retail constituents that CASY has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
83%
of 6 industry peers · 6.2% return
3Y
80%
of 5 industry peers · 113.5% return
5Y
80%
of 5 industry peers · 213.0% return
No Food Retail peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten CASY by more than 20pp over 5Y.
Median price return by industry across the Consumer Staples sector, ranked by 5Y. Food Retail is CASY's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Food Distributors 8 2.1%39.9%60.3% CHEF 269% · USFD 175% · ANDE 167%
Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail 12 9.5%38.5%55.3% NGVC 245% · VLGEA 144% · WMT 138%
Food Retail ← 6 -5.6%61.9%45.4% SFM 222% · CASY 213% · KR 70%
Tobacco 6 -39.1%11.9%37.2% PM 138% · MO 110% · TPB 50%
Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages 12 -2.3%-16.0%1.8% COKE 443% · BRFH 188% · CCHGY 122%
Brewers 3 -14.2%-31.2%-0.1% BUD 49% · TAP 0% · SAM -68%
Agricultural Products & Services 11 3.3%0.7%-13.4% BG 72% · ADM 58% · INGR 28%
Household Products 19 2.8%-10.7%-20.3% IPAR 80% · ACU 79% · CL 28%
Personal Care Products 4 -3.7%-24.1%-26.1% ELF 216% · PG 16% · EL -68%
Packaged Foods & Meats 47 -24.6%-36.2%-40.2% MAMA 388% · LWAY 332% · SENEA 285%
Distillers & Vintners 5 -46.4%-61.8%-75.7% STZ -37% · BF-B -58% · MGPI -76%
Drug Retail 3 -42.3%-86.2%-93.3% HITI -61% · PETS -93% · SCNX -99%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CASYMUSAKRACIWMTCOSTMedian
NameCasey's .Murphy U.Kroger Albertso.Walmart Costco W. 
Mkt Price587.14526.3262.2512.84108.09901.35317.21
Mkt Cap-9.739.36.4859.7400.139.3
Rev LTM-21,479147,64283,233735,840293,587147,642
Op Inc LTM-9411,89055732,28011,2251,890
FCF LTM-5423,45656413,5098,8063,456
FCF 3Y Avg-4602,70663213,0827,8472,706
CFO LTM-9857,3112,34142,92315,0007,311
CFO 3Y Avg-8936,6312,53238,41413,1776,631

Growth & Margins

CASYMUSAKRACIWMTCOSTMedian
NameCasey's .Murphy U.Kroger Albertso.Walmart Costco W. 
Rev Chg LTM-10.3%0.4%2.7%6.2%9.2%6.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--0.8%-0.1%2.0%5.3%7.6%2.0%
Rev Chg Q-36.0%1.2%0.2%5.9%11.6%5.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-9.2%0.3%0.1%1.5%2.6%1.5%
Op Inc Chg LTM-27.2%-50.9%-65.1%11.4%11.3%11.3%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-4.7%-17.2%-30.6%14.5%12.8%4.7%
Op Mgn LTM-4.4%1.3%0.7%4.4%3.8%3.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-4.0%2.0%1.7%4.3%3.7%3.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.0%0.2%-0.2%0.2%0.0%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-4.6%5.0%2.8%5.8%5.1%5.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-4.3%4.5%3.1%5.5%4.8%4.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-2.5%2.3%0.7%1.8%3.0%2.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-2.2%1.8%0.8%1.9%2.9%1.9%

Valuation

CASYMUSAKRACIWMTCOSTMedian
NameCasey's .Murphy U.Kroger Albertso.Walmart Costco W. 
Mkt Cap-9.739.36.4859.7400.139.3
P/S-0.50.30.11.21.40.5
P/Op Inc-10.320.811.426.635.620.8
P/EBIT-10.521.410.927.133.621.4
P/E-15.738.796.838.945.338.9
P/CFO-9.85.42.720.026.79.8
Total Yield-6.8%4.8%6.1%3.5%2.8%4.8%
Dividend Yield-0.5%2.3%5.0%0.9%0.6%0.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-5.0%7.2%6.6%1.8%1.9%5.0%
D/E-0.30.62.50.10.00.3
Net D/E-0.30.52.40.1-0.00.3

