Cipher Digital (CIFR)
Market Price (5/12/2026): $20.36 | Market Cap: $8.2 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: IT Consulting & Other Services
Cipher Digital (CIFR)
Market Price (5/12/2026): $20.36Market Cap: $8.2 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: IT Consulting & Other Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Crypto & Blockchain, and Datacenter Power. Themes include Cryptocurrency Mining, and Power Grid. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -370 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -176% Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 39x Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 581% Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -29% Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -485% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15% High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 109% Key risksCIFR key risks include [1] escalating net losses that raise significant questions about the long-term profitability and sustainability of its business model and [2] a heavy operational concentration in Texas, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Crypto & Blockchain, and Datacenter Power. Themes include Cryptocurrency Mining, and Power Grid. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -370 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -176% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 39x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 581% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -29% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -485% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 109% |
| Key risksCIFR key risks include [1] escalating net losses that raise significant questions about the long-term profitability and sustainability of its business model and [2] a heavy operational concentration in Texas, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Strategic Shift Towards High-Performance Computing and AI Data Centers.
Cipher Digital, formerly Cipher Mining Inc., rebranded in February 2026 to reflect a significant strategic pivot from Bitcoin mining to the development and operation of high-performance computing (HPC) and AI data centers. This move significantly boosted investor confidence in the company's future growth trajectory.
2. Successful Securing of Substantial Financing.
In the first quarter of 2026, Cipher Digital secured a new $200 million revolving credit facility, which provides critical funding for its ambitious data center expansion projects. This financing, alongside a $2 billion high-yield bond offering, is instrumental in supporting the capital-intensive transition and ongoing development.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 27.1% change in CIFR stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 28.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5112026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 15.96 | 20.28 | 27.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 206 | 210 | 1.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 30.4 | 39.2 | 28.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 393 | 405 | -2.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 27.1% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CIFR | 27.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | 64.0% |
| Sector (XLK) | 23.8% | 59.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 8.7% change in CIFR stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 32.1% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5112026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 18.65 | 20.28 | 8.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 159 | 210 | 32.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 44.0 | 39.2 | -11.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 375 | 405 | -7.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 8.7% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CIFR | 8.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.5% | 51.4% |
| Sector (XLK) | 18.6% | 51.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 611.6% change in CIFR stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 497.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5112026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.85 | 20.28 | 611.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 151 | 210 | 38.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 6.6 | 39.2 | 497.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 348 | 405 | -14.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 611.6% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CIFR | 611.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 30.4% | 45.0% |
| Sector (XLK) | 70.4% | 44.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 777.9% change in CIFR stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 6808.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5112026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.31 | 20.28 | 777.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3 | 210 | 6808.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 188.3 | 39.2 | -79.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 248 | 405 | -38.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 777.9% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CIFR | 777.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 78.7% | 40.9% |
| Sector (XLK) | 140.8% | 38.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CIFR Return | -53% | -88% | 637% | 12% | 218% | 39% | 107% |
| Peers Return | 2971% | -51% | 172% | 69% | 44% | 57% | 15591% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 97% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CIFR Win Rate | 50% | 33% | 67% | 50% | 75% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 69% | 38% | 65% | 55% | 52% | 72% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CIFR Max Drawdown | -55% | -91% | 0% | -45% | -55% | -19% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -13% | -63% | -4% | -32% | -38% | -6% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: APLD, CORZ, RIOT, DLR, EQIX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/11/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CIFR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -65.1% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 186.7% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 95 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -17.6% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 21.4% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 63 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -41.2% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 70.2% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 37 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -82.6% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 473.5% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 265 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Cipher Digital's stock fell -65.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 186.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | CIFR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -65.1% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 186.7% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 95 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -41.2% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 70.2% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 37 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -82.6% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 473.5% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 265 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Cipher Digital's stock fell -65.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 186.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Cipher Digital (CIFR)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Barrick Gold, but for digital currency.
