ON Semiconductor (ON)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $55.79 | Market Cap: $23.1 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors
ON Semiconductor (ON)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $55.79Market Cap: $23.1 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductors
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ON Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why ON Semiconductor (symbol: ON) stock moved by 15.2% during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results:
ON Semiconductor reported robust Q3 2025 earnings on November 3, 2025, exceeding analyst expectations with revenue of $1.55 billion and diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.63. The company also achieved a non-GAAP gross margin of 38.0% and significant sequential revenue growth in its key automotive (7%) and industrial (5%) segments, alongside a doubling of its AI data center business year-over-year.
2. Authorization of a $6 Billion Share Repurchase Program:
On November 18, 2025, onsemi announced a substantial $6 billion share repurchase authorization. Such a significant program often signals management's confidence in the company's valuation and future prospects, which can boost investor sentiment and shareholder value.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ON Return | 34% | 108% | -8% | 34% | -25% | -18% | 111% |
| Peers Return | 32% | 41% | -20% | 27% | -7% | 14% | 100% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ON Win Rate | 75% | 83% | 42% | 67% | 33% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 62% | 38% | 65% | 43% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ON Max Drawdown | -65% | -0% | -31% | -4% | -27% | -49% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -36% | -2% | -35% | -8% | -19% | -30% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMAT, TXN, ADI, MCHP, DIOD. See ON Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ON | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -42.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 72.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -67.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 203.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 204 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -45.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 83.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 745 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -80.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 399.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2293 days | 1480 days |
Compare to AMAT, TXN, ADI, MCHP, DIOD
In The Past
ON Semiconductor's stock fell -42.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/1/2023. A -42.0% loss requires a 72.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ON. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| 08312025 | ON | ON Semiconductor | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 3.8% | 3.8% | -9.5% |
| 02282025 | ON | ON Semiconductor | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.4% | 9.4% | -32.1% |
| 04302024 | ON | ON Semiconductor | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.5% | -43.4% | -54.5% |
| 10312023 | ON | ON Semiconductor | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.0% | 17.5% | -3.2% |
| 08312019 | ON | ON Semiconductor | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 23.7% | -52.5% |
| 09302018 | ON | ON Semiconductor | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.6% | 4.2% | -20.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| 08312025 | ON | ON Semiconductor | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 3.8% | 3.8% | -9.5% |
| 02282025 | ON | ON Semiconductor | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.4% | 9.4% | -32.1% |
| 04302024 | ON | ON Semiconductor | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.5% | -43.4% | -54.5% |
| 10312023 | ON | ON Semiconductor | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.0% | 17.5% | -3.2% |
| 08312019 | ON | ON Semiconductor | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 23.7% | -52.5% |
| 09302018 | ON | ON Semiconductor | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.6% | 4.2% | -20.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for ON Semiconductor
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | - |
| Mkt Cap | - |
| Rev LTM | - |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | - |
| FCF 3Y Avg | - |
| CFO LTM | - |
| CFO 3Y Avg | - |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | - |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Rev Chg Q | - |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | - |
| FCF/Rev LTM | - |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | - |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | - |
| P/S | - |
| P/EBIT | - |
| P/E | - |
| P/CFO | - |
| Total Yield | - |
| Dividend Yield | - |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | - |
| D/E | - |
| Net D/E | - |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | - |
| 3M Rtn | - |
| 6M Rtn | - |
| 12M Rtn | - |
| 3Y Rtn | - |
| 1M Excs Rtn | - |
| 3M Excs Rtn | - |
| 6M Excs Rtn | - |
| 12M Excs Rtn | - |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | - |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8042025 | 10-Q 7/4/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5052025 | 10-Q 4/4/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2102025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10282024 | 10-Q 9/27/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7292024 | 10-Q 6/28/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4292024 | 10-Q 3/29/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2052024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10302023 | 10-Q 9/29/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7312023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5012023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2062023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10312022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8012022 | 10-Q 7/1/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5022022 | 10-Q 4/1/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2142022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11012021 | 10-Q 10/1/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | El-Khoury Hassane | CEO & President | 8152025 | Sell | 51.22 | 15,000 | 768,260 | 50,080,993 | Form |
| 1 | Campbell Alan | 6122025 | Sell | 51.16 | 5,371 | 274,780 | 4,332,689 | Form | |
| 2 | Campbell Alan | 3122025 | Sell | 43.23 | 10,000 | 432,257 | 3,674,444 | Form | |
| 3 | KEETON SIMON | Group President, PSG | 12182024 | Sell | 68.56 | 28,000 | 1,919,789 | 13,930,950 | Form |
| 4 | GOPALSWAMY SUDHIR | Group President, AMG & ISG | 12182024 | Sell | 67.64 | 21,082 | 1,426,041 | 6,410,760 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |