NXP Semiconductors (NXPI)
Market Price (5/12/2026): $307.0 | Market Cap: $77.6 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI)
Market Price (5/12/2026): $307.0Market Cap: $77.6 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductors
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, CFO LTM is 3.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.6 Bil Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 3.4 Bil Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 45% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Fintech & Digital Payments, Automation & Robotics, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -21% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.4% Key risksNXPI key risks include [1] significant revenue exposure to China, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, CFO LTM is 3.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.6 Bil |
| Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 3.4 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 45% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Fintech & Digital Payments, Automation & Robotics, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -21% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.4% |
| Key risksNXPI key risks include [1] significant revenue exposure to China, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Q1 2026 Financial Performance and Optimistic Q2 Guidance Fueling Investor Confidence.
NXP Semiconductors reported robust first-quarter 2026 results on April 28, 2026, with revenue climbing 12.2% year-over-year to $3.18 billion, surpassing analyst estimates of $3.14 billion. The company also reported an adjusted EPS of $3.05, beating the consensus estimate of $2.98. Furthermore, NXP provided an optimistic outlook for the second quarter of 2026, projecting revenue of approximately $3.45 billion and adjusted EPS around $3.50 at the midpoint, both significantly exceeding analyst expectations.
2. Robust Demand in Key Automotive and Industrial Markets, Driven by AI and Software-Defined Vehicles.
The company cited broad-based improvement across its end markets, with particular strength in the automotive and industrial segments. Automotive revenue, NXP's largest segment, increased 6% year-over-year. The Industrial & IoT and Communication Infrastructure & Other segments demonstrated even stronger growth, rising more than 20% year-on-year. This growth is attributed to increasing adoption of NXP's differentiated portfolio, especially in industrial and automotive processing that supports software-defined vehicles and physical AI. Management also highlighted a growing AI-related demand in data centers, with revenue in this area expected to more than double from approximately $200 million in 2025 to over $500 million in 2026.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 36.0% change in NXPI stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 22.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5112026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 224.97 | 305.99 | 36.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 12,045 | 12,615 | 4.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 17.1% | 21.0% | 22.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 27.5 | 29.1 | 5.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 252 | 253 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 36.0% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NXPI | 36.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | 52.8% |
| Sector (XLK) | 23.8% | 32.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 47.7% change in NXPI stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 22.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5112026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 207.12 | 305.99 | 47.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 12,045 | 12,615 | 4.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 17.1% | 21.0% | 22.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 25.3 | 29.1 | 15.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 252 | 253 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 47.7% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NXPI | 47.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.5% | 49.7% |
| Sector (XLK) | 18.6% | 39.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 69.2% change in NXPI stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 50.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5112026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 180.86 | 305.99 | 69.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 12,323 | 12,615 | 2.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 19.2% | 21.0% | 9.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 19.4 | 29.1 | 50.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 254 | 253 | 0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 69.2% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NXPI | 69.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 30.4% | 55.8% |
| Sector (XLK) | 70.4% | 45.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 97.6% change in NXPI stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 102.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5112026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 154.88 | 305.99 | 97.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 13,205 | 12,615 | -4.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 21.1% | 21.0% | -0.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 14.4 | 29.1 | 102.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 260 | 253 | 2.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 97.6% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NXPI | 97.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 78.7% | 67.2% |
| Sector (XLK) | 140.8% | 63.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NXPI Return | 45% | -29% | 48% | -8% | 6% | 36% | 103% |
| Peers Return | 39% | -16% | 26% | -6% | 8% | 60% | 139% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 97% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NXPI Win Rate | 75% | 25% | 58% | 25% | 50% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 40% | 60% | 37% | 47% | 64% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NXPI Max Drawdown | 0% | -38% | -3% | -11% | -26% | -13% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -5% | -30% | -5% | -17% | -30% | -6% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: TXN, ADI, MCHP, ON, QCOM. See NXPI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/11/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NXPI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -37.2% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 59.2% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 273 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -18.8% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 23.1% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 630 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -22.2% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.6% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 42 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -13.9% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 16.2% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 42 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -39.4% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.9% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 426 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -52.0% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 108.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 203 days | 140 days |
In The Past
NXP Semiconductors's stock fell -37.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 59.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
| Event | NXPI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -37.2% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 59.2% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 273 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -22.2% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.6% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 42 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -39.4% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.9% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 426 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -52.0% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 108.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 203 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -21.1% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.8% | 23.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 37 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -30.1% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 43.1% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 106 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -21.3% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.1% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 18 days | 15 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -39.8% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 66.2% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 123 days | 123 days |
In The Past
NXP Semiconductors's stock fell -37.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 59.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About NXP Semiconductors (NXPI)
AI Analysis | Feedback
They're like 'the Intel inside' for the automotive industry, providing the specialized 'brains' and connectivity chips for modern cars.