Equinix, but their data centers house only bitcoin mining rigs.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Bitcoin Mining: The company operates large-scale data centers with specialized computer hardware to validate transactions and create new blocks on the Bitcoin blockchain, earning newly minted bitcoins as a reward.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Cipher Digital (CIFR) operates as a bitcoin mining company. Its business model involves generating revenue primarily from block rewards and transaction fees received from the Bitcoin network for validating transactions and mining new blocks. The bitcoins it mines are then typically sold on open cryptocurrency exchanges or held as an asset.
Due to the nature of its operations as a bitcoin mining company, Cipher Digital does not have major customers in the traditional sense (e.g., other companies purchasing its services or specific categories of individual consumers buying its products directly). Its output, bitcoin, is a commodity that is sold into a global, liquid market.
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- Bitmain Technologies Ltd. (private company)
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Tyler Page, Chief Executive Officer
Tyler Page has served as Cipher Mining's Chief Executive Officer and a member of its Board since August 2021. He is also recognized as the founder and CEO of Cipher Mining. Page has over 20 years of experience in fintech and financial services. Prior to joining Cipher, he was Head of Business Development for digital asset infrastructure at Bitfury Holding from 2020 to 2021. He was also a Day 1 employee and a member of the management committee at New York Digital Investment Group (NYDIG) from 2017 to 2019, and previously served as Head of Institutional Sales at Stone Ridge Asset Management LLC from 2016 to 2019. His career began as an attorney at Davis Polk & Wardwell LLP, followed by roles in finance at Lehman Brothers and Goldman Sachs. His involvement with Cipher Mining, which was formed through a merger with a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC) and leverages Bitfury's expertise, indicates a pattern of managing companies that attract strategic institutional and private capital.
Gregory Mumford, Chief Financial Officer
Gregory Mumford was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Cipher Mining Inc., effective October 14, 2025. He brings over a decade of experience in financial services, credit, and capital markets. Before joining Cipher, Mumford was a senior banker in the Digital Assets & Infrastructure Investment Banking group at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods (KBW) from December 2019 through September 2025, where he advised on mergers and acquisitions and capital markets transactions focused on digital infrastructure and industrials. His appointment and background signal a strong focus on corporate finance and capital markets execution. Under his leadership, Cipher Mining has secured significant institutional investments, including a $50 million PIPE investment from SoftBank and $1.1 billion in convertible financing from Google. He also held various roles in the commercial and corporate banking group at one of Canada's largest banks.
Patrick Kelly, Co-President & Chief Operating Officer
Patrick Kelly is the Co-President and Chief Operating Officer of Cipher Mining, having joined the company as COO in March 2021. Prior to Cipher, Kelly co-founded Stone Ridge Asset Management in 2012, where he served as Chief Operating Officer, overseeing operations, technology, and accounting, and was the Treasurer and Principal Financial Officer for the Stone Ridge Trusts. He was also a member of Atalaya Capital Management's Advisory board, where he managed the development of Funding Path. Kelly began his career at Citadel and has held leadership positions at Magnetar Capital and D.E. Shaw & Co. His experience includes working with firms that invest growth capital in businesses and engage in public and private transactions.
William Iwaschuk, Co-President & Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary
William Iwaschuk serves as Co-President, Chief Legal Officer, and Corporate Secretary for Cipher Mining. He is recognized as one of the key executives involved in guiding the company's operations since its formation.
