Mondelez International (MDLZ)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $56.15 | Market Cap: $72.6 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Mondelez International (MDLZ)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $56.15Market Cap: $72.6 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, Sustainable Consumption, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, Sustainable Consumption, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MDLZ Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The requested time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, is in the future. As such, definitive factual information regarding the specific stock movement and its drivers for Mondelez International (MDLZ) during this future period is not yet available. The search results provide some analyst predictions and forecasts for MDLZ in 2025 and beyond, as well as some historical data up to early December 2025. However, to address the prompt using the most recent available information as of "today" (December 4, 2025) which is provided in the search results, and to extract potential reasons for stock movement, even if not a -8.1% specifically for the future period, I will refer to news and forecasts around the current date provided in the search results (early December 2025/late November 2025). Here are key points that could influence MDLZ stock movement, based on available information around the specified end date of the requested period: **1. Mondelez International's stock was trading at $56.03 as of December 3, 2025, and experienced a 0.63% increase on November 28, 2025, closing at $57.57 after rising from $57.06.** **2. The stock declined in 4 out of 10 days leading up to November 28, 2025, resulting in a total change of 1.05% during that specific period.** **3. Analyst predictions for Mondelez International's stock for 2025 generally indicate a positive outlook, with an average analyst price target of $77.37, representing a potential increase of 38.04% from a current price of $56.05. However, some technical indicators suggest a bearish sentiment, and the stock recorded 13 out of 30 (43%) green days over the last 30 days.** **4. Concerns about rising costs, such as cocoa prices, led Mondelez to temper its outlook in late October 2025. This could negatively impact investor sentiment.** **5. Bulls view Mondelez's strategy to empower in-market leaders and invest in local brands as a driver for growth in emerging markets, while bears note that weak sentiment and uncertainty in the US are constraining biscuit sales due to consumers reducing spending on discretionary items.**
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MDLZ Return | 9% | 16% | 3% | 11% | -15% | -4% | 17% |
| Peers Return | 11% | 13% | 10% | -17% | -1% | -13% | -1% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MDLZ Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 42% | 42% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 52% | 58% | 43% | 43% | 32% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MDLZ Max Drawdown | -24% | -9% | -16% | -7% | -17% | -6% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -23% | -10% | -9% | -25% | -8% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HSY, KHC, GIS, MKC, HRL. See MDLZ Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MDLZ | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -22.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -29.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 371 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -20.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 284 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 75.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1020 days | 1480 days |
Compare to HSY, KHC, GIS, MKC, HRL
In The Past
Mondelez International's stock fell -22.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/11/2023. A -22.1% loss requires a 28.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MDLZ. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.5% | 3.5% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.5% | 3.5% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Mondelez International
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Financials
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Returns
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Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biscuits & Baked Snacks | 17,629 | 15,608 | 13,552 | ||
| Chocolate | 10,619 | 9,486 | 9,271 | 8,179 | 8,158 |
| Gum & Candy | 4,426 | 3,412 | 2,872 | 2,662 | 3,355 |
| Cheese & Grocery | 2,157 | 1,890 | 1,990 | 1,925 | 1,822 |
| Beverages | 1,185 | 1,100 | 1,035 | 1,049 | 1,095 |
| Biscuits | 12,766 | 11,438 | |||
| Total | 36,016 | 31,496 | 28,720 | 26,581 | 25,868 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10282025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7292025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4292025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2052025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10292024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7302024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4302024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2022024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7272023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4272023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2032023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11012022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7262022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4262022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2042022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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