Tearsheet

Cipher Mining (CIFR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $18.52 | Market Cap: $7.3 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Capital Markets

Cipher Mining (CIFR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $18.52
Market Cap: $7.3 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Diversified Capital Markets

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -142 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -69%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Crypto & Blockchain, and Datacenter Power. Themes include Cryptocurrency Mining, and Power Grid.
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 24x
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 398%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 201%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -88%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -253%
4   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 340%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.6%
6   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 117%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Crypto & Blockchain, and Datacenter Power. Themes include Cryptocurrency Mining, and Power Grid.
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -142 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -69%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 24x
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 398%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 201%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -88%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -253%
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 340%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.6%
9 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 117%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CIFR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Strategic Diversification into AI and High-Performance Computing (HPC)

Cipher Mining significantly diversified its operations by expanding into AI training services and high-performance computing (HPC) hosting, moving beyond its traditional Bitcoin mining focus. This strategic shift positioned the company to capitalize on the booming AI industry.

2. Major Partnerships for AI/HPC Infrastructure

The company secured substantial agreements, including a 10-year contract with Fluidstack, an AI training expert backed by Google, announced on September 25, 2025, which drove an initial stock surge. This was further reinforced by an additional 10-year HPC colocation agreement with Fluidstack for approximately $830 million in contracted revenue in November 2025. Additionally, Cipher announced a massive 15-year lease agreement with Amazon Web Services for a 1-gigawatt AI-focused site, causing shares to surge over 31% upon the news in early November 2025.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CIFR Return--53%-88%637%12%280%77%
Peers Return-1%0%0%0%0%-19%-19%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CIFR Win Rate 50%33%67%50%80% 
Peers Win Rate2%0%0%0%0%22% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CIFR Max Drawdown--55%-91%0%-45%-55% 
Peers Max Drawdown-1%0%0%0%0%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ABTC, DMNT, FIGR, GEMI, MIAX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCIFRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-97.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3422.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1010 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-0.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven0.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven6 days148 days

Compare to ABTC, DMNT, FIGR, GEMI, MIAX


In The Past

Cipher Mining's stock fell -97.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/16/2021. A -97.2% loss requires a 3422.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Cipher Mining (CIFR)

Better Bets than Cipher Mining (CIFR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CIFR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Cipher Mining

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CIFRABTCDMNTFIGRGEMIMIAXMedian
NameCipher M.American.Dmint Figure T.Gemini S.Miami In. 
Mkt Price18.632.39-35.3810.7644.7318.63
Mkt Cap7.3-----7.3
Rev LTM206-0--1,255206
Op Inc LTM-142--5--58-5
FCF LTM-522----7-258
FCF 3Y Avg-328----15-157
CFO LTM-182----49-67
CFO 3Y Avg-116----48-34

Growth & Margins

CIFRABTCDMNTFIGRGEMIMIAXMedian
NameCipher M.American.Dmint Figure T.Gemini S.Miami In. 
Rev Chg LTM35.4%--6.0%--19.6%19.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-----16.7%16.7%
Rev Chg Q197.5%--37.1%--22.9%22.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM30.0%--7.1%--5.1%5.1%
Op Mgn LTM-68.7%--1,065.4%--4.7%-68.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-65.1%----1.3%-31.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM25.0%-124.4%--2.9%25.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-88.4%----3.9%-42.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-75.2%----4.1%-35.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-252.7%----0.5%-126.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-204.0%----1.1%-101.5%

Valuation

CIFRABTCDMNTFIGRGEMIMIAXMedian
NameCipher M.American.Dmint Figure T.Gemini S.Miami In. 
Mkt Cap7.3-----7.3
P/S24.0-----24.0
P/EBIT-72.8------72.8
P/E-70.2------70.2
P/CFO-27.1------27.1
Total Yield-1.4%------1.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%-----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-18.9%------18.9%
D/E0.2-----0.2
Net D/E-0.0------0.0

Returns

CIFRABTCDMNTFIGRGEMIMIAXMedian
NameCipher M.American.Dmint Figure T.Gemini S.Miami In. 
1M Rtn-18.1%-51.4%--15.4%-39.5%-1.8%-18.1%
3M Rtn129.7%-70.3%--93.3%-26.4%-21.9%
6M Rtn398.1%---93.3%--152.4%
12M Rtn201.0%---93.3%--53.8%
3Y Rtn1,861.1%---93.3%--883.9%
1M Excs Rtn-18.1%-51.4%--15.4%-39.5%-1.7%-18.1%
3M Excs Rtn146.4%-68.1%--98.7%-20.7%-23.7%
6M Excs Rtn383.4%---108.0%--137.7%
12M Excs Rtn164.5%---106.9%--28.8%
3Y Excs Rtn1,945.0%---166.1%--889.4%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity63,828,607
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120251.6%
Average Daily Volume57,824,877
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.10
Basic Shares Quantity393,191,623
Short % of Basic Shares16.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251103202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024813202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023305202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022314202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021304202210-K 12/31/2021