Coherent (COHR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $170.99 | Market Cap: $26.7 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Electronic Components
Coherent (COHR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $170.99Market Cap: $26.7 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Electronic Components
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Materials, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 109% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 55% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.7% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Materials, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 109% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 55% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.7% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
COHR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, Coherent (COHR) experienced significant positive movements driven by several key factors.
1. Strong Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results and Optimistic Outlook.
Coherent reported its financial results for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2025, on August 13, 2025, just before the beginning of this period. The company announced record revenue for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 at $1.53 billion and a strong fiscal year 2025 with 23% revenue growth and 191% non-GAAP EPS expansion. Management highlighted the company's strong positioning due to its exposure to key growth drivers such as AI datacenters and also noted the repayment of approximately $437 million of outstanding debt.
2. Exceptional First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Earnings Driven by AI Demand.
On November 5, 2025, Coherent announced its first-quarter fiscal year 2026 results, reporting record revenue of $1.58 billion, a 17% increase year-over-year, largely propelled by demand in AI data centers and communications. The adjusted EPS of $1.16 surpassed the anticipated $1.04, leading to positive market reactions and expectations for continued strong sequential growth.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| COHR Return | 126% | -10% | -49% | 24% | 118% | 74% | 390% |
| Peers Return | 107% | 15% | -39% | 18% | -28% | 10% | 34% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| COHR Win Rate | 50% | 58% | 42% | 42% | 75% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 62% | 40% | 50% | 43% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| COHR Max Drawdown | -37% | -28% | -56% | -21% | -7% | -47% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -36% | -13% | -55% | -18% | -36% | -42% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MKSI, BRKR, NOVT, IPGP, PACB. See COHR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | COHR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -72.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 260.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 514 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -44.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 79.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 61 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -48.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 95.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 349 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -68.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 214.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 651 days | 1480 days |
Compare to MKSI, BRKR, NOVT, IPGP, PACB
In The Past
Coherent's stock fell -72.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/11/2021. A -72.2% loss requires a 260.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Coherent Earnings Notes | |||
| Is Bel Fuse a Better Buy Than Coherent? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| Is Coherent Stock Built to Withstand a Pullback? | Return | ||
| Does Coherent Stock Lead the Pack? | Peer Comparison | ||
| Coherent vs. MKS: With Return Forecast Of 42%, Coherent Is A Better Bet | Peer Comparison | ||
| COHR Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Coherent Stock Shares Rally 15% In A Week, Wait For A Dip To Buy The Stock | Buy or Fear | ||
| Coherent Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 23.1% in 2025 and 20.5% 3-yr compounded annual returns (above peer average) | |||
| Coherent (COHR) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Coherent (COHR) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Bel Fuse or Coherent: Which Stock Has More Upside? | December 3rd, 2025 | ||
| Bel Fuse or Coherent: Which Stock Has More Upside? | December 3rd, 2025 | ||
| Amphenol or Coherent: Which Stock Has More Upside? | November 8th, 2025 | ||
| Better Value & Growth: COHR Leads Celestica Stock | October 29th, 2025 | ||
| COHR Looks Smarter Buy Than Corning Stock | October 25th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to COHR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| 12312017 | COHR | Coherent [DELISTED] | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -44.6% | -62.5% | -66.6% |
| 08312017 | COHR | Coherent | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 7.9% | 38.8% | 0.0% |
| 06302017 | COHR | Coherent [DELISTED] | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 25.4% | -30.5% | -33.5% |
| 02282017 | COHR | Coherent | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -1.7% | 8.1% | -22.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| 12312017 | COHR | Coherent [DELISTED] | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -44.6% | -62.5% | -66.6% |
| 08312017 | COHR | Coherent | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 7.9% | 38.8% | 0.0% |
| 06302017 | COHR | Coherent [DELISTED] | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 25.4% | -30.5% | -33.5% |
| 02282017 | COHR | Coherent | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -1.7% | 8.1% | -22.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Coherent
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 98.44 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.7 |
| Rev LTM | 2,201 |
| Op Inc LTM | 196 |
| FCF LTM | 55 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 115 |
| CFO LTM | 119 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 218 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.7 |
| P/S | 2.6 |
| P/EBIT | 31.1 |
| P/E | 48.6 |
| P/CFO | 29.3 |
| Total Yield | 1.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.6% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 10.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 63.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 56.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 19.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | -19.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 10.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 55.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 42.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 3.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -89.4% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8152025 | 10-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2052025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8162024 | 10-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2062024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8182023 | 10-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2082023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8292022 | 10-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2092022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Digirolomo Enrico | 11252025 | Sell | 134.85 | 2,831 | 381,760 | 2,842,368 | Form | |
| 1 | SKAGGS STEPHEN A | 11212025 | Sell | 150.00 | 2,000 | 300,000 | 3,016,200 | Form | |
| 2 | Dreyer Michael L | 11172025 | Sell | 144.88 | 11,570 | 1,676,204 | 1,750,814 | Form | |
| 3 | BARBAROSSA GIOVANNI | EVP, General Management | 11102025 | Sell | 160.00 | 60,706 | 9,712,960 | 26,105,280 | Form |
External Quote Links
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