Returns

CASYMUSAKRACIWMTCOSTMedian
NameCasey's .Murphy U.Kroger Albertso.Walmart Costco W. 
1M Rtn-30.6%-7.4%9.8%3.4%-6.0%-6.2%-6.1%
3M Rtn-32.1%-7.6%-2.3%-13.6%-10.5%-8.5%-9.5%
6M Rtn-15.0%15.1%-15.0%-25.3%-13.0%-9.2%-14.0%
12M Rtn6.2%33.6%-5.6%-27.2%5.1%-5.6%-0.2%
3Y Rtn113.5%59.9%43.7%-40.1%103.3%68.6%64.2%
1M Excs Rtn-28.1%-4.8%12.4%6.0%-3.4%-3.6%-3.5%
3M Excs Rtn-33.1%-10.6%-2.6%-12.7%-10.7%-8.2%-10.7%
6M Excs Rtn-25.9%1.4%-28.6%-37.2%-26.9%-23.0%-26.4%
12M Excs Rtn-8.8%20.4%-22.0%-43.7%-9.9%-21.5%-15.7%
3Y Excs Rtn76.0%0.5%-28.4%-110.6%34.2%-0.0%0.2%

Comparison Analyses

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20262025202420232022
Single Segment17,56115,94114,86315,09412,953
Total17,56115,94114,86315,09412,953


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil2026202520242023
Single Segment714547502447
Total714547502447


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$587.14 
Market Cap ($ Bil)21.7 
First Trading Date10/20/1983 
Distance from 52W High-35.9% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$807.93$728.76
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA-27.3%-19.4%
 3M1YR
Volatility44.3%37.4%
Downside Capture70.84-0.38
Upside Capture-140.916.74
Correlation (SPY)-11.6%-2.3%
CASY Betas & Captures as of 8/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.41-1.15-1.33-0.14-0.100.44
Up Beta0.170.480.430.860.410.49
Down Beta1.47-1.35-2.26-0.96-0.620.43
Up Capture-171%-145%-119%-8%15%28%
Bmk +ve Days10213268138427
Stock +ve Days8202963130391
Down Capture74%-207%-202%-51%-56%44%
Bmk -ve Days11213259113324
Stock -ve Days13223564121360

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CASY
CASY6.4%37.3%0.23-
Sector ETF (XLP)6.4%14.5%0.2031.2%
Equity (SPY)16.3%12.8%0.90-1.7%
Gold (GLD)17.6%29.3%0.55-2.0%
Commodities (DBC)48.6%20.6%1.821.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.3%13.5%0.1316.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-33.1%43.8%-0.79-0.8%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CASY
CASY24.4%29.3%0.76-
Sector ETF (XLP)5.7%13.7%0.2036.4%
Equity (SPY)12.4%17.2%0.5530.4%
Gold (GLD)18.7%18.8%0.802.6%
Commodities (DBC)11.7%19.5%0.470.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)0.8%18.9%-0.0629.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)10.7%52.5%0.3811.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CASY
CASY16.8%28.9%0.58-
Sector ETF (XLP)7.1%14.9%0.3444.4%
Equity (SPY)15.1%18.0%0.7140.5%
Gold (GLD)12.0%16.4%0.602.3%
Commodities (DBC)8.7%18.1%0.398.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.6%20.7%0.1838.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)63.4%66.2%1.038.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date8312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1.4 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 815202621.5%
Average Daily Volume0.3 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.4 days