Think of them as a specialized Broadcom or Texas Instruments, making the embedded processing and secure connectivity chips for everything from smart industrial equipment to mobile payment systems.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Microcontrollers: Embedded processing units designed for specific control applications within electronic systems.
- Application Processors: High-performance integrated circuits, including the i.MX family, used for complex computing tasks in various devices.
- Communication Processors: Specialized processors engineered to manage and accelerate data flow for networking and communication infrastructure.
- Wireless Connectivity Solutions: Integrated circuits enabling a range of wireless communication protocols such as NFC, UWB, Bluetooth, and Wi-Fi.
- Analog & Interface Devices: Components that convert and manage analog signals and facilitate data exchange between different electronic systems.
- Radio Frequency Power Amplifiers: Devices used to increase the power of radio frequency signals, typically in wireless transmission systems.
- Security Controllers: Dedicated chips providing secure storage, authentication, and execution environments for sensitive data and applications.
- Semiconductor-based Sensors: Integrated circuits that detect and measure physical parameters such as pressure, inertia, magnetism, and gyroscope movements.
AI Analysis | Feedback
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) primarily sells its products to other companies.
Based on the provided company description, NXP Semiconductors markets its products to the following categories of business customers:
- Original equipment manufacturers (OEMs)
- Contract manufacturers
- Distributors
The background description does not specify individual public company names within these categories.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. (TSM)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Rafael Sotomayor, President and Chief Executive Officer
Rafael Sotomayor was appointed President of NXP Semiconductors in April 2025 and Chief Executive Officer in October 2025. He has 30 years of experience in the semiconductor industry. Sotomayor joined NXP in 2014, where he held various general manager roles across the company's Mobile, Industrial, and IoT segments. Prior to NXP, he served as Vice President of Marketing at Broadcom in the wireless connectivity business and also held positions at Motorola and Intel.
Bill Betz, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Bill Betz was named Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of NXP Semiconductors in October 2021. He joined NXP in 2013 and possesses over 20 years of finance experience within the semiconductor industry. Before his tenure at NXP, Betz held finance leadership positions at Fairchild Semiconductor, LSI Corporation, and Agere Systems.
Lars Reger, Executive Vice President and Chief Technology Officer
Lars Reger serves as NXP Semiconductors' Executive Vice President and Chief Technology Officer, where he leads new business activities and research and development in key markets such as automotive, industrial 4.0, Internet of Things (IoT), mobile, connectivity, and infrastructure. He joined NXP in 2008 as the head of automotive strategy. His career before NXP included roles at Siemens Semiconductors as a product engineer, Infineon (where his positions included head of process and product engineering, project manager for mobile system chips, and director of IP management), and Continental (where he was responsible for business development and product management within the connectivity business unit). Reger also served as a Non-Executive Director at AT&S from 2020 to 2024 and at Telit from 2014 to 2018.
Jennifer Wuamett, Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary and Chief Sustainability Officer
Jennifer Wuamett is the Executive Vice President, General Counsel, Corporate Secretary, and Chief Sustainability Officer for NXP Semiconductors. She joined NXP in 2015 following the merger with Freescale Semiconductor, initially serving as NXP's deputy general counsel and chief intellectual property officer. Prior to joining NXP, she was Freescale's general counsel and chief intellectual property officer. Wuamett also worked in Motorola's legal department starting in 1997, focusing on intellectual property and complex transactions, and was previously an attorney in private practice with Quarles & Brady.
