Tearsheet

Western Digital (WDC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $160.05 | Market Cap: $56.0 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

Western Digital (WDC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $160.05
Market Cap: $56.0 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Hybrid Cloud Solutions, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Hybrid Cloud Solutions, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

WDC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining Western Digital's (WDC) stock movement by 93.5% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Explosive Demand from AI Infrastructure: Western Digital emerged as a significant beneficiary of the global artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure expansion during this period. The surging demand for high-capacity Hard Disk Drives (HDDs) and enterprise Solid State Drives (SSDs) for AI training and inference data centers fueled substantial revenue growth.

2. Strong Financial Performance and Optimistic Outlook: The company reported robust financial results, including strong fiscal fourth quarter 2025 results (reported July 30, 2025) with revenue up 30% year-over-year, and non-GAAP diluted EPS of $1.66. This momentum continued with fiscal first quarter 2026 results (reported October 30, 2025), where revenue reached $2.8 billion (up 27% year-over-year) and non-GAAP EPS was $1.78, both exceeding guidance. The positive performance and optimistic projections for future quarters significantly boosted investor confidence.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
WDC Return-11%18%-52%66%14%260%245%
Peers Return57%67%-47%112%38%103%723%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
WDC Win Rate42%50%42%58%67%90% 
Peers Win Rate60%58%37%62%55%68% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
WDC Max Drawdown-54%-11%-54%-0%-6%-32% 
Peers Max Drawdown-28%-11%-52%-2%-8%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NVDA, AMD, MU, STX, NTAP. See WDC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventWDCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-60.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven155.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven518 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-58.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven143.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven348 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-67.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven203.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2461 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-75.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven302.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven391 days1480 days

Compare to NVDA, AMD, MU, STX, NTAP


In The Past

Western Digital's stock fell -60.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/4/2021. A -60.9% loss requires a 155.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Western Digital (WDC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to WDC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
WDC_9302022_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG09302022WDCWestern DigitalDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
15.7%40.2%-7.2%
WDC_3312019_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy03312019WDCWestern DigitalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
27.3%-6.9%-37.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
WDC_9302022_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG09302022WDCWestern DigitalDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
15.7%40.2%-7.2%
WDC_3312019_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy03312019WDCWestern DigitalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
27.3%-6.9%-37.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Western Digital

Peers to compare with:

Financials

WDCNVDAAMDMUSTXNTAPMedian
NameWestern .NVIDIA Advanced.Micron T.Seagate .NetApp  
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Growth & Margins

WDCNVDAAMDMUSTXNTAPMedian
NameWestern .NVIDIA Advanced.Micron T.Seagate .NetApp  
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Valuation

WDCNVDAAMDMUSTXNTAPMedian
NameWestern .NVIDIA Advanced.Micron T.Seagate .NetApp  
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Returns

WDCNVDAAMDMUSTXNTAPMedian
NameWestern .NVIDIA Advanced.Micron T.Seagate .NetApp  
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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Hard disk drives (HDD)6,3176,2559,0408,2168,967
Flash-based products (Flash) 6,0639,7538,7067,769
Total6,31712,31818,79316,92216,736


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Hard disk drives (HDD)-765    
Total-765    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity33,625,289
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120255.2%
Average Daily Volume9,885,586
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.40
Basic Shares Quantity350,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares9.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 10/3/2025
6302025814202510-K 6/27/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/28/2025
12312024131202510-Q 12/27/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/27/2024
6302024820202410-K 6/28/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/29/2024
12312023212202410-Q 12/29/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/29/2023
6302023822202310-K 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022203202310-Q 12/30/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022825202210-K 7/1/2022
3312022504202210-Q 4/1/2022
12312021203202210-Q 12/31/2021

Industry Resources

Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Resources
The Verge
TechRadar
Tom’s Hardware
PCMag
CNET