Drew Armstrong, Head of Strategic Initiatives
Drew Armstrong was appointed Head of Strategic Initiatives at Cipher Mining in January 2026. Before joining Cipher, he was President, Chief Operating Officer, and Chairman at Cathedra Bitcoin. His prior experience includes founding Galaxy Digital's bitcoin mining business unit. He also worked at Barclays on securitized products, notably being involved in the first data center asset-backed security offering in the United States. Armstrong is tasked with leading strategic growth projects as Cipher Mining expands into the high-performance computing (HPC) industry.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Cipher Digital (NASDAQ: CIFR) are:- Bitcoin Price Volatility: Cipher Digital's profitability remains significantly tied to the volatile price of Bitcoin, despite its strategic pivot towards AI/HPC data centers. Fluctuations in Bitcoin's market value directly impact the company's revenue and can lead to operational losses if prices fall below production costs. A prolonged downturn in Bitcoin prices could necessitate selling more mined coins to cover expenses, impacting financial stability.
- Execution Risk and AI/HPC Data Center Demand: The company is undergoing a significant business model evolution, transitioning from primarily Bitcoin mining to constructing and operating data centers for high-performance computing (HPC) and artificial intelligence (AI). This transition involves substantial capital investment and carries inherent execution risks, including potential delays or cost overruns in construction and energization of new facilities. There is also a risk that the anticipated demand for AI/HPC data centers from hyperscalers may not materialize as expected, or that market shifts could adversely affect future demand and leasing activity.
- Regulatory and Environmental Concerns: Cipher Digital faces potential threats from evolving regulatory landscapes and increasing environmental scrutiny related to its energy-intensive operations. Governments may impose new restrictions on electricity usage for mining, increase taxes, or introduce stringent compliance requirements for both cryptocurrency mining and large-scale data center operations. Such regulatory changes could elevate operational costs and impact the company's competitive position.
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- Regulatory actions targeting the energy consumption and environmental impact of Proof-of-Work Bitcoin mining, including potential bans, moratoriums, or increased taxation on energy usage.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Cipher Mining Inc. (CIFR) operates in two primary addressable markets: Bitcoin mining and High-Performance Computing (HPC) hosting, particularly for Artificial Intelligence (AI) workloads. ### Bitcoin Mining The global Bitcoin mining market was valued at approximately USD 4.2 billion in 2023. This market is projected to grow at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 8% to 10% from 2024 to 2029. North America holds a significant share of this market, accounting for approximately 47% of the global Bitcoin miner market, which includes mining operations. Based on these figures, the addressable market for Bitcoin mining operations in North America was estimated to be around USD 1.974 billion in 2023. The North American market is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 10%. ### High-Performance Computing (HPC) Hosting for AI Workloads Cipher Mining Inc. is strategically pivoting to become a diversified data center operator, focusing on HPC hosting for AI and other advanced computing workloads, in addition to Bitcoin mining. The North American AI data center market, which includes hardware, software, and services related to supporting high-performance computing needs for AI workloads, reached USD 9.45 billion in 2025. This market is projected to grow substantially, reaching USD 35.11 billion by 2030, exhibiting a CAGR of 30.00%. Specifically for the U.S., the AI Data Center market size was valued at USD 3.35 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 20.12 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 25.21%. The services segment within the global AI data center market is also expected to demonstrate rapid growth, with one source projecting the HPC market size for services to surpass USD 30 billion globally by 2031.AI Analysis | Feedback