Charles Dachs, Executive Vice President and General Manager, Secure Connected Edge
Charles Dachs holds the position of Executive Vice President and General Manager for Secure Connected Edge at NXP Semiconductors. In this capacity, he is responsible for driving leadership in edge processing across industrial and IoT markets and overseeing solutions for security and connectivity ecosystems. Dachs has more than 25 years of experience in advanced and emerging technologies, beginning his career at Philips Research in the Netherlands. He has held various leadership roles in research and development, product management, marketing, and general management at both NXP and Philips. His previous roles include General Manager of Industrial/IoT and Edge, and General Manager of Secure Embedded Transactions (NFC and UWB). Earlier in his career, he worked with Philips Semiconductors, Philips Research, and CERN.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Key Risks to NXP Semiconductors (NXPI)
-
High Dependency on the Automotive Sector and Cyclicality of the Semiconductor Industry: NXP Semiconductors has a significant portion of its revenue derived from the automotive sector, making it highly susceptible to fluctuations in global vehicle sales, production levels, and inventory adjustments within the automotive industry. The broader semiconductor industry is also inherently cyclical, characterized by periods of oversupply, price erosion, and unpredictable demand, which can directly impact NXP's financial performance. Recent reports indicate an oversupply of automotive chips and a slowdown in demand, contributing to revenue declines and challenging forecasts for the company.
-
Geopolitical Risks and Supply Chain Complexities: NXP's international operations expose it to various geopolitical risks, including global trade tensions, regulatory changes, and international disputes. These factors can lead to disruptions in the company's supply chain, increased operational costs (e.g., tariffs), and affect the timely availability of raw materials and manufacturing capabilities. Cybersecurity threats also pose a risk, potentially compromising intellectual property and disrupting operations. Recent events, such as the Dutch government's intervention in the ownership structure of Nexperia (a former NXP division) due to national security concerns, highlight the tangible impact of geopolitical factors on the semiconductor supply chain.
-
Intense Competition and the Need for Continuous Innovation: The semiconductor industry is fiercely competitive, with numerous companies vying for market share. NXP must constantly innovate and introduce new technologies and products to maintain its competitive edge, given the rapid technological advancements and short product lifecycles characteristic of the sector. Failure to invest adequately in research and development or to keep pace with evolving technological demands (such as those in AI, advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS), and 5G) could result in a loss of market share and reduced profitability.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Major customers (e.g., in automotive, industrial, and mobile sectors) increasingly designing their own custom integrated circuits (ICs) for core functionalities, thereby reducing their reliance on external semiconductor suppliers for these key components.
AI Analysis | Feedback
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) addresses several significant markets with its semiconductor products and services:
- Microcontrollers (MCUs): The global microcontroller market size was estimated at USD 40.23 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 105.32 billion by 2033, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.0% from 2026 to 2033.
- Near Field Communication (NFC) Solutions: The global near field communication (NFC) market was valued at USD 29.9 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 101.8 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 13.1% during the forecast period of 2025-2034. North America held a market share of 27.1% in 2024.
- Ultra-Wideband (UWB) Solutions: The global ultra-wideband (UWB) market size was estimated at USD 2.12 billion in 2025 and is predicted to increase to approximately USD 12.31 billion by 2034, expanding at a CAGR of 21.64% from 2025 to 2034. North America dominated the UWB market with the largest market share of 43% in 2024.
- Bluetooth Low-Energy (BLE) Solutions: The global Bluetooth Low Energy market is expected to reach a market size of USD 12.1 billion in 2025 and USD 39.1 billion in 2035, exhibiting a CAGR of 12.5% from 2025 to 2035.
- Zigbee Wireless Connectivity Solutions: The global Zigbee automation market size was valued at USD 23.13 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow from USD 26.45 billion in 2026 to USD 55.32 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 13.6% during the forecast period. North America captured approximately 43% of the total revenue in the Zigbee market in 2024.
- Wi-Fi (Semiconductor Chipsets): The global Wi-Fi chipset market size was estimated at USD 21.58 billion in 2024 and is predicted to increase to approximately USD 34.53 billion by 2034, expanding at a CAGR of 4.81% from 2025 to 2034. The Asia-Pacific region dominated the Wi-Fi chipset market with a 43% market share in 2024.
- Inertial Sensors: The global inertial sensing products market is estimated to be valued at USD 7.0 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 15.3 billion by 2035, registering a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.1% over the forecast period.
- Pressure Sensors (Semiconductor-based): The global pressure sensors market size is projected to expand from USD 19.93 billion in 2025 to USD 33.92 billion by 2031, registering a 9.26% CAGR between 2026 and 2031. Asia-Pacific held the largest 39.73% revenue share in 2025.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) over the next 2-3 years:1. Growth in the Automotive Sector: NXP anticipates significant revenue growth from its automotive segment, driven by the increasing semiconductor content per vehicle. This includes the widespread adoption of software-defined vehicles (SDVs), advancements in electrification, and the expansion of advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS), radar systems, and in-vehicle connectivity solutions.
2. Expansion in the Industrial & Internet of Things (IoT) Segment: The Industrial & IoT segment is projected to be a major growth driver, with a particular focus on high-performance, energy-efficient edge artificial intelligence (AI) processing. This growth is also supported by increasing demand in industrial automation, energy storage systems, and building automation.
3. Strategic Acquisitions and Product Portfolio Enhancements: NXP's strategic acquisitions, such as TTTech Auto, Aviva Links, and Kinara, Inc., are expected to enhance its offerings in automotive safety systems, in-vehicle connectivity, and AI-powered edge solutions. The company's S32 platform for software-defined vehicles is also a key product family projected for substantial growth.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- In Q1 2025, NXP Semiconductors returned $303 million to shareholders through share repurchases.
- Under a buyback program announced in January 2022, the company completed repurchases of 11,130,483 shares, totaling $2,448.03 million, through December 31, 2025.
- An additional $2 billion authorization for the existing share repurchase program was approved in August 2024, supplementing approximately $726 million remaining from previous authorizations.
Share Issuance
- NXP Semiconductors has seen a consistent decline in its shares outstanding, with 0.254 billion shares outstanding as of December 31, 2025, representing a 1.46% year-over-year decrease.
- Shares outstanding declined by 1.36% in 2025 from 2024, 1.35% in 2024 from 2023, and 1.02% in 2023 from 2022.
Inbound Investments
- NXP Semiconductors received a €1 billion loan from the European Investment Bank in April 2025, specifically allocated for research and development initiatives.
Outbound Investments
- In June 2025, NXP acquired TTTech Auto for $625 million to advance its software-defined vehicle capabilities.
- The company acquired Kinara Inc. for $307 million in February 2025, bolstering its edge AI solutions.
- NXP also acquired Aviva Links for $242.5 million in December 2024, aimed at enhancing in-vehicle connectivity.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for the last 12 months, leading up to a recent report, were approximately $397 million.
- In Q4 2025, NXP invested $98.0 million in capital expenditures.
- NXP is in the midst of a multi-year manufacturing investment cycle, having invested about $1.7 billion of a planned $3.4 billion into its VSMC and ESMC partnerships to enhance long-term gross margin and improve supply security.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to NXPI.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04302026 | PLTR | Palantir Technologies | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04102026 | ADSK | Autodesk | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.5% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| 04102026 | BSY | Bentley Systems | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 04102026 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.7% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| 04102026 | BL | BlackLine | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.2% | 3.2% | -3.0% |
| 04302025 | NXPI | NXP Semiconductors | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.1% | 62.3% | -1.3% |
| 08312022 | NXPI | NXP Semiconductors | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.8% | 27.7% | -15.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 267.64 |
| Mkt Cap | 142.0 |
| Rev LTM | 12,186 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3,353 |
| FCF LTM | 3,138 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,191 |
| CFO LTM | 4,051 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,787 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -1.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 13.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.3% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -2.7% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -7.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 25.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 26.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 28.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 30.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 20.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 142.0 |
| P/S | 9.6 |
| P/Op Inc | 40.3 |
| P/EBIT | 49.3 |
| P/E | 39.8 |
| P/CFO | 32.4 |
| Total Yield | 3.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 44.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 35.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 82.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 81.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 98.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 35.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 29.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 65.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 65.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 17.1% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $305.99 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 77.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 08/06/2010 | |
| Distance from 52W High | 0.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $222.05 | $220.94 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 37.8% | 38.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 63.4% | 44.6% |
| Downside Capture | -0.33 | 0.54 |
| Upside Capture | 84.31 | 132.96 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 28.6% | 44.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.07 | 1.27 | 1.31 | 1.38 | 1.64 | 1.73 |
