Magnolia Oil & Gas (MGY)


Market Price (8/12/2026): $26.32 | Market Cap: $4.9 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Magnolia Oil & Gas (MGY)


Market Price (8/12/2026): $26.32
Market Cap: $4.9 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 2.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.9%, FCF Yield is 11%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 70%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%

Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and Resource Efficiency Solutions.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -31%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -50%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%

Key risks
MGY key risks include [1] significant exposure to commodity price volatility due to its fully unhedged production profile.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 2.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.9%, FCF Yield is 11%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 70%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and Resource Efficiency Solutions.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -31%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -50%
6 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
7 Key risks
MGY key risks include [1] significant exposure to commodity price volatility due to its fully unhedged production profile.

MGY in ETFs

Weight = MGY's share of each fund

VTI0.01%
ITOT0.01%
IWM0.19%
IJR0.31%
VYM0.02%
VB0.06%
XOP2.2%
SLYV0.61%
+13 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Updated on 8/10/2026

Magnolia Oil & Gas (MGY) stock has lost about 15% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Impact of WildFire Energy Acquisition and Associated Dilution: The announcement of the $4.06 billion WildFire Energy acquisition, while strategically significant, introduced immediate concerns regarding equity dilution and an increase in the company's debt profile. The transaction involves issuing 53.3 million new Class A shares, projected to raise the fully diluted share count to approximately 269 million, and was accompanied by $500 million in senior-note financing. Despite Magnolia Oil & Gas reporting strong fiscal Q2 2026 results that surpassed analyst expectations (EPS of $0.99 versus a $0.93 consensus and revenue of $478.81 million versus $458.10 million), the market reaction was subdued, with the stock experiencing a limited positive movement or even a decline of 3.4% to $23.73 post-announcement.

2. Broader Commodity Price Volatility and Outlook: The period saw fluctuating sentiment regarding crude oil prices, which influenced the overall energy sector. While crude oil prices recently rose, earlier market outlooks in 2026 indicated a potential for softer commodity prices and increased volatility. The International Energy Agency (IEA) in May 2026 forecasted a contraction in world oil demand by 420 kilobarrels per day (kb/d) year-over-year in 2026, with a significant decline of 2.45 million barrels per day (mb/d) in fiscal Q2 2026. This broader macroeconomic uncertainty surrounding oil demand and pricing likely contributed to downward pressure on Magnolia Oil & Gas's stock.

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Updated on 8/10/2026

Magnolia Oil & Gas (MGY) stock has lost about 15% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Impact of WildFire Energy Acquisition and Associated Dilution: The announcement of the $4.06 billion WildFire Energy acquisition, while strategically significant, introduced immediate concerns regarding equity dilution and an increase in the company's debt profile. The transaction involves issuing 53.3 million new Class A shares, projected to raise the fully diluted share count to approximately 269 million, and was accompanied by $500 million in senior-note financing. Despite Magnolia Oil & Gas reporting strong fiscal Q2 2026 results that surpassed analyst expectations (EPS of $0.99 versus a $0.93 consensus and revenue of $478.81 million versus $458.10 million), the market reaction was subdued, with the stock experiencing a limited positive movement or even a decline of 3.4% to $23.73 post-announcement.

2. Broader Commodity Price Volatility and Outlook: The period saw fluctuating sentiment regarding crude oil prices, which influenced the overall energy sector. While crude oil prices recently rose, earlier market outlooks in 2026 indicated a potential for softer commodity prices and increased volatility. The International Energy Agency (IEA) in May 2026 forecasted a contraction in world oil demand by 420 kilobarrels per day (kb/d) year-over-year in 2026, with a significant decline of 2.45 million barrels per day (mb/d) in fiscal Q2 2026. This broader macroeconomic uncertainty surrounding oil demand and pricing likely contributed to downward pressure on Magnolia Oil & Gas's stock.

3. Mixed Analyst Sentiment and Revisions: Throughout the specified period, analyst sentiment for Magnolia Oil & Gas experienced some shifts, with early downgrades potentially weighing on the stock. In May 2026, firms such as Zacks Research and Weiss Ratings lowered their ratings for Magnolia Oil & Gas to "hold" from "strong-buy" and "hold (c+)" respectively. While some positive revisions and increased price targets by other analysts occurred later in July, this earlier mixed or cautious sentiment could have contributed to investor uncertainty and the stock's overall decline.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -12.9% change in MGY stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/11/2026 was primarily driven by a -32.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020268112026Change
Stock Price ($)29.8526.01-12.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,3121,48012.8%
Net Income Margin (%)24.8%28.8%16.1%
P/E Multiple16.711.3-32.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)182185-1.1%
Cumulative Contribution-12.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MGY-12.9% 
Market (SPY)7.2%-35.5%
Sector (XLE)2.1%75.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 3.9% change in MGY stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 12.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)13120268112026Change
Stock Price ($)25.0326.013.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,3211,48012.0%
Net Income Margin (%)25.9%28.8%11.1%
P/E Multiple13.511.3-16.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1851850.1%
Cumulative Contribution3.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MGY3.9% 
Market (SPY)11.7%-34.3%
Sector (XLE)20.1%78.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 12.8% change in MGY stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 11.4% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)73120258112026Change
Stock Price ($)23.0626.0112.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,3291,48011.4%
Net Income Margin (%)27.6%28.8%4.4%
P/E Multiple11.711.3-4.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1871851.1%
Cumulative Contribution12.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MGY12.8% 
Market (SPY)22.9%-11.1%
Sector (XLE)43.1%79.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 26.9% change in MGY stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 136.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120238112026Change
Stock Price ($)20.5026.0126.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,6251,480-8.9%
Net Income Margin (%)50.7%28.8%-43.3%
P/E Multiple4.811.3136.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1921853.9%
Cumulative Contribution26.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MGY26.9% 
Market (SPY)74.3%33.4%
Sector (XLE)52.3%84.7%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
MGY Return169%27%-7%12%-4%21%312%
Peers Return175%54%-1%-12%-8%37%366%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MGY Win Rate58%58%50%50%58%62% 
Peers Win Rate75%60%47%40%55%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MGY Max Drawdown-19%-38%-21%-20%-26%-27% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-37%-27%-31%-35%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: EOG, COP, DVN, SM, MUR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/11/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventMGYS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-19.1%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven23.7%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven66 days79 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-18.0%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven21.9%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven91 days31 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-63.5%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven174.3%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven313 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-33.6%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven50.6%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven904 days105 days

Compare to EOG, COP, DVN, SM, MUR

In The Past

Magnolia Oil & Gas's stock fell -19.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 23.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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EventMGYS&P 500
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-63.5%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven174.3%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven313 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-33.6%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven50.6%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven904 days105 days

Compare to EOG, COP, DVN, SM, MUR

In The Past

Magnolia Oil & Gas's stock fell -19.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 23.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Magnolia Oil & Gas (MGY)

Magnolia Oil & Gas (MGY) is an independent energy company focused on the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs). The company's core operations are strategically concentrated in South Texas, specifically within Karnes County and the extensive Giddings Field.

The primary products Magnolia extracts and offers are crude oil, natural gas, and NGLs, sourced from prominent geological formations such as the Eagle Ford Shale and the Austin Chalk. As of December 2021, Magnolia held a substantial operational footprint, comprising over 471,000 net acres of leasehold and operating 1,292 net wells, demonstrating a significant production capacity of approximately 66,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day.

Magnolia Oil & Gas primarily serves the broad domestic energy market. Its main customers typically include refiners, petrochemical plants, and other energy processing and marketing companies that purchase its produced crude oil, natural gas, and NGLs. These commodities are then further processed and distributed to meet the industrial, commercial, and residential energy demands across the United States.

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A focused Pioneer Natural Resources, specializing in South Texas oil and gas.

The EOG Resources of the Eagle Ford Shale.

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  • Oil: A hydrocarbon liquid extracted from underground reserves, primarily used as fuel or for manufacturing petrochemicals.
  • Natural Gas: A gaseous hydrocarbon mixture extracted from underground, primarily used for energy generation and heating.
  • Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs): Hydrocarbon components separated from natural gas, used as fuel, feedstock for plastics, and other products.

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Magnolia Oil & Gas (symbol: MGY) is an upstream oil and gas company that engages in the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs).

Given the commodity nature of its products, Magnolia Oil & Gas primarily sells to other companies within the energy value chain, rather than directly to individuals. The company typically sells its crude oil, natural gas, and NGLs to a diverse group of purchasers under various contractual arrangements (both short-term and long-term).

Due to the competitive and commodity-based nature of the oil and gas market, Magnolia Oil & Gas does not publicly disclose specific names of its major customer companies, nor does it typically have individual customers that account for a significant portion of its revenue (e.g., 10% or more) that would necessitate such disclosure in its public filings. Therefore, it is not possible to list specific company names and symbols as major customers.

However, the categories of companies that purchase Magnolia Oil & Gas's products include:

  1. Midstream Companies: These companies purchase raw crude oil, natural gas, and NGLs at the wellhead for gathering, processing (e.g., separating natural gas into dry gas and NGLs), and transportation through pipelines to market hubs or end-users.
  2. Refiners: Companies that purchase crude oil as a feedstock to convert it into various refined products, such as gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and other petrochemical feedstocks.
  3. Natural Gas Marketers and Utilities: Companies that purchase natural gas for resale to industrial, commercial, and residential customers, or for use in power generation.
  4. Petrochemical Companies: Companies that utilize NGLs (such as ethane, propane, and butane) as feedstocks for producing plastics, chemicals, and other industrial products.

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Christopher G. Stavros, President, Chief Executive Officer, and Chairman of the Board

Mr. Stavros was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of Magnolia Oil & Gas in September 2022, and also became Chairman of the Board in July 2025. Prior to this, he served as Magnolia's Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer since July 2018. Before joining Magnolia, Mr. Stavros was the Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Occidental Petroleum Corporation, where he began in 2005 and was named CFO in 2014, having previously held roles as Vice President, Investor Relations, and Treasurer. He retired from Occidental in May 2017. Earlier in his career, Mr. Stavros was a Senior Analyst at UBS, covering the Oil and Gas sector. He has 30 years of experience in the energy and financial industries. Magnolia Oil & Gas was formed through a strategic combination of TPG Pace Energy Holdings Corp. (a SPAC) and Magnolia Oil & Gas, LLC, an entity controlled by Stephen Chazen; the SPAC acquired South Texas properties from Enervest, a private equity firm, in 2018, at which point Mr. Stavros became CFO of Magnolia.

Brian M. Corales, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Mr. Corales was appointed Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Magnolia Oil & Gas on November 3, 2022. He previously served as Magnolia's Vice President, Investor Relations, since November 2018. Mr. Corales is a Certified Public Accountant. Before joining Magnolia, he was a senior analyst at Johnson Rice & Co. and spent 15 years in various investment banking roles, including as a director at Scotia Howard Weil, where he covered exploration and production companies from October 2009 to February 2018. He began his career in 2001 in the Assurance practice at Ernst & Young, focusing on energy companies.

Timothy D. Yang, Executive Vice President, General Counsel, Corporate Secretary and Land

Mr. Yang joined Magnolia Oil & Gas in September 2018 as Executive Vice President, General Counsel, and Secretary, with his role expanding to include authority over Land in February 2022. Prior to Magnolia, he served as General Counsel and Corporate Secretary of Newfield Exploration Company from July 2015 to September 2018. His previous experience includes roles as Senior Vice President, Land & Legal, General Counsel, Chief Compliance Officer, and Secretary at Sabine Oil & Gas Corporation from 2013 to 2015. Mr. Yang's legal background encompasses both public and private companies in the energy and investment sectors, including Invesco Ltd./AIM Investments, Pogo Producing Company, and Eagle Rock Energy Partners, L.P.