Cipher Digital (NASDAQ: CIFR), which operates as Cipher Mining Inc., is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives: 1. **Strategic Shift to High-Performance Computing (HPC) and AI Data Center Hosting:** Cipher Mining is undergoing a significant strategic transformation, pivoting from primarily Bitcoin mining to developing and operating data centers specifically for high-performance computing (HPC) and artificial intelligence (AI) workloads. This shift is anticipated to be a primary driver of revenue growth as the company rebrands and focuses on this expanding market. 2. **Secured Long-Term Lease Agreements with Hyperscalers:** The company has secured substantial, multi-year lease agreements with major technology firms, including a 15-year data center campus lease with Amazon Web Services (AWS) for 300 MW of capacity, valued at approximately $5.5 billion, with payments starting in August 2026. Additionally, Cipher has a 10-year AI hosting agreement with Fluidstack, backed by a $1.4 billion guarantee from Google, which is expected to generate about $3 billion in contracted revenues over its initial term. These long-term contracts provide a strong foundation of predictable, recurring revenue. 3. **Expansion of Data Center Capacity and Geographic Diversification:** Cipher is actively expanding its data center infrastructure and geographic footprint. The company has acquired a new 200-megawatt site named "Ulysses" in Ohio, its first outside of Texas, which is slated for operations by Q4 2027 and will increase its development pipeline to 3.4 GW across 8 sites. Furthermore, the acquisition of the 100 MW Stingray site in West Texas, expected to begin power consumption in the first half of 2026, also contributes to increasing its operational capacity for HPC and digital asset mining. 4. **Continued Bitcoin Mining Operations and Potential Upside from Bitcoin Price:** While the company is strategically shifting its focus, its existing Bitcoin mining operations continue to generate revenue. In Q3 2025, revenue increased, partly due to higher Bitcoin prices and increased production from facilities like Black Pearl. The company still holds Bitcoin on its balance sheet, making its earnings sensitive to fluctuations in Bitcoin prices. Although revenue from Bitcoin mining is expected to decrease as the company decommissions miners, the ongoing operations will still contribute to the top line.AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- SoftBank Group Corp. made a $50 million private investment in public equity (PIPE) in Cipher Mining in January 2025, issuing shares to support HPC data center development.
- In November 2025, Cipher Mining announced it would redeem all outstanding warrants, with holders receiving 0.2687 shares of common stock for each warrant on a cashless basis.
Inbound Investments
- SoftBank Group Corp. invested $50 million in Cipher Mining Inc. through a private investment in public equity (PIPE) in January 2025, aimed at enhancing HPC data center development.
- Google invested $3 billion into Cipher Mining Inc. for an artificial intelligence (AI) project in Texas around September 2025.
- Cipher Mining completed a $1.3 billion convertible note offering in Q3 2025 to finance its expansion into data centers.
Outbound Investments
- Cipher Mining acquired a 200-megawatt site in Ohio, known as "Ulysses," in December 2025, marking its initial expansion for data center development outside of Texas.
- In February 2026, Cipher Mining sold its 49% equity interest in joint ventures (Alborz LLC, Bear LLC, and Chief Mountain LLC) totaling approximately 4.4 EH/s in West Texas to Canaan Inc. for about $39.75 million, which was paid through Canaan's equity issuance to Cipher, as the company pivots away from Bitcoin mining.
Capital Expenditures
- The substantial majority of Cipher Mining's capital expenditures have been dedicated to developing and constructing Bitcoin mining data centers and acquiring mining hardware, including an agreement in October 2021 to purchase 28,000 to 56,000 Bitfury next-generation mining rigs for delivery throughout 2022.
- Cipher Mining has raised significant debt to fund its pivot to High-Performance Computing (HPC) data centers, including a $1.4 billion senior secured notes offering in November 2025 and an additional $333 million in November 2025 specifically for its Barber Lake Facility.
- A $2 billion senior secured notes offering in February 2026 is slated to fund the completion of the Black Pearl Facility in Wink, Texas, and to reimburse Cipher for $232.5 million of prior equity contributions related to capital expenditures for that facility.
