Tearsheet

Mondelez International (MDLZ)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $56.15 | Market Cap: $72.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Mondelez International (MDLZ)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $56.15
Market Cap: $72.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, Sustainable Consumption, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, Sustainable Consumption, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MDLZ Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, is in the future. As such, definitive factual information regarding the specific stock movement and its drivers for Mondelez International (MDLZ) during this future period is not yet available. The search results provide some analyst predictions and forecasts for MDLZ in 2025 and beyond, as well as some historical data up to early December 2025. However, to address the prompt using the most recent available information as of "today" (December 4, 2025) which is provided in the search results, and to extract potential reasons for stock movement, even if not a -8.1% specifically for the future period, I will refer to news and forecasts around the current date provided in the search results (early December 2025/late November 2025). Here are key points that could influence MDLZ stock movement, based on available information around the specified end date of the requested period: **1. Mondelez International's stock was trading at $56.03 as of December 3, 2025, and experienced a 0.63% increase on November 28, 2025, closing at $57.57 after rising from $57.06.** **2. The stock declined in 4 out of 10 days leading up to November 28, 2025, resulting in a total change of 1.05% during that specific period.** **3. Analyst predictions for Mondelez International's stock for 2025 generally indicate a positive outlook, with an average analyst price target of $77.37, representing a potential increase of 38.04% from a current price of $56.05. However, some technical indicators suggest a bearish sentiment, and the stock recorded 13 out of 30 (43%) green days over the last 30 days.** **4. Concerns about rising costs, such as cocoa prices, led Mondelez to temper its outlook in late October 2025. This could negatively impact investor sentiment.** **5. Bulls view Mondelez's strategy to empower in-market leaders and invest in local brands as a driver for growth in emerging markets, while bears note that weak sentiment and uncertainty in the US are constraining biscuit sales due to consumers reducing spending on discretionary items.**

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MDLZ Return9%16%3%11%-15%-4%17%
Peers Return11%13%10%-17%-1%-13%-1%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MDLZ Win Rate58%50%42%42%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate58%52%58%43%43%32% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MDLZ Max Drawdown-24%-9%-16%-7%-17%-6% 
Peers Max Drawdown-23%-10%-9%-25%-8%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HSY, KHC, GIS, MKC, HRL. See MDLZ Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMDLZS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-22.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven28.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-29.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven42.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven371 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-20.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven25.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven284 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-42.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven75.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1020 days1480 days

Compare to HSY, KHC, GIS, MKC, HRL


In The Past

Mondelez International's stock fell -22.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/11/2023. A -22.1% loss requires a 28.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Mondelez International (MDLZ)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MDLZ. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Mondelez International

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MDLZHSYKHCGISMKCHRLMedian
NameMondelez.Hershey Kraft He.General .McCormickHormel F. 
Mkt Price-------
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Growth & Margins

MDLZHSYKHCGISMKCHRLMedian
NameMondelez.Hershey Kraft He.General .McCormickHormel F. 
Rev Chg LTM-------
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FCF/Rev LTM-------
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Valuation

MDLZHSYKHCGISMKCHRLMedian
NameMondelez.Hershey Kraft He.General .McCormickHormel F. 
Mkt Cap-------
P/S-------
P/EBIT-------
P/E-------
P/CFO-------
Total Yield-------
Dividend Yield-------
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-------
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Net D/E-------

Returns

MDLZHSYKHCGISMKCHRLMedian
NameMondelez.Hershey Kraft He.General .McCormickHormel F. 
1M Rtn-------
3M Rtn-------
6M Rtn-------
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3Y Rtn-------
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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Biscuits & Baked Snacks17,62915,60813,552  
Chocolate10,6199,4869,2718,1798,158
Gum & Candy4,4263,4122,8722,6623,355
Cheese & Grocery2,1571,8901,9901,9251,822
Beverages1,1851,1001,0351,0491,095
Biscuits   12,76611,438
Total36,01631,49628,72026,58125,868


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity30,834,280
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202514.4%
Average Daily Volume9,328,858
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.31
Basic Shares Quantity1,293,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025729202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024205202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023202202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022203202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022726202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022426202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021204202210-K 12/31/2021

Industry Resources

Packaged Foods & Meats Resources
USDA Data