Stephen I. Chazen, Founder (Deceased)

Mr. Chazen founded Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation and served as its Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer from its inception in 2017/2018 until his resignation due to health reasons in September 2022, shortly before his passing. Prior to founding Magnolia, he had a distinguished career at Occidental Petroleum Corporation, serving as its Chief Executive Officer from 2011 to 2016, and in various other leadership positions, including Chief Financial Officer, President, and Chief Operating Officer, since joining the company in 1994. He was also on Occidental's Board of Directors from 2010 to 2017 and was elected Chairman of Occidental's board in 2020. Before his tenure at Occidental, Mr. Chazen worked as a Managing Director in the investment banking division of Merrill Lynch, focusing on corporate finance and mergers and acquisitions. Magnolia's formation involved a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC), TPG Pace Energy Holdings Corp., and the acquisition of South Texas properties from Enervest, a private equity firm, demonstrating his involvement in managing companies backed by private equity.

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Here are the key risks to Magnolia Oil & Gas's business:

Key Risks for Magnolia Oil & Gas (MGY)

  1. Commodity Price Volatility: Magnolia Oil & Gas's financial performance is highly susceptible to the volatile prices of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs). Fluctuations in these commodity prices directly impact the company's revenue, profitability, and ability to fund operations. For instance, a decline in oil prices has already been identified as a challenge to revenue growth.
  2. Regulatory and ESG Risks: The company faces significant risks related to evolving environmental regulations, climate change policies, and broader Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) concerns. These regulatory changes can lead to increased compliance costs and may disproportionately affect smaller operators like Magnolia, which might have fewer resources to adapt. Furthermore, the global push towards renewable energy sources poses a long-term challenge to the demand for hydrocarbons.
  3. Operational and Geological Risks with Concentrated Asset Base: Magnolia Oil & Gas is exposed to the inherent operational and geological risks associated with oil and gas exploration and production, including potential cost overruns or production delays related to advanced drilling techniques. A significant portion of its operations is concentrated in specific areas, primarily the Eagle Ford Shale and Austin Chalk formations in South Texas. This concentrated asset base exposes the company to localized operational and financial risks, and a limited scale can affect its negotiating power and cost efficiencies compared to larger competitors.

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Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) engages in the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids primarily in the Eagle Ford Shale and Austin Chalk formations in South Texas, United States. The addressable markets for their main products are substantial within the United States.

For their main products, the market sizes in the U.S. or North America are:

  • Crude Oil: The global crude oil market was valued at approximately USD 755.3 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach around USD 929.8 billion by 2034. North America, encompassing the U.S., held about 52% of the global market share in 2022.
  • Natural Gas: The U.S. natural gas market was valued at approximately USD 454.5 billion in 2024 and is expected to increase to USD 577.9 billion by 2032, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 3.2% from 2025 to 2032.
  • Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs): The North American Natural Gas Liquids (NGL) market is estimated to grow from USD 7.08 billion in 2024 to USD 11.53 billion in 2033, demonstrating a CAGR of 5.57%. The U.S. NGL production is a significant component of this, with field production totaling 7,041 thousand barrels per day in 2024.

Within Magnolia's primary operating regions in South Texas, the Eagle Ford Shale and Austin Chalk plays also show significant production volumes:

  • Eagle Ford Shale: Natural gas production in the Eagle Ford region is projected to increase from 6.8 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) in 2024 to 7.0 Bcf/d by 2026. Oil production in the Eagle Ford has remained stable at approximately 1.1 million barrels per day (b/d) since 2020, with this trend expected to continue through 2026. The region is estimated to contain 8.5 billion barrels of oil, 66 trillion cubic feet (TcF) of natural gas, and 1.9 billion barrels of natural gas liquids in technically recoverable resources.
  • Austin Chalk Formation: Gas output from the Austin Chalk has nearly tripled since 2020, reaching 1.8 Bcf/d, while oil output has increased by 26,000 barrels per day (bbl/d). As of April 2025, the Austin Chalk play contributed 23% (1.8 Bcf/d) of the Eagle Ford region's natural gas production and 11% (125,000 b/d) of its oil production. The U.S. Geological Survey estimates the Austin Chalk to hold 6.9 billion barrels of oil and 41.5 trillion cubic feet of natural gas.