Earnings Returns History

Updated 9/16/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
9/8/2026-14.2%-20.0% 
6/9/202620.3%13.7%7.7%
3/9/20263.8%1.3%14.1%
12/9/2025-5.3%-1.9%5.4%
9/8/20253.8%6.4%6.4%
6/9/202511.6%15.3%17.6%
3/11/20256.2%2.2%16.1%
12/9/2024-0.3%1.5%-7.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111416
# Negative14118
Median Positive7.4%5.8%7.1%
Median Negative-3.1%-5.1%-6.3%
Max Positive20.3%17.6%18.1%
Max Negative-14.2%-20.0%-9.8%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
9/8/2026-14.2%-20.0% 
6/9/202620.3%13.7%7.7%
3/9/20263.8%1.3%14.1%
12/9/2025-5.3%-1.9%5.4%
9/8/20253.8%6.4%6.4%
6/9/202511.6%15.3%17.6%
3/11/20256.2%2.2%16.1%
12/9/2024-0.3%1.5%-7.7%
9/4/20247.4%5.3%3.4%
6/11/202416.7%15.4%15.3%
3/11/2024-1.6%2.1%4.5%
12/11/2023-0.4%-0.9%4.9%
9/11/202311.2%17.6%15.5%
6/6/2023-2.9%-1.6%8.2%
3/7/20233.9%-0.3%2.4%
12/6/20227.4%6.3%-3.0%
9/7/2022-0.7%-3.0%-8.2%
6/7/2022-4.0%-9.8%-5.9%
3/8/20227.8%7.9%18.1%
12/7/2021-6.9%-5.2%-2.0%
9/7/2021-4.8%-5.6%-6.7%
6/8/2021-4.6%-5.1%-9.8%
3/8/2021-2.4%3.0%6.6%
12/7/2020-3.4%-7.9%-1.5%
9/8/2020-2.2%1.3%3.9%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111416
# Negative14118
Median Positive7.4%5.8%7.1%
Median Negative-3.1%-5.1%-6.3%
Max Positive20.3%17.6%18.1%
Max Negative-14.2%-20.0%-9.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
07/31/202609/08/202610-Q
04/30/202606/22/202610-K
01/31/202603/09/202610-Q
10/31/202512/09/202510-Q
07/31/202509/08/202510-Q
04/30/202506/23/202510-K
01/31/202503/11/202510-Q
10/31/202412/09/202410-Q
07/31/202409/04/202410-Q
04/30/202406/24/202410-K
01/31/202403/11/202410-Q
10/31/202312/11/202310-Q
07/31/202309/11/202310-Q
04/30/202306/23/202310-K
01/31/202303/07/202310-Q
10/31/202212/06/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
07/31/202609/08/202610-Q
04/30/202606/22/202610-K
01/31/202603/09/202610-Q
10/31/202512/09/202510-Q
07/31/202509/08/202510-Q
04/30/202506/23/202510-K
01/31/202503/11/202510-Q
10/31/202412/09/202410-Q
07/31/202409/04/202410-Q
04/30/202406/24/202410-K
01/31/202403/11/202410-Q
10/31/202312/11/202310-Q
07/31/202309/11/202310-Q
04/30/202306/23/202310-K
01/31/202303/07/202310-Q
10/31/202212/06/202210-Q
07/31/202209/07/202210-Q
04/30/202206/24/202210-K
01/31/202203/08/202210-Q
10/31/202112/07/202110-Q
07/31/202109/08/202110-Q
04/30/202106/25/202110-K
01/31/202103/08/202110-Q
10/31/202012/07/202010-Q
07/31/202009/08/202010-Q
04/30/202006/26/202010-K
01/31/202003/09/202010-Q
10/31/201912/09/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 9/9/2026

Latest: Q1 2027 Earnings Reported 9/8/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2027 Dividends Per ShareReported 0.65    
2027 Inside Same-Store Sales GrowthReported2.0%3.5%5.0% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 3.5% for 2027
2027 Inside MarginReported42.0%42.0%  0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 42.0% for 2027
2027 Same-Store Fuel Gallons Sold GrowthReported-1.0%0.0%1.0% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 0.0% for 2027
2027 New Store OpeningsReported120120    
2027 Depreciation and AmortizationReported 490.00 Mil 0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 490.00 Mil for 2027
2027 Purchase of Property and EquipmentReported 800.00 Mil 0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 800.00 Mil for 2027
2027 Operating Expenses GrowthReported5.0%6.0%7.0% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 6.0% for 2027
2027 EBITDA GrowthReported8.0%9.0%10.0% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 9.0% for 2027
2027 Net Interest ExpenseReported 95.00 Mil 0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 95.00 Mil for 2027
2027 Tax RateReported24.0%25.0%26.0% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 25.0% for 2027


Prior: Q4 2026 Earnings Reported 6/9/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2027 Inside Same-Store Sales GrowthReported2.0%3.5%5.0% -0.5%LoweredGuidance: 4.0% for 2026
2027 Inside MarginReported 42.0%  0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 42.0% for 2026
2027 Same-Store Fuel Gallons Sold GrowthReported-1.0%0.0%1.0% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 0.0% for 2026
2027 Depreciation and AmortizationReported 490.00 Mil 8.9% RaisedGuidance: 450.00 Mil for 2026
2027 Operating Expenses GrowthReported5.0%6.0%7.0% -4.0%LoweredGuidance: 10.0% for 2026
2027 EBITDA GrowthReported8.0%9.0%10.0% -10.0%LoweredGuidance: 19.0% for 2026
2027 Net Interest ExpenseReported 95.00 Mil -5.0% LoweredGuidance: 100.00 Mil for 2026
2027 Tax RateReported24.0%25.0%26.0% 1.0%RaisedGuidance: 24.0% for 2026
2027 Capital ExpendituresReported 800.00 Mil 33.3% RaisedGuidance: 600.00 Mil for 2026

Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 3/9/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Inside Same-Store Sales GrowthReported3.5%4.0%4.5% 0.5%RaisedGuidance: 3.5% for 2026
2026 Inside MarginReported41.5%42.0%42.5% 0.5%RaisedGuidance: 41.5% for 2026
2026 Same-Store Fuel Gallons Sold GrowthReported-1.0%0.0%1.0% 0AffirmedGuidance: 0.0% for 2026
2026 Depreciation and AmortizationReported 450.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 450.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Operating Expenses GrowthReported 10.0%  1.0%RaisedGuidance: 9.0% for 2026
2026 EBITDA GrowthReported18.0%19.0%20.0% 3.0%RaisedGuidance: 16.0% for 2026
2026 Net Interest ExpenseReported 100.00 Mil -9.1% LoweredGuidance: 110.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Tax RateReported23.5%24.0%24.5% -0.5%LoweredGuidance: 24.5% for 2026
2026 Capital ExpendituresReported 600.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 600.00 Mil for 2026

Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 12/9/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Inside Same-Store Sales GrowthReported3.0%3.5%4.0% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 3.5% for 2026
2026 Inside MarginReported41.0%41.5%42.0% 0.5%RaisedGuidance: 41.0% for 2026
2026 Same-Store Fuel Gallons Sold GrowthReported-1.0%0.0%1.0% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 0.0% for 2026
2026 Depreciation and AmortizationReported 450.00 Mil 0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 450.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Operating Expenses GrowthReported8.0%9.0%10.0% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 9.0% for 2026
2026 EBITDA GrowthReported15.0%16.0%17.0% 5.0%RaisedGuidance: 11.0% for 2026
2026 Net Interest ExpenseReported 110.00 Mil 0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 110.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Tax RateReported24.0%24.5%25.0% -0.5%LoweredGuidance: 25.0% for 2026
2026 Capital ExpendituresReported 600.00 Mil 0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 600.00 Mil for 2026

Insider Activity

Updated 9/4/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Koschel, Williams EnaChief Operating OfficerDirectSell7102026833.692,8002,334,33218,315,336Form
2Wing, Allison M DirectSell7102026837.58530443,9172,547,918Form
3Bramlage, Stephen P JRChief Financial OfficerDirectSell7102026838.165,7004,777,51224,874,074Form
4Rebelez, Darren MPresident and CEODirectSell7082026801.4619,00015,227,68871,469,150Form
5Koschel, Williams EnaChief Operating OfficerDirectSell7022026785.203,0002,355,60019,448,619Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Koschel, Williams EnaChief Operating OfficerDirectSell7102026833.692,8002,334,33218,315,336Form
2Wing, Allison M DirectSell7102026837.58530443,9172,547,918Form
3Bramlage, Stephen P JRChief Financial OfficerDirectSell7102026838.165,7004,777,51224,874,074Form
4Rebelez, Darren MPresident and CEODirectSell7082026801.4619,00015,227,68871,469,150Form
5Koschel, Williams EnaChief Operating OfficerDirectSell7022026785.203,0002,355,60019,448,619Form
6Frazell, Chad MichaelChief HR OfficerDirectSell7012026787.493,0132,372,7117,735,525Form
7Lindsey, Katrina SChief Legal OfficerDirectSell6302026800.002,0001,600,0005,334,400Form
8Spanos, Mike DirectBuy6292026778.81256199,3753,705,578Form
9Spanos, Mike DirectBuy3162026665.43300199,6292,993,770Form
10Lindsey, Katrina SChief Legal OfficerDirectSell3122026683.04200136,6082,758,799Form
11Castanon, Moats Maria DirectBuy1062026554.66300166,398445,392Form
12Frazell, Chad MichaelChief HR OfficerDirectSell9302025555.403,4871,936,6804,439,312Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Sep 16, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Skye Global Management LP$6.0 Mil0.1%44TRIM -91.5%13F
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
Third Point LLC$251.5 Mil3.5%44ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Skye Global Management LP$6.0 Mil0.1%44TRIM -91.5%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Skye Global Management LP$6.0 Mil0.1%44TRIM -91.5%13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 9/15/2026