Tearsheet

Texas Instruments (TXN)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $180.36 | Market Cap: $163.9 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

Texas Instruments (TXN)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $180.36
Market Cap: $163.9 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.0%, Dividend Yield is 3.0%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -59%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.6%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 35%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, CFO LTM is 6.9 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.1 Bil
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Automation & Robotics, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.0%, Dividend Yield is 3.0%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 35%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, CFO LTM is 6.9 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.1 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Automation & Robotics, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -59%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.6%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TXN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Texas Instruments (TXN) experienced a stock decline for several key reasons during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025: 1. Weak Q4 2025 Outlook. Texas Instruments issued a pessimistic forecast for its fourth-quarter 2025 profits and revenue, with guidance falling below Wall Street expectations. This triggered a significant stock drop of over 8% in pre-market trading on October 22, 2025, and between 6.82% and 7.5% in after-hours trading on October 21, 2025.

2. Disappointing Q3 2025 Earnings (in context of guidance). While Texas Instruments' third-quarter 2025 revenue of $4.74 billion surpassed analyst estimates, its earnings per share of $1.48 narrowly missed the consensus estimate of $1.49. The market's negative reaction was primarily driven by the company's subdued guidance for the fourth quarter, overshadowing the otherwise solid Q3 revenue performance.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TXN Return32%18%-10%6%13%-1%67%
Peers Return26%26%-9%40%21%29%215%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TXN Win Rate75%67%42%58%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate46%44%35%52%35%43% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TXN Max Drawdown-27%-1%-20%-12%-7%-22% 
Peers Max Drawdown-31%-2%-23%-2%-13%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AVGO, ADI, MCHP, AMBQ, GLSA. See TXN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTXNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-30.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven43.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven205 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-30.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven43.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven126 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven211 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-64.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven184.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1606 days1480 days

Compare to AVGO, ADI, MCHP, AMBQ, GLSA


In The Past

Texas Instruments's stock fell -30.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/21/2021. A -30.2% loss requires a 43.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Texas Instruments (TXN)

Better Bets than Texas Instruments (TXN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TXN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.9%1.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.0%8.0%0.0%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
13.1%13.1%-5.0%
TXN_8312022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312022TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%4.8%-10.2%
TXN_2282022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper02282022TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.1%3.8%-12.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.9%1.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.0%8.0%0.0%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
13.1%13.1%-5.0%
TXN_8312022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312022TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%4.8%-10.2%
TXN_2282022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper02282022TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.1%3.8%-12.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Texas Instruments

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TXNAVGOADIMCHPAMBQGLSAMedian
NameTexas In.Broadcom Analog D.Microchi.Ambiq Mi.Green So. 
Mkt Price180.12381.03277.2664.7227.99-180.12
Mkt Cap163.71,796.2137.134.9--150.4
Rev LTM17,26659,92610,3874,21269-10,387
Op Inc LTM6,01223,3662,630155-38-2,630
FCF LTM2,08024,9303,678754-21-2,080
FCF 3Y Avg1,73220,3193,4391,807--2,623
CFO LTM6,89725,4384,162841-16-4,162
CFO 3Y Avg6,56020,8214,3102,047--5,435

Growth & Margins

TXNAVGOADIMCHPAMBQGLSAMedian
NameTexas In.Broadcom Analog D.Microchi.Ambiq Mi.Green So. 
Rev Chg LTM9.9%28.0%7.1%-23.4%--8.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-4.6%24.0%-0.6%-14.9%---2.6%
Rev Chg Q14.2%22.0%24.6%-2.0%--18.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.5%5.0%5.8%-0.6%--4.3%
Op Mgn LTM34.8%39.0%25.3%3.7%-54.6%-25.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg38.0%38.4%27.5%21.0%--32.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%1.5%1.8%-1.2%--0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM39.9%42.4%40.1%20.0%-22.6%-39.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg38.6%44.6%39.5%30.4%--39.0%
FCF/Rev LTM12.0%41.6%35.4%17.9%-29.7%-17.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg10.2%43.5%31.5%26.9%--29.2%

Valuation

TXNAVGOADIMCHPAMBQGLSAMedian
NameTexas In.Broadcom Analog D.Microchi.Ambiq Mi.Green So. 
Mkt Cap163.71,796.2137.134.9--150.4
P/S9.721.711.38.2--10.5
P/EBIT26.856.544.3731.6--50.4
P/E33.168.660.1-187.4--46.6
P/CFO24.251.128.341.2--34.8
Total Yield6.0%1.5%3.3%1.6%--2.4%
Dividend Yield3.0%0.0%1.6%2.1%--1.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.1%3.1%3.2%4.4%--3.1%
D/E0.10.00.10.2--0.1
Net D/E0.10.00.00.1--0.0

Returns

TXNAVGOADIMCHPAMBQGLSAMedian
NameTexas In.Broadcom Analog D.Microchi.Ambiq Mi.Green So. 
1M Rtn13.0%8.3%20.9%9.8%1.6%-9.8%
3M Rtn-3.0%24.7%12.7%1.4%-31.0%-1.4%
6M Rtn-3.9%47.2%27.7%2.2%--14.9%
12M Rtn-5.4%125.6%29.2%8.3%--18.8%
3Y Rtn11.2%655.8%73.4%-9.1%--42.3%
1M Excs Rtn11.8%7.0%19.6%8.5%0.4%-8.5%
3M Excs Rtn-9.1%8.2%6.4%-6.7%-24.5%--6.7%
6M Excs Rtn-19.4%31.7%12.2%-13.3%---0.5%
12M Excs Rtn-21.2%117.7%13.0%-18.4%---2.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-59.2%596.0%5.1%-79.5%---27.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Analog13,04015,35914,05010,88610,223
Embedded Processing3,3683,2613,0492,5702,943
Other1,1111,4081,2451,0051,217
Total17,51920,02818,34414,46114,383


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Analog5,8218,3597,3934,9124,477
Embedded Processing1,0081,2531,174743907
Other502528393239339
Total7,33110,1408,9605,8945,723


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity16,550,837
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-6.1%
Average Daily Volume7,531,869
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.20
Basic Shares Quantity909,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251023202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025729202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025424202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024214202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241023202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024724202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024424202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023202202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231025202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023726202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023426202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022203202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221026202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022727202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022427202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021204202210-K 12/31/2021