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Here are the expected drivers of future revenue growth for Magnolia Oil & Gas (MGY) over the next 2-3 years:

1. Consistent Production Growth from Core Assets: Magnolia Oil & Gas anticipates continued growth in its oil and natural gas production volumes, primarily from its established positions in the Eagle Ford Shale and Austin Chalk formations in South Texas. The company projects high single-digit total production growth and similar oil production growth on an annual basis for 2024. Looking ahead to 2025, total production growth is expected to be in the range of 5% to 7%, with low single-digit annual growth in oil production. In Q1 2024, total production volumes already increased by 7% year-over-year. The company achieved record quarterly production of 93,100 barrels of oil equivalent per day in Q4 2024, leading to a 9% annual growth in total production for the full year 2024, with oil growth at 11%. This trend is expected to continue, with a 5% production growth target for 2026.

2. Strategic Bolt-on Acquisitions: Magnolia's business strategy includes utilizing generated free cash flow to pursue attractive bolt-on oil and gas property acquisitions. For example, in Q1 2024, the company spent $27 million on such acquisitions, primarily in the Giddings area. One acquisition in Q1 2024 encompassed over 80,000 gross acres, providing both new operated development opportunities and increasing the company's working interest in existing high-return locations. These strategic additions to its asset base are expected to contribute to overall production and revenue expansion.

3. Enhanced Operational Efficiencies and Cost Optimization: The company is focused on improving field operations and efficiencies, particularly in the Giddings area, which is expected to lead to lower unit operating costs and higher margins. These efficiencies include fewer drilling days per well and significant gains in stimulation stages per day. Furthermore, lower overall well costs combined with these improved operating efficiencies are anticipated to enable the drilling and completion of more wells without increasing capital expenditures, thereby supporting high-margin growth.

4. Favorable Commodity Price Environment: As Magnolia Oil & Gas remains un-hedged for all its oil and natural gas production, fluctuations in commodity prices will directly impact its revenue. A sustained period of favorable crude oil and natural gas prices would serve as a significant driver for increased revenue. While the company's operational strength provides a buffer, higher market prices for oil and gas would directly translate to greater top-line performance.

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Share Repurchases

  • Magnolia Oil & Gas expanded its share repurchase authorization to 60 million shares on February 5, 2026.
  • The company repurchased 8.9 million Class A Common shares during 2025, resulting in a 4.4% to 4.5% reduction in the diluted weighted average total shares outstanding compared to the prior year.
  • Magnolia returned approximately 88% of the free cash flow generated during 2024 to shareholders through a combination of share repurchases and dividends.

Share Issuance

  • The fully diluted share count for the first quarter of 2026 is expected to be approximately 187 million shares, marking a 4% reduction from first quarter 2025 levels.
  • The diluted weighted average total shares outstanding for the third quarter of 2024 fell by 5% to 198.4 million compared to the third quarter of 2023, indicating a net reduction in shares.

Outbound Investments

  • Magnolia completed several small bolt-on oil and gas property acquisitions during 2025, totaling $66.6 million.

Capital Expenditures

  • Magnolia's full-year 2025 capital spending on drilling, completions, and associated facilities was $460.7 million, with an estimated range of $440 million to $480 million for 2026.
  • The company's drilling and completion capital for 2024 was $477.0 million.
  • Capital spending is primarily focused on the high-growth Giddings area (75-80%) and Karnes (20-25%), and includes appraisal activities in South Texas to enhance resource opportunities.

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Peer Comparisons

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Financials

MGYEOGCOPDVNSMMURMedian
NameMagnolia.EOG Reso.ConocoPh.Devon En.SM EnergyMurphy O. 
Mkt Price26.01143.40125.9245.4032.5135.7240.56
Mkt Cap4.875.4152.842.57.85.125.2
Rev LTM1,48026,63763,34519,6765,1462,99312,411
Op Inc LTM5669,41813,8844,6781,6736953,175
FCF LTM5466,61410,0641,4777433061,110
FCF 3Y Avg4695,3998,7621,278-87566922
CFO LTM1,03713,35821,9258,5532,7001,5665,626
CFO 3Y Avg93811,87720,7867,3672,1321,6514,750

