Microchip Technology (MCHP)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $63.38 | Market Cap: $34.2 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors
Microchip Technology (MCHP)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $63.38Market Cap: $34.2 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductors
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Edge AI, Industrial Robotics, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Edge AI, Industrial Robotics, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MCHP Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Microchip Technology (MCHP) experienced a net stock movement of approximately -1.3% during the period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, influenced by a combination of factors including a significant monthly decline and analyst actions, despite some recent positive developments.
1. Significant Decline in the Month Leading to Early December 2025
Microchip Technology's stock saw a substantial downturn, with a reported sharp -14.4% 30-day return as of December 2, 2025. This indicates a significant negative movement in the month immediately preceding early December, contributing heavily to any overall decline during the broader requested period.
2. Analyst Downgrades and Lowered Price Targets in November 2025
Several financial analysts reduced their price targets for Microchip Technology in early November 2025. For instance, on November 7, 2025, analysts from Stifel, Needham, Susquehanna, Cantor Fitzgerald, and Truist Securities all lowered their price targets, even while some maintained "Buy" or "Positive" ratings. This series of target reductions likely contributed to negative investor sentiment.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MCHP Return | 34% | 27% | -18% | 31% | -35% | 2% | 21% |
| Peers Return | 30% | 33% | -24% | 31% | -2% | 39% | 133% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MCHP Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 42% | 67% | 25% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 62% | 37% | 60% | 43% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MCHP Max Drawdown | -47% | -4% | -35% | -2% | -37% | -38% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -37% | -3% | -34% | -8% | -13% | -27% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MU, TXN, ADI, NXPI, DIOD. See MCHP Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MCHP | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -37.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 59.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 360 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -49.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 99.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 169 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -40.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 68.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 422 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -60.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 153.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1745 days | 1480 days |
Compare to MU, TXN, ADI, NXPI, DIOD
In The Past
Microchip Technology's stock fell -37.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -37.2% loss requires a 59.2% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MCHP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| 10312022 | MCHP | Microchip Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 23.2% | 17.7% | -3.7% |
| 04302022 | MCHP | Microchip Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -2.6% | 13.9% | -13.5% |
| 03312020 | MCHP | Microchip Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 52.7% | 131.9% | -7.4% |
| 03312019 | MCHP | Microchip Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 11.0% | -15.5% | -31.7% |
| 09302018 | MCHP | Microchip Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 6.1% | 19.8% | -22.3% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| 10312022 | MCHP | Microchip Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 23.2% | 17.7% | -3.7% |
| 04302022 | MCHP | Microchip Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -2.6% | 13.9% | -13.5% |
| 03312020 | MCHP | Microchip Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 52.7% | 131.9% | -7.4% |
| 03312019 | MCHP | Microchip Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 11.0% | -15.5% | -31.7% |
| 09302018 | MCHP | Microchip Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 6.1% | 19.8% | -22.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Microchip Technology
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Valuation
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Returns
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Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5232025 | 10-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2062025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11052024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5232024 | 10-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2012024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5252023 | 10-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2022023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8022022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5202022 | 10-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2032022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
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