Coherent (COHR)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $170.74 | Market Cap: $26.7 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Electronic Components
Coherent (COHR)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $170.74Market Cap: $26.7 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Electronic Components
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Materials, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Show more. | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 107% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 55% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.7% | |
| Key risksCOHR key risks include [1] a dependence on intricate manufacturing processes and a limited supply chain for critical materials like rare earth minerals, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Materials, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Show more. |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 107% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 55% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.7% |
| Key risksCOHR key risks include [1] a dependence on intricate manufacturing processes and a limited supply chain for critical materials like rare earth minerals, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
COHR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the significant movement in Coherent (COHR) stock during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Strong Fiscal Performance and AI Datacenter Demand: Coherent reported robust financial results for its fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2025 on August 13, 2025, just prior to the specified period, with record revenue and a substantial increase in non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS). This strong performance was largely attributed to the surging demand from AI datacenters, a key growth driver for the company's optical solutions. The positive momentum continued with the company's first-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings reported on November 5, 2025, which also indicated continued strong performance.
2. Strategic Partnerships and Supply Agreements: Coherent solidified its market position by expanding a multiyear strategic supply agreement with Apple to continue producing vertical-cavity surface-emitting lasers (VCSELs) for features like Face ID in iPhones and iPads. This, along with an ongoing collaboration with NVIDIA for silicon photonics networking switches using co-packaged optics (CPO) to connect millions of GPUs in AI factories, generated significant investor enthusiasm.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| COHR Return | 126% | -10% | -49% | 24% | 118% | 85% | 420% |
| Peers Return | 37% | 13% | -34% | 28% | 40% | 93% | 254% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| COHR Win Rate | 50% | 58% | 42% | 42% | 75% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 40% | 57% | 62% | 63% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| COHR Max Drawdown | -37% | -28% | -56% | -21% | -7% | -47% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -15% | -44% | -16% | -16% | -34% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LITE, IPGP, MKSI, GLW, AVGO. See COHR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | COHR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -72.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 260.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 514 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -44.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 79.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 61 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -48.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 95.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 349 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -68.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 214.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 651 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to MKSI, BRKR, NOVT, IPGP, PACB
In The Past
Coherent's stock fell -72.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/11/2021. A -72.2% loss requires a 260.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to COHR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.4% | 10.4% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| 12312017 | COHR | Coherent [DELISTED] | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -44.6% | -62.5% | -66.6% |
| 08312017 | COHR | Coherent | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 7.9% | 38.8% | 0.0% |
| 06302017 | COHR | Coherent [DELISTED] | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 25.4% | -30.5% | -33.5% |
| 02282017 | COHR | Coherent | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -1.7% | 8.1% | -22.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.4% | 10.4% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| 12312017 | COHR | Coherent [DELISTED] | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -44.6% | -62.5% | -66.6% |
| 08312017 | COHR | Coherent | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 7.9% | 38.8% | 0.0% |
| 06302017 | COHR | Coherent [DELISTED] | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 25.4% | -30.5% | -33.5% |
| 02282017 | COHR | Coherent | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -1.7% | 8.1% | -22.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Coherent
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 159.57 |
| Mkt Cap | 24.6 |
| Rev LTM | 4,937 |
| Op Inc LTM | 580 |
| FCF LTM | 302 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 295 |
| CFO LTM | 603 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 552 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 19.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 19.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 7.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 13.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 24.6 |
| P/S | 4.1 |
| P/EBIT | 32.4 |
| P/E | 68.0 |
| P/CFO | 31.5 |
| Total Yield | 1.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.1% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 5.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 18.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 66.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 51.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 288.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 9.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 53.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 42.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 210.8% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | 18.3% | 16.4% | 38.1% |
| 8/13/2025 | -19.6% | -24.1% | -9.7% |
| 5/7/2025 | 1.4% | 15.9% | 14.5% |
| 2/5/2025 | 11.5% | -3.1% | -26.1% |
| 11/6/2024 | 10.1% | 3.3% | 11.9% |
| 8/15/2024 | 7.5% | 9.8% | 5.6% |
| 5/6/2024 | -4.5% | -6.1% | 15.2% |
| 2/5/2024 | 17.4% | 25.3% | 31.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 16 | 16 | 14 |
| # Negative | 9 | 9 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 6.7% | 10.1% | 17.0% |
| Median Negative | -4.5% | -13.3% | -13.7% |
| Max Positive | 21.0% | 38.4% | 50.0% |
| Max Negative | -19.6% | -24.1% | -36.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8152025 | 10-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2052025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8162024 | 10-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2062024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8182023 | 10-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2082023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8292022 | 10-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2092022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Digirolomo Enrico | 11252025 | Sell | 134.85 | 2,831 | 381,760 | 2,842,368 | Form | |
| 1 | SKAGGS STEPHEN A | 11212025 | Sell | 150.00 | 2,000 | 300,000 | 3,016,200 | Form | |
| 2 | Dreyer Michael L | 11172025 | Sell | 144.88 | 11,570 | 1,676,204 | 1,750,814 | Form | |
| 3 | BARBAROSSA GIOVANNI | EVP, General Management | 11102025 | Sell | 160.00 | 60,706 | 9,712,960 | 26,105,280 | Form |
External Quote Links
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