Growth & Margins

MGYEOGCOPDVNSMMURMedian
NameMagnolia.EOG Reso.ConocoPh.Devon En.SM EnergyMurphy O. 
Rev Chg LTM11.4%17.3%9.6%14.6%65.9%7.7%13.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.7%2.5%-1.1%5.5%28.8%-7.1%2.1%
Rev Chg Q50.1%58.6%36.8%73.1%174.6%35.6%54.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM12.1%13.4%8.9%18.9%36.3%8.8%12.7%
Op Inc Chg LTM14.0%21.3%9.3%11.0%57.3%25.3%17.6%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-8.2%-2.7%-8.9%-8.3%15.1%-17.0%-8.2%
Op Mgn LTM38.2%35.4%21.9%23.8%32.5%23.2%28.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg39.2%35.8%23.4%26.2%35.6%24.0%30.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM5.6%2.8%3.9%4.9%7.9%8.0%5.3%
CFO/Rev LTM70.1%50.1%34.6%43.5%52.5%52.3%51.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg68.6%48.5%35.1%42.2%61.9%54.0%51.3%
FCF/Rev LTM36.9%24.8%15.9%7.5%14.4%10.2%15.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg34.2%21.9%14.8%7.7%-4.5%18.1%16.4%

Valuation

MGYEOGCOPDVNSMMURMedian
NameMagnolia.EOG Reso.ConocoPh.Devon En.SM EnergyMurphy O. 
Mkt Cap4.875.4152.842.57.85.125.2
P/S3.22.82.42.21.51.72.3
P/Op Inc8.58.011.09.14.67.48.2
P/EBIT8.68.39.79.04.88.78.6
P/E11.311.016.513.07.817.412.1
P/CFO4.65.67.05.02.93.34.8
Total Yield11.3%12.0%8.7%9.6%15.2%9.5%10.5%
Dividend Yield2.4%2.9%2.7%1.9%2.3%3.8%2.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg10.3%7.9%7.0%3.6%-10.3%11.9%7.5%
D/E0.10.10.20.30.90.40.2
Net D/E0.00.00.10.30.80.30.2

Returns

MGYEOGCOPDVNSMMURMedian
NameMagnolia.EOG Reso.ConocoPh.Devon En.SM EnergyMurphy O. 
1M Rtn1.6%7.7%15.5%7.5%16.9%5.8%7.6%
3M Rtn-8.5%7.7%6.8%-2.2%4.4%-6.9%1.1%
6M Rtn-1.1%29.2%18.9%5.7%56.2%12.4%15.6%
12M Rtn15.4%27.0%39.1%41.7%31.2%64.8%35.1%
3Y Rtn23.0%20.5%17.3%-0.3%-11.6%-9.7%8.5%
1M Excs Rtn-4.7%0.6%8.7%1.0%5.9%-0.5%0.8%
3M Excs Rtn-10.8%4.1%4.7%-6.4%2.5%-8.5%-2.0%
6M Excs Rtn-13.7%16.9%6.7%-5.3%44.5%0.8%3.7%
12M Excs Rtn-6.7%6.7%17.6%19.0%7.4%39.5%12.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-50.3%-49.7%-51.1%-73.7%-80.9%-80.8%-62.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Acquisition, development, exploration, and production of oil and natural gas properties1,3121,3161,2271,694 
Natural gas liquids revenues    158
Natural gas revenues    173
Oil revenues    748
Total1,3121,3161,2271,6941,078


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$26.01 
Market Cap ($ Bil)4.8 
First Trading Date06/29/2017 
Distance from 52W High-18.6% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$26.01$25.77
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA-0.0%0.9%
 3M1YR
Volatility37.5%33.0%
Downside Capture-88.51-57.83
Upside Capture-109.49-27.84
Correlation (SPY)-31.4%-12.1%
MGY Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-1.61-0.71-1.00-0.84-0.240.73
Up Beta1.80-0.89-1.41-1.48-0.660.85
Down Beta-4.02-0.38-0.460.080.351.21
Up Capture-161%-88%-104%-52%-14%14%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days11223069135398
Down Capture-202%-63%-95%-151%-67%65%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days10203154114349