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Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 34.97 |
| Mkt Cap | 10.7 |
| Rev LTM | 504 |
| Op Inc LTM | -137 |
| FCF LTM | -1,008 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -383 |
| CFO LTM | 269 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 79 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 25.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 23.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 13.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.0% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -41.1% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -56.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -40.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -22.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 13.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -163.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -150.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 10.7 |
| P/S | 17.2 |
| P/Op Inc | -22.4 |
| P/EBIT | -10.3 |
| P/E | -7.6 |
| P/CFO | -0.5 |
| Total Yield | -5.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -17.5% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 24.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 22.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 25.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 172.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 353.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 15.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 15.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 15.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 140.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 267.9% |
FDA Approved Drugs Data
Expand for More| Post-Approval Fwd Returns | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDA App # | Brand Name | Generic Name | Dosage Form | FDA Approval | 3M Rtn | 6M Rtn | 1Y Rtn | 2Y Rtn | Total Rtn |
| NDA022408 | NATROBA | spinosad | suspension | 1182011 | |||||
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $20.28 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 8.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/07/2020 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -17.9% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $16.28 | $14.85 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 24.6% | 36.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 97.2% | 109.9% |
| Downside Capture | 1.79 | 1.98 |
| Upside Capture | 392.50 | 514.29 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 52.3% | 44.0% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 3.90 | 4.19 | 4.26 | 4.05 | 3.87 | 3.05 |
| Up Beta | 3.16 | 3.18 | 4.10 | 3.69 | 2.66 | 2.59 |
| Down Beta | 13.19 | 3.05 | 1.81 | 2.51 | 3.56 | 2.75 |
| Up Capture | 457% | 677% | 726% | 961% | 4899% | 99036% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 20 | 28 | 57 | 126 | 353 |
| Down Capture | 731% | 393% | 358% | 272% | 202% | 113% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 23 | 36 | 68 | 123 | 389 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CIFR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIFR | 542.4% | 109.9% | 2.20 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 64.5% | 20.8% | 2.29 | 44.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 28.1% | 12.5% | 1.78 | 45.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 42.9% | 26.9% | 1.30 | 20.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 48.6% | 18.0% | 2.14 | 3.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.6% | 13.5% | 0.70 | 15.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -22.4% | 41.7% | -0.50 | 39.0% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CIFR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIFR | 14.8% | 118.6% | 0.67 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 22.0% | 24.8% | 0.78 | 34.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.9% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 34.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.2% | 17.9% | 0.96 | 9.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 13.5% | 19.1% | 0.58 | 5.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.6% | 18.8% | 0.09 | 22.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 8.5% | 56.0% | 0.36 | 37.1% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CIFR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIFR | 7.3% | 114.4% | 0.64 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 25.1% | 24.4% | 0.93 | 33.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.0% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 34.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.4% | 15.9% | 0.70 | 9.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.5% | 17.7% | 0.45 | 6.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 22.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.1% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 34.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/5/2026 | 23.5% | ||
| 2/24/2026 | 12.5% | 3.5% | -2.2% |
| 11/3/2025 | 22.0% | 10.9% | -0.1% |
| 8/7/2025 | -6.5% | -6.0% | 44.3% |
| 5/6/2025 | 2.0% | 5.7% | 25.5% |
| 2/25/2025 | -17.4% | -22.5% | -38.8% |
| 10/31/2024 | -6.6% | 32.0% | 26.9% |
| 8/13/2024 | -0.3% | 1.5% | -21.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| # Negative | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 7.4% | 11.2% | 33.4% |
| Median Negative | -6.6% | -7.4% | -25.1% |
| Max Positive | 23.5% | 32.0% | 51.6% |
| Max Negative | -17.4% | -26.0% | -38.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/05/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/24/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/03/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/25/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/05/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/14/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Williams, Wesley Hastie | Direct | Sell | 5082026 | 22.26 | 28,169 | 627,042 | 2,893,266 | Form | |
| 2 | Grossman, Cary M | Direct | Sell | 5082026 | 21.82 | 20,000 | 436,400 | 3,284,565 | Form | |
| 3 | Page, Tyler | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 3272026 | 16.11 | 37,500 | 604,125 | 133,130,817 | Form |
| 4 | Grossman, Cary M | Direct | Sell | 3242026 | 14.54 | 30,000 | 436,200 | 2,479,506 | Form | |
| 5 | Kelly, Patrick Arthur | Co-President and COO | Direct | Sell | 3192026 | 14.98 | 35,568 | 532,809 | 21,593,790 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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