| Up Beta | 2.04 | 1.95 | 1.65 | 1.17 | 1.89 | 1.80 |
| Down Beta | -3.76 | 1.72 | 2.01 | 1.81 | 2.01 | 1.64 |
| Up Capture | 100% | 100% | 95% | 161% | 161% | 550% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 33 | 63 | 123 | 392 |
| Down Capture | -791% | 98% | 112% | 117% | 131% | 111% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 7 | 21 | 31 | 62 | 129 | 361 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NXPI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NXPI | 65.7% | 45.2% | 1.24 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 64.5% | 20.8% | 2.29 | 45.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 28.1% | 12.5% | 1.78 | 55.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 42.9% | 26.9% | 1.30 | 4.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 48.6% | 18.0% | 2.14 | -5.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.6% | 13.5% | 0.70 | 23.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -22.4% | 41.7% | -0.50 | 25.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NXPI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NXPI | 11.9% | 40.9% | 0.39 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 22.0% | 24.8% | 0.78 | 69.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.9% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 70.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.2% | 17.9% | 0.96 | 8.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 13.5% | 19.1% | 0.58 | 14.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.6% | 18.8% | 0.09 | 43.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 8.5% | 56.0% | 0.36 | 26.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NXPI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NXPI | 14.9% | 40.4% | 0.48 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 25.1% | 24.4% | 0.93 | 66.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.0% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 66.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.4% | 15.9% | 0.70 | 6.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.5% | 17.7% | 0.45 | 22.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 44.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.1% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 18.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/28/2026 | 25.5% | 26.9% | |
| 2/3/2026 | -4.5% | -0.9% | -6.4% |
| 10/28/2025 | -3.9% | -5.0% | -13.8% |
| 7/22/2025 | -0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| 4/28/2025 | -6.9% | -5.8% | -0.0% |
| 2/4/2025 | -1.1% | 2.6% | 5.9% |
| 11/5/2024 | -5.2% | -4.2% | -5.6% |
| 7/23/2024 | -7.6% | -9.9% | -10.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 15 | 13 |
| # Negative | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 2.7% | 5.1% | 7.9% |
| Median Negative | -4.2% | -4.2% | -5.5% |
| Max Positive | 25.5% | 26.9% | 20.4% |
| Max Negative | -7.6% | -9.9% | -13.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/28/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/19/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/28/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/24/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/20/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/23/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/22/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/25/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/01/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/01/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/26/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/28/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Revenue | 3.35 Bil | 3.45 Bil | 3.55 Bil | 9.5% | Raised | Guidance: 3.15 Bil for Q1 2026 | |
| Q2 2026 Gross Profit | 1.93 Bil | 2.00 Bil | 2.08 Bil | ||||
| Q2 2026 Gross Margin | 57.5% | 58.0% | 58.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | Raised | Guidance: 57.0% for Q1 2026 |
| Q2 2026 Operating Income | 1.13 Bil | 1.20 Bil | 1.26 Bil | ||||
| Q2 2026 Operating Margin | 33.8% | 34.7% | 35.6% | 6.3% | 2.0% | Raised | Guidance: 32.65% for Q1 2026 |
| Q2 2026 Earnings Per Share - diluted | 3.29 | 3.5 | 3.72 | 18.0% | Raised | Guidance: 2.97 for Q1 2026 | |
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/3/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Revenue | 3.05 Bil | 3.15 Bil | 3.25 Bil | -4.6% | Lowered | Guidance: 3.30 Bil for Q4 2025 | |
| Q1 2026 Gross Margin | 56.5% | 57.0% | 57.5% | -0.9% | -0.5% | Lowered | Guidance: 57.5% for Q4 2025 |
| Q1 2026 Operating Margin | 31.7% | 32.65% | 33.6% | -5.5% | -1.9% | Lowered | Guidance: 34.55% for Q4 2025 |
| Q1 2026 Earnings Per Share - diluted | 2.77 | 2.97 | 3.17 | -9.4% | Lowered | Guidance: 3.28 for Q4 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jensen, Christopher L | EVP, Chief People Officer | Direct | Sell | 4272026 | 234.03 | 4,576 | 1,070,921 | 1,261,188 | Form |
| 2 | Micallef, Andrew | EVP, Chief Operations Officer | Direct | Sell | 3182026 | 194.58 | 1,000 | 194,580 | 1,934,514 | Form |
| 3 | Wuamett, Jennifer | EVP & General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 1062026 | 220.94 | 12,425 | 2,745,218 | 2,609,559 | Form |
| 4 | Micallef, Andrew | EVP, Chief Operations Officer | Direct | Sell | 12172025 | 230.78 | 1,000 | 230,780 | 2,525,195 | Form |
| 5 | Jensen, Christopher L | EVP, Chief People Officer | Direct | Sell | 12052025 | 228.17 | 2,300 | 524,791 | 2,273,714 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.