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MGY
MGY14.3%33.0%0.44-
Sector ETF (XLE)47.1%21.6%1.6979.3%
Equity (SPY)22.1%12.8%1.28-12.3%
Gold (GLD)28.2%28.4%0.860.8%
Commodities (DBC)37.4%20.1%1.4758.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.5%13.8%0.61-2.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-45.3%42.9%-1.285.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MGY
MGY15.6%39.5%0.47-
Sector ETF (XLE)23.8%25.8%0.8184.5%
Equity (SPY)13.3%17.2%0.6038.7%
Gold (GLD)18.8%18.6%0.8210.4%
Commodities (DBC)9.3%19.6%0.3661.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.9%18.9%-0.0030.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)10.9%52.8%0.3916.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MGY
MGY11.3%46.1%0.42-
Sector ETF (XLE)10.8%29.6%0.4077.9%
Equity (SPY)15.3%17.9%0.7343.5%
Gold (GLD)12.0%16.2%0.612.2%
Commodities (DBC)7.9%18.0%0.3554.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.5%20.7%0.1836.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)59.4%66.1%0.9911.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity21.5 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 71520262.2%
Average Daily Volume9.7 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.2 days
Basic Shares Quantity184.6 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares11.7%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/10/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/5/20264.3%  
5/6/2026-1.7%0.4%-3.4%
2/5/20263.0%-0.3%11.5%
10/29/2025-2.6%-6.8%3.0%
7/30/2025-2.3%-2.7%2.5%
4/30/20252.7%0.7%5.4%
2/18/20251.5%-2.5%4.7%
10/30/2024-1.1%6.7%9.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121416
# Negative13108
Median Positive2.9%4.4%7.2%
Median Negative-2.6%-4.2%-4.8%
Max Positive13.1%24.7%77.5%
Max Negative-6.2%-11.9%-16.2%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/5/20264.3%  
5/6/2026-1.7%0.4%-3.4%
2/5/20263.0%-0.3%11.5%
10/29/2025-2.6%-6.8%3.0%
7/30/2025-2.3%-2.7%2.5%
4/30/20252.7%0.7%5.4%
2/18/20251.5%-2.5%4.7%
10/30/2024-1.1%6.7%9.1%
7/31/2024-6.2%-11.9%-4.7%
5/7/20240.3%1.6%-5.1%
2/14/20245.3%8.5%17.6%
11/1/20233.5%-5.6%-1.2%
8/1/2023-0.6%3.6%3.7%
5/3/2023-4.7%-2.1%3.1%
2/14/2023-2.5%-9.8%-13.7%
11/1/2022-2.2%7.0%0.7%
8/2/2022-4.0%-7.7%-0.2%
5/9/2022-3.1%4.0%27.9%
2/16/20222.0%2.6%14.3%
11/1/2021-4.6%-2.7%-16.2%
8/2/20211.4%0.0%13.5%
5/4/20215.7%4.9%24.8%
2/22/202113.1%17.2%4.4%
11/5/20201.0%24.7%77.5%
8/5/2020-3.9%8.8%-4.9%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121416
# Negative13108
Median Positive2.9%4.4%7.2%
Median Negative-2.6%-4.2%-4.8%
Max Positive13.1%24.7%77.5%
Max Negative-6.2%-11.9%-16.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/06/202610-Q
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/12/202610-K
09/30/202510/30/202510-Q
06/30/202507/31/202510-Q
03/31/202505/01/202510-Q
12/31/202402/19/202510-K
09/30/202410/31/202410-Q
06/30/202408/01/202410-Q
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q
12/31/202302/15/202410-K
09/30/202311/02/202310-Q
06/30/202308/02/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202202/16/202310-K
09/30/202211/02/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/06/202610-Q
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/12/202610-K
09/30/202510/30/202510-Q
06/30/202507/31/202510-Q
03/31/202505/01/202510-Q
12/31/202402/19/202510-K
09/30/202410/31/202410-Q
06/30/202408/01/202410-Q
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q
12/31/202302/15/202410-K
09/30/202311/02/202310-Q
06/30/202308/02/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202202/16/202310-K
09/30/202211/02/202210-Q
06/30/202208/03/202210-Q
03/31/202205/10/202210-Q
12/31/202102/17/202210-K
09/30/202111/02/202110-Q
06/30/202108/03/202110-Q
03/31/202105/05/202110-Q
12/31/202002/23/202110-K
09/30/202011/06/202010-Q
06/30/202008/06/202010-Q
03/31/202005/11/202010-Q
12/31/201902/26/202010-K
09/30/201911/05/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 8/6/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q3 2026 D&C Capital Spending 115.00 Mil    
2026 Capital Spending440.00 Mil460.00 Mil480.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 460.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Production Growth 6.0%  1.0%RaisedGuidance: 5.0% for 2026

Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/6/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 D&C Capital Spending120.00 Mil122.50 Mil125.00 Mil   
Q2 2026 Total Production 0.10 Mil    
2026 Total Capital Spending440.00 Mil460.00 Mil480.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 460.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Production Growth 5.0%  0AffirmedGuidance: 5.0% for 2026

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 D&C Capital Spending 125.00 Mil 13.6% Higher NewGuidance: 110.00 Mil for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Total Production 0.10 Mil 1.0% Higher NewGuidance: 0.10 Mil for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Diluted Share Count 187.00 Mil -1.1% Lower NewGuidance: 189.00 Mil for Q4 2025
2026 D&C Capital Spending440.00 Mil460.00 Mil480.00 Mil   
2026 Total Production Growth 5.0%  0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 5.0% for 2026

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/29/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 D&C Capital Spending 110.00 Mil -4.3% LoweredGuidance: 115.00 Mil for Q3 2025
Q4 2025 Total Production 0.10 Mil 2.0% RaisedGuidance: 99,000 for Q3 2025
Q4 2025 LOE per boe 5.2 -1.0% LoweredGuidance: 5.25 for Q3 2025
Q4 2025 Fully Diluted Share Count 189.00 Mil -1.0% LoweredGuidance: 191.00 Mil for Q3 2025
2025 Total Production Growth 10.0%  0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 10.0% for 2025
2026 Production Growth 5.0%    

Insider Activity

Updated 8/11/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Ropp, Ralph LewisDirectBuy811202624.625,000123,125640,422Form
2Khani, David MDirectBuy811202625.008,000200,000765,550Form
3Szabo, ShandellDirectBuy603202627.44862,360568,262Form
4Szabo, ShandellDirectSell331202631.9811,731375,169457,456Form
5Djerejian, Edward PDirectSell311202628.9818,000521,6043,199,896Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Ropp, Ralph LewisDirectBuy811202624.625,000123,125640,422Form
2Khani, David MDirectBuy811202625.008,000200,000765,550Form
3Szabo, ShandellDirectBuy603202627.44862,360568,262Form
4Szabo, ShandellDirectSell331202631.9811,731375,169457,456Form
5Djerejian, Edward PDirectSell311202628.9818,000521,6043,199,896Form
6Acosta, ArciliaDirectSell311202629.1019,235559,7773,732,302Form
7Smith, Dan FDirectSell311202629.0118,000522,2163,458,346Form
8Corales, BrianSVP & CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICERDirectSell311202629.1233,000960,9605,363,263Form
9Yang, Timothy DEVP, CHIEF LEGAL & COMM & SECDirectSell311202629.29150,0004,393,80015,426,954Form
10Stavros, Christopher GCEO & CHAIRMANDirectSell311202629.29119,9543,513,21325,878,642Form
11Ropp, Ralph LewisDirectBuy1112202523.104,500103,964339,314Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Aug 12, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Corigliano Investment Advisers, LLC$12.6 Mil4.9%37TRIM -35.5%13F
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Corigliano Investment Advisers, LLC$12.6 Mil4.9%37TRIM -35.5%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Corigliano Investment Advisers, LLC$12.6 Mil4.9%37TRIM -35.5%13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/11/2026