Palo Alto Networks (PANW)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $194.52 | Market Cap: $130.7 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software
Palo Alto Networks (PANW)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $194.52Market Cap: $130.7 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Systems Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity, Cloud Computing, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Network Security, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity, Cloud Computing, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Network Security, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
PANW Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The requested time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, is in the future. Therefore, I cannot provide an explanation for the stock movement of Palo Alto Networks (PANW) for this specific future period. I can, however, provide information up to my most recent available data, which includes news and financial results from late 2024 and analyst outlooks that extend into 2025.
Here are some recent key points related to Palo Alto Networks (PANW) stock performance and relevant factors from the past, as of the most recent available information:
1. Palo Alto Networks reported stronger-than-expected fiscal fourth-quarter and full-year 2024 financial results. On August 19, 2024, the company announced that its fiscal fourth-quarter revenue grew 12% year over year to $2.2 billion, exceeding analysts' estimates. For the full fiscal year 2024, revenue grew 16% year over year to $8.0 billion. Non-GAAP net income for Q4 2024 was $522.2 million, or $1.51 per diluted share, also surpassing expectations.
2. Strong growth in Next-Generation Security Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) and Remaining Performance Obligation (RPO) were highlighted. Next-Generation Security ARR increased by 43% year over year to $4.2 billion in fiscal Q4 2024, and the remaining performance obligation grew 20% year over year to $12.7 billion.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PANW Return | 54% | 57% | -25% | 111% | 23% | 4% | 393% |
| Peers Return | 32% | 1% | -26% | 12% | -12% | 3% | 1% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PANW Win Rate | 58% | 83% | 42% | 58% | 58% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 38% | 27% | 44% | 31% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PANW Max Drawdown | -43% | -11% | -26% | -4% | -11% | -16% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -14% | -16% | -34% | -6% | -27% | -16% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CSCO, CRSR, MITK, CHOW, ECST. See PANW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PANW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -36.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 136 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -46.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 88.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 124 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -31.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 288 days | 120 days |
Compare to CSCO, CRSR, MITK, CHOW, ECST
In The Past
Palo Alto Networks's stock fell -36.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/13/2022. A -36.0% loss requires a 56.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to PANW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| 11302022 | PANW | Palo Alto Networks | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 25.6% | 73.7% | -21.0% |
| 02292020 | PANW | Palo Alto Networks | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 37.9% | 94.1% | -28.2% |
| 05312019 | PANW | Palo Alto Networks | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 13.5% | 17.6% | -33.8% |
| 07312017 | PANW | Palo Alto Networks | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 18.9% | 50.4% | -3.1% |
| 12312016 | PANW | Palo Alto Networks | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 7.0% | 15.9% | -13.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| 11302022 | PANW | Palo Alto Networks | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 25.6% | 73.7% | -21.0% |
| 02292020 | PANW | Palo Alto Networks | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 37.9% | 94.1% | -28.2% |
| 05312019 | PANW | Palo Alto Networks | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 13.5% | 17.6% | -33.8% |
| 07312017 | PANW | Palo Alto Networks | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 18.9% | 50.4% | -3.1% |
| 12312016 | PANW | Palo Alto Networks | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 7.0% | 15.9% | -13.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Palo Alto Networks
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | - |
| Mkt Cap | - |
| Rev LTM | - |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | - |
| FCF 3Y Avg | - |
| CFO LTM | - |
| CFO 3Y Avg | - |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | - |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Rev Chg Q | - |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | - |
| FCF/Rev LTM | - |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | - |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | - |
| P/S | - |
| P/EBIT | - |
| P/E | - |
| P/CFO | - |
| Total Yield | - |
| Dividend Yield | - |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | - |
| D/E | - |
| Net D/E | - |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | - |
| 3M Rtn | - |
| 6M Rtn | - |
| 12M Rtn | - |
| 3Y Rtn | - |
| 1M Excs Rtn | - |
| 3M Excs Rtn | - |
| 6M Excs Rtn | - |
| 12M Excs Rtn | - |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | - |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 8292025 | 10-K 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 5212025 | 10-Q 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 2142025 | 10-Q 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 11212024 | 10-Q 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9062024 | 10-K 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 5212024 | 10-Q 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 2212024 | 10-Q 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 11172023 | 10-Q 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9012023 | 10-K 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 5242023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 2222023 | 10-Q 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 11182022 | 10-Q 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9062022 | 10-K 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 5202022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 2232022 | 10-Q 1/31/2022 |
| 10312021 | 11192021 | 10-Q 10/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Paul Josh D. | Chief Accounting Officer | 10022025 | Sell | 202.16 | 700 | 141,512 | 6